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AI Work Index

Headline risk

8%

Low Risk

Procurement Manager

United States3 occupations blended

AI displacement pressure score based on US employment data, wages, and demand signals. Built from 3 related occupations weighted by relevance.

Median wage: USD 102,010216.7 currentConfidence high

Why this score

Exposure 69%

Share of tasks AI can handle today

Bottleneck 81%

Work that requires human presence or coordination

Demand resilience 38%

How strong local hiring demand is for this role

Confidence 81%

How complete the underlying data is

Workflow profile

How this role's daily work breaks down across different dimensions.

CreativeAmbiguityInstitutionalRelationshipsRegulatoryPhysicalCoordinationTool Speed

Workflow dimensions (0 = low, 1 = high)

US employment data

Employment overview

AI task overlap 100%

Share of job tasks AI can currently perform

Median wage USD 102,010

Annual median wage

Demand outlook 6%

Projected employment change 2024–2034

Preparation Zone 4/5

Education and training typically needed

Data coverage
11/11 sources available Last updated: O*NET 30.2 / OEWS 2024 / ORS 2025 / OOH 2025-08-28 / Projections 2024-34 / CPS 2025 / Anthropic task penetration

Key metrics

Job zone

4

The occupation usually needs substantial preparation and experience.

Median wage

USD 102,010

USD 78,360 to USD 136,050

Openings

18.5K

6.1% projected change

Median age

43.6

415K employed

What this job involves

Plan, direct, or coordinate transportation, storage, or distribution activities in accordance with organizational policies and applicable government laws or regulations. Includes logistics managers.

Entry requirements: Moderate preparation

The occupation usually needs substantial preparation and experience.

Wage context

Median annual

USD 102,010

Mean annual

USD 116,010

10th percentile: USD 61,200

25th percentile: USD 78,360

75th percentile: USD 136,050

90th percentile: USD 180,590

Hourly median: USD 49

Employment: 213,000 workers

Demand outlook

Current employment

216.7K

Projected employment

229.8K

Openings: 18.5K

Projected change: 6.1%

Education: High school diploma or equivalent

Work experience: 5 years or more

On-the-job training: None

Median wage: USD 102,010

Employment of transportation, storage, and distribution managers is projected to grow 6 percent from 2024 to 2034, faster than the average for all occupations.

Workforce profile

Based on a survey of workers currently in this occupation.

Protects from AI displacement

  • Can telework 14.4% of workers
  • License required 10.5% of workers
  • Apprenticeship <5% of workers

Typical background

  • Certificate <20% of workers
  • No education requirement <30% of workers
  • High school diploma 55.6% of workers
  • Bachelor's degree 30.9% of workers
  • Associate's degree <10% of workers

Day-to-day work

AdaptabilityProblem solving and decision makingLeadership

Transportation, storage, and distribution managers plan, direct, or coordinate the movement of people and goods.

Most transportation, storage, and distribution managers work full time, and some work more than 40 hours per week.

Transportation, storage, and distribution managers typically need a high school diploma, although some employers prefer or require a bachelor&rsquo;s degree. They also need related work experience to enter the occupation.

Key tasks

  • 1. Supervise the activities of workers engaged in receiving, storing, testing, and shipping products or materials. · AI can do 0%
  • 2. Inspect physical conditions of warehouses, vehicle fleets, or equipment and order testing, maintenance, repairs, or replacements. · AI can do 0%
  • 3. Determine appropriate equipment and staffing levels to load, unload, move, or store materials. · AI can do 0%
  • 4. Plan, organize, or manage the work of subordinate staff to ensure that the work is accomplished in a manner consistent with organizational requirements. · AI can do 0%
  • 5. Plan, develop, or implement warehouse safety and security programs and activities. · AI can do 0%
  • 6. Collaborate with other departments to integrate logistics with business systems or processes, such as customer sales, order management, accounting, or shipping. · AI can do 0%

Tools commonly used

Microsoft Excel · trendingMicrosoft Office software · trendingMicrosoft Outlook · trendingMicrosoft PowerPoint · trendingAutodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D Bentley MicroStation

Work environment

  • E-Mail 5.0/5
  • Telephone Conversations 5.0/5
  • E-Mail 4.9/5
  • Face-to-Face Discussions with Individuals and Within Teams 4.9/5
  • Telephone Conversations 4.9/5
  • Face-to-Face Discussions with Individuals and Within Teams 4.8/5

Who does this work

Median age: 43.6

415K employed · Under 25: 4% · 25–54: 74% · 55+: 22%

Data sources: O*NET 30.2 / OEWS 2024 / ORS 2025 / OOH 2025-08-28 / Projections 2024-34 / CPS 2025 / Anthropic task penetration

Component occupations

Transportation, storage, and distribution managers

11-3071 · 60% weight

Open

Procurement/Purchasing manager

Support bundle: Moderate preparation

Management analysts

13-1111 · 20% weight

Open

Management consultant

Support bundle: Moderate preparation

Management analysts

13-1111 · 20% weight

Open

Business consultant

Support bundle: Moderate preparation

How this score works

The score measures how much this role's tasks overlap with current AI capabilities, adjusted for human-only requirements and local job market demand. This is a structural pressure estimate, not a prediction of job losses. Learn how scores work →