Structural pressure
14%
Low RiskLikely range
7–22%
Baker
Craftsmen & Related Trades Workers · SGD 2,210/mo (51% below median)
This model suggests AI is unlikely to significantly disrupt Baker. low exposure with limited overlap across core tasks.
Why This Score
18% of tasks overlap with current AI
10% human advantage from judgment & presence
27% demand buffer from SG labour market
AI usage 9pp below theoretical exposure
These factors combine multiplicatively — larger bars do not mean proportionally larger contributions to the final score.
Exposure × (1 − Bottleneck) × Market Modifier. Band stability: watch. How this works
Tasks AI can handle
Predictive maintenance scheduling, safety checklist automation, inventory management, and remote monitoring via sensors.
Where humans stay essential
Physical dexterity on job sites, real-time environmental adaptation, operating heavy equipment safely, and handling unexpected on-site conditions.
Skills to focus on
Common tools in similar work
Derived from matched O*NET technology-skill profiles.
Singapore Reality
Current Singapore signal
Labour now, industry footprint, and a directional 12-month read.
The Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers labour market is strong. Vacancy rate is 2.8% and rose by 0.8 points from last quarter. recruitment is running above resignation (2.4% vs 1.5%). employer pressure is low.
Vacancy rate
2.8%
↑ 16.7% year-on-year
Hiring balance
2.4%
recruit vs 1.5% resign
Retrenchment
1.5 per 1,000
Low incidence
Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers data · Q4 2025 full
Top Industries
Where this work is concentrated
Wholesale & Retail Trade
9.0K
↓ cooling
Top 5 vacancy sector
Other Community, Social & Personal Services
3.6K
Administrative & Support Services
2.8K
↓ cooling
Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab (2025 QQ), which can lag the main labour monitor.
12-Month Outlook
Rule-based, not a prediction
What To Do Next
Baker has some offset potential, but it depends on transition pathways holding up in practice and on workers clearing the main switching frictions.
What helps
- Nearby moves and published transition support look reasonably strong.
Easier Switch
Pastry and confectionery maker 67%Underwater diver 61%Butcher, fishmonger and related food preparer 60%Lower Risk
Underwater diver 61%Crane/Hoist operator (excluding port) 58%Excavating/Trench digging machine operator 58%Pastry and confectionery maker
moderate transition · 67% match
Underwater diver
moderate transition · 61% match
Butcher, fishmonger and related food preparer
moderate transition · 60% match
Excavating/Trench digging machine operator
moderate transition · 58% match
Crane/Hoist operator (excluding port)
moderate transition · 58% match
Mover
moderate transition · 58% match
Tailor/Dressmaker
moderate transition · 58% match
Metal heat treating plant operator
moderate transition · 57% match
See how this compares to similar occupations
Compare with... →Evidence
Crosswalk: direct · SSOC 75121
Anthropic: -9pp vs theory
Raw Scores
AIOE -0.385 · θ 0.600 · C-AIOE -0.327
Stability
watch · Optimistic 7% (Low) · Pessimistic 22% (Moderate)
Confidence
86% · Crosswalk 1.00 · Market 0.65 · Fresh 0.84
Wage (SGD/mo)
25th 1,500 · Median 2,210 · 75th 3,083