[ { "ssoc": "12112", "title": "Administration manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6388, "gross_wage_25th": 4569, "gross_wage_75th": 8431, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.5, "employment_thousands": 7.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.039497, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7879, "bottleneck": 0.7219, "displacement_pressure": 0.2191, "demand_resilience": 0.2786, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5948, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8494, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.344, "market_resilience": 0.4945, "market_modifier": 0.7214 }, "net_risk": 0.1581, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2813, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0373, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9466, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.984, "anthropic": 0.9466, "eloundou": 0.7259, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1318, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2085, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0081, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5603, "exposure_v7": 0.7879, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1703, "exposure": 0.7879 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6726, "exposure_p50": 0.7879, "exposure_p90": 0.9091, "net_risk_p10": 0.118, "net_risk_p50": 0.157, "net_risk_p90": 0.2015, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.4462, "theta": 0.7073, "c_aioe": 1.1252, "log_wage_spread": 0.6126, "wage_position": 0.5993 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.4462, "theta": 0.7073, "c_aioe": 1.1252, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "12221", "title": "Advertising/Public relations manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8514, "gross_wage_25th": 5943, "gross_wage_75th": 13333, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.6, "employment_thousands": 8.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.045598, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.718, "bottleneck": 0.6961, "displacement_pressure": 0.2182, "demand_resilience": 0.4504, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.12, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.586, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8222, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.582, "market_resilience": 0.5844, "market_modifier": 0.5496 }, "net_risk": 0.1199, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.292, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1368, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7322, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "exact", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.869, "anthropic": 0.7322, "eloundou": 0.6726, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8862, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9993, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.108, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1622, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0301, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6748, "exposure_v7": 0.718, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1346, "exposure": 0.718 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6558, "exposure_p50": 0.718, "exposure_p90": 0.7834, "net_risk_p10": 0.0948, "net_risk_p50": 0.1192, "net_risk_p90": 0.145, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.294, "theta": 0.7044, "c_aioe": 1.0106, "log_wage_spread": 0.808, "wage_position": 0.7988 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1222" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.294, "theta": 0.7044, "c_aioe": 1.0106, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1222" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13430", "title": "Aged care services manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 7759, "gross_wage_25th": 6091, "gross_wage_75th": 9997, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.039806, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3433, "bottleneck": 0.7389, "displacement_pressure": 0.0897, "demand_resilience": 0.2673, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5853, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8201, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3084, "market_resilience": 0.4745, "market_modifier": 0.7327 }, "net_risk": 0.0657, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1204, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1622, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2986, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.5251, "ilo": 0.4171 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0502, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.09, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0157, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5381, "exposure_v7": 0.3433, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0705, "exposure": 0.3433 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2466, "exposure_p50": 0.3433, "exposure_p90": 0.4424, "net_risk_p10": 0.0432, "net_risk_p50": 0.065, "net_risk_p90": 0.0902, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1213, "theta": 0.7093, "c_aioe": -0.0942, "log_wage_spread": 0.4955, "wage_position": 0.728 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1343" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1213, "theta": 0.7093, "c_aioe": -0.0942, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1343" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "14330", "title": "Arts and cultural centre manager (including gallery and museum manager)", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 4550, "gross_wage_25th": 3800, "gross_wage_75th": 6650, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.075538, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5724, "bottleneck": 0.9447, "displacement_pressure": 0.0316, "demand_resilience": 0.2495, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2616, "market_resilience": 0.4421, "market_modifier": 0.7505 }, "net_risk": 0.0237, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2391, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1662, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8043, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6381, "anthropic": 0.8043, "eloundou": 0.2657 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6624, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6225, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0539, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0237, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5049, "exposure_v7": 0.5724, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0253, "exposure": 0.5724 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3866, "exposure_p50": 0.5724, "exposure_p90": 0.7521, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0227, "net_risk_p90": 0.0525, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8927, "theta": 0.7839, "c_aioe": 0.6263, "log_wage_spread": 0.5596, "wage_position": 0.4269 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1433" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8927, "theta": 0.7839, "c_aioe": 0.6263, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1433" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "14322", "title": "Attractions manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6195, "gross_wage_25th": 4300, "gross_wage_75th": 8080, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.088142, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4133, "bottleneck": 0.8904, "displacement_pressure": 0.0453, "demand_resilience": 0.2885, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6193, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9247, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3512, "market_resilience": 0.512, "market_modifier": 0.7115 }, "net_risk": 0.0322, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1884, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0192, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4042, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4234, "anthropic": 0.4042 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5174, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.017, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0547, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0178, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5812, "exposure_v7": 0.4133, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0349, "exposure": 0.4133 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4042, "exposure_p50": 0.4133, "exposure_p90": 0.4234, "net_risk_p10": 0.016, "net_risk_p50": 0.0322, "net_risk_p90": 0.0496, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2402, "theta": 0.7515, "c_aioe": 0.1763, "log_wage_spread": 0.6308, "wage_position": 0.5812 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1432" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2402, "theta": 0.7515, "c_aioe": 0.1763, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1432" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "12113", "title": "Audit manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 10041, "gross_wage_25th": 7692, "gross_wage_75th": 14166, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.3, "employment_thousands": 9.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.049518, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7879, "bottleneck": 0.7219, "displacement_pressure": 0.2191, "demand_resilience": 0.3153, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7448, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5784, "market_resilience": 0.5679, "market_modifier": 0.6847 }, "net_risk": 0.15, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.323, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0373, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9466, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.984, "anthropic": 0.9466, "eloundou": 0.7259, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1275, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1979, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5981, "exposure_v7": 0.7879, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1631, "exposure": 0.7879 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6726, "exposure_p50": 0.7879, "exposure_p90": 0.9091, "net_risk_p10": 0.1123, "net_risk_p50": 0.1488, "net_risk_p90": 0.1915, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.4462, "theta": 0.7073, "c_aioe": 1.1252, "log_wage_spread": 0.6107, "wage_position": 0.9421 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.4462, "theta": 0.7073, "c_aioe": 1.1252, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "12111", "title": "Budgeting and financial accounting manager (including financial controller)", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 9203, "gross_wage_25th": 6550, "gross_wage_75th": 14200, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.9, "employment_thousands": 8.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.047407, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7879, "bottleneck": 0.7219, "displacement_pressure": 0.2191, "demand_resilience": 0.3281, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5662, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7615, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6292, "market_resilience": 0.5914, "market_modifier": 0.6719 }, "net_risk": 0.1472, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.3364, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0373, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9466, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.984, "anthropic": 0.9466, "eloundou": 0.7259, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1251, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1943, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0028, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6195, "exposure_v7": 0.7879, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1608, "exposure": 0.7879 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.67, "exposure_p50": 0.7879, "exposure_p90": 0.9091, "net_risk_p10": 0.1086, "net_risk_p50": 0.1453, "net_risk_p90": 0.1858, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.4462, "theta": 0.7073, "c_aioe": 1.1252, "log_wage_spread": 0.7738, "wage_position": 0.8634 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.4462, "theta": 0.7073, "c_aioe": 1.1252, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "12212", "title": "Business development manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8669, "gross_wage_25th": 5957, "gross_wage_75th": 13189, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046011, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7738, "bottleneck": 0.7291, "displacement_pressure": 0.2096, "demand_resilience": 0.3064, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5302, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6506, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5891, "market_resilience": 0.5538, "market_modifier": 0.6936 }, "net_risk": 0.1454, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.3124, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0499, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.836, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8859, "anthropic": 0.836, "eloundou": 0.7406, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.857, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9725, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1229, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1939, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0046, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5719, "exposure_v7": 0.7738, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1574, "exposure": 0.7738 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7145, "exposure_p50": 0.7738, "exposure_p90": 0.8361, "net_risk_p10": 0.1139, "net_risk_p50": 0.1448, "net_risk_p90": 0.1803, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "log_wage_spread": 0.7948, "wage_position": 0.8133 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "12242", "title": "Call centre manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 5968, "gross_wage_25th": 4114, "gross_wage_75th": 8310, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.2, "employment_thousands": 7.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.038176, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7109, "bottleneck": 0.4572, "displacement_pressure": 0.3859, "demand_resilience": 0.2794, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5683, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7678, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3939, "market_resilience": 0.4985, "market_modifier": 0.7206 }, "net_risk": 0.2781, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1621, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1357, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7569, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6212, "anthropic": 0.7569, "eloundou": 0.749 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7646, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7011, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2604, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3423, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0219, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5505, "exposure_v7": 0.7109, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2993, "exposure": 0.7109 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6649, "exposure_p50": 0.7109, "exposure_p90": 0.7543, "net_risk_p10": 0.2419, "net_risk_p50": 0.2768, "net_risk_p90": 0.3143, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8893, "theta": 0.6693, "c_aioe": 0.7257, "log_wage_spread": 0.7031, "wage_position": 0.5599 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1224" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8893, "theta": 0.6693, "c_aioe": 0.7257, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1224" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "14122", "title": "Catering manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 4697, "gross_wage_25th": 3675, "gross_wage_75th": 6160, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.076749, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.438, "bottleneck": 0.4742, "displacement_pressure": 0.2303, "demand_resilience": 0.2507, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5904, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8358, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2175, "market_resilience": 0.4412, "market_modifier": 0.7493 }, "net_risk": 0.1726, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0916, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1257, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3913, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2656, "anthropic": 0.3913, "eloundou": 0.6276, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7814, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7899, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1549, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2161, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0226, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5211, "exposure_v7": 0.438, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1846, "exposure": 0.438 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.35, "exposure_p50": 0.438, "exposure_p90": 0.5244, "net_risk_p10": 0.1352, "net_risk_p50": 0.1708, "net_risk_p90": 0.2101, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1894, "theta": 0.6724, "c_aioe": -0.154, "log_wage_spread": 0.5165, "wage_position": 0.4407 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1894, "theta": 0.6724, "c_aioe": -0.154, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "13301", "title": "Chief information officer/Chief technology officer/Chief security officer", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 15258, "gross_wage_25th": 10949, "gross_wage_75th": 20000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.9, "employment_thousands": 6.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.05582, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.478, "bottleneck": 0.9581, "displacement_pressure": 0.02, "demand_resilience": 0.4414, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5826, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8117, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7406, "market_resilience": 0.6458, "market_modifier": 0.5586 }, "net_risk": 0.0112, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2958, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2073, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4674, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6747, "anthropic": 0.4674, "eloundou": 0.0554, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7816, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.761, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0305, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0112, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7078, "exposure_v7": 0.478, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0126, "exposure": 0.478 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3117, "exposure_p50": 0.478, "exposure_p90": 0.6392, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0104, "net_risk_p90": 0.0286, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9434, "theta": 0.8025, "c_aioe": 0.6443, "log_wage_spread": 0.6025, "wage_position": 1.4315 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1330" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9434, "theta": 0.8025, "c_aioe": 0.6443, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1330" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "11203", "title": "Chief operating officer/General Manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 12750, "gross_wage_25th": 8470, "gross_wage_75th": 16100, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 17.9, "employment_thousands": 17.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "11", "employment_family_total_thousands": 52.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.340298, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6278, "bottleneck": 0.9412, "displacement_pressure": 0.0369, "demand_resilience": 0.3463, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5656, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7594, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7201, "market_resilience": 0.6274, "market_modifier": 0.6537 }, "net_risk": 0.0241, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.3707, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1743, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7055, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5312, "anthropic": 0.7055, "eloundou": 0.6987, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.001, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0521, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0241, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6397, "exposure_v7": 0.6278, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0265, "exposure": 0.6278 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.584, "exposure_p50": 0.6278, "exposure_p90": 0.6697, "net_risk_p10": 0.0008, "net_risk_p50": 0.0243, "net_risk_p90": 0.0485, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5749, "theta": 0.7813, "c_aioe": 0.4048, "log_wage_spread": 0.6423, "wage_position": 1.1962 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1120" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5749, "theta": 0.7813, "c_aioe": 0.4048, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1120" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13492", "title": "Community, partnership and relations manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6250, "gross_wage_25th": 5140, "gross_wage_75th": 7585, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.035726, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6473, "bottleneck": 0.7932, "displacement_pressure": 0.1338, "demand_resilience": 0.2331, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5737, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7845, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1586, "market_resilience": 0.4077, "market_modifier": 0.7669 }, "net_risk": 0.1026, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2093, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1153, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5692, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6845, "anthropic": 0.5692, "eloundou": 0.7741, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0763, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1412, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0474, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4969, "exposure_v7": 0.6473, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1093, "exposure": 0.6473 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5967, "exposure_p50": 0.6473, "exposure_p90": 0.6992, "net_risk_p10": 0.0725, "net_risk_p50": 0.1024, "net_risk_p90": 0.1324, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "log_wage_spread": 0.3891, "wage_position": 0.5864 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1349" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1349" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "11202", "title": "Company director", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 11000, "gross_wage_25th": 5200, "gross_wage_75th": 16602, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 16.6, "employment_thousands": 16.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "11", "employment_family_total_thousands": 52.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.316083, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6278, "bottleneck": 0.9412, "displacement_pressure": 0.0369, "demand_resilience": 0.369, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5717, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7782, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8195, "market_resilience": 0.6708, "market_modifier": 0.631 }, "net_risk": 0.0233, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.3964, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1743, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7055, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5312, "anthropic": 0.7055, "eloundou": 0.6987, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0005, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0485, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0233, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6717, "exposure_v7": 0.6278, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0258, "exposure": 0.6278 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.584, "exposure_p50": 0.6278, "exposure_p90": 0.6697, "net_risk_p10": 0.0001, "net_risk_p50": 0.0232, "net_risk_p90": 0.0458, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5749, "theta": 0.7813, "c_aioe": 0.4048, "log_wage_spread": 1.1609, "wage_position": 1.032 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1120" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5749, "theta": 0.7813, "c_aioe": 0.4048, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1120" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13230", "title": "Construction manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 7600, "gross_wage_25th": 5200, "gross_wage_75th": 11154, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.039396, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.588, "bottleneck": 0.9474, "displacement_pressure": 0.0309, "demand_resilience": 0.292, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5431, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6904, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5, "market_resilience": 0.5259, "market_modifier": 0.708 }, "net_risk": 0.0219, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.293, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0558, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.667, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7228, "anthropic": 0.667, "eloundou": 0.5575, "ilo": 0.4171 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0003, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0505, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0219, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5532, "exposure_v7": 0.588, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0236, "exposure": 0.588 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5135, "exposure_p50": 0.588, "exposure_p90": 0.6665, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0216, "net_risk_p90": 0.0455, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0291, "theta": 0.7858, "c_aioe": 0.72, "log_wage_spread": 0.7631, "wage_position": 0.713 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1323" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0291, "theta": 0.7858, "c_aioe": 0.72, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1323" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "12241", "title": "Customer service manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8470, "gross_wage_25th": 5925, "gross_wage_75th": 13015, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.6, "employment_thousands": 8.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.04548, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7109, "bottleneck": 0.4572, "displacement_pressure": 0.3859, "demand_resilience": 0.3124, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5588, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7385, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5722, "market_resilience": 0.5641, "market_modifier": 0.6876 }, "net_risk": 0.2653, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1834, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1357, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7569, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6212, "anthropic": 0.7569, "eloundou": 0.749 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7646, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7011, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2498, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3311, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0347, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5853, "exposure_v7": 0.7109, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2879, "exposure": 0.7109 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6649, "exposure_p50": 0.7109, "exposure_p90": 0.7543, "net_risk_p10": 0.2313, "net_risk_p50": 0.2646, "net_risk_p90": 0.2998, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8893, "theta": 0.6693, "c_aioe": 0.7257, "log_wage_spread": 0.7869, "wage_position": 0.7947 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1224" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8893, "theta": 0.6693, "c_aioe": 0.7257, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1224" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "14391", "title": "Event manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 5960, "gross_wage_25th": 4820, "gross_wage_75th": 7920, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.086454, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5997, "bottleneck": 0.9367, "displacement_pressure": 0.038, "demand_resilience": 0.2535, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5928, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8431, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2259, "market_resilience": 0.446, "market_modifier": 0.7465 }, "net_risk": 0.0283, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2506, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1159, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6551, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5392, "anthropic": 0.6551 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7625, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9801, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0017, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0605, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0217, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5277, "exposure_v7": 0.5997, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0303, "exposure": 0.5997 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5392, "exposure_p50": 0.5997, "exposure_p90": 0.6551, "net_risk_p10": 0.0023, "net_risk_p50": 0.028, "net_risk_p90": 0.0539, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5923, "theta": 0.7782, "c_aioe": 0.4189, "log_wage_spread": 0.4966, "wage_position": 0.5592 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1439" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5923, "theta": 0.7782, "c_aioe": 0.4189, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1439" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "13463", "title": "Financial risk manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 12924, "gross_wage_25th": 9275, "gross_wage_75th": 18658, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.3, "employment_thousands": 6.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.051374, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6759, "bottleneck": 0.5561, "displacement_pressure": 0.3, "demand_resilience": 0.348, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5438, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6925, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7692, "market_resilience": 0.6339, "market_modifier": 0.652 }, "net_risk": 0.1956, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2383, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5829, "ilo": 0.7599 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8105, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.18, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2475, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0456, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6268, "exposure_v7": 0.6759, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2144, "exposure": 0.6759 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5829, "exposure_p50": 0.6759, "exposure_p90": 0.7599, "net_risk_p10": 0.1606, "net_risk_p50": 0.1945, "net_risk_p90": 0.2308, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7398, "theta": 0.6821, "c_aioe": 0.5943, "log_wage_spread": 0.699, "wage_position": 1.2126 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1346" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7398, "theta": 0.6821, "c_aioe": 0.5943, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1346" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "13461", "title": "Financial services manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8750, "gross_wage_25th": 5380, "gross_wage_75th": 16569, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042271, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6759, "bottleneck": 0.5561, "displacement_pressure": 0.3, "demand_resilience": 0.3123, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.501, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5607, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6711, "market_resilience": 0.569, "market_modifier": 0.6877 }, "net_risk": 0.2063, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2139, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5829, "ilo": 0.7599 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8105, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1905, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2586, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0563, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5621, "exposure_v7": 0.6759, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2232, "exposure": 0.6759 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5829, "exposure_p50": 0.6759, "exposure_p90": 0.7599, "net_risk_p10": 0.1691, "net_risk_p50": 0.2041, "net_risk_p90": 0.2437, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7398, "theta": 0.6821, "c_aioe": 0.5943, "log_wage_spread": 1.1248, "wage_position": 0.8209 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1346" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7398, "theta": 0.6821, "c_aioe": 0.5943, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1346" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "14123", "title": "Food and beverage operations manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 5286, "gross_wage_25th": 3839, "gross_wage_75th": 8364, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.5, "employment_thousands": 3.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.081419, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.438, "bottleneck": 0.4742, "displacement_pressure": 0.2303, "demand_resilience": 0.2939, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5904, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8358, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4251, "market_resilience": 0.5243, "market_modifier": 0.7061 }, "net_risk": 0.1626, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1089, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1257, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3913, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2656, "anthropic": 0.3913, "eloundou": 0.6276, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7514, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7899, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1472, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2058, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0126, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5801, "exposure_v7": 0.438, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.176, "exposure": 0.438 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.35, "exposure_p50": 0.438, "exposure_p90": 0.5244, "net_risk_p10": 0.1269, "net_risk_p50": 0.1607, "net_risk_p90": 0.1988, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1894, "theta": 0.6724, "c_aioe": -0.154, "log_wage_spread": 0.7787, "wage_position": 0.4959 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1894, "theta": 0.6724, "c_aioe": -0.154, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "13420", "title": "Health services manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 9839, "gross_wage_25th": 6262, "gross_wage_75th": 13690, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.5, "employment_thousands": 5.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.044825, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5965, "bottleneck": 0.5865, "displacement_pressure": 0.2467, "demand_resilience": 0.3556, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6098, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8954, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6827, "market_resilience": 0.6389, "market_modifier": 0.6444 }, "net_risk": 0.1589, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2235, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3011, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5474, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8485, "anthropic": 0.5474, "eloundou": 0.5492, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1453, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2059, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0089, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.681, "exposure_v7": 0.5965, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1757, "exposure": 0.5965 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5041, "exposure_p50": 0.5965, "exposure_p90": 0.6936, "net_risk_p10": 0.1268, "net_risk_p50": 0.1566, "net_risk_p90": 0.1947, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2603, "theta": 0.6861, "c_aioe": 1.0074, "log_wage_spread": 0.7822, "wage_position": 0.9231 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1342" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2603, "theta": 0.6861, "c_aioe": 1.0074, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1342" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "14110", "title": "Hotel operations/Lodging services manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 4970, "gross_wage_25th": 4019, "gross_wage_75th": 7020, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.078948, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5574, "bottleneck": 0.893, "displacement_pressure": 0.0596, "demand_resilience": 0.2603, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5914, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8389, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.262, "market_resilience": 0.4597, "market_modifier": 0.7397 }, "net_risk": 0.0441, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2288, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2164, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6798, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4635, "anthropic": 0.6798, "eloundou": 0.5669, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8239, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0205, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0714, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0059, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5348, "exposure_v7": 0.5574, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0473, "exposure": 0.5574 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5025, "exposure_p50": 0.5574, "exposure_p90": 0.6099, "net_risk_p10": 0.0207, "net_risk_p50": 0.0435, "net_risk_p90": 0.0678, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4022, "theta": 0.7542, "c_aioe": 0.2941, "log_wage_spread": 0.5577, "wage_position": 0.4663 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1411" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4022, "theta": 0.7542, "c_aioe": 0.2941, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1411" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "13304", "title": "ICT service manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 9503, "gross_wage_25th": 7280, "gross_wage_75th": 13226, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.044053, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.478, "bottleneck": 0.9581, "displacement_pressure": 0.02, "demand_resilience": 0.3932, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5703, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7741, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5285, "market_resilience": 0.5536, "market_modifier": 0.6068 }, "net_risk": 0.0122, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2536, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2073, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4674, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6747, "anthropic": 0.4674, "eloundou": 0.0554, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7816, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.761, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0323, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0122, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6411, "exposure_v7": 0.478, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0134, "exposure": 0.478 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3117, "exposure_p50": 0.478, "exposure_p90": 0.6392, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0112, "net_risk_p90": 0.0303, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9434, "theta": 0.8025, "c_aioe": 0.6443, "log_wage_spread": 0.5971, "wage_position": 0.8916 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1330" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9434, "theta": 0.8025, "c_aioe": 0.6443, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1330" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "12122", "title": "Industrial relations manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 9176, "gross_wage_25th": 6490, "gross_wage_75th": 14997, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.9, "employment_thousands": 8.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.047337, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6853, "bottleneck": 0.6881, "displacement_pressure": 0.2138, "demand_resilience": 0.3329, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5649, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7573, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6551, "market_resilience": 0.601, "market_modifier": 0.6671 }, "net_risk": 0.1426, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2833, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0382, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7194, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7576, "anthropic": 0.7194, "eloundou": 0.818, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1248, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1891, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0074, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6247, "exposure_v7": 0.6853, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.156, "exposure": 0.6853 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5957, "exposure_p50": 0.6853, "exposure_p90": 0.7777, "net_risk_p10": 0.1096, "net_risk_p50": 0.1415, "net_risk_p90": 0.1762, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0599, "theta": 0.7038, "c_aioe": 0.8284, "log_wage_spread": 0.8376, "wage_position": 0.8609 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1212" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0599, "theta": 0.7038, "c_aioe": 0.8284, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1212" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13462", "title": "Insurance services manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 10466, "gross_wage_25th": 6657, "gross_wage_75th": 16338, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046231, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6759, "bottleneck": 0.5561, "displacement_pressure": 0.3, "demand_resilience": 0.3361, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5146, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6025, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7638, "market_resilience": 0.6143, "market_modifier": 0.6639 }, "net_risk": 0.1992, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2309, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5829, "ilo": 0.7599 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8105, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1812, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2506, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0492, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5967, "exposure_v7": 0.6759, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2171, "exposure": 0.6759 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5829, "exposure_p50": 0.6759, "exposure_p90": 0.7599, "net_risk_p10": 0.1631, "net_risk_p50": 0.1983, "net_risk_p90": 0.2358, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7398, "theta": 0.6821, "c_aioe": 0.5943, "log_wage_spread": 0.8978, "wage_position": 0.9819 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1346" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7398, "theta": 0.6821, "c_aioe": 0.5943, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1346" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "12192", "title": "Landscape manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 4300, "gross_wage_25th": 2800, "gross_wage_75th": 6000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.1, "employment_thousands": 6.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032405, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6729, "bottleneck": 0.7932, "displacement_pressure": 0.1391, "demand_resilience": 0.335, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5411, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6841, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4015, "market_resilience": 0.4853, "market_modifier": 0.665 }, "net_risk": 0.0925, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.259, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1153, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5692, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6845, "anthropic": 0.5692, "eloundou": 0.7741, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0705, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1317, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0425, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5659, "exposure_v7": 0.6729, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1004, "exposure": 0.6729 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.622, "exposure_p50": 0.6729, "exposure_p90": 0.725, "net_risk_p10": 0.0661, "net_risk_p50": 0.0925, "net_risk_p90": 0.1188, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "log_wage_spread": 0.7621, "wage_position": 0.4034 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1219" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1219" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "11201", "title": "Managing director/Chief executive officer", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 13000, "gross_wage_25th": 6065, "gross_wage_75th": 20000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 18.1, "employment_thousands": 18.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "11", "employment_family_total_thousands": 52.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.343619, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6278, "bottleneck": 0.9412, "displacement_pressure": 0.0369, "demand_resilience": 0.3906, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5866, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8243, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9055, "market_resilience": 0.7142, "market_modifier": 0.6094 }, "net_risk": 0.0225, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.422, "augmentation_band": "moderate", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1743, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7055, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5312, "anthropic": 0.7055, "eloundou": 0.6987, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0011, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0481, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0225, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6924, "exposure_v7": 0.6278, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0251, "exposure": 0.6278 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.584, "exposure_p50": 0.6278, "exposure_p90": 0.6697, "net_risk_p10": 0.0002, "net_risk_p50": 0.0226, "net_risk_p90": 0.0448, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5749, "theta": 0.7813, "c_aioe": 0.4048, "log_wage_spread": 1.1932, "wage_position": 1.2197 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1120" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5749, "theta": 0.7813, "c_aioe": 0.4048, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1120" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13210", "title": "Manufacturing manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8571, "gross_wage_25th": 6126, "gross_wage_75th": 11110, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.041837, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6284, "bottleneck": 0.9474, "displacement_pressure": 0.033, "demand_resilience": 0.2865, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5601, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7427, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4421, "market_resilience": 0.5129, "market_modifier": 0.7135 }, "net_risk": 0.0236, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.3054, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0558, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.667, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7228, "anthropic": 0.667, "eloundou": 0.5575, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0527, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0236, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.557, "exposure_v7": 0.6284, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0254, "exposure": 0.6284 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5891, "exposure_p50": 0.6284, "exposure_p90": 0.6685, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0231, "net_risk_p90": 0.0494, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0291, "theta": 0.7858, "c_aioe": 0.72, "log_wage_spread": 0.5953, "wage_position": 0.8041 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1321" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0291, "theta": 0.7858, "c_aioe": 0.72, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1321" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "12222", "title": "Marketing manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8841, "gross_wage_25th": 6000, "gross_wage_75th": 13061, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.8, "employment_thousands": 8.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046465, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.718, "bottleneck": 0.6961, "displacement_pressure": 0.2182, "demand_resilience": 0.3891, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.571, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7762, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6025, "market_resilience": 0.5836, "market_modifier": 0.6109 }, "net_risk": 0.1333, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2917, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1368, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7322, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.869, "anthropic": 0.7322, "eloundou": 0.6726, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8712, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9993, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1184, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1808, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0167, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6644, "exposure_v7": 0.718, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1478, "exposure": 0.718 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6558, "exposure_p50": 0.718, "exposure_p90": 0.7834, "net_risk_p10": 0.1065, "net_risk_p50": 0.1335, "net_risk_p90": 0.1621, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.294, "theta": 0.7044, "c_aioe": 1.0106, "log_wage_spread": 0.7779, "wage_position": 0.8295 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1222" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.294, "theta": 0.7044, "c_aioe": 1.0106, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1222" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "13493", "title": "Media and broadcasting manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6010, "gross_wage_25th": 4745, "gross_wage_75th": 8074, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.035033, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6473, "bottleneck": 0.7932, "displacement_pressure": 0.1338, "demand_resilience": 0.2171, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4806, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4979, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.254, "market_resilience": 0.3899, "market_modifier": 0.7829 }, "net_risk": 0.1048, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2002, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1153, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5692, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6845, "anthropic": 0.5692, "eloundou": 0.7741, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.078, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.144, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0452, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4165, "exposure_v7": 0.6473, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1104, "exposure": 0.6473 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5967, "exposure_p50": 0.6473, "exposure_p90": 0.6992, "net_risk_p10": 0.0751, "net_risk_p50": 0.1042, "net_risk_p90": 0.1348, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "log_wage_spread": 0.5316, "wage_position": 0.5639 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1349" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1349" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "12214", "title": "Merchandising/Category manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8746, "gross_wage_25th": 6000, "gross_wage_75th": 13320, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046215, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7738, "bottleneck": 0.7291, "displacement_pressure": 0.2096, "demand_resilience": 0.3128, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5418, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6862, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6007, "market_resilience": 0.5653, "market_modifier": 0.6872 }, "net_risk": 0.1441, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.3189, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0499, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.836, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8859, "anthropic": 0.836, "eloundou": 0.7406, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.857, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9725, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1212, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1921, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0059, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5842, "exposure_v7": 0.7738, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1563, "exposure": 0.7738 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7145, "exposure_p50": 0.7738, "exposure_p90": 0.8361, "net_risk_p10": 0.1116, "net_risk_p50": 0.1433, "net_risk_p90": 0.1779, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "log_wage_spread": 0.7975, "wage_position": 0.8206 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13303", "title": "Network, communications and infrastructure manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 10750, "gross_wage_25th": 8493, "gross_wage_75th": 14724, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.7, "employment_thousands": 5.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046854, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.478, "bottleneck": 0.9581, "displacement_pressure": 0.02, "demand_resilience": 0.3996, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5669, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7636, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5651, "market_resilience": 0.5662, "market_modifier": 0.6004 }, "net_risk": 0.012, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2593, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2073, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4674, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6747, "anthropic": 0.4674, "eloundou": 0.0554, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7816, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.761, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0314, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.012, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6479, "exposure_v7": 0.478, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0133, "exposure": 0.478 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3117, "exposure_p50": 0.4914, "exposure_p90": 0.6392, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.011, "net_risk_p90": 0.0297, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9434, "theta": 0.8025, "c_aioe": 0.6443, "log_wage_spread": 0.5502, "wage_position": 1.0086 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1330" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9434, "theta": 0.8025, "c_aioe": 0.6443, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1330" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "12215", "title": "Online sales channel manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 7614, "gross_wage_25th": 5731, "gross_wage_75th": 12500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.1, "employment_thousands": 8.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.04312, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7738, "bottleneck": 0.7291, "displacement_pressure": 0.2096, "demand_resilience": 0.2893, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5282, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6444, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5125, "market_resilience": 0.5219, "market_modifier": 0.7107 }, "net_risk": 0.149, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2944, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0499, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.836, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8859, "anthropic": 0.836, "eloundou": 0.7406, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.857, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9725, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1276, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1958, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.001, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5445, "exposure_v7": 0.7738, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1604, "exposure": 0.7738 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7145, "exposure_p50": 0.7738, "exposure_p90": 0.8361, "net_risk_p10": 0.1154, "net_risk_p50": 0.1485, "net_risk_p90": 0.1838, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "log_wage_spread": 0.7798, "wage_position": 0.7144 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "12121", "title": "Personnel/Human resource manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8197, "gross_wage_25th": 5777, "gross_wage_75th": 12919, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.4, "employment_thousands": 8.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.044741, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6853, "bottleneck": 0.6881, "displacement_pressure": 0.2138, "demand_resilience": 0.3139, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5676, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7657, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5588, "market_resilience": 0.5641, "market_modifier": 0.6861 }, "net_risk": 0.1467, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.266, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0382, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7194, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7576, "anthropic": 0.7194, "eloundou": 0.818, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1266, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1921, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0033, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6008, "exposure_v7": 0.6853, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1595, "exposure": 0.6853 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5957, "exposure_p50": 0.6853, "exposure_p90": 0.7777, "net_risk_p10": 0.1139, "net_risk_p50": 0.1461, "net_risk_p90": 0.1802, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0599, "theta": 0.7038, "c_aioe": 0.8284, "log_wage_spread": 0.8048, "wage_position": 0.7691 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1212" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0599, "theta": 0.7038, "c_aioe": 0.8284, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1212" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.65, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.7, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "12131", "title": "Policy manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 12053, "gross_wage_25th": 9098, "gross_wage_75th": 15278, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 10.2, "employment_thousands": 10.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.054253, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4489, "bottleneck": 0.9216, "displacement_pressure": 0.0352, "demand_resilience": 0.4197, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6077, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8891, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5909, "market_resilience": 0.601, "market_modifier": 0.5803 }, "net_risk": 0.0204, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2486, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1893, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3241, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5134, "anthropic": 0.3241, "eloundou": 0.5042, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0056, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0398, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0204, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6922, "exposure_v7": 0.4489, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0229, "exposure": 0.4489 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4025, "exposure_p50": 0.4489, "exposure_p90": 0.4973, "net_risk_p10": 0.0056, "net_risk_p50": 0.0203, "net_risk_p90": 0.0356, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5087, "theta": 0.7716, "c_aioe": 0.3631, "log_wage_spread": 0.5184, "wage_position": 1.1308 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1213" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5087, "theta": 0.7716, "c_aioe": 0.3631, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1213" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13245", "title": "Port/Shipping operations manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8695, "gross_wage_25th": 7382, "gross_wage_75th": 10894, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042138, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6461, "bottleneck": 0.836, "displacement_pressure": 0.1059, "demand_resilience": 0.2754, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6145, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.91, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.295, "market_resilience": 0.4867, "market_modifier": 0.7246 }, "net_risk": 0.0768, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2629, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.005, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6324, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6275, "anthropic": 0.6324, "eloundou": 0.7573, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.053, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1139, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0268, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5643, "exposure_v7": 0.6461, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0827, "exposure": 0.6461 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6019, "exposure_p50": 0.6461, "exposure_p90": 0.6935, "net_risk_p10": 0.0501, "net_risk_p50": 0.0766, "net_risk_p90": 0.1039, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "log_wage_spread": 0.3892, "wage_position": 0.8158 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "13244", "title": "Postal service manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 7910, "gross_wage_25th": 5550, "gross_wage_75th": 12414, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.040191, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6461, "bottleneck": 0.836, "displacement_pressure": 0.1059, "demand_resilience": 0.3271, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6145, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.91, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5401, "market_resilience": 0.5848, "market_modifier": 0.6729 }, "net_risk": 0.0713, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.3158, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.005, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6324, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6275, "anthropic": 0.6324, "eloundou": 0.7573, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0506, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1053, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0213, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6397, "exposure_v7": 0.6461, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0781, "exposure": 0.6461 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6001, "exposure_p50": 0.6461, "exposure_p90": 0.6935, "net_risk_p10": 0.0452, "net_risk_p50": 0.0706, "net_risk_p90": 0.0971, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "log_wage_spread": 0.805, "wage_position": 0.7421 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "12191", "title": "Premises and facilities maintenance manager (excluding building security manager)", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6542, "gross_wage_25th": 5000, "gross_wage_75th": 8704, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.5, "employment_thousands": 7.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.03997, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6729, "bottleneck": 0.7932, "displacement_pressure": 0.1391, "demand_resilience": 0.3314, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.588, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8285, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3021, "market_resilience": 0.4737, "market_modifier": 0.6686 }, "net_risk": 0.093, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2528, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1153, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5692, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6845, "anthropic": 0.5692, "eloundou": 0.7741, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.072, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1345, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.043, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.583, "exposure_v7": 0.6729, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1011, "exposure": 0.6729 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.622, "exposure_p50": 0.6729, "exposure_p90": 0.725, "net_risk_p10": 0.067, "net_risk_p50": 0.0924, "net_risk_p90": 0.1197, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "log_wage_spread": 0.5543, "wage_position": 0.6138 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1219" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1219" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13410", "title": "Pre-school education manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6080, "gross_wage_25th": 2749, "gross_wage_75th": 8434, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.035237, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3278, "bottleneck": 0.7389, "displacement_pressure": 0.0856, "demand_resilience": 0.3248, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6206, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9289, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5205, "market_resilience": 0.5806, "market_modifier": 0.6752 }, "net_risk": 0.0578, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1406, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1622, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2986, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.5251, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0449, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0811, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0078, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6354, "exposure_v7": 0.3278, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0632, "exposure": 0.3278 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2313, "exposure_p50": 0.3278, "exposure_p90": 0.4267, "net_risk_p10": 0.0382, "net_risk_p50": 0.0567, "net_risk_p90": 0.0791, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1213, "theta": 0.7093, "c_aioe": -0.0942, "log_wage_spread": 1.121, "wage_position": 0.5704 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1341" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1213, "theta": 0.7093, "c_aioe": -0.0942, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1341" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "13242", "title": "Procurement/Purchasing manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8367, "gross_wage_25th": 6000, "gross_wage_75th": 12248, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5, "employment_thousands": 5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.041336, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6461, "bottleneck": 0.836, "displacement_pressure": 0.1059, "demand_resilience": 0.3016, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5574, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7343, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5241, "market_resilience": 0.5441, "market_modifier": 0.6984 }, "net_risk": 0.074, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2939, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.005, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6324, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6275, "anthropic": 0.6324, "eloundou": 0.7573, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0518, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1082, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.024, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.568, "exposure_v7": 0.6461, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.08, "exposure": 0.6461 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6001, "exposure_p50": 0.6461, "exposure_p90": 0.6935, "net_risk_p10": 0.048, "net_risk_p50": 0.0736, "net_risk_p90": 0.1007, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "log_wage_spread": 0.7136, "wage_position": 0.785 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "13100", "title": "Production manager in agriculture and fisheries", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6930, "gross_wage_25th": 5580, "gross_wage_75th": 10389, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.6, "employment_thousands": 4.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.037619, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2105, "bottleneck": 0.9332, "displacement_pressure": 0.0141, "demand_resilience": 0.2776, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.573, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7824, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3761, "market_resilience": 0.4943, "market_modifier": 0.7224 }, "net_risk": 0.0102, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0971, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1551, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2914, "anthropic": 0.1364 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8124, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0017, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0214, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0102, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5516, "exposure_v7": 0.2105, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0109, "exposure": 0.2105 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1364, "exposure_p50": 0.2105, "exposure_p90": 0.2914, "net_risk_p10": 0.0013, "net_risk_p50": 0.0097, "net_risk_p90": 0.02, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1444, "theta": 0.776, "c_aioe": -0.1024, "log_wage_spread": 0.6216, "wage_position": 0.6502 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1310" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1444, "theta": 0.776, "c_aioe": -0.1024, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1310" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "13292", "title": "Quality control/assurance manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 9100, "gross_wage_25th": 6174, "gross_wage_75th": 14094, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.043108, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5912, "bottleneck": 0.8583, "displacement_pressure": 0.0838, "demand_resilience": 0.3255, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5506, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7134, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6471, "market_resilience": 0.5892, "market_modifier": 0.6745 }, "net_risk": 0.0565, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2989, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.159, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4872, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6462, "anthropic": 0.4872, "eloundou": 0.6475 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.786, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8467, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0347, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0888, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0065, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6033, "exposure_v7": 0.5912, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0616, "exposure": 0.5912 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5371, "exposure_p50": 0.5912, "exposure_p90": 0.6471, "net_risk_p10": 0.0337, "net_risk_p50": 0.0566, "net_risk_p90": 0.0799, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9008, "theta": 0.7362, "c_aioe": 0.6749, "log_wage_spread": 0.8254, "wage_position": 0.8538 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1329" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9008, "theta": 0.7362, "c_aioe": 0.6749, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1329" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "12213", "title": "Regional sales manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 11000, "gross_wage_25th": 7245, "gross_wage_75th": 17850, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.8, "employment_thousands": 9.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.051829, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7738, "bottleneck": 0.7291, "displacement_pressure": 0.2096, "demand_resilience": 0.342, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.518, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.613, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7857, "market_resilience": 0.625, "market_modifier": 0.658 }, "net_risk": 0.138, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.3526, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0499, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.836, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8859, "anthropic": 0.836, "eloundou": 0.7406, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.857, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9725, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1177, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1847, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.012, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6072, "exposure_v7": 0.7738, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1507, "exposure": 0.7738 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7145, "exposure_p50": 0.7738, "exposure_p90": 0.8361, "net_risk_p10": 0.1083, "net_risk_p50": 0.1382, "net_risk_p90": 0.1714, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "log_wage_spread": 0.9017, "wage_position": 1.032 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "12230", "title": "Research and development manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 10896, "gross_wage_25th": 7061, "gross_wage_75th": 17189, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.7, "employment_thousands": 9.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.051583, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3548, "bottleneck": 0.9332, "displacement_pressure": 0.0237, "demand_resilience": 0.3543, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5554, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.728, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7816, "market_resilience": 0.6459, "market_modifier": 0.6457 }, "net_risk": 0.0153, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2139, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1551, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2914, "anthropic": 0.1364, "ilo": 0.6275 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7972, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0029, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0316, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0153, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6365, "exposure_v7": 0.3548, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0168, "exposure": 0.3548 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1851, "exposure_p50": 0.3548, "exposure_p90": 0.5229, "net_risk_p10": 0.0018, "net_risk_p50": 0.0139, "net_risk_p90": 0.0317, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1444, "theta": 0.776, "c_aioe": -0.1024, "log_wage_spread": 0.8897, "wage_position": 1.0223 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1223" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1444, "theta": 0.776, "c_aioe": -0.1024, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1223" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "14121", "title": "Restaurant manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 4000, "gross_wage_25th": 3000, "gross_wage_75th": 4710, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.070826, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.438, "bottleneck": 0.4742, "displacement_pressure": 0.2303, "demand_resilience": 0.241, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5934, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8452, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1622, "market_resilience": 0.4209, "market_modifier": 0.759 }, "net_risk": 0.1748, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0874, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1257, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3913, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2656, "anthropic": 0.3913, "eloundou": 0.6276, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7814, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7899, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1537, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2183, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0248, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5156, "exposure_v7": 0.438, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1867, "exposure": 0.438 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.35, "exposure_p50": 0.438, "exposure_p90": 0.5244, "net_risk_p10": 0.1368, "net_risk_p50": 0.174, "net_risk_p90": 0.2139, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1894, "theta": 0.6724, "c_aioe": -0.154, "log_wage_spread": 0.4511, "wage_position": 0.3753 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1894, "theta": 0.6724, "c_aioe": -0.154, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "14201", "title": "Retail manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 4500, "gross_wage_25th": 3517, "gross_wage_75th": 6420, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.075122, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6647, "bottleneck": 0.7674, "displacement_pressure": 0.1546, "demand_resilience": 0.2508, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5526, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7197, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2897, "market_resilience": 0.4474, "market_modifier": 0.7492 }, "net_risk": 0.1159, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2282, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3175, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7658, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4483, "anthropic": 0.7658, "eloundou": 0.7207, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5924, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3142, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0944, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1572, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0341, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4942, "exposure_v7": 0.6647, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1235, "exposure": 0.6647 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5859, "exposure_p50": 0.6647, "exposure_p90": 0.7402, "net_risk_p10": 0.0845, "net_risk_p50": 0.1147, "net_risk_p90": 0.148, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.297, "theta": 0.7163, "c_aioe": 0.2285, "log_wage_spread": 0.6018, "wage_position": 0.4222 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1420" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.297, "theta": 0.7163, "c_aioe": 0.2285, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1420" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "12133", "title": "Risk management manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 11946, "gross_wage_25th": 7558, "gross_wage_75th": 18332, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 10.2, "employment_thousands": 10.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.054012, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4489, "bottleneck": 0.9216, "displacement_pressure": 0.0352, "demand_resilience": 0.4614, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5894, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8326, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8271, "market_resilience": 0.6845, "market_modifier": 0.5386 }, "net_risk": 0.019, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2831, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1893, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3241, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5134, "anthropic": 0.3241, "eloundou": 0.5042, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0058, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0381, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.019, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7341, "exposure_v7": 0.4489, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0215, "exposure": 0.4489 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4025, "exposure_p50": 0.4489, "exposure_p90": 0.4973, "net_risk_p10": 0.0052, "net_risk_p50": 0.0188, "net_risk_p90": 0.033, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5087, "theta": 0.7716, "c_aioe": 0.3631, "log_wage_spread": 0.886, "wage_position": 1.1208 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1213" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5087, "theta": 0.7716, "c_aioe": 0.3631, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1213" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "12211", "title": "Sales manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 7049, "gross_wage_25th": 5000, "gross_wage_75th": 10353, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.8, "employment_thousands": 7.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.04149, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7738, "bottleneck": 0.7291, "displacement_pressure": 0.2096, "demand_resilience": 0.2869, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5513, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7155, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4626, "market_resilience": 0.5158, "market_modifier": 0.7131 }, "net_risk": 0.1495, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.291, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0499, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.836, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8859, "anthropic": 0.836, "eloundou": 0.7406, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.857, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9725, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.123, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1994, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0005, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5484, "exposure_v7": 0.7738, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.161, "exposure": 0.7738 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7145, "exposure_p50": 0.7738, "exposure_p90": 0.8361, "net_risk_p10": 0.1164, "net_risk_p50": 0.1489, "net_risk_p90": 0.1839, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "log_wage_spread": 0.7278, "wage_position": 0.6614 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3047, "theta": 0.7079, "c_aioe": 1.0144, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1221" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "13451", "title": "School principal", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6967, "gross_wage_25th": 5755, "gross_wage_75th": 8853, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.6, "employment_thousands": 4.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.037719, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4593, "bottleneck": 0.9501, "displacement_pressure": 0.0229, "demand_resilience": 0.2622, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6213, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.931, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2193, "market_resilience": 0.4605, "market_modifier": 0.7378 }, "net_risk": 0.0169, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.201, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3348, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5119, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8467, "anthropic": 0.5119, "eloundou": 0.0293, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7154, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5262, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0378, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0169, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.55, "exposure_v7": 0.4593, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0182, "exposure": 0.4593 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2643, "exposure_p50": 0.4593, "exposure_p90": 0.6581, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0154, "net_risk_p90": 0.0388, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.255, "theta": 0.7858, "c_aioe": 0.878, "log_wage_spread": 0.4307, "wage_position": 0.6537 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1345" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.255, "theta": 0.7858, "c_aioe": 0.878, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1345" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "12194", "title": "Security manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6729, "gross_wage_25th": 3800, "gross_wage_75th": 10000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.6, "employment_thousands": 7.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.040537, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6729, "bottleneck": 0.7932, "displacement_pressure": 0.1391, "demand_resilience": 0.3648, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5472, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7029, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5348, "market_resilience": 0.5422, "market_modifier": 0.6352 }, "net_risk": 0.0884, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2894, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1153, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5692, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6845, "anthropic": 0.5692, "eloundou": 0.7741, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0686, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.125, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0384, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6083, "exposure_v7": 0.6729, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0968, "exposure": 0.6729 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.622, "exposure_p50": 0.6729, "exposure_p90": 0.725, "net_risk_p10": 0.0634, "net_risk_p50": 0.0885, "net_risk_p90": 0.1141, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "log_wage_spread": 0.9676, "wage_position": 0.6313 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1219" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9647, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.7351, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1219" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13441", "title": "Social service manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 5643, "gross_wage_25th": 4130, "gross_wage_75th": 8319, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033947, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5408, "bottleneck": 0.9857, "displacement_pressure": 0.0077, "demand_resilience": 0.3019, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6349, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9728, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3788, "market_resilience": 0.5325, "market_modifier": 0.6981 }, "net_risk": 0.0054, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2838, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5722, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7955, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0304, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0054, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6225, "exposure_v7": 0.5408, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0059, "exposure": 0.5408 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5124, "exposure_p50": 0.5408, "exposure_p90": 0.5722, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.005, "net_risk_p90": 0.0268, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7015, "theta": 0.8166, "c_aioe": 0.4692, "log_wage_spread": 0.7003, "wage_position": 0.5294 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1344" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7015, "theta": 0.8166, "c_aioe": 0.4692, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1344" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "13302", "title": "Software and applications manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 10779, "gross_wage_25th": 7620, "gross_wage_75th": 15816, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.7, "employment_thousands": 5.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046917, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.478, "bottleneck": 0.9581, "displacement_pressure": 0.02, "demand_resilience": 0.4967, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5581, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7364, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7121, "market_resilience": 0.6197, "market_modifier": 0.5033 }, "net_risk": 0.0101, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2838, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2073, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4674, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6747, "anthropic": 0.4674, "eloundou": 0.0554, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7966, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.761, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.027, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0101, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6783, "exposure_v7": 0.478, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0114, "exposure": 0.478 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3117, "exposure_p50": 0.478, "exposure_p90": 0.6392, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.009, "net_risk_p90": 0.0251, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9434, "theta": 0.8025, "c_aioe": 0.6443, "log_wage_spread": 0.7302, "wage_position": 1.0113 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1330" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9434, "theta": 0.8025, "c_aioe": 0.6443, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1330" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "14310", "title": "Sports centre manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 4895, "gross_wage_25th": 3598, "gross_wage_75th": 7308, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.07835, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3033, "bottleneck": 0.9305, "displacement_pressure": 0.0211, "demand_resilience": 0.2737, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3779, "market_resilience": 0.4887, "market_modifier": 0.7263 }, "net_risk": 0.0153, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1379, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3253, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4617, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2301, "ilo": 0.3936 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6768, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4018, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0026, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0316, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0153, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5381, "exposure_v7": 0.3033, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0164, "exposure": 0.3033 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2246, "exposure_p50": 0.3033, "exposure_p90": 0.3854, "net_risk_p10": 0.0017, "net_risk_p50": 0.0147, "net_risk_p90": 0.03, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.3863, "theta": 0.7751, "c_aioe": 0.2744, "log_wage_spread": 0.7086, "wage_position": 0.4593 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1431" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.3863, "theta": 0.7751, "c_aioe": 0.2744, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1431" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "12132", "title": "Strategic planning manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 12936, "gross_wage_25th": 8185, "gross_wage_75th": 19546, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 10.9, "employment_thousands": 10.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.056205, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4489, "bottleneck": 0.9216, "displacement_pressure": 0.0352, "demand_resilience": 0.4575, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5635, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7531, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8565, "market_resilience": 0.6807, "market_modifier": 0.5425 }, "net_risk": 0.0191, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2816, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1893, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3241, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5134, "anthropic": 0.3241, "eloundou": 0.5042, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0056, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0373, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0191, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.712, "exposure_v7": 0.4489, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0216, "exposure": 0.4489 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4025, "exposure_p50": 0.4489, "exposure_p90": 0.4973, "net_risk_p10": 0.005, "net_risk_p50": 0.0192, "net_risk_p90": 0.0334, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5087, "theta": 0.7716, "c_aioe": 0.3631, "log_wage_spread": 0.8705, "wage_position": 1.2137 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1213" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5087, "theta": 0.7716, "c_aioe": 0.3631, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1213" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13241", "title": "Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 6650, "gross_wage_25th": 5050, "gross_wage_75th": 9882, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.036851, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6461, "bottleneck": 0.836, "displacement_pressure": 0.1059, "demand_resilience": 0.285, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5832, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8138, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3966, "market_resilience": 0.5086, "market_modifier": 0.715 }, "net_risk": 0.0758, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2747, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.005, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6324, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6275, "anthropic": 0.6324, "eloundou": 0.7573, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0488, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1117, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0258, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5616, "exposure_v7": 0.6461, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0817, "exposure": 0.6461 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6001, "exposure_p50": 0.6461, "exposure_p90": 0.6935, "net_risk_p10": 0.0487, "net_risk_p50": 0.0753, "net_risk_p90": 0.104, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "log_wage_spread": 0.6713, "wage_position": 0.6239 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "13291", "title": "Technical/Engineering services manager (excluding transport)", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8684, "gross_wage_25th": 6034, "gross_wage_75th": 12391, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042112, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5912, "bottleneck": 0.8583, "displacement_pressure": 0.0838, "demand_resilience": 0.3065, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5547, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7259, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5508, "market_resilience": 0.5531, "market_modifier": 0.6935 }, "net_risk": 0.0581, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2807, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.159, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4872, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6462, "anthropic": 0.4872, "eloundou": 0.6475 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.786, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8467, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0365, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0884, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0081, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5762, "exposure_v7": 0.5912, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0629, "exposure": 0.5912 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5371, "exposure_p50": 0.5912, "exposure_p90": 0.6471, "net_risk_p10": 0.0345, "net_risk_p50": 0.0578, "net_risk_p90": 0.0826, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9008, "theta": 0.7362, "c_aioe": 0.6749, "log_wage_spread": 0.7196, "wage_position": 0.8147 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1329" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9008, "theta": 0.7362, "c_aioe": 0.6749, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1329" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "12123", "title": "Training manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 5960, "gross_wage_25th": 5214, "gross_wage_75th": 7270, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.2, "employment_thousands": 7.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "12", "employment_family_total_thousands": 188.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.03815, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6853, "bottleneck": 0.6881, "displacement_pressure": 0.2138, "demand_resilience": 0.2275, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5873, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8264, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1047, "market_resilience": 0.3943, "market_modifier": 0.7725 }, "net_risk": 0.1651, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1859, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0382, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7194, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7576, "anthropic": 0.7194, "eloundou": 0.818, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1418, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2131, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0151, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.501, "exposure_v7": 0.6853, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1758, "exposure": 0.6853 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5957, "exposure_p50": 0.6853, "exposure_p90": 0.7777, "net_risk_p10": 0.1285, "net_risk_p50": 0.1647, "net_risk_p90": 0.2034, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0599, "theta": 0.7038, "c_aioe": 0.8284, "log_wage_spread": 0.3324, "wage_position": 0.5592 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1212" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0599, "theta": 0.7038, "c_aioe": 0.8284, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1212" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.65, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.75, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.6 } }, { "ssoc": "13243", "title": "Transport/Technical operations manager (except port/shipping operations)", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 7679, "gross_wage_25th": 5381, "gross_wage_75th": 12650, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "13", "employment_family_total_thousands": 121.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.0396, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6461, "bottleneck": 0.836, "displacement_pressure": 0.1059, "demand_resilience": 0.328, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6145, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.91, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5446, "market_resilience": 0.5865, "market_modifier": 0.672 }, "net_risk": 0.0712, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.3168, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.005, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6324, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6275, "anthropic": 0.6324, "eloundou": 0.7573, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0515, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1065, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0212, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6404, "exposure_v7": 0.6461, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.078, "exposure": 0.6461 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6001, "exposure_p50": 0.6461, "exposure_p90": 0.6935, "net_risk_p10": 0.0459, "net_risk_p50": 0.0711, "net_risk_p90": 0.0964, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "log_wage_spread": 0.8548, "wage_position": 0.7205 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8908, "theta": 0.7302, "c_aioe": 0.6727, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1324" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "14392", "title": "Travel agency manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 7770, "gross_wage_25th": 5630, "gross_wage_75th": 11580, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.098712, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5997, "bottleneck": 0.9367, "displacement_pressure": 0.038, "demand_resilience": 0.248, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4337, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3536, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4929, "market_resilience": 0.4573, "market_modifier": 0.752 }, "net_risk": 0.0285, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2569, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1159, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6551, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5392, "anthropic": 0.6551 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7625, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9801, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0027, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0592, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0215, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4215, "exposure_v7": 0.5997, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0301, "exposure": 0.5997 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5392, "exposure_p50": 0.5997, "exposure_p90": 0.6551, "net_risk_p10": 0.0034, "net_risk_p50": 0.0288, "net_risk_p90": 0.0547, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5923, "theta": 0.7782, "c_aioe": 0.4189, "log_wage_spread": 0.7212, "wage_position": 0.729 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1439" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5923, "theta": 0.7782, "c_aioe": 0.4189, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1439" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "14324", "title": "Wellness centre manager (e.g. hair/beauty/slimming/spa/manicure/massage)", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 5635, "gross_wage_25th": 3800, "gross_wage_75th": 8725, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.6, "employment_thousands": 3.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.084064, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4133, "bottleneck": 0.8904, "displacement_pressure": 0.0453, "demand_resilience": 0.3176, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6356, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9749, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4519, "market_resilience": 0.5621, "market_modifier": 0.6824 }, "net_risk": 0.0309, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2069, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0192, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4042, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4234, "anthropic": 0.4042 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5174, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0158, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0514, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0191, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.647, "exposure_v7": 0.4133, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0339, "exposure": 0.4133 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4042, "exposure_p50": 0.4133, "exposure_p90": 0.4234, "net_risk_p10": 0.0145, "net_risk_p50": 0.0312, "net_risk_p90": 0.0471, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2402, "theta": 0.7515, "c_aioe": 0.1763, "log_wage_spread": 0.8312, "wage_position": 0.5287 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1432" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2402, "theta": 0.7515, "c_aioe": 0.1763, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1432" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "14202", "title": "Wholesale trade manager", "major_group": "MANAGERS", "major_group_code": 1, "gross_wage_median": 8905, "gross_wage_25th": 6199, "gross_wage_75th": 14500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "14", "employment_family_total_thousands": 42.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.105677, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 405.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6647, "bottleneck": 0.7674, "displacement_pressure": 0.1546, "demand_resilience": 0.3158, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5275, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6423, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6399, "market_resilience": 0.5725, "market_modifier": 0.6842 }, "net_risk": 0.1058, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.292, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3175, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7658, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4483, "anthropic": 0.7658, "eloundou": 0.7207, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6224, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3142, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0844, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1461, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0442, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5823, "exposure_v7": 0.6647, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1148, "exposure": 0.6647 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5859, "exposure_p50": 0.6647, "exposure_p90": 0.7402, "net_risk_p10": 0.0762, "net_risk_p50": 0.1046, "net_risk_p90": 0.1348, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.297, "theta": 0.7163, "c_aioe": 0.2285, "log_wage_spread": 0.8498, "wage_position": 0.8355 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "1420" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.297, "theta": 0.7163, "c_aioe": 0.2285, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "1420" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "24111", "title": "Accountant (excluding tax accountant)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5498, "gross_wage_25th": 4600, "gross_wage_75th": 6695, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019361, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9046, "bottleneck": 0.2807, "displacement_pressure": 0.6506, "demand_resilience": 0.361, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.14, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5121, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6527, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1889, "market_resilience": 0.3829, "market_modifier": 0.639 }, "net_risk": 0.4157, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0972, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0855, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9101, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9955, "anthropic": 0.9101, "eloundou": 0.8692, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8864, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3885, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5016, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0843, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4876, "exposure_v7": 0.9046, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4474, "exposure": 0.9046 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8698, "exposure_p50": 0.9046, "exposure_p90": 0.9412, "net_risk_p10": 0.3715, "net_risk_p50": 0.415, "net_risk_p90": 0.4619, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "log_wage_spread": 0.3753, "wage_position": 0.6813 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2411" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2411" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21213", "title": "Actuary", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7572, "gross_wage_25th": 4987, "gross_wage_75th": 13484, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01715, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8899, "bottleneck": 0.1952, "displacement_pressure": 0.7162, "demand_resilience": 0.3509, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7549, "market_resilience": 0.6378, "market_modifier": 0.6491 }, "net_risk": 0.4649, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1108, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1791, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8093, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9884, "anthropic": 0.8093, "eloundou": 0.8797 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8427, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4547, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5746, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0351, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6384, "exposure_v7": 0.8899, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5106, "exposure": 0.8899 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.832, "exposure_p50": 0.8899, "exposure_p90": 0.9512, "net_risk_p10": 0.4132, "net_risk_p50": 0.4637, "net_risk_p90": 0.5164, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.4582, "theta": 0.6359, "c_aioe": 1.2388, "log_wage_spread": 0.9947, "wage_position": 0.9383 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2121" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.4582, "theta": 0.6359, "c_aioe": 1.2388, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2121" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21471", "title": "Aeronautical engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6046, "gross_wage_25th": 4729, "gross_wage_75th": 8142, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015325, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6259, "bottleneck": 0.6667, "displacement_pressure": 0.2086, "demand_resilience": 0.2298, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4598, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4916, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3574, "market_resilience": 0.4188, "market_modifier": 0.7702 }, "net_risk": 0.1607, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1748, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1178, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5168, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6346, "anthropic": 0.5168, "eloundou": 0.7322 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6514, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3083, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1331, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2062, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0107, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4136, "exposure_v7": 0.6259, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1693, "exposure": 0.6259 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5538, "exposure_p50": 0.6259, "exposure_p90": 0.7005, "net_risk_p10": 0.1249, "net_risk_p50": 0.1601, "net_risk_p90": 0.1985, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8912, "theta": 0.6995, "c_aioe": 0.7004, "log_wage_spread": 0.5433, "wage_position": 0.7492 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2147" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8912, "theta": 0.6995, "c_aioe": 0.7004, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2147" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21443", "title": "Air-conditioning/Refrigeration engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6503, "gross_wage_25th": 5419, "gross_wage_75th": 9106, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015893, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6275, "bottleneck": 0.6578, "displacement_pressure": 0.2148, "demand_resilience": 0.2532, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.506, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6339, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3806, "market_resilience": 0.4558, "market_modifier": 0.7468 }, "net_risk": 0.1604, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1882, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1104, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6008, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7112, "anthropic": 0.6008, "eloundou": 0.8243, "ilo": 0.3936 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1353, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2071, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0104, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4808, "exposure_v7": 0.6275, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1707, "exposure": 0.6275 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5199, "exposure_p50": 0.6275, "exposure_p90": 0.7387, "net_risk_p10": 0.1207, "net_risk_p50": 0.1592, "net_risk_p90": 0.2028, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0047, "theta": 0.6951, "c_aioe": 0.794, "log_wage_spread": 0.519, "wage_position": 0.8058 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2144" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0047, "theta": 0.6951, "c_aioe": 0.794, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2144" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "22141", "title": "Anaesthesiologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6712, "gross_wage_25th": 6195, "gross_wage_75th": 7633, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033249, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4381, "bottleneck": 0.9724, "displacement_pressure": 0.0121, "demand_resilience": 0.2651, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2219, "market_resilience": 0.4638, "market_modifier": 0.7349 }, "net_risk": 0.0089, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1976, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0655, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.414, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.414, "eloundou": 0.4236 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7457, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5957, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0363, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0089, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5644, "exposure_v7": 0.4381, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0096, "exposure": 0.4381 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4171, "exposure_p50": 0.4381, "exposure_p90": 0.4604, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0091, "net_risk_p90": 0.032, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "log_wage_spread": 0.2087, "wage_position": 0.8317 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "25140", "title": "Applications/Systems programmer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6500, "gross_wage_25th": 6050, "gross_wage_75th": 7660, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.050013, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8787, "bottleneck": 0.1952, "displacement_pressure": 0.7072, "demand_resilience": 0.3738, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5128, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6548, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1996, "market_resilience": 0.3875, "market_modifier": 0.6262 }, "net_risk": 0.4428, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0665, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8253, "ilo": 0.927 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_exact_demand", "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7337, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.8828, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4251, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5341, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0572, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4945, "exposure_v7": 0.8787, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4778, "exposure": 0.8787 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8253, "exposure_p50": 0.8787, "exposure_p90": 0.927, "net_risk_p10": 0.3949, "net_risk_p50": 0.4412, "net_risk_p90": 0.4907, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2129, "theta": 0.6359, "c_aioe": 1.0304, "log_wage_spread": 0.236, "wage_position": 0.8055 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2514" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2129, "theta": 0.6359, "c_aioe": 1.0304, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2514" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "26543", "title": "Artistic director (stage, film, television, game and radio)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5500, "gross_wage_25th": 4260, "gross_wage_75th": 7280, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.039011, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6117, "bottleneck": 0.7594, "displacement_pressure": 0.1472, "demand_resilience": 0.2455, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5237, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6883, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3128, "market_resilience": 0.4393, "market_modifier": 0.7545 }, "net_risk": 0.1111, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2041, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0483, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6166, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6649, "anthropic": 0.6166, "eloundou": 0.6611, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0855, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1512, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0389, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4776, "exposure_v7": 0.6117, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1181, "exposure": 0.6117 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5741, "exposure_p50": 0.6117, "exposure_p90": 0.6512, "net_risk_p10": 0.081, "net_risk_p50": 0.1106, "net_risk_p90": 0.1421, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "log_wage_spread": 0.5359, "wage_position": 0.6815 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2654" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2654" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21524", "title": "Audio and video equipment engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4837, "gross_wage_25th": 3921, "gross_wage_75th": 6540, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.013707, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6399, "bottleneck": 0.3788, "displacement_pressure": 0.3975, "demand_resilience": 0.3568, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2549, "market_resilience": 0.477, "market_modifier": 0.6432 }, "net_risk": 0.2557, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1156, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0827, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6433, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5606, "anthropic": 0.6433, "eloundou": 0.681, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8714, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.235, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.33, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0443, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6215, "exposure_v7": 0.6399, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2804, "exposure": 0.6399 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6108, "exposure_p50": 0.6399, "exposure_p90": 0.6684, "net_risk_p10": 0.2215, "net_risk_p50": 0.2549, "net_risk_p90": 0.2915, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "log_wage_spread": 0.5116, "wage_position": 0.5994 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "22661", "title": "Audiologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4884, "gross_wage_25th": 3963, "gross_wage_75th": 5800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.028362, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4133, "bottleneck": 0.91, "displacement_pressure": 0.0372, "demand_resilience": 0.2461, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1613, "market_resilience": 0.4293, "market_modifier": 0.7539 }, "net_risk": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1615, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.6524, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7888, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.5617, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0078, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0549, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0219, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5286, "exposure_v7": 0.4133, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.03, "exposure": 0.4133 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2568, "exposure_p50": 0.4133, "exposure_p90": 0.5767, "net_risk_p10": 0.0064, "net_risk_p50": 0.0254, "net_risk_p90": 0.0531, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1463, "theta": 0.7646, "c_aioe": 0.8262, "log_wage_spread": 0.3809, "wage_position": 0.6052 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2266" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1463, "theta": 0.7646, "c_aioe": 0.8262, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2266" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "24112", "title": "Auditor (accounting)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5575, "gross_wage_25th": 4875, "gross_wage_75th": 7693, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019497, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9046, "bottleneck": 0.2807, "displacement_pressure": 0.6506, "demand_resilience": 0.4413, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.2, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5305, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7092, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2513, "market_resilience": 0.4188, "market_modifier": 0.5587 }, "net_risk": 0.3635, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1064, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0855, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9101, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": "exact", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9955, "anthropic": 0.9101, "eloundou": 0.8692, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_exact_demand", "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8914, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3507, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4497, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0635, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5285, "exposure_v7": 0.9046, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3979, "exposure": 0.9046 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8698, "exposure_p50": 0.9046, "exposure_p90": 0.9412, "net_risk_p10": 0.3235, "net_risk_p50": 0.3616, "net_risk_p90": 0.4036, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "log_wage_spread": 0.4562, "wage_position": 0.6908 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2411" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2411" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "26411", "title": "Author", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4000, "gross_wage_25th": 3500, "gross_wage_75th": 7000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033269, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8557, "bottleneck": 0.1257, "displacement_pressure": 0.7482, "demand_resilience": 0.295, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3663, "market_resilience": 0.5215, "market_modifier": 0.705 }, "net_risk": 0.5274, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0561, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1328, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8271, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6943, "anthropic": 0.8271, "eloundou": 0.9927, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7564, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4968, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6528, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0274, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6033, "exposure_v7": 0.8557, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5726, "exposure": 0.8557 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7833, "exposure_p50": 0.8557, "exposure_p90": 0.9229, "net_risk_p10": 0.4603, "net_risk_p50": 0.5247, "net_risk_p90": 0.5921, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9879, "theta": 0.6159, "c_aioe": 0.859, "log_wage_spread": 0.6931, "wage_position": 0.4957 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2641" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9879, "theta": 0.6159, "c_aioe": 0.859, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2641" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21413", "title": "Automation engineer (including robotics engineer)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8588, "gross_wage_25th": 6350, "gross_wage_75th": 12539, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018264, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5836, "bottleneck": 0.7148, "displacement_pressure": 0.1664, "demand_resilience": 0.4165, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5407, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7406, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6943, "market_resilience": 0.6021, "market_modifier": 0.5835 }, "net_risk": 0.0971, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2512, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.5633, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2905, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8538, "anthropic": 0.2905, "eloundou": 0.7071, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8414, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0822, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1365, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0471, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.655, "exposure_v7": 0.5836, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.108, "exposure": 0.5836 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4473, "exposure_p50": 0.5836, "exposure_p90": 0.7259, "net_risk_p10": 0.0657, "net_risk_p50": 0.0962, "net_risk_p90": 0.1303, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "log_wage_spread": 0.6804, "wage_position": 1.0642 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21343", "title": "Biochemist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6264, "gross_wage_25th": 5500, "gross_wage_75th": 7114, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015599, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5465, "bottleneck": 0.8271, "displacement_pressure": 0.0945, "demand_resilience": 0.2985, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.506, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6339, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1898, "market_resilience": 0.3795, "market_modifier": 0.7015 }, "net_risk": 0.0663, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1716, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2679, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.504, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7718, "anthropic": 0.504, "eloundou": 0.3745 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6776, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6233, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0441, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.099, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0163, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4771, "exposure_v7": 0.5465, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0708, "exposure": 0.5465 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.419, "exposure_p50": 0.5465, "exposure_p90": 0.6772, "net_risk_p10": 0.0389, "net_risk_p50": 0.0648, "net_risk_p90": 0.0969, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "log_wage_spread": 0.2573, "wage_position": 0.7762 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21311", "title": "Biologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8352, "gross_wage_25th": 6704, "gross_wage_75th": 10202, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018012, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8188, "bottleneck": 0.1952, "displacement_pressure": 0.659, "demand_resilience": 0.3177, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4724, "market_resilience": 0.5639, "market_modifier": 0.6823 }, "net_risk": 0.4496, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0901, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3003, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9901, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6898, "anthropic": 0.9901, "eloundou": 0.9665, "ilo": 0.6275 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6427, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5454, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4276, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5644, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0504, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6388, "exposure_v7": 0.8188, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4917, "exposure": 0.8188 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.725, "exposure_p50": 0.8188, "exposure_p90": 0.9132, "net_risk_p10": 0.3783, "net_risk_p50": 0.45, "net_risk_p90": 0.5251, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.966, "theta": 0.6359, "c_aioe": 0.8207, "log_wage_spread": 0.4199, "wage_position": 1.0349 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2131" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.966, "theta": 0.6359, "c_aioe": 0.8207, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2131" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21491", "title": "Biomedical engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5346, "gross_wage_25th": 4171, "gross_wage_75th": 7209, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01441, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5322, "bottleneck": 0.68, "displacement_pressure": 0.1703, "demand_resilience": 0.2778, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3182, "market_resilience": 0.4921, "market_modifier": 0.7222 }, "net_risk": 0.123, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1781, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0524, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5474, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5998, "anthropic": 0.5474, "eloundou": 0.637, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1005, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1672, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.027, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5634, "exposure_v7": 0.5322, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1326, "exposure": 0.5322 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.462, "exposure_p50": 0.5322, "exposure_p90": 0.6047, "net_risk_p10": 0.094, "net_risk_p50": 0.1225, "net_risk_p90": 0.1545, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "log_wage_spread": 0.5472, "wage_position": 0.6625 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21610", "title": "Building architect", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6798, "gross_wage_25th": 5250, "gross_wage_75th": 10366, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01625, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4843, "bottleneck": 0.7433, "displacement_pressure": 0.1243, "demand_resilience": 0.252, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4115, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3431, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5463, "market_resilience": 0.4654, "market_modifier": 0.748 }, "net_risk": 0.093, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1675, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2907, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4526, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7433, "anthropic": 0.4526, "eloundou": 0.2385, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8166, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.931, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0703, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1268, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.043, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4256, "exposure_v7": 0.4843, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0983, "exposure": 0.4843 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.364, "exposure_p50": 0.4843, "exposure_p90": 0.6068, "net_risk_p10": 0.0618, "net_risk_p50": 0.0917, "net_risk_p90": 0.1267, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0408, "theta": 0.7104, "c_aioe": 0.8066, "log_wage_spread": 0.6803, "wage_position": 0.8424 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2161" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0408, "theta": 0.7104, "c_aioe": 0.8066, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2161" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "21422", "title": "Building construction engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4800, "gross_wage_25th": 4000, "gross_wage_75th": 6000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.013655, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6749, "bottleneck": 0.5392, "displacement_pressure": 0.311, "demand_resilience": 0.1866, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4435, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4414, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1751, "market_resilience": 0.3361, "market_modifier": 0.8134 }, "net_risk": 0.253, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1223, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3375, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5761, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9135, "anthropic": 0.5761, "eloundou": 0.887, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2174, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3109, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.047, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3534, "exposure_v7": 0.6749, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.264, "exposure": 0.6749 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5392, "exposure_p50": 0.6749, "exposure_p90": 0.8177, "net_risk_p10": 0.1866, "net_risk_p50": 0.2537, "net_risk_p90": 0.3243, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3387, "theta": 0.6808, "c_aioe": 1.0772, "log_wage_spread": 0.4055, "wage_position": 0.5948 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2142" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3387, "theta": 0.6808, "c_aioe": 1.0772, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2142" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24213", "title": "Business and financial project management professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7693, "gross_wage_25th": 5500, "gross_wage_75th": 11006, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.022903, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7582, "bottleneck": 0.5793, "displacement_pressure": 0.3189, "demand_resilience": 0.2962, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4747, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5377, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6435, "market_resilience": 0.5422, "market_modifier": 0.7038 }, "net_risk": 0.2245, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2382, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1624, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8162, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9786, "anthropic": 0.8162, "eloundou": 0.4979, "ilo": 0.7463 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1985, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2847, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0745, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5222, "exposure_v7": 0.7582, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2411, "exposure": 0.7582 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6434, "exposure_p50": 0.7582, "exposure_p90": 0.8565, "net_risk_p10": 0.1764, "net_risk_p50": 0.2227, "net_risk_p90": 0.2754, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.4324, "theta": 0.6847, "c_aioe": 1.147, "log_wage_spread": 0.6937, "wage_position": 0.9533 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2421" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.4324, "theta": 0.6847, "c_aioe": 1.147, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2421" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24212", "title": "Business consultant", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8662, "gross_wage_25th": 4095, "gross_wage_75th": 11875, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.3, "employment_thousands": 5.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.024302, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7582, "bottleneck": 0.5793, "displacement_pressure": 0.3189, "demand_resilience": 0.3109, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4115, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3431, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8342, "market_resilience": 0.5806, "market_modifier": 0.6891 }, "net_risk": 0.2198, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.255, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1624, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8162, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9786, "anthropic": 0.8162, "eloundou": 0.4979, "ilo": 0.7463 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1972, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2757, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0698, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4967, "exposure_v7": 0.7582, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2356, "exposure": 0.7582 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6434, "exposure_p50": 0.7582, "exposure_p90": 0.8751, "net_risk_p10": 0.1733, "net_risk_p50": 0.2184, "net_risk_p90": 0.2681, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.4324, "theta": 0.6847, "c_aioe": 1.147, "log_wage_spread": 1.0647, "wage_position": 1.0734 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2421" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.4324, "theta": 0.6847, "c_aioe": 1.147, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2421" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24122", "title": "Business valuer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9708, "gross_wage_25th": 5200, "gross_wage_75th": 16560, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.025728, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7487, "bottleneck": 0.4519, "displacement_pressure": 0.4104, "demand_resilience": 0.4374, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4911, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5879, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8948, "market_resilience": 0.6526, "market_modifier": 0.5626 }, "net_risk": 0.2309, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2208, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1074, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6769, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5695, "anthropic": 0.6769, "eloundou": 0.8065, "ilo": 0.927 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8414, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2178, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2972, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0691, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6379, "exposure_v7": 0.7487, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.257, "exposure": 0.7487 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6575, "exposure_p50": 0.7487, "exposure_p90": 0.8353, "net_risk_p10": 0.1911, "net_risk_p50": 0.2297, "net_risk_p90": 0.2724, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6981, "theta": 0.6689, "c_aioe": 0.57, "log_wage_spread": 1.1583, "wage_position": 1.203 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6981, "theta": 0.6689, "c_aioe": 0.57, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "22132", "title": "Cardiothoracic surgeon", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6294, "gross_wage_25th": 5938, "gross_wage_75th": 6882, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032197, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2302, "bottleneck": 0.9955, "displacement_pressure": 0.001, "demand_resilience": 0.2521, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1569, "market_resilience": 0.4377, "market_modifier": 0.7479 }, "net_risk": 0.0008, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1003, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3431, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0889 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6868, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0141, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0008, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5516, "exposure_v7": 0.2302, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0008, "exposure": 0.2302 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1052, "exposure_p50": 0.2302, "exposure_p90": 0.3583, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0006, "net_risk_p90": 0.0137, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8264, "c_aioe": 0.2968, "log_wage_spread": 0.1475, "wage_position": 0.7799 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2213" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8264, "c_aioe": 0.2968, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2213" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "26375", "title": "Career coach (counselling)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4415, "gross_wage_25th": 3826, "gross_wage_75th": 6630, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.034952, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5738, "bottleneck": 0.852, "displacement_pressure": 0.0849, "demand_resilience": 0.2739, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2647, "market_resilience": 0.4809, "market_modifier": 0.7261 }, "net_risk": 0.0616, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2351, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1401, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6621, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8021, "anthropic": 0.6621, "eloundou": 0.2615 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6644, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6306, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0305, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1019, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0116, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5755, "exposure_v7": 0.5738, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0665, "exposure": 0.5738 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3994, "exposure_p50": 0.5738, "exposure_p90": 0.7527, "net_risk_p10": 0.0274, "net_risk_p50": 0.0594, "net_risk_p90": 0.099, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1582, "theta": 0.7321, "c_aioe": 0.8724, "log_wage_spread": 0.5498, "wage_position": 0.5471 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2637" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1582, "theta": 0.7321, "c_aioe": 0.8724, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2637" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21130", "title": "Chemist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6357, "gross_wage_25th": 4500, "gross_wage_75th": 11430, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015714, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6403, "bottleneck": 0.5971, "displacement_pressure": 0.2579, "demand_resilience": 0.2827, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.453, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4707, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6194, "market_resilience": 0.5196, "market_modifier": 0.7173 }, "net_risk": 0.185, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1987, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2141, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8024, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5882, "anthropic": 0.8024, "eloundou": 0.5523, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7561, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4489, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1597, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.237, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.035, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4889, "exposure_v7": 0.6403, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1976, "exposure": 0.6403 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5762, "exposure_p50": 0.6403, "exposure_p90": 0.7029, "net_risk_p10": 0.1505, "net_risk_p50": 0.1841, "net_risk_p90": 0.2216, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7669, "theta": 0.6871, "c_aioe": 0.6122, "log_wage_spread": 0.9322, "wage_position": 0.7877 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7669, "theta": 0.6871, "c_aioe": 0.6122, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21711", "title": "Chief engineer/Second engineer (ship)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8339, "gross_wage_25th": 6231, "gross_wage_75th": 11456, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.017998, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3445, "bottleneck": 0.8431, "displacement_pressure": 0.054, "demand_resilience": 0.3898, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.506, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6339, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6266, "market_resilience": 0.5542, "market_modifier": 0.6102 }, "net_risk": 0.033, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.161, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.014, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3478, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3619, "anthropic": 0.3478, "eloundou": 0.3243 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5818, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0203, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.054, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.017, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6042, "exposure_v7": 0.3445, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0362, "exposure": 0.3445 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3324, "exposure_p50": 0.3445, "exposure_p90": 0.3569, "net_risk_p10": 0.0193, "net_risk_p50": 0.0331, "net_risk_p90": 0.0464, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0104, "theta": 0.7309, "c_aioe": 0.0078, "log_wage_spread": 0.609, "wage_position": 1.0333 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2171" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0104, "theta": 0.7309, "c_aioe": 0.0078, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2171" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21421", "title": "Civil engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6500, "gross_wage_25th": 4900, "gross_wage_75th": 8165, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01589, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6749, "bottleneck": 0.5392, "displacement_pressure": 0.311, "demand_resilience": 0.2168, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4163, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3577, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3717, "market_resilience": 0.3984, "market_modifier": 0.7832 }, "net_risk": 0.2436, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.145, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3375, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5761, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9135, "anthropic": 0.5761, "eloundou": 0.887, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2128, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3006, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0564, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3748, "exposure_v7": 0.6749, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2552, "exposure": 0.6749 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5392, "exposure_p50": 0.6749, "exposure_p90": 0.8177, "net_risk_p10": 0.1817, "net_risk_p50": 0.2425, "net_risk_p90": 0.3101, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3387, "theta": 0.6808, "c_aioe": 1.0772, "log_wage_spread": 0.5106, "wage_position": 0.8055 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2142" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3387, "theta": 0.6808, "c_aioe": 1.0772, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2142" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26341", "title": "Clinical psychologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5495, "gross_wage_25th": 4850, "gross_wage_75th": 7024, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.038993, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4736, "bottleneck": 0.8209, "displacement_pressure": 0.0848, "demand_resilience": 0.4063, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1863, "market_resilience": 0.4393, "market_modifier": 0.5937 }, "net_risk": 0.0504, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1708, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2689, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2757, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5446, "anthropic": 0.2757, "eloundou": 0.4676, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7478, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6857, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0344, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0782, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0004, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5863, "exposure_v7": 0.4736, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0553, "exposure": 0.4736 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3866, "exposure_p50": 0.4736, "exposure_p90": 0.5599, "net_risk_p10": 0.031, "net_risk_p50": 0.0498, "net_risk_p90": 0.0708, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6207, "theta": 0.7298, "c_aioe": 0.469, "log_wage_spread": 0.3704, "wage_position": 0.6809 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2634" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6207, "theta": 0.7298, "c_aioe": 0.469, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2634" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21347", "title": "Clinical research professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8990, "gross_wage_25th": 6632, "gross_wage_75th": 13632, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018687, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5465, "bottleneck": 0.8271, "displacement_pressure": 0.0945, "demand_resilience": 0.4598, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7496, "market_resilience": 0.6748, "market_modifier": 0.5402 }, "net_risk": 0.051, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.305, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2679, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.504, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7718, "anthropic": 0.504, "eloundou": 0.3745 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6776, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6233, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0318, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0843, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.001, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7616, "exposure_v7": 0.5465, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0582, "exposure": 0.5465 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.419, "exposure_p50": 0.5465, "exposure_p90": 0.6772, "net_risk_p10": 0.0274, "net_risk_p50": 0.0494, "net_risk_p90": 0.0766, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "log_wage_spread": 0.7205, "wage_position": 1.114 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "25231", "title": "Cloud specialist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9583, "gross_wage_25th": 7001, "gross_wage_75th": 15176, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5, "employment_thousands": 5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.060726, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7088, "bottleneck": 0.3378, "displacement_pressure": 0.4694, "demand_resilience": 0.4957, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5033, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6255, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8053, "market_resilience": 0.6241, "market_modifier": 0.5043 }, "net_risk": 0.2367, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1494, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5357, "ilo": 0.8651 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.728, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2296, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3033, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0633, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6485, "exposure_v7": 0.7088, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2671, "exposure": 0.7088 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5357, "exposure_p50": 0.7088, "exposure_p90": 0.8651, "net_risk_p10": 0.1736, "net_risk_p50": 0.236, "net_risk_p90": 0.2959, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5803, "theta": 0.662, "c_aioe": 0.4778, "log_wage_spread": 0.7737, "wage_position": 1.1875 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2523" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5803, "theta": 0.662, "c_aioe": 0.4778, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2523" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "21721", "title": "Commercial airline pilot", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 13878, "gross_wage_25th": 11594, "gross_wage_75th": 17003, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.6, "employment_thousands": 3.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.023218, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2078, "bottleneck": 0.926, "displacement_pressure": 0.0154, "demand_resilience": 0.3266, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5842, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8745, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5909, "market_resilience": 0.5869, "market_modifier": 0.6734 }, "net_risk": 0.0104, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1129, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.123, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2594, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2333 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8594, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9603, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0012, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0228, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0104, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6249, "exposure_v7": 0.2078, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0113, "exposure": 0.2078 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1676, "exposure_p50": 0.2078, "exposure_p90": 0.2504, "net_risk_p10": 0.0011, "net_risk_p50": 0.0102, "net_risk_p90": 0.0202, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1944, "theta": 0.7719, "c_aioe": -0.1387, "log_wage_spread": 0.3829, "wage_position": 1.7197 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2172" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1944, "theta": 0.7719, "c_aioe": -0.1387, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2172" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24154", "title": "Commodities and freight derivatives broker", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 12000, "gross_wage_25th": 8205, "gross_wage_75th": 18662, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.028604, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8258, "bottleneck": 0.4474, "displacement_pressure": 0.4563, "demand_resilience": 0.4511, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5298, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7071, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8877, "market_resilience": 0.673, "market_modifier": 0.5489 }, "net_risk": 0.2505, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2486, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0894, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9842, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8948, "anthropic": 0.9842, "eloundou": 0.5931 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7007, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.8757, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2442, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3256, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0495, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6824, "exposure_v7": 0.8258, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2816, "exposure": 0.8258 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6911, "exposure_p50": 0.8258, "exposure_p90": 0.9561, "net_risk_p10": 0.2, "net_risk_p50": 0.2486, "net_risk_p90": 0.3015, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3185, "theta": 0.6679, "c_aioe": 1.0778, "log_wage_spread": 0.8217, "wage_position": 1.487 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2415" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3185, "theta": 0.6679, "c_aioe": 1.0778, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2415" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24351", "title": "Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 16000, "gross_wage_25th": 8800, "gross_wage_75th": 20000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.1, "employment_thousands": 7.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033029, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8644, "bottleneck": 0.4813, "displacement_pressure": 0.4484, "demand_resilience": 0.3834, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9216, "market_resilience": 0.7045, "market_modifier": 0.6166 }, "net_risk": 0.2765, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2931, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0904, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8854, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.795, "anthropic": 0.8854, "eloundou": 0.909 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7848, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7821, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2566, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3534, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0235, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6635, "exposure_v7": 0.8644, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3062, "exposure": 0.8644 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8269, "exposure_p50": 0.8644, "exposure_p90": 0.9009, "net_risk_p10": 0.2383, "net_risk_p50": 0.2762, "net_risk_p90": 0.3154, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "log_wage_spread": 0.821, "wage_position": 1.9827 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2435" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2435" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24132", "title": "Compliance officer/Risk analyst (financial)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7395, "gross_wage_25th": 5500, "gross_wage_75th": 13048, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.022455, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8808, "bottleneck": 0.4029, "displacement_pressure": 0.526, "demand_resilience": 0.4544, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.14, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4741, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5356, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7086, "market_resilience": 0.5679, "market_modifier": 0.5456 }, "net_risk": 0.287, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2015, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0353, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.996, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9608, "anthropic": 0.996, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.9653 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6714, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.274, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3625, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.013, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5881, "exposure_v7": 0.8808, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3179, "exposure": 0.8808 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7793, "exposure_p50": 0.8808, "exposure_p90": 0.9799, "net_risk_p10": 0.2381, "net_risk_p50": 0.2867, "net_risk_p90": 0.3356, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "log_wage_spread": 0.8639, "wage_position": 0.9164 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21522", "title": "Computer engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6061, "gross_wage_25th": 5572, "gross_wage_75th": 6679, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015344, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6399, "bottleneck": 0.3788, "displacement_pressure": 0.3975, "demand_resilience": 0.2762, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4724, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5303, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1444, "market_resilience": 0.3412, "market_modifier": 0.7238 }, "net_risk": 0.2877, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0827, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0827, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6433, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5606, "anthropic": 0.6433, "eloundou": 0.681, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8714, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2583, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3511, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0123, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4272, "exposure_v7": 0.6399, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3047, "exposure": 0.6399 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6108, "exposure_p50": 0.6399, "exposure_p90": 0.6684, "net_risk_p10": 0.2517, "net_risk_p50": 0.2861, "net_risk_p90": 0.3218, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "log_wage_spread": 0.1812, "wage_position": 0.7511 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26413", "title": "Content writer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5250, "gross_wage_25th": 4327, "gross_wage_75th": 8097, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.038114, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8557, "bottleneck": 0.1257, "displacement_pressure": 0.7482, "demand_resilience": 0.2483, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4938, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5962, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3806, "market_resilience": 0.4485, "market_modifier": 0.7517 }, "net_risk": 0.5624, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0482, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1328, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8271, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6943, "anthropic": 0.8271, "eloundou": 0.9927, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7939, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5308, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6617, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0624, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4646, "exposure_v7": 0.8557, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5972, "exposure": 0.8557 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7833, "exposure_p50": 0.8557, "exposure_p90": 0.9229, "net_risk_p10": 0.4983, "net_risk_p50": 0.5618, "net_risk_p90": 0.6269, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9879, "theta": 0.6159, "c_aioe": 0.859, "log_wage_spread": 0.6266, "wage_position": 0.6506 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2641" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9879, "theta": 0.6159, "c_aioe": 0.859, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2641" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26373", "title": "Counsellor (family)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4350, "gross_wage_25th": 3700, "gross_wage_75th": 5300, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.034693, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5738, "bottleneck": 0.852, "displacement_pressure": 0.0849, "demand_resilience": 0.2327, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5944, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9059, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1168, "market_resilience": 0.4033, "market_modifier": 0.7673 }, "net_risk": 0.0651, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1972, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1401, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6621, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8021, "anthropic": 0.6621, "eloundou": 0.2615 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6719, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6306, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0389, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1015, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0151, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5117, "exposure_v7": 0.5738, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0695, "exposure": 0.5738 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3994, "exposure_p50": 0.5738, "exposure_p90": 0.7527, "net_risk_p10": 0.0317, "net_risk_p50": 0.0628, "net_risk_p90": 0.1016, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1582, "theta": 0.7321, "c_aioe": 0.8724, "log_wage_spread": 0.3594, "wage_position": 0.539 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2637" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1582, "theta": 0.7321, "c_aioe": 0.8724, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2637" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24311", "title": "Creative advertising professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7089, "gross_wage_25th": 4975, "gross_wage_75th": 10415, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.021985, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8954, "bottleneck": 0.5686, "displacement_pressure": 0.3862, "demand_resilience": 0.287, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4577, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4854, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.631, "market_resilience": 0.5271, "market_modifier": 0.713 }, "net_risk": 0.2754, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2683, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.101, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9209, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.82, "anthropic": 0.9209, "eloundou": 0.9351, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8396, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8431, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2444, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3433, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0246, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4981, "exposure_v7": 0.8954, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2946, "exposure": 0.8954 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8676, "exposure_p50": 0.8973, "exposure_p90": 0.9227, "net_risk_p10": 0.2321, "net_risk_p50": 0.275, "net_risk_p90": 0.3195, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "log_wage_spread": 0.7388, "wage_position": 0.8784 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "26212", "title": "Curator", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5595, "gross_wage_25th": 4610, "gross_wage_75th": 8000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.039346, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.557, "bottleneck": 0.6061, "displacement_pressure": 0.2194, "demand_resilience": 0.2735, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5883, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.887, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3324, "market_resilience": 0.4859, "market_modifier": 0.7265 }, "net_risk": 0.1594, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.164, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1097, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5553, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4456, "anthropic": 0.5553, "eloundou": 0.4498, "ilo": 0.7599 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6047, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.2033, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1366, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2085, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0094, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5484, "exposure_v7": 0.557, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1714, "exposure": 0.557 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4757, "exposure_p50": 0.557, "exposure_p90": 0.6351, "net_risk_p10": 0.1244, "net_risk_p50": 0.1569, "net_risk_p90": 0.1971, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2927, "theta": 0.6884, "c_aioe": 0.2333, "log_wage_spread": 0.5512, "wage_position": 0.6933 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2621" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2927, "theta": 0.6884, "c_aioe": 0.2333, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2621" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "25241", "title": "Cyber risk specialist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 10071, "gross_wage_25th": 7579, "gross_wage_75th": 13583, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.062253, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8342, "bottleneck": 0.2656, "displacement_pressure": 0.6127, "demand_resilience": 0.4598, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4666, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5126, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6996, "market_resilience": 0.5598, "market_modifier": 0.5402 }, "net_risk": 0.3309, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.124, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8342 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_exact_demand", "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5231, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9826, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3232, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4117, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0309, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5791, "exposure_v7": 0.8342, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3664, "exposure": 0.8342 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8342, "exposure_p50": 0.8342, "exposure_p90": 0.8342, "net_risk_p10": 0.2972, "net_risk_p50": 0.3313, "net_risk_p90": 0.3653, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "log_wage_spread": 0.5834, "wage_position": 1.248 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2524" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2524" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "25245", "title": "Cybersecurity architect", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7826, "gross_wage_25th": 5738, "gross_wage_75th": 11236, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.054878, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8342, "bottleneck": 0.2656, "displacement_pressure": 0.6127, "demand_resilience": 0.4616, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5019, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6213, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.639, "market_resilience": 0.5568, "market_modifier": 0.5384 }, "net_risk": 0.3299, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1234, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8342 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_exact_demand", "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5231, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9826, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3206, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4155, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0299, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6102, "exposure_v7": 0.8342, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3673, "exposure": 0.8342 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8342, "exposure_p50": 0.8342, "exposure_p90": 0.8342, "net_risk_p10": 0.2958, "net_risk_p50": 0.3293, "net_risk_p90": 0.3647, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "log_wage_spread": 0.672, "wage_position": 0.9698 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2524" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2524" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "25291", "title": "Data centre engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4863, "gross_wage_25th": 3870, "gross_wage_75th": 6361, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.6, "employment_thousands": 3.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.043259, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8132, "bottleneck": 0.2103, "displacement_pressure": 0.6422, "demand_resilience": 0.2112, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4686, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5188, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2504, "market_resilience": 0.3813, "market_modifier": 0.7888 }, "net_risk": 0.5065, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0652, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8271, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7805, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4681, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5953, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0065, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3963, "exposure_v7": 0.8132, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.532, "exposure": 0.8132 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8007, "exposure_p50": 0.8132, "exposure_p90": 0.8271, "net_risk_p10": 0.4603, "net_risk_p50": 0.5061, "net_risk_p90": 0.5525, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2327, "theta": 0.6394, "c_aioe": 1.0429, "log_wage_spread": 0.4969, "wage_position": 0.6026 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2529" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2327, "theta": 0.6394, "c_aioe": 1.0429, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2529" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21222", "title": "Data scientist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9047, "gross_wage_25th": 6890, "gross_wage_75th": 12132, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018746, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9197, "bottleneck": 0.5143, "displacement_pressure": 0.4468, "demand_resilience": 0.4704, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5257, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6946, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.639, "market_resilience": 0.5711, "market_modifier": 0.5296 }, "net_risk": 0.2366, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2701, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1202, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8468, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.967, "anthropic": 0.8468, "eloundou": 0.9508 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.859, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.989, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2226, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3063, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0634, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6344, "exposure_v7": 0.9197, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2649, "exposure": 0.9197 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8804, "exposure_p50": 0.9197, "exposure_p90": 0.9615, "net_risk_p10": 0.2013, "net_risk_p50": 0.2374, "net_risk_p90": 0.2731, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3827, "theta": 0.6758, "c_aioe": 1.1194, "log_wage_spread": 0.5658, "wage_position": 1.1211 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2122" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3827, "theta": 0.6758, "c_aioe": 1.1194, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2122" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "25211", "title": "Database administrator", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6717, "gross_wage_25th": 3440, "gross_wage_75th": 10264, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.050841, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8952, "bottleneck": 0.1578, "displacement_pressure": 0.754, "demand_resilience": 0.343, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5781, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8556, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.68, "market_resilience": 0.6189, "market_modifier": 0.657 }, "net_risk": 0.4954, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0874, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8601, "ilo": 0.927 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7805, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4867, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6083, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0046, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6448, "exposure_v7": 0.8952, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.544, "exposure": 0.8952 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8601, "exposure_p50": 0.8952, "exposure_p90": 0.927, "net_risk_p10": 0.4488, "net_risk_p50": 0.4939, "net_risk_p90": 0.5429, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2849, "theta": 0.6271, "c_aioe": 1.1028, "log_wage_spread": 1.0932, "wage_position": 0.8323 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2521" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2849, "theta": 0.6271, "c_aioe": 1.1028, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2521" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "25212", "title": "Database architect", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 11153, "gross_wage_25th": 7410, "gross_wage_75th": 14942, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.065512, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8952, "bottleneck": 0.1578, "displacement_pressure": 0.754, "demand_resilience": 0.3497, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5278, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7008, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8066, "market_resilience": 0.6393, "market_modifier": 0.6503 }, "net_risk": 0.4903, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0903, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8601, "ilo": 0.927 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7805, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4775, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5941, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0097, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6204, "exposure_v7": 0.8952, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5371, "exposure": 0.8952 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8601, "exposure_p50": 0.8952, "exposure_p90": 0.927, "net_risk_p10": 0.4429, "net_risk_p50": 0.4886, "net_risk_p90": 0.5374, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2849, "theta": 0.6271, "c_aioe": 1.1028, "log_wage_spread": 0.7013, "wage_position": 1.382 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2521" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2849, "theta": 0.6271, "c_aioe": 1.1028, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2521" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "22122", "title": "Dermatologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9035, "gross_wage_25th": 6776, "gross_wage_75th": 9982, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.038576, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4254, "bottleneck": 0.9813, "displacement_pressure": 0.008, "demand_resilience": 0.321, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4893, "market_resilience": 0.5707, "market_modifier": 0.679 }, "net_risk": 0.0054, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2383, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0003, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4792, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.4792, "eloundou": 0.4906, "ilo": 0.2624 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7852, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5954, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0294, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0054, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6422, "exposure_v7": 0.4254, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0059, "exposure": 0.4254 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3678, "exposure_p50": 0.4254, "exposure_p90": 0.485, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0053, "net_risk_p90": 0.0263, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8149, "c_aioe": 0.302, "log_wage_spread": 0.3874, "wage_position": 1.1196 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2212" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8149, "c_aioe": 0.302, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2212" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22142", "title": "Diagnostic radiologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7016, "gross_wage_25th": 6486, "gross_wage_75th": 9282, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033993, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4381, "bottleneck": 0.9724, "displacement_pressure": 0.0121, "demand_resilience": 0.2867, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3271, "market_resilience": 0.5058, "market_modifier": 0.7133 }, "net_risk": 0.0086, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2155, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0655, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.414, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.414, "eloundou": 0.4236 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7457, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5957, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0341, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0086, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5908, "exposure_v7": 0.4381, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0093, "exposure": 0.4381 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4171, "exposure_p50": 0.4381, "exposure_p90": 0.4604, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0089, "net_risk_p90": 0.0324, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "log_wage_spread": 0.3584, "wage_position": 0.8694 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22651", "title": "Dietitian", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4708, "gross_wage_25th": 4044, "gross_wage_75th": 6232, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.027846, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7747, "bottleneck": 0.8155, "displacement_pressure": 0.1429, "demand_resilience": 0.2511, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1872, "market_resilience": 0.4397, "market_modifier": 0.7489 }, "net_risk": 0.107, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2778, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2312, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6966, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9278, "anthropic": 0.6966, "eloundou": 0.8504, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0765, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1589, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.043, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.532, "exposure_v7": 0.7747, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1146, "exposure": 0.7747 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7058, "exposure_p50": 0.7747, "exposure_p90": 0.8472, "net_risk_p10": 0.0692, "net_risk_p50": 0.1068, "net_risk_p90": 0.1473, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3428, "theta": 0.7297, "c_aioe": 1.0148, "log_wage_spread": 0.4325, "wage_position": 0.5834 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2265" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3428, "theta": 0.7297, "c_aioe": 1.0148, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2265" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "24314", "title": "Digital marketing professional (e.g. online, social media, e-commerce marketing professional)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5300, "gross_wage_25th": 3679, "gross_wage_75th": 8235, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01901, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8954, "bottleneck": 0.5686, "displacement_pressure": 0.3862, "demand_resilience": 0.2728, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4931, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5941, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4982, "market_resilience": 0.4951, "market_modifier": 0.7272 }, "net_risk": 0.2809, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2521, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.101, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9209, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.82, "anthropic": 0.9209, "eloundou": 0.9351, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8396, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8431, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2492, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3544, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0191, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4994, "exposure_v7": 0.8954, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3002, "exposure": 0.8954 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8676, "exposure_p50": 0.8954, "exposure_p90": 0.9227, "net_risk_p10": 0.2368, "net_risk_p50": 0.2799, "net_risk_p90": 0.3256, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "log_wage_spread": 0.8058, "wage_position": 0.6568 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "26542", "title": "Director (stage, film, television, game, commercial, video and radio)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 11998, "gross_wage_25th": 9479, "gross_wage_75th": 15657, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.057618, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6117, "bottleneck": 0.7594, "displacement_pressure": 0.1472, "demand_resilience": 0.3083, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4985, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6109, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6578, "market_resilience": 0.5622, "market_modifier": 0.6917 }, "net_risk": 0.1018, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2611, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0483, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6166, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6649, "anthropic": 0.6166, "eloundou": 0.6611, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0806, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1442, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0482, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5527, "exposure_v7": 0.6117, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.11, "exposure": 0.6117 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5741, "exposure_p50": 0.6117, "exposure_p90": 0.6512, "net_risk_p10": 0.0742, "net_risk_p50": 0.1017, "net_risk_p90": 0.1304, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "log_wage_spread": 0.5018, "wage_position": 1.4867 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2654" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2654" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "23622", "title": "Early intervention teacher for infants and children", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4019, "gross_wage_25th": 3300, "gross_wage_75th": 4951, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 13.4, "employment_thousands": 13.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "23", "employment_family_total_thousands": 66.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.201147, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5042, "bottleneck": 0.9911, "displacement_pressure": 0.0045, "demand_resilience": 0.2432, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1471, "market_resilience": 0.4236, "market_modifier": 0.7568 }, "net_risk": 0.0034, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2117, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0725, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3874, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4599, "anthropic": 0.3874, "eloundou": 0.6695 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5443, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.03, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0034, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5259, "exposure_v7": 0.5042, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0036, "exposure": 0.5042 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4101, "exposure_p50": 0.5042, "exposure_p90": 0.6014, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0035, "net_risk_p90": 0.0277, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.331, "theta": 0.8228, "c_aioe": 0.2193, "log_wage_spread": 0.4057, "wage_position": 0.498 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2362" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.331, "theta": 0.8228, "c_aioe": 0.2193, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2362" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "26310", "title": "Economist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6080, "gross_wage_25th": 4848, "gross_wage_75th": 20000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.041016, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8847, "bottleneck": 0.4902, "displacement_pressure": 0.451, "demand_resilience": 0.3245, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6252, "market_resilience": 0.5859, "market_modifier": 0.6755 }, "net_risk": 0.3047, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.2541, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1628, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8123, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.975, "anthropic": 0.8123, "eloundou": 0.8567, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2841, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3847, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0047, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6083, "exposure_v7": 0.8847, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3321, "exposure": 0.8847 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8456, "exposure_p50": 0.8847, "exposure_p90": 0.9256, "net_risk_p10": 0.2617, "net_risk_p50": 0.3041, "net_risk_p90": 0.3477, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.4038, "theta": 0.6739, "c_aioe": 1.1392, "log_wage_spread": 1.3155, "wage_position": 0.7534 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2631" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.4038, "theta": 0.6739, "c_aioe": 1.1392, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2631" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26422", "title": "Editor (news and periodicals)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 10800, "gross_wage_25th": 7444, "gross_wage_75th": 15038, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.054666, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8254, "bottleneck": 0.6925, "displacement_pressure": 0.2538, "demand_resilience": 0.3337, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4877, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5774, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.803, "market_resilience": 0.6138, "market_modifier": 0.6663 }, "net_risk": 0.1691, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.3509, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.023, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7836, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8066, "anthropic": 0.7836, "ilo": 0.8837 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8422, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1427, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2294, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0191, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5751, "exposure_v7": 0.8254, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1837, "exposure": 0.8254 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7908, "exposure_p50": 0.8254, "exposure_p90": 0.8597, "net_risk_p10": 0.1327, "net_risk_p50": 0.1676, "net_risk_p90": 0.2043, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1867, "theta": 0.7039, "c_aioe": 0.9274, "log_wage_spread": 0.7032, "wage_position": 1.3383 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2642" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1867, "theta": 0.7039, "c_aioe": 0.9274, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2642" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26544", "title": "Editor (radio, television and video)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6909, "gross_wage_25th": 5246, "gross_wage_75th": 9859, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.043723, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6117, "bottleneck": 0.7594, "displacement_pressure": 0.1472, "demand_resilience": 0.2777, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4883, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5795, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5303, "market_resilience": 0.5051, "market_modifier": 0.7223 }, "net_risk": 0.1063, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2346, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0483, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6166, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6649, "anthropic": 0.6166, "eloundou": 0.6611, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.082, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1467, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0437, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5038, "exposure_v7": 0.6117, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1137, "exposure": 0.6117 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5741, "exposure_p50": 0.6117, "exposure_p90": 0.6512, "net_risk_p10": 0.0772, "net_risk_p50": 0.1063, "net_risk_p90": 0.1364, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "log_wage_spread": 0.6309, "wage_position": 0.8561 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2654" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2654" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21511", "title": "Electrical engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6000, "gross_wage_25th": 4687, "gross_wage_75th": 8155, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015266, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5977, "bottleneck": 0.6453, "displacement_pressure": 0.212, "demand_resilience": 0.2414, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4829, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5628, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3672, "market_resilience": 0.4366, "market_modifier": 0.7586 }, "net_risk": 0.1608, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1684, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0508, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5909, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6417, "anthropic": 0.5909, "eloundou": 0.7971, "ilo": 0.3775 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6739, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4803, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1341, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2073, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0108, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4493, "exposure_v7": 0.5977, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1704, "exposure": 0.5977 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4929, "exposure_p50": 0.5977, "exposure_p90": 0.7059, "net_risk_p10": 0.1213, "net_risk_p50": 0.1594, "net_risk_p90": 0.2017, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8961, "theta": 0.6941, "c_aioe": 0.7091, "log_wage_spread": 0.5538, "wage_position": 0.7435 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2151" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8961, "theta": 0.6941, "c_aioe": 0.7091, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2151" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21521", "title": "Electronics engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7861, "gross_wage_25th": 6092, "gross_wage_75th": 9135, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.017474, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6399, "bottleneck": 0.3788, "displacement_pressure": 0.3975, "demand_resilience": 0.4204, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.506, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6339, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4358, "market_resilience": 0.4779, "market_modifier": 0.5796 }, "net_risk": 0.2304, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1158, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0827, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6433, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5606, "anthropic": 0.6433, "eloundou": 0.681, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9164, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2156, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2904, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0696, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5537, "exposure_v7": 0.6399, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2524, "exposure": 0.6399 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6108, "exposure_p50": 0.6399, "exposure_p90": 0.6684, "net_risk_p10": 0.2012, "net_risk_p50": 0.2298, "net_risk_p90": 0.2593, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "log_wage_spread": 0.4051, "wage_position": 0.9741 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21526", "title": "Embedded systems engineer (including port systems engineer)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8085, "gross_wage_25th": 6110, "gross_wage_75th": 10443, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.017721, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6399, "bottleneck": 0.3788, "displacement_pressure": 0.3975, "demand_resilience": 0.3746, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5108, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6485, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5463, "market_resilience": 0.525, "market_modifier": 0.6254 }, "net_risk": 0.2486, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1273, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0827, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6433, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5606, "anthropic": 0.6433, "eloundou": 0.681, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8714, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2324, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3205, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0514, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5835, "exposure_v7": 0.6399, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2718, "exposure": 0.6399 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6108, "exposure_p50": 0.6399, "exposure_p90": 0.6684, "net_risk_p10": 0.2174, "net_risk_p50": 0.2478, "net_risk_p90": 0.2801, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "log_wage_spread": 0.536, "wage_position": 1.0019 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "22143", "title": "Emergency physician", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6575, "gross_wage_25th": 6131, "gross_wage_75th": 7185, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032908, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4381, "bottleneck": 0.9724, "displacement_pressure": 0.0121, "demand_resilience": 0.2583, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1881, "market_resilience": 0.4502, "market_modifier": 0.7417 }, "net_risk": 0.009, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1918, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0655, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.414, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.414, "eloundou": 0.4236 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7457, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5957, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0346, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.009, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.557, "exposure_v7": 0.4381, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0097, "exposure": 0.4381 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4171, "exposure_p50": 0.4381, "exposure_p90": 0.4604, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0094, "net_risk_p90": 0.0328, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "log_wage_spread": 0.1586, "wage_position": 0.8147 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "21496", "title": "Energy engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 12425, "gross_wage_25th": 7883, "gross_wage_75th": 20000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.021969, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5322, "bottleneck": 0.68, "displacement_pressure": 0.1703, "demand_resilience": 0.3855, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9323, "market_resilience": 0.7087, "market_modifier": 0.6145 }, "net_risk": 0.1046, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2565, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0524, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5474, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5998, "anthropic": 0.5474, "eloundou": 0.637, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0875, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1461, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0454, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6655, "exposure_v7": 0.5322, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.116, "exposure": 0.5322 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.462, "exposure_p50": 0.5322, "exposure_p90": 0.6047, "net_risk_p10": 0.0793, "net_risk_p50": 0.1046, "net_risk_p90": 0.1318, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "log_wage_spread": 0.931, "wage_position": 1.5397 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "25113", "title": "Enterprise/Solution architect", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 12137, "gross_wage_25th": 7950, "gross_wage_75th": 16737, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.068341, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8065, "bottleneck": 0.4617, "displacement_pressure": 0.4341, "demand_resilience": 0.3255, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4401, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.431, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8547, "market_resilience": 0.6059, "market_modifier": 0.6745 }, "net_risk": 0.2928, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2256, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8128, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7805, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2687, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.365, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0072, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5288, "exposure_v7": 0.8065, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3158, "exposure": 0.8065 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8007, "exposure_p50": 0.8065, "exposure_p90": 0.8128, "net_risk_p10": 0.2549, "net_risk_p50": 0.2927, "net_risk_p90": 0.3302, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1982, "theta": 0.6694, "c_aioe": 0.9777, "log_wage_spread": 0.7444, "wage_position": 1.504 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2511" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1982, "theta": 0.6694, "c_aioe": 0.9777, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2511" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "21430", "title": "Environmental engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5710, "gross_wage_25th": 4963, "gross_wage_75th": 7127, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.014893, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.693, "bottleneck": 0.8021, "displacement_pressure": 0.1371, "demand_resilience": 0.3751, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5189, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6736, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1939, "market_resilience": 0.3889, "market_modifier": 0.6249 }, "net_risk": 0.0857, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2162, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.503, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4328, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9358, "anthropic": 0.4328, "eloundou": 0.8619, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0605, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1275, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0357, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5012, "exposure_v7": 0.693, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0926, "exposure": 0.693 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5714, "exposure_p50": 0.693, "exposure_p90": 0.8201, "net_risk_p10": 0.0547, "net_risk_p50": 0.0849, "net_risk_p90": 0.1211, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3436, "theta": 0.7257, "c_aioe": 1.0207, "log_wage_spread": 0.3619, "wage_position": 0.7076 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2143" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3436, "theta": 0.7257, "c_aioe": 1.0207, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2143" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21331", "title": "Environmental officer (environmental protection)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7210, "gross_wage_25th": 5500, "gross_wage_75th": 11550, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.016735, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5538, "bottleneck": 0.7986, "displacement_pressure": 0.1115, "demand_resilience": 0.308, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.506, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6339, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6408, "market_resilience": 0.5599, "market_modifier": 0.692 }, "net_risk": 0.0772, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2476, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.5922, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3597, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9519, "anthropic": 0.3597, "eloundou": 0.3556, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7917, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8312, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0551, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1124, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0272, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5605, "exposure_v7": 0.5538, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0834, "exposure": 0.5538 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4126, "exposure_p50": 0.5538, "exposure_p90": 0.7009, "net_risk_p10": 0.0464, "net_risk_p50": 0.0741, "net_risk_p90": 0.1117, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3581, "theta": 0.7251, "c_aioe": 1.0326, "log_wage_spread": 0.7419, "wage_position": 0.8934 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2133" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3581, "theta": 0.7251, "c_aioe": 1.0326, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2133" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "22632", "title": "Environmental officer (public health)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8752, "gross_wage_25th": 6528, "gross_wage_75th": 11000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.037967, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6845, "bottleneck": 0.8155, "displacement_pressure": 0.1263, "demand_resilience": 0.3389, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5749, "market_resilience": 0.6049, "market_modifier": 0.6611 }, "net_risk": 0.0835, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.3377, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2312, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6966, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9278, "anthropic": 0.6966, "eloundou": 0.8504, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8264, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0549, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1296, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0335, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6668, "exposure_v7": 0.6845, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0919, "exposure": 0.6845 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5298, "exposure_p50": 0.6845, "exposure_p90": 0.8472, "net_risk_p10": 0.0447, "net_risk_p50": 0.0822, "net_risk_p90": 0.1235, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3428, "theta": 0.7297, "c_aioe": 1.0148, "log_wage_spread": 0.5218, "wage_position": 1.0845 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2263" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3428, "theta": 0.7297, "c_aioe": 1.0148, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2263" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "24232", "title": "Executive search consultant", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5709, "gross_wage_25th": 4750, "gross_wage_75th": 8000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019729, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8386, "bottleneck": 0.639, "displacement_pressure": 0.3027, "demand_resilience": 0.2272, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4768, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5439, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3102, "market_resilience": 0.4101, "market_modifier": 0.7728 }, "net_risk": 0.2339, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2198, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1685, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7717, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9403, "anthropic": 0.7717, "eloundou": 0.9236, "ilo": 0.7327 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.88, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9444, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1997, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2999, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0661, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4263, "exposure_v7": 0.8386, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2468, "exposure": 0.8386 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7882, "exposure_p50": 0.8386, "exposure_p90": 0.8916, "net_risk_p10": 0.1878, "net_risk_p50": 0.2343, "net_risk_p90": 0.2815, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3474, "theta": 0.6937, "c_aioe": 1.0668, "log_wage_spread": 0.5213, "wage_position": 0.7074 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2423" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3474, "theta": 0.6937, "c_aioe": 1.0668, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2423" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21631", "title": "Fashion designer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 3500, "gross_wage_25th": 2552, "gross_wage_75th": 4868, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01166, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5495, "bottleneck": 0.6034, "displacement_pressure": 0.2179, "demand_resilience": 0.2863, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3253, "market_resilience": 0.5051, "market_modifier": 0.7137 }, "net_risk": 0.1555, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1675, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3346, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3686, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7032, "anthropic": 0.3686, "eloundou": 0.7155, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7309, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7381, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1305, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2114, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0055, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5901, "exposure_v7": 0.5495, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1684, "exposure": 0.5495 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4632, "exposure_p50": 0.5495, "exposure_p90": 0.6379, "net_risk_p10": 0.1155, "net_risk_p50": 0.1546, "net_risk_p90": 0.1999, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9944, "theta": 0.6883, "c_aioe": 0.7926, "log_wage_spread": 0.6458, "wage_position": 0.4337 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2163" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9944, "theta": 0.6883, "c_aioe": 0.7926, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2163" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "24131", "title": "Financial analyst (e.g. equities analyst, credit analyst, investment research analyst)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7500, "gross_wage_25th": 5460, "gross_wage_75th": 10784, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.022613, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8808, "bottleneck": 0.4029, "displacement_pressure": 0.526, "demand_resilience": 0.4418, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.14, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4897, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5837, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6168, "market_resilience": 0.5405, "market_modifier": 0.5582 }, "net_risk": 0.2936, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1918, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0353, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.996, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9608, "anthropic": 0.996, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.9653 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6714, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2795, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3725, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0064, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5857, "exposure_v7": 0.8808, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3244, "exposure": 0.8808 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7793, "exposure_p50": 0.8808, "exposure_p90": 0.9792, "net_risk_p10": 0.2408, "net_risk_p50": 0.2925, "net_risk_p90": 0.3437, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "log_wage_spread": 0.6806, "wage_position": 0.9294 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24135", "title": "Financial product structurer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 12321, "gross_wage_25th": 8120, "gross_wage_75th": 17053, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.3, "employment_thousands": 6.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.028984, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8808, "bottleneck": 0.4029, "displacement_pressure": 0.526, "demand_resilience": 0.5166, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.14, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8583, "market_resilience": 0.6792, "market_modifier": 0.4834 }, "net_risk": 0.2543, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.241, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0353, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.996, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9608, "anthropic": 0.996, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.9653 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6714, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2487, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3352, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0457, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7095, "exposure_v7": 0.8808, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2916, "exposure": 0.8808 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7793, "exposure_p50": 0.8808, "exposure_p90": 0.9799, "net_risk_p10": 0.2107, "net_risk_p50": 0.2542, "net_risk_p90": 0.2974, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "log_wage_spread": 0.742, "wage_position": 1.5268 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24121", "title": "Financial/Investment adviser (e.g. relationship manager)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8000, "gross_wage_25th": 5225, "gross_wage_75th": 13165, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5, "employment_thousands": 5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.023355, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7487, "bottleneck": 0.4519, "displacement_pressure": 0.4104, "demand_resilience": 0.4704, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4543, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4749, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7754, "market_resilience": 0.5828, "market_modifier": 0.5296 }, "net_risk": 0.2173, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1972, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1074, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6769, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5695, "anthropic": 0.6769, "eloundou": 0.8065, "ilo": 0.927 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2039, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2801, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0673, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5818, "exposure_v7": 0.7487, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2412, "exposure": 0.7487 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6575, "exposure_p50": 0.7487, "exposure_p90": 0.8353, "net_risk_p10": 0.1793, "net_risk_p50": 0.2154, "net_risk_p90": 0.2549, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6981, "theta": 0.6689, "c_aioe": 0.57, "log_wage_spread": 0.9241, "wage_position": 0.9913 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6981, "theta": 0.6689, "c_aioe": 0.57, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21723", "title": "Flying instructor (except air force)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 20000, "gross_wage_25th": 8050, "gross_wage_75th": 30000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4, "employment_thousands": 4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.027872, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2078, "bottleneck": 0.926, "displacement_pressure": 0.0154, "demand_resilience": 0.3548, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4486, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4571, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.996, "market_resilience": 0.6675, "market_modifier": 0.6452 }, "net_risk": 0.0099, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1285, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.123, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2594, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2333 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8594, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9603, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0013, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0207, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0099, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5445, "exposure_v7": 0.2078, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0108, "exposure": 0.2078 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1676, "exposure_p50": 0.2078, "exposure_p90": 0.2504, "net_risk_p10": 0.0012, "net_risk_p50": 0.0098, "net_risk_p90": 0.0193, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1944, "theta": 0.7719, "c_aioe": -0.1387, "log_wage_spread": 1.3155, "wage_position": 2.4783 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2172" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1944, "theta": 0.7719, "c_aioe": -0.1387, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2172" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "21454", "title": "Food and drink technologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4261, "gross_wage_25th": 3187, "gross_wage_75th": 6520, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.012865, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6459, "bottleneck": 0.7879, "displacement_pressure": 0.137, "demand_resilience": 0.4556, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3904, "market_resilience": 0.5311, "market_modifier": 0.5444 }, "net_risk": 0.0746, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2703, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2657, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5168, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7825, "anthropic": 0.5168, "eloundou": 0.8766, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.053, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1128, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0246, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6661, "exposure_v7": 0.6459, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0837, "exposure": 0.6459 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5355, "exposure_p50": 0.6459, "exposure_p90": 0.7599, "net_risk_p10": 0.0466, "net_risk_p50": 0.0732, "net_risk_p90": 0.105, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1267, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.8586, "log_wage_spread": 0.7158, "wage_position": 0.528 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2145" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1267, "theta": 0.7233, "c_aioe": 0.8586, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2145" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24152", "title": "Foreign exchange broker", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 19750, "gross_wage_25th": 15010, "gross_wage_75th": 27266, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.4, "employment_thousands": 7.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.036696, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8258, "bottleneck": 0.4474, "displacement_pressure": 0.4563, "demand_resilience": 0.4407, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7799, "market_resilience": 0.6478, "market_modifier": 0.5593 }, "net_risk": 0.2552, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2393, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0894, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9842, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8948, "anthropic": 0.9842, "eloundou": 0.5931 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7007, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.8757, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2433, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3292, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0448, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6921, "exposure_v7": 0.8258, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2868, "exposure": 0.8258 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6911, "exposure_p50": 0.8258, "exposure_p90": 0.9561, "net_risk_p10": 0.2034, "net_risk_p50": 0.2547, "net_risk_p90": 0.3062, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3185, "theta": 0.6679, "c_aioe": 1.0778, "log_wage_spread": 0.5969, "wage_position": 2.4473 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2415" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3185, "theta": 0.6679, "c_aioe": 1.0778, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2415" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24142", "title": "Foreign exchange dealer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 13583, "gross_wage_25th": 8863, "gross_wage_75th": 20000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.6, "employment_thousands": 6.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030432, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8175, "bottleneck": 0.5036, "displacement_pressure": 0.4058, "demand_resilience": 0.3802, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9046, "market_resilience": 0.6977, "market_modifier": 0.6198 }, "net_risk": 0.2515, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2872, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.001, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9536, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9545, "anthropic": 0.9536, "eloundou": 0.5429 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7195, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9807, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2339, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.321, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0485, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6621, "exposure_v7": 0.8175, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2784, "exposure": 0.8175 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6765, "exposure_p50": 0.8175, "exposure_p90": 0.9542, "net_risk_p10": 0.1944, "net_risk_p50": 0.2511, "net_risk_p90": 0.308, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.371, "theta": 0.6747, "c_aioe": 1.1115, "log_wage_spread": 0.8138, "wage_position": 1.6831 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2414" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.371, "theta": 0.6747, "c_aioe": 1.1115, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2414" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24133", "title": "Fund/Portfolio manager (including asset allocator)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 12060, "gross_wage_25th": 7700, "gross_wage_75th": 19500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.028675, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8808, "bottleneck": 0.4029, "displacement_pressure": 0.526, "demand_resilience": 0.4918, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.14, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4639, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5042, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9207, "market_resilience": 0.6466, "market_modifier": 0.5082 }, "net_risk": 0.2673, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2294, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0353, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.996, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9608, "anthropic": 0.996, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.9653 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6714, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2553, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3435, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0327, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6081, "exposure_v7": 0.8808, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2993, "exposure": 0.8808 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7793, "exposure_p50": 0.8808, "exposure_p90": 0.9792, "net_risk_p10": 0.2217, "net_risk_p50": 0.2664, "net_risk_p90": 0.3122, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "log_wage_spread": 0.9292, "wage_position": 1.4944 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "22611", "title": "General dental practitioner", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5163, "gross_wage_25th": 5001, "gross_wage_75th": 5540, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.029161, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1843, "bottleneck": 1, "displacement_pressure": 0, "demand_resilience": 0.228, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.0664, "market_resilience": 0.3914, "market_modifier": 0.772 }, "net_risk": 0, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0721, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0933, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3429, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2496, "anthropic": 0.3429, "eloundou": 0.0774, "ilo": 0.0693 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8754, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.926, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.01, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5192, "exposure_v7": 0.1843, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0, "exposure": 0.1843 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1136, "exposure_p50": 0.1843, "exposure_p90": 0.2554, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0, "net_risk_p90": 0.009, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2101, "theta": 0.8463, "c_aioe": -0.1343, "log_wage_spread": 0.1178, "wage_position": 0.6398 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2261" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2101, "theta": 0.8463, "c_aioe": -0.1343, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2261" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22110", "title": "General practitioner/physician", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6335, "gross_wage_25th": 5749, "gross_wage_75th": 10021, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032301, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2375, "bottleneck": 0.9626, "displacement_pressure": 0.0089, "demand_resilience": 0.2923, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5998, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9226, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4011, "market_resilience": 0.5203, "market_modifier": 0.7077 }, "net_risk": 0.0063, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.119, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3431, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094, "ilo": 0.3329 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7339, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0188, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0063, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5812, "exposure_v7": 0.2375, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0068, "exposure": 0.2375 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1255, "exposure_p50": 0.2375, "exposure_p90": 0.3516, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0052, "net_risk_p90": 0.0185, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8031, "c_aioe": 0.3073, "log_wage_spread": 0.5557, "wage_position": 0.785 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2211" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8031, "c_aioe": 0.3073, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2211" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22131", "title": "General surgeon", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5580, "gross_wage_25th": 4530, "gross_wage_75th": 6290, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030316, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2302, "bottleneck": 0.9955, "displacement_pressure": 0.001, "demand_resilience": 0.2534, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1622, "market_resilience": 0.4399, "market_modifier": 0.7466 }, "net_risk": 0.0008, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1008, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3431, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0889 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6868, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0141, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0008, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5543, "exposure_v7": 0.2302, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0008, "exposure": 0.2302 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1052, "exposure_p50": 0.2302, "exposure_p90": 0.3583, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0006, "net_risk_p90": 0.0141, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8264, "c_aioe": 0.2968, "log_wage_spread": 0.3282, "wage_position": 0.6914 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2213" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8264, "c_aioe": 0.2968, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2213" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "21661", "title": "Graphic designer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 3765, "gross_wage_25th": 3010, "gross_wage_75th": 4496, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.012093, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7459, "bottleneck": 0.4412, "displacement_pressure": 0.4168, "demand_resilience": 0.1924, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4775, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.546, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1364, "market_resilience": 0.341, "market_modifier": 0.8076 }, "net_risk": 0.3366, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1122, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0848, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7381, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6533, "anthropic": 0.7381, "eloundou": 0.7845, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7952, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5455, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3025, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.406, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0366, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3894, "exposure_v7": 0.7459, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3528, "exposure": 0.7459 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7087, "exposure_p50": 0.7459, "exposure_p90": 0.7811, "net_risk_p10": 0.2922, "net_risk_p50": 0.335, "net_risk_p90": 0.3797, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9187, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.7513, "log_wage_spread": 0.4012, "wage_position": 0.4665 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2166" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9187, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.7513, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2166" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "24231", "title": "Human resource consultant (excluding executive search consultant)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8800, "gross_wage_25th": 6196, "gross_wage_75th": 20000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.3, "employment_thousands": 5.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.024495, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8386, "bottleneck": 0.639, "displacement_pressure": 0.3027, "demand_resilience": 0.3407, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4802, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5544, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8529, "market_resilience": 0.6293, "market_modifier": 0.6593 }, "net_risk": 0.1996, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.3372, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1685, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7717, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9403, "anthropic": 0.7717, "eloundou": 0.9236, "ilo": 0.7327 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.88, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9444, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1758, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2618, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0496, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5748, "exposure_v7": 0.8386, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.217, "exposure": 0.8386 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7882, "exposure_p50": 0.8386, "exposure_p90": 0.8916, "net_risk_p10": 0.1616, "net_risk_p50": 0.1989, "net_risk_p90": 0.2406, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3474, "theta": 0.6937, "c_aioe": 1.0668, "log_wage_spread": 1.1718, "wage_position": 1.0905 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2423" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3474, "theta": 0.6937, "c_aioe": 1.0668, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2423" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.65, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.7, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21652", "title": "Hydrographic surveyor", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5450, "gross_wage_25th": 3975, "gross_wage_75th": 7882, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01455, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6767, "bottleneck": 0.2594, "displacement_pressure": 0.5012, "demand_resilience": 0.2332, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4299, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3996, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4287, "market_resilience": 0.4294, "market_modifier": 0.7668 }, "net_risk": 0.3843, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0754, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0147, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5958, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6105, "anthropic": 0.5958, "eloundou": 0.7918, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3493, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4652, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0843, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3999, "exposure_v7": 0.6767, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4043, "exposure": 0.6767 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6282, "exposure_p50": 0.6767, "exposure_p90": 0.7263, "net_risk_p10": 0.3394, "net_risk_p50": 0.3831, "net_risk_p90": 0.4321, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.817, "theta": 0.6477, "c_aioe": 0.6844, "log_wage_spread": 0.6846, "wage_position": 0.6753 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2165" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.817, "theta": 0.6477, "c_aioe": 0.6844, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2165" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "25152", "title": "ICT auditor", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 12311, "gross_wage_25th": 10512, "gross_wage_75th": 15582, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.068829, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8342, "bottleneck": 0.2656, "displacement_pressure": 0.6127, "demand_resilience": 0.3162, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5865, "market_resilience": 0.5704, "market_modifier": 0.6838 }, "net_risk": 0.4189, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1264, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8342 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5106, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9826, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3972, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5075, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0811, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5951, "exposure_v7": 0.8342, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4554, "exposure": 0.8342 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8342, "exposure_p50": 0.8342, "exposure_p90": 0.8342, "net_risk_p10": 0.3781, "net_risk_p50": 0.4178, "net_risk_p90": 0.4591, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "log_wage_spread": 0.3936, "wage_position": 1.5255 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2515" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2515" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "25112", "title": "ICT business process consultant/Business analyst", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8500, "gross_wage_25th": 6264, "gross_wage_75th": 11043, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.057192, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8065, "bottleneck": 0.4617, "displacement_pressure": 0.4341, "demand_resilience": 0.292, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4795, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5523, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6127, "market_resilience": 0.5328, "market_modifier": 0.708 }, "net_risk": 0.3074, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1984, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8128, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7805, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2819, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3806, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0074, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5227, "exposure_v7": 0.8065, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3301, "exposure": 0.8065 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8007, "exposure_p50": 0.8065, "exposure_p90": 0.8128, "net_risk_p10": 0.2699, "net_risk_p50": 0.3078, "net_risk_p90": 0.3464, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1982, "theta": 0.6694, "c_aioe": 0.9777, "log_wage_spread": 0.567, "wage_position": 1.0533 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2511" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1982, "theta": 0.6694, "c_aioe": 0.9777, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2511" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "25151", "title": "ICT quality assurance specialist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7666, "gross_wage_25th": 4797, "gross_wage_75th": 14424, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.054314, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8342, "bottleneck": 0.2656, "displacement_pressure": 0.6127, "demand_resilience": 0.3478, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5434, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.749, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7692, "market_resilience": 0.6337, "market_modifier": 0.6522 }, "net_risk": 0.3996, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1404, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8342 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5406, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9826, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.381, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4946, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0996, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6261, "exposure_v7": 0.8342, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4379, "exposure": 0.8342 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8342, "exposure_p50": 0.8342, "exposure_p90": 0.8342, "net_risk_p10": 0.3604, "net_risk_p50": 0.3995, "net_risk_p90": 0.4391, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "log_wage_spread": 1.1009, "wage_position": 0.9499 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2515" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2515" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24333", "title": "ICT sales and services professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8433, "gross_wage_25th": 4300, "gross_wage_75th": 16132, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.023979, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7818, "bottleneck": 0.3467, "displacement_pressure": 0.5107, "demand_resilience": 0.3429, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4951, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6004, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8365, "market_resilience": 0.6317, "market_modifier": 0.6571 }, "net_risk": 0.3356, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1712, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.166, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9298, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7638, "anthropic": 0.9298, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.8292 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6998, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6237, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3192, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4129, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0356, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5862, "exposure_v7": 0.7818, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3656, "exposure": 0.7818 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6963, "exposure_p50": 0.7818, "exposure_p90": 0.8652, "net_risk_p10": 0.2855, "net_risk_p50": 0.3346, "net_risk_p90": 0.386, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0737, "theta": 0.6623, "c_aioe": 0.8838, "log_wage_spread": 1.3155, "wage_position": 1.045 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2433" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0737, "theta": 0.6623, "c_aioe": 0.8838, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2433" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "26343", "title": "Industrial and organisational psychologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6706, "gross_wage_25th": 5277, "gross_wage_75th": 8762, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.043076, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4736, "bottleneck": 0.8209, "displacement_pressure": 0.0848, "demand_resilience": 0.3868, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3988, "market_resilience": 0.5345, "market_modifier": 0.6132 }, "net_risk": 0.052, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2078, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2689, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2757, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5446, "anthropic": 0.2757, "eloundou": 0.4676, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7328, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6857, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0333, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0832, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.002, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6628, "exposure_v7": 0.4736, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0576, "exposure": 0.4736 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3866, "exposure_p50": 0.4736, "exposure_p90": 0.5599, "net_risk_p10": 0.029, "net_risk_p50": 0.0518, "net_risk_p90": 0.0763, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6207, "theta": 0.7298, "c_aioe": 0.469, "log_wage_spread": 0.5071, "wage_position": 0.831 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2634" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6207, "theta": 0.7298, "c_aioe": 0.469, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2634" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21442", "title": "Industrial machinery and tools engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6000, "gross_wage_25th": 4642, "gross_wage_75th": 7620, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015266, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6275, "bottleneck": 0.6578, "displacement_pressure": 0.2148, "demand_resilience": 0.2195, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4537, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4728, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3191, "market_resilience": 0.3998, "market_modifier": 0.7805 }, "net_risk": 0.1676, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.165, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1104, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6008, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7112, "anthropic": 0.6008, "eloundou": 0.8243, "ilo": 0.3936 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1389, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2173, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0176, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3956, "exposure_v7": 0.6275, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1761, "exposure": 0.6275 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5199, "exposure_p50": 0.6275, "exposure_p90": 0.7387, "net_risk_p10": 0.1248, "net_risk_p50": 0.1658, "net_risk_p90": 0.2113, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0047, "theta": 0.6951, "c_aioe": 0.794, "log_wage_spread": 0.4956, "wage_position": 0.7435 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2144" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0047, "theta": 0.6951, "c_aioe": 0.794, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2144" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24234", "title": "Industrial relations officer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5292, "gross_wage_25th": 4078, "gross_wage_75th": 6528, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018995, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8386, "bottleneck": 0.639, "displacement_pressure": 0.3027, "demand_resilience": 0.2702, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2469, "market_resilience": 0.4738, "market_modifier": 0.7298 }, "net_risk": 0.2209, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2539, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1685, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7717, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9403, "anthropic": 0.7717, "eloundou": 0.9236, "ilo": 0.7327 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8725, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9444, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1865, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2929, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0709, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5701, "exposure_v7": 0.8386, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2382, "exposure": 0.8386 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7882, "exposure_p50": 0.8386, "exposure_p90": 0.8916, "net_risk_p10": 0.1723, "net_risk_p50": 0.22, "net_risk_p90": 0.27, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3474, "theta": 0.6937, "c_aioe": 1.0668, "log_wage_spread": 0.4705, "wage_position": 0.6558 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2423" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3474, "theta": 0.6937, "c_aioe": 1.0668, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2423" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21493", "title": "Industrial safety engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6602, "gross_wage_25th": 4649, "gross_wage_75th": 9009, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.016014, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5322, "bottleneck": 0.68, "displacement_pressure": 0.1703, "demand_resilience": 0.2689, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4761, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5418, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5098, "market_resilience": 0.4896, "market_modifier": 0.7311 }, "net_risk": 0.1245, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1772, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0524, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5474, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5998, "anthropic": 0.5474, "eloundou": 0.637, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1018, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1646, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0255, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4864, "exposure_v7": 0.5322, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1328, "exposure": 0.5322 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.462, "exposure_p50": 0.5322, "exposure_p90": 0.6047, "net_risk_p10": 0.0938, "net_risk_p50": 0.1234, "net_risk_p90": 0.157, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "log_wage_spread": 0.6616, "wage_position": 0.8181 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26112", "title": "In-house legal counsel (except judiciary, ministries and statutory boards)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 17972, "gross_wage_25th": 12000, "gross_wage_75th": 22218, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.070518, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6844, "bottleneck": 0.7504, "displacement_pressure": 0.1708, "demand_resilience": 0.3138, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4387, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4268, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7968, "market_resilience": 0.5819, "market_modifier": 0.6862 }, "net_risk": 0.1172, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2989, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.142, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8063, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9483, "anthropic": 0.8063, "eloundou": 0.5397, "ilo": 0.4616 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7742, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8814, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0902, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1643, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0328, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5192, "exposure_v7": 0.6844, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1261, "exposure": 0.6844 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5669, "exposure_p50": 0.6844, "exposure_p90": 0.8079, "net_risk_p10": 0.0803, "net_risk_p50": 0.1156, "net_risk_p90": 0.1567, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3517, "theta": 0.7147, "c_aioe": 1.0418, "log_wage_spread": 0.616, "wage_position": 2.227 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2611" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3517, "theta": 0.7147, "c_aioe": 1.0418, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2611" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.4, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.8, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.95, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.3 } }, { "ssoc": "21525", "title": "Instrumentation engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6945, "gross_wage_25th": 4142, "gross_wage_75th": 8775, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.016425, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6399, "bottleneck": 0.3788, "displacement_pressure": 0.3975, "demand_resilience": 0.4363, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4509, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4644, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6141, "market_resilience": 0.5162, "market_modifier": 0.5637 }, "net_risk": 0.2241, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1251, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0827, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6433, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5606, "anthropic": 0.6433, "eloundou": 0.681, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9164, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2091, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2815, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0741, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5401, "exposure_v7": 0.6399, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2455, "exposure": 0.6399 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6108, "exposure_p50": 0.6399, "exposure_p90": 0.6684, "net_risk_p10": 0.1957, "net_risk_p50": 0.2226, "net_risk_p90": 0.2514, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "log_wage_spread": 0.7507, "wage_position": 0.8606 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24160", "title": "Insurance underwriter", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6991, "gross_wage_25th": 4800, "gross_wage_75th": 12200, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.021833, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7735, "bottleneck": 0.1444, "displacement_pressure": 0.6618, "demand_resilience": 0.3008, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4584, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4874, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.697, "market_resilience": 0.5538, "market_modifier": 0.6992 }, "net_risk": 0.4627, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0619, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3713, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5395, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9109, "anthropic": 0.5395, "eloundou": 0.887 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7243, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4365, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5594, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0373, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.516, "exposure_v7": 0.7735, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4969, "exposure": 0.7735 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6516, "exposure_p50": 0.7735, "exposure_p90": 0.9027, "net_risk_p10": 0.3757, "net_risk_p50": 0.4643, "net_risk_p90": 0.5543, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3267, "theta": 0.6211, "c_aioe": 1.1466, "log_wage_spread": 0.9328, "wage_position": 0.8663 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2416" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3267, "theta": 0.6211, "c_aioe": 1.1466, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2416" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24251", "title": "Intellectual property agent", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4464, "gross_wage_25th": 3111, "gross_wage_75th": 5300, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.017446, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8421, "bottleneck": 0.1364, "displacement_pressure": 0.7273, "demand_resilience": 0.19, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4115, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3431, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2504, "market_resilience": 0.3471, "market_modifier": 0.81 }, "net_risk": 0.5891, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0399, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0067, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8587, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8654, "anthropic": 0.8587, "eloundou": 0.8023 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8693, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5509, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6811, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0891, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3386, "exposure_v7": 0.8421, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6137, "exposure": 0.8421 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8217, "exposure_p50": 0.8421, "exposure_p90": 0.863, "net_risk_p10": 0.5388, "net_risk_p50": 0.5888, "net_risk_p90": 0.6396, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2921, "theta": 0.6179, "c_aioe": 1.1208, "log_wage_spread": 0.5328, "wage_position": 0.5532 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2425" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2921, "theta": 0.6179, "c_aioe": 1.1208, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2425" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21664", "title": "Interaction designer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7883, "gross_wage_25th": 5913, "gross_wage_75th": 11400, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.017499, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7459, "bottleneck": 0.4412, "displacement_pressure": 0.4168, "demand_resilience": 0.3122, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.521, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6799, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6337, "market_resilience": 0.5661, "market_modifier": 0.6878 }, "net_risk": 0.2867, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1863, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0848, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7381, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6533, "anthropic": 0.7381, "eloundou": 0.7845, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7652, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5455, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2607, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3603, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0133, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5751, "exposure_v7": 0.7459, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3106, "exposure": 0.7459 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7087, "exposure_p50": 0.7459, "exposure_p90": 0.7811, "net_risk_p10": 0.249, "net_risk_p50": 0.2861, "net_risk_p90": 0.3258, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9187, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.7513, "log_wage_spread": 0.6565, "wage_position": 0.9768 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2166" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9187, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.7513, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2166" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "22124", "title": "Internal medicine physician", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6391, "gross_wage_25th": 6071, "gross_wage_75th": 8186, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032444, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4254, "bottleneck": 0.9813, "displacement_pressure": 0.008, "demand_resilience": 0.2638, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2157, "market_resilience": 0.4613, "market_modifier": 0.7362 }, "net_risk": 0.0059, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1926, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0003, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4792, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.4792, "eloundou": 0.4906, "ilo": 0.2624 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7852, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5954, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0302, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0059, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5627, "exposure_v7": 0.4254, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0063, "exposure": 0.4254 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3678, "exposure_p50": 0.4254, "exposure_p90": 0.485, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.006, "net_risk_p90": 0.0289, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8149, "c_aioe": 0.302, "log_wage_spread": 0.2989, "wage_position": 0.7919 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2212" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8149, "c_aioe": 0.302, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2212" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "25232", "title": "IT infrastructure specialist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7881, "gross_wage_25th": 5718, "gross_wage_75th": 10740, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.05507, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7088, "bottleneck": 0.3378, "displacement_pressure": 0.4694, "demand_resilience": 0.3754, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4734, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5335, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6194, "market_resilience": 0.5318, "market_modifier": 0.6246 }, "net_risk": 0.2931, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1273, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5357, "ilo": 0.8651 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.673, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2757, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.363, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0069, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5612, "exposure_v7": 0.7088, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3195, "exposure": 0.7088 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5357, "exposure_p50": 0.7088, "exposure_p90": 0.8651, "net_risk_p10": 0.2169, "net_risk_p50": 0.2925, "net_risk_p90": 0.3647, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5803, "theta": 0.662, "c_aioe": 0.4778, "log_wage_spread": 0.6304, "wage_position": 0.9766 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2523" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5803, "theta": 0.662, "c_aioe": 0.4778, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2523" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "26421", "title": "Journalist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6000, "gross_wage_25th": 4779, "gross_wage_75th": 8423, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.040745, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8254, "bottleneck": 0.6925, "displacement_pressure": 0.2538, "demand_resilience": 0.2395, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4686, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5188, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3859, "market_resilience": 0.4355, "market_modifier": 0.7605 }, "net_risk": 0.193, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.249, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.023, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7836, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8066, "anthropic": 0.7836, "ilo": 0.8837 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8722, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1593, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2539, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.043, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4354, "exposure_v7": 0.8254, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2041, "exposure": 0.8254 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7908, "exposure_p50": 0.8254, "exposure_p90": 0.8597, "net_risk_p10": 0.1504, "net_risk_p50": 0.193, "net_risk_p90": 0.2348, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1867, "theta": 0.7039, "c_aioe": 0.9274, "log_wage_spread": 0.5667, "wage_position": 0.7435 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2642" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1867, "theta": 0.7039, "c_aioe": 0.9274, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2642" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21651", "title": "Land surveyor", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5000, "gross_wage_25th": 3185, "gross_wage_75th": 6351, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.013936, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6767, "bottleneck": 0.2594, "displacement_pressure": 0.5012, "demand_resilience": 0.2277, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4271, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3912, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4073, "market_resilience": 0.4192, "market_modifier": 0.7723 }, "net_risk": 0.387, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0736, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0147, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5958, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6105, "anthropic": 0.5958, "eloundou": 0.7918, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3535, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.459, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.087, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3908, "exposure_v7": 0.6767, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4066, "exposure": 0.6767 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6282, "exposure_p50": 0.6767, "exposure_p90": 0.7263, "net_risk_p10": 0.3416, "net_risk_p50": 0.3857, "net_risk_p90": 0.4338, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.817, "theta": 0.6477, "c_aioe": 0.6844, "log_wage_spread": 0.6902, "wage_position": 0.6196 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2165" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.817, "theta": 0.6477, "c_aioe": 0.6844, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2165" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21621", "title": "Landscape architect", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6145, "gross_wage_25th": 5500, "gross_wage_75th": 10102, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01545, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.472, "bottleneck": 0.5597, "displacement_pressure": 0.2078, "demand_resilience": 0.3081, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4278, "market_resilience": 0.5461, "market_modifier": 0.6919 }, "net_risk": 0.1438, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1443, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.5891, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7255, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.5377, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7964, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.117, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1915, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0062, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6236, "exposure_v7": 0.472, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1567, "exposure": 0.472 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3289, "exposure_p50": 0.472, "exposure_p90": 0.6215, "net_risk_p10": 0.0956, "net_risk_p50": 0.1434, "net_risk_p90": 0.1937, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0344, "theta": 0.6823, "c_aioe": 0.8307, "log_wage_spread": 0.608, "wage_position": 0.7615 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2162" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0344, "theta": 0.6823, "c_aioe": 0.8307, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2162" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "26221", "title": "Librarian", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6659, "gross_wage_25th": 5352, "gross_wage_75th": 8470, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042925, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7851, "bottleneck": 0.7415, "displacement_pressure": 0.2029, "demand_resilience": 0.2251, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4486, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4571, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3556, "market_resilience": 0.4114, "market_modifier": 0.7749 }, "net_risk": 0.1572, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2395, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1581, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7767, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6185, "anthropic": 0.7767, "eloundou": 0.8305, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7039, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.122, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2127, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0072, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3999, "exposure_v7": 0.7851, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1653, "exposure": 0.7851 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7137, "exposure_p50": 0.7851, "exposure_p90": 0.8529, "net_risk_p10": 0.1169, "net_risk_p50": 0.1569, "net_risk_p90": 0.2001, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8742, "theta": 0.7103, "c_aioe": 0.6776, "log_wage_spread": 0.4591, "wage_position": 0.8252 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2622" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8742, "theta": 0.7103, "c_aioe": 0.6776, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2622" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21513", "title": "Lift engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4842, "gross_wage_25th": 3811, "gross_wage_75th": 6622, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.013714, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5977, "bottleneck": 0.6453, "displacement_pressure": 0.212, "demand_resilience": 0.2163, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4605, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4937, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2914, "market_resilience": 0.3929, "market_modifier": 0.7837 }, "net_risk": 0.1662, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1515, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0508, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5909, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6417, "anthropic": 0.5909, "eloundou": 0.7971, "ilo": 0.3775 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6739, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4803, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1363, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2147, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0162, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3955, "exposure_v7": 0.5977, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1745, "exposure": 0.5977 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4929, "exposure_p50": 0.5977, "exposure_p90": 0.7059, "net_risk_p10": 0.1262, "net_risk_p50": 0.1644, "net_risk_p90": 0.2092, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8961, "theta": 0.6941, "c_aioe": 0.7091, "log_wage_spread": 0.5525, "wage_position": 0.6 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2151" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8961, "theta": 0.6941, "c_aioe": 0.7091, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2151" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24211", "title": "Management consultant", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 10799, "gross_wage_25th": 6053, "gross_wage_75th": 17995, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.9, "employment_thousands": 5.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.027135, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7582, "bottleneck": 0.5793, "displacement_pressure": 0.3189, "demand_resilience": 0.3675, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5183, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6715, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9171, "market_resilience": 0.6778, "market_modifier": 0.6325 }, "net_risk": 0.2017, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2977, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1624, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8162, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9786, "anthropic": 0.8162, "eloundou": 0.4979, "ilo": 0.7463 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1848, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2605, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0517, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.625, "exposure_v7": 0.7582, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2217, "exposure": 0.7582 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6434, "exposure_p50": 0.7582, "exposure_p90": 0.8751, "net_risk_p10": 0.1575, "net_risk_p50": 0.2013, "net_risk_p90": 0.2459, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.4324, "theta": 0.6847, "c_aioe": 1.147, "log_wage_spread": 1.0895, "wage_position": 1.3382 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2421" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.4324, "theta": 0.6847, "c_aioe": 1.147, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2421" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21411", "title": "Manufacturing engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4589, "gross_wage_25th": 2596, "gross_wage_75th": 6860, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.013351, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5836, "bottleneck": 0.7148, "displacement_pressure": 0.1664, "demand_resilience": 0.3361, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4353, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4163, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5053, "market_resilience": 0.4633, "market_modifier": 0.6639 }, "net_risk": 0.1105, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1933, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.5633, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2905, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8538, "anthropic": 0.2905, "eloundou": 0.7071, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8114, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0886, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1501, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0395, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4757, "exposure_v7": 0.5836, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1184, "exposure": 0.5836 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4473, "exposure_p50": 0.5836, "exposure_p90": 0.7259, "net_risk_p10": 0.0761, "net_risk_p50": 0.1086, "net_risk_p90": 0.1488, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "log_wage_spread": 0.9717, "wage_position": 0.5686 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21473", "title": "Marine engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4603, "gross_wage_25th": 4130, "gross_wage_75th": 5700, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.013371, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6259, "bottleneck": 0.6667, "displacement_pressure": 0.2086, "demand_resilience": 0.1965, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.504, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6276, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1052, "market_resilience": 0.3445, "market_modifier": 0.8035 }, "net_risk": 0.1676, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1437, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1178, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5168, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6346, "anthropic": 0.5168, "eloundou": 0.7322 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6514, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3083, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1389, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.218, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0176, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4151, "exposure_v7": 0.6259, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1763, "exposure": 0.6259 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5538, "exposure_p50": 0.6259, "exposure_p90": 0.7005, "net_risk_p10": 0.1317, "net_risk_p50": 0.1665, "net_risk_p90": 0.2077, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8912, "theta": 0.6995, "c_aioe": 0.7004, "log_wage_spread": 0.3222, "wage_position": 0.5704 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2147" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8912, "theta": 0.6995, "c_aioe": 0.7004, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2147" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21714", "title": "Marine superintendent", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9600, "gross_wage_25th": 6580, "gross_wage_75th": 14426, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019311, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3445, "bottleneck": 0.8431, "displacement_pressure": 0.054, "demand_resilience": 0.5275, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5842, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8745, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8137, "market_resilience": 0.676, "market_modifier": 0.4725 }, "net_risk": 0.0255, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1963, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.014, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3478, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3619, "anthropic": 0.3478, "eloundou": 0.3243 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6268, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0167, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0438, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0245, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7328, "exposure_v7": 0.3445, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0295, "exposure": 0.3445 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3324, "exposure_p50": 0.3445, "exposure_p90": 0.3569, "net_risk_p10": 0.0149, "net_risk_p50": 0.0253, "net_risk_p90": 0.0361, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0104, "theta": 0.7309, "c_aioe": 0.0078, "log_wage_spread": 0.785, "wage_position": 1.1896 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2171" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0104, "theta": 0.7309, "c_aioe": 0.0078, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2171" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21712", "title": "Marine superintendent (engineer)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7638, "gross_wage_25th": 5800, "gross_wage_75th": 10240, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.017225, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3445, "bottleneck": 0.8431, "displacement_pressure": 0.054, "demand_resilience": 0.4621, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5536, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7803, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5526, "market_resilience": 0.5532, "market_modifier": 0.5379 }, "net_risk": 0.0291, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1607, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.014, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3478, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3619, "anthropic": 0.3478, "eloundou": 0.3243 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6268, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0188, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0487, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0209, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6317, "exposure_v7": 0.3445, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0325, "exposure": 0.3445 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3324, "exposure_p50": 0.3445, "exposure_p90": 0.3569, "net_risk_p10": 0.0172, "net_risk_p50": 0.0292, "net_risk_p90": 0.0414, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0104, "theta": 0.7309, "c_aioe": 0.0078, "log_wage_spread": 0.5684, "wage_position": 0.9465 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2171" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0104, "theta": 0.7309, "c_aioe": 0.0078, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2171" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24312", "title": "Market research professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7000, "gross_wage_25th": 5437, "gross_wage_75th": 9167, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.021847, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8954, "bottleneck": 0.5686, "displacement_pressure": 0.3862, "demand_resilience": 0.2716, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5162, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6653, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4488, "market_resilience": 0.4892, "market_modifier": 0.7284 }, "net_risk": 0.2814, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2491, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.101, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9209, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.82, "anthropic": 0.9209, "eloundou": 0.9351, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8396, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8431, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2509, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3513, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0186, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5142, "exposure_v7": 0.8954, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3012, "exposure": 0.8954 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8676, "exposure_p50": 0.8954, "exposure_p90": 0.9227, "net_risk_p10": 0.2356, "net_risk_p50": 0.2818, "net_risk_p90": 0.3283, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "log_wage_spread": 0.5224, "wage_position": 0.8674 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24313", "title": "Marketing strategy/planning professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8060, "gross_wage_25th": 4600, "gross_wage_75th": 11785, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.023442, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8954, "bottleneck": 0.5686, "displacement_pressure": 0.3862, "demand_resilience": 0.3327, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4965, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6046, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7825, "market_resilience": 0.6109, "market_modifier": 0.6673 }, "net_risk": 0.2577, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.311, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.101, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9209, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.82, "anthropic": 0.9209, "eloundou": 0.9351, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8396, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8431, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2334, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3258, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0423, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5782, "exposure_v7": 0.8954, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2801, "exposure": 0.8954 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8676, "exposure_p50": 0.8954, "exposure_p90": 0.9227, "net_risk_p10": 0.2166, "net_risk_p50": 0.2563, "net_risk_p90": 0.2986, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "log_wage_spread": 0.9408, "wage_position": 0.9988 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "21492", "title": "Materials engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8643, "gross_wage_25th": 6592, "gross_wage_75th": 10805, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018323, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5322, "bottleneck": 0.68, "displacement_pressure": 0.1703, "demand_resilience": 0.2686, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.455, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.549, "market_resilience": 0.4926, "market_modifier": 0.7314 }, "net_risk": 0.1246, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1783, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0524, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5474, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5998, "anthropic": 0.5474, "eloundou": 0.637, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0999, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1673, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0254, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4689, "exposure_v7": 0.5322, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1325, "exposure": 0.5322 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.462, "exposure_p50": 0.5322, "exposure_p90": 0.6047, "net_risk_p10": 0.0944, "net_risk_p50": 0.1236, "net_risk_p90": 0.1559, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "log_wage_spread": 0.4942, "wage_position": 1.071 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21441", "title": "Mechanical engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6205, "gross_wage_25th": 4900, "gross_wage_75th": 8678, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015525, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6275, "bottleneck": 0.6578, "displacement_pressure": 0.2148, "demand_resilience": 0.2458, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4707, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5251, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4118, "market_resilience": 0.4471, "market_modifier": 0.7542 }, "net_risk": 0.162, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1845, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1104, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6008, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7112, "anthropic": 0.6008, "eloundou": 0.8243, "ilo": 0.3936 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1334, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2095, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.012, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4464, "exposure_v7": 0.6275, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1716, "exposure": 0.6275 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5199, "exposure_p50": 0.6275, "exposure_p90": 0.7387, "net_risk_p10": 0.1215, "net_risk_p50": 0.1606, "net_risk_p90": 0.205, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0047, "theta": 0.6951, "c_aioe": 0.794, "log_wage_spread": 0.5716, "wage_position": 0.7689 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2144" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0047, "theta": 0.6951, "c_aioe": 0.794, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2144" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21531", "title": "Media and broadcasting engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6049, "gross_wage_25th": 5012, "gross_wage_75th": 8631, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015329, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8059, "bottleneck": 0.213, "displacement_pressure": 0.6342, "demand_resilience": 0.2337, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4686, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5188, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3592, "market_resilience": 0.4248, "market_modifier": 0.7663 }, "net_risk": 0.486, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0729, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0747, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7105, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7852, "anthropic": 0.7105, "eloundou": 0.9592, "ilo": 0.7748 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4517, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5708, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.014, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.425, "exposure_v7": 0.8059, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.513, "exposure": 0.8059 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7445, "exposure_p50": 0.8059, "exposure_p90": 0.8689, "net_risk_p10": 0.4303, "net_risk_p50": 0.4849, "net_risk_p90": 0.5462, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1418, "theta": 0.6395, "c_aioe": 0.9658, "log_wage_spread": 0.5435, "wage_position": 0.7496 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2153" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1418, "theta": 0.6395, "c_aioe": 0.9658, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2153" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24332", "title": "Medical and pharmaceutical products sales professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7259, "gross_wage_25th": 5524, "gross_wage_75th": 11385, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.022247, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7818, "bottleneck": 0.3467, "displacement_pressure": 0.5107, "demand_resilience": 0.3153, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5291, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.705, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6337, "market_resilience": 0.571, "market_modifier": 0.6847 }, "net_risk": 0.3497, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1548, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.166, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9298, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7638, "anthropic": 0.9298, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.8292 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6998, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6237, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.329, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4361, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0497, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5833, "exposure_v7": 0.7818, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3795, "exposure": 0.7818 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6963, "exposure_p50": 0.7818, "exposure_p90": 0.8652, "net_risk_p10": 0.2972, "net_risk_p50": 0.3485, "net_risk_p90": 0.4026, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0737, "theta": 0.6623, "c_aioe": 0.8838, "log_wage_spread": 0.7232, "wage_position": 0.8995 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2433" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0737, "theta": 0.6623, "c_aioe": 0.8838, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2433" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "22693", "title": "Medical diagnostic radiographer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5716, "gross_wage_25th": 4606, "gross_wage_75th": 7253, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030683, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3521, "bottleneck": 0.877, "displacement_pressure": 0.0433, "demand_resilience": 0.4216, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2611, "market_resilience": 0.4693, "market_modifier": 0.5784 }, "net_risk": 0.025, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1449, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5775, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.758, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0122, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.042, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.025, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6043, "exposure_v7": 0.3521, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0277, "exposure": 0.3521 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1485, "exposure_p50": 0.3521, "exposure_p90": 0.5775, "net_risk_p10": 0.008, "net_risk_p50": 0.0229, "net_risk_p90": 0.046, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.711, "theta": 0.749, "c_aioe": 0.5235, "log_wage_spread": 0.4541, "wage_position": 0.7083 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2269" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.711, "theta": 0.749, "c_aioe": 0.5235, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2269" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "21342", "title": "Medical laboratory scientist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5979, "gross_wage_25th": 5412, "gross_wage_75th": 7443, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01524, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5465, "bottleneck": 0.8271, "displacement_pressure": 0.0945, "demand_resilience": 0.3356, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1863, "market_resilience": 0.4393, "market_modifier": 0.6644 }, "net_risk": 0.0628, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1986, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2679, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.504, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7718, "anthropic": 0.504, "eloundou": 0.3745 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6776, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6233, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0431, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0945, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0128, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5796, "exposure_v7": 0.5465, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0683, "exposure": 0.5465 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.419, "exposure_p50": 0.5465, "exposure_p90": 0.6772, "net_risk_p10": 0.0371, "net_risk_p50": 0.0608, "net_risk_p90": 0.0905, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "log_wage_spread": 0.3187, "wage_position": 0.7409 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21346", "title": "Medical scientist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5833, "gross_wage_25th": 5400, "gross_wage_75th": 6500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015052, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5465, "bottleneck": 0.8271, "displacement_pressure": 0.0945, "demand_resilience": 0.3309, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1252, "market_resilience": 0.4251, "market_modifier": 0.6691 }, "net_risk": 0.0632, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1921, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2679, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.504, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7718, "anthropic": 0.504, "eloundou": 0.3745 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6776, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6233, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0388, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1012, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0132, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5962, "exposure_v7": 0.5465, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0689, "exposure": 0.5465 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.419, "exposure_p50": 0.5465, "exposure_p90": 0.6772, "net_risk_p10": 0.0343, "net_risk_p50": 0.0614, "net_risk_p90": 0.0949, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "log_wage_spread": 0.1854, "wage_position": 0.7228 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26353", "title": "Medical social worker", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4915, "gross_wage_25th": 4203, "gross_wage_75th": 6513, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.6, "employment_thousands": 1.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.036878, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3836, "bottleneck": 0.8476, "displacement_pressure": 0.0585, "demand_resilience": 0.4102, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.205, "market_resilience": 0.4468, "market_modifier": 0.5898 }, "net_risk": 0.0345, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1453, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3093, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2816, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5909, "anthropic": 0.2816, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7897, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0209, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0568, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0155, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5914, "exposure_v7": 0.3836, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0379, "exposure": 0.3836 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2868, "exposure_p50": 0.3836, "exposure_p90": 0.4862, "net_risk_p10": 0.018, "net_risk_p50": 0.0333, "net_risk_p90": 0.0531, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7762, "theta": 0.7314, "c_aioe": 0.5852, "log_wage_spread": 0.438, "wage_position": 0.609 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2635" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7762, "theta": 0.7314, "c_aioe": 0.5852, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2635" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26361", "title": "Minister of religion", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6637, "gross_wage_25th": 4472, "gross_wage_75th": 12804, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042854, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4578, "bottleneck": 0.861, "displacement_pressure": 0.0636, "demand_resilience": 0.3578, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.664, "market_resilience": 0.6406, "market_modifier": 0.6422 }, "net_risk": 0.0409, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2525, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1532, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6917, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8449, "anthropic": 0.6917, "eloundou": 0.2364, "ilo": 0.0854 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7583, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8479, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0205, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0713, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0091, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6953, "exposure_v7": 0.4578, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0453, "exposure": 0.4578 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2738, "exposure_p50": 0.4578, "exposure_p90": 0.6513, "net_risk_p10": 0.0141, "net_risk_p50": 0.0382, "net_risk_p90": 0.0716, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2467, "theta": 0.7366, "c_aioe": 0.9335, "log_wage_spread": 1.0519, "wage_position": 0.8224 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2636" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2467, "theta": 0.7366, "c_aioe": 0.9335, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2636" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21662", "title": "Multimedia (including games) designer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5319, "gross_wage_25th": 4497, "gross_wage_75th": 7584, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.014374, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7459, "bottleneck": 0.4412, "displacement_pressure": 0.4168, "demand_resilience": 0.2155, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4564, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4812, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.295, "market_resilience": 0.3918, "market_modifier": 0.7845 }, "net_risk": 0.327, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1289, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0848, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7381, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6533, "anthropic": 0.7381, "eloundou": 0.7845, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7652, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5455, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2926, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3931, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.027, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3917, "exposure_v7": 0.7459, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3433, "exposure": 0.7459 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7087, "exposure_p50": 0.7459, "exposure_p90": 0.7811, "net_risk_p10": 0.2842, "net_risk_p50": 0.3267, "net_risk_p90": 0.3711, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9187, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.7513, "log_wage_spread": 0.5226, "wage_position": 0.6591 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2166" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9187, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.7513, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2166" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "25123", "title": "Multimedia (including games) developer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6331, "gross_wage_25th": 5422, "gross_wage_75th": 9496, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.049358, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8584, "bottleneck": 0.0481, "displacement_pressure": 0.8171, "demand_resilience": 0.3899, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.14, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4686, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5188, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.41, "market_resilience": 0.4452, "market_modifier": 0.6101 }, "net_risk": 0.4985, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0184, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8414, "ilo": 0.8738 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7674, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9176, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4804, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5944, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0015, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4953, "exposure_v7": 0.8584, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.539, "exposure": 0.8584 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8414, "exposure_p50": 0.8584, "exposure_p90": 0.8738, "net_risk_p10": 0.4558, "net_risk_p50": 0.4964, "net_risk_p90": 0.5344, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2421, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": 1.1188, "log_wage_spread": 0.5604, "wage_position": 0.7845 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2512" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2421, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": 1.1188, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2512" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "21663", "title": "Multimedia artist and animator", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5000, "gross_wage_25th": 3775, "gross_wage_75th": 8177, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.013936, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7459, "bottleneck": 0.4412, "displacement_pressure": 0.4168, "demand_resilience": 0.2627, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4849, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.569, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4635, "market_resilience": 0.4763, "market_modifier": 0.7373 }, "net_risk": 0.3073, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1567, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0848, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7381, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6533, "anthropic": 0.7381, "eloundou": 0.7845, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7652, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5455, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2806, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3758, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0073, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4832, "exposure_v7": 0.7459, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3275, "exposure": 0.7459 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7087, "exposure_p50": 0.7459, "exposure_p90": 0.7811, "net_risk_p10": 0.2675, "net_risk_p50": 0.3079, "net_risk_p90": 0.3478, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9187, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.7513, "log_wage_spread": 0.7729, "wage_position": 0.6196 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2166" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9187, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.7513, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2166" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "25220", "title": "Network, servers and computer systems administrator", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4765, "gross_wage_25th": 3688, "gross_wage_75th": 6920, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.5, "employment_thousands": 3.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042821, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7747, "bottleneck": 0.1497, "displacement_pressure": 0.6587, "demand_resilience": 0.3826, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.12, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5332, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7176, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3538, "market_resilience": 0.4615, "market_modifier": 0.6174 }, "net_risk": 0.4067, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0535, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "exact", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6061, "ilo": 0.927 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_exact_demand", "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.718, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3914, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4948, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0933, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5496, "exposure_v7": 0.7747, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4429, "exposure": 0.7747 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6061, "exposure_p50": 0.7747, "exposure_p90": 0.927, "net_risk_p10": 0.311, "net_risk_p50": 0.4066, "net_risk_p90": 0.4967, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7895, "theta": 0.6236, "c_aioe": 0.6804, "log_wage_spread": 0.6293, "wage_position": 0.5905 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2522" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7895, "theta": 0.6236, "c_aioe": 0.6804, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2522" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "22652", "title": "Nutritionist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4684, "gross_wage_25th": 3232, "gross_wage_75th": 8074, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.027775, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7747, "bottleneck": 0.8155, "displacement_pressure": 0.1429, "demand_resilience": 0.2641, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4724, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5303, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4964, "market_resilience": 0.482, "market_modifier": 0.7359 }, "net_risk": 0.1052, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.3045, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2312, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6966, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9278, "anthropic": 0.6966, "eloundou": 0.8504, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0717, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1514, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0448, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4721, "exposure_v7": 0.7747, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1119, "exposure": 0.7747 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7058, "exposure_p50": 0.7747, "exposure_p90": 0.8472, "net_risk_p10": 0.0666, "net_risk_p50": 0.104, "net_risk_p90": 0.1437, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3428, "theta": 0.7297, "c_aioe": 1.0148, "log_wage_spread": 0.9155, "wage_position": 0.5804 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2265" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3428, "theta": 0.7297, "c_aioe": 1.0148, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2265" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22144", "title": "Obstetrician/Gynaecologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5965, "gross_wage_25th": 4741, "gross_wage_75th": 7002, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.031344, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4381, "bottleneck": 0.9724, "displacement_pressure": 0.0121, "demand_resilience": 0.2553, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5917, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8975, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2371, "market_resilience": 0.4498, "market_modifier": 0.7447 }, "net_risk": 0.009, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1916, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0655, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.414, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.414, "eloundou": 0.4236 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7532, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5957, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0316, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.009, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5288, "exposure_v7": 0.4381, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0097, "exposure": 0.4381 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4171, "exposure_p50": 0.4381, "exposure_p90": 0.4604, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0091, "net_risk_p90": 0.03, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "log_wage_spread": 0.3899, "wage_position": 0.7392 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22631", "title": "Occupational health and safety professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5000, "gross_wage_25th": 3263, "gross_wage_75th": 7313, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.028697, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6845, "bottleneck": 0.8155, "displacement_pressure": 0.1263, "demand_resilience": 0.258, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4652, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5084, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4804, "market_resilience": 0.4713, "market_modifier": 0.742 }, "net_risk": 0.0937, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2631, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2312, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6966, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9278, "anthropic": 0.6966, "eloundou": 0.8504, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0636, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1342, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0437, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4591, "exposure_v7": 0.6845, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0995, "exposure": 0.6845 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5298, "exposure_p50": 0.6845, "exposure_p90": 0.8472, "net_risk_p10": 0.0553, "net_risk_p50": 0.0925, "net_risk_p90": 0.1375, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3428, "theta": 0.7297, "c_aioe": 1.0148, "log_wage_spread": 0.807, "wage_position": 0.6196 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2263" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3428, "theta": 0.7297, "c_aioe": 1.0148, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2263" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22680", "title": "Occupational therapist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4933, "gross_wage_25th": 4085, "gross_wage_75th": 6488, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.028504, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2857, "bottleneck": 0.9652, "displacement_pressure": 0.0099, "demand_resilience": 0.4139, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2237, "market_resilience": 0.4543, "market_modifier": 0.5861 }, "net_risk": 0.0058, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1253, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0242, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3192, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.295, "anthropic": 0.3192, "eloundou": 0.2416 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7654, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4946, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0182, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0058, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5952, "exposure_v7": 0.2857, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0064, "exposure": 0.2857 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.259, "exposure_p50": 0.2857, "exposure_p90": 0.3116, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0056, "net_risk_p90": 0.0167, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1215, "theta": 0.8051, "c_aioe": -0.0827, "log_wage_spread": 0.4626, "wage_position": 0.6113 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2268" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1215, "theta": 0.8051, "c_aioe": -0.0827, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2268" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "24352", "title": "Oil and bunker trader", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 14896, "gross_wage_25th": 8610, "gross_wage_75th": 20000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.9, "employment_thousands": 6.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.031869, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8644, "bottleneck": 0.4813, "displacement_pressure": 0.4484, "demand_resilience": 0.3699, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5196, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6757, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9269, "market_resilience": 0.6825, "market_modifier": 0.6301 }, "net_risk": 0.2825, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2839, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0904, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8854, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.795, "anthropic": 0.8854, "eloundou": 0.909 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7848, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7821, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2636, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3565, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0175, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6277, "exposure_v7": 0.8644, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3107, "exposure": 0.8644 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8269, "exposure_p50": 0.8644, "exposure_p90": 0.9009, "net_risk_p10": 0.2436, "net_risk_p50": 0.2815, "net_risk_p90": 0.3215, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "log_wage_spread": 0.8428, "wage_position": 1.8458 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2435" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2435" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21212", "title": "Operations research analyst", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6352, "gross_wage_25th": 4760, "gross_wage_75th": 9530, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015708, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8899, "bottleneck": 0.1952, "displacement_pressure": 0.7162, "demand_resilience": 0.2624, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4611, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4958, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5089, "market_resilience": 0.4802, "market_modifier": 0.7376 }, "net_risk": 0.5282, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0834, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1791, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8093, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9884, "anthropic": 0.8093, "eloundou": 0.8797 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8427, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4981, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6209, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0282, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4632, "exposure_v7": 0.8899, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5614, "exposure": 0.8899 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.832, "exposure_p50": 0.8899, "exposure_p90": 0.9512, "net_risk_p10": 0.4715, "net_risk_p50": 0.5278, "net_risk_p90": 0.5872, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.4582, "theta": 0.6359, "c_aioe": 1.2388, "log_wage_spread": 0.6942, "wage_position": 0.7871 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2121" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.4582, "theta": 0.6359, "c_aioe": 1.2388, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2121" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "22145", "title": "Ophthalmologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6804, "gross_wage_25th": 6205, "gross_wage_75th": 10257, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033476, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4381, "bottleneck": 0.9724, "displacement_pressure": 0.0121, "demand_resilience": 0.3038, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4073, "market_resilience": 0.5379, "market_modifier": 0.6963 }, "net_risk": 0.0084, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2292, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0655, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.414, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.414, "eloundou": 0.4236 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7457, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5957, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0329, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0084, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6168, "exposure_v7": 0.4381, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0092, "exposure": 0.4381 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4171, "exposure_p50": 0.4381, "exposure_p90": 0.4604, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0089, "net_risk_p90": 0.031, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "log_wage_spread": 0.5026, "wage_position": 0.8431 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22670", "title": "Optometrist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5241, "gross_wage_25th": 4342, "gross_wage_75th": 6191, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.02938, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3195, "bottleneck": 0.9162, "displacement_pressure": 0.0268, "demand_resilience": 0.2463, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1622, "market_resilience": 0.4297, "market_modifier": 0.7537 }, "net_risk": 0.0202, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1258, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1807, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2846, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4652, "anthropic": 0.2846, "eloundou": 0.3347, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7449, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4042, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0041, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.04, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0202, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5297, "exposure_v7": 0.3195, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0216, "exposure": 0.3195 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2575, "exposure_p50": 0.3195, "exposure_p90": 0.3847, "net_risk_p10": 0.0042, "net_risk_p50": 0.0197, "net_risk_p90": 0.0369, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4131, "theta": 0.769, "c_aioe": 0.2959, "log_wage_spread": 0.3548, "wage_position": 0.6494 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2267" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4131, "theta": 0.769, "c_aioe": 0.2959, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2267" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22135", "title": "Orthopaedic surgeon", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5836, "gross_wage_25th": 5580, "gross_wage_75th": 6539, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.031003, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2302, "bottleneck": 0.9955, "displacement_pressure": 0.001, "demand_resilience": 0.2199, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1203, "market_resilience": 0.384, "market_modifier": 0.7801 }, "net_risk": 0.0008, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.088, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3431, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0889 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6943, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0135, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0008, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4714, "exposure_v7": 0.2302, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0008, "exposure": 0.2302 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1052, "exposure_p50": 0.2302, "exposure_p90": 0.3583, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0007, "net_risk_p90": 0.0127, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8264, "c_aioe": 0.2968, "log_wage_spread": 0.1586, "wage_position": 0.7232 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2213" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8264, "c_aioe": 0.2968, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2213" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22148", "title": "Otorhinolaryngologist/Ear, nose, throat (ENT) specialist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6624, "gross_wage_25th": 6097, "gross_wage_75th": 9707, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.03303, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4381, "bottleneck": 0.9724, "displacement_pressure": 0.0121, "demand_resilience": 0.292, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3529, "market_resilience": 0.5162, "market_modifier": 0.708 }, "net_risk": 0.0086, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2199, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0655, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.414, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.414, "eloundou": 0.4236 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7457, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5957, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0329, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0086, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5974, "exposure_v7": 0.4381, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0093, "exposure": 0.4381 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4171, "exposure_p50": 0.4381, "exposure_p90": 0.4604, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0081, "net_risk_p90": 0.0312, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "log_wage_spread": 0.4651, "wage_position": 0.8208 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8137, "c_aioe": 0.3025, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2214" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22126", "title": "Paediatrician", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5789, "gross_wage_25th": 4530, "gross_wage_75th": 6752, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030878, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4254, "bottleneck": 0.9813, "displacement_pressure": 0.008, "demand_resilience": 0.2659, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2255, "market_resilience": 0.4652, "market_modifier": 0.7341 }, "net_risk": 0.0058, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1942, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0003, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4792, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.4792, "eloundou": 0.4906, "ilo": 0.2624 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7852, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5954, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0301, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0058, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5659, "exposure_v7": 0.4254, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0063, "exposure": 0.4254 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3678, "exposure_p50": 0.4254, "exposure_p90": 0.485, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0054, "net_risk_p90": 0.0287, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8149, "c_aioe": 0.302, "log_wage_spread": 0.3991, "wage_position": 0.7173 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2212" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8149, "c_aioe": 0.302, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2212" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "24233", "title": "Personnel/Human resource officer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4000, "gross_wage_25th": 3370, "gross_wage_75th": 4605, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.6, "employment_thousands": 3.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.016514, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8386, "bottleneck": 0.639, "displacement_pressure": 0.3027, "demand_resilience": 0.1884, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4972, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6067, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.0771, "market_resilience": 0.3291, "market_modifier": 0.8116 }, "net_risk": 0.2457, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1764, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1685, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7717, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9403, "anthropic": 0.7717, "eloundou": 0.9236, "ilo": 0.7327 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.85, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9444, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2109, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3105, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0543, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4026, "exposure_v7": 0.8386, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2579, "exposure": 0.8386 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7882, "exposure_p50": 0.8386, "exposure_p90": 0.8916, "net_risk_p10": 0.1982, "net_risk_p50": 0.244, "net_risk_p90": 0.2945, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3474, "theta": 0.6937, "c_aioe": 1.0668, "log_wage_spread": 0.3122, "wage_position": 0.4957 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2423" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3474, "theta": 0.6937, "c_aioe": 1.0668, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2423" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.65, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.7, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "22621", "title": "Pharmacist (patient care)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5466, "gross_wage_25th": 4504, "gross_wage_75th": 7346, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030004, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5263, "bottleneck": 0.9287, "displacement_pressure": 0.0375, "demand_resilience": 0.2578, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5788, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8577, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2727, "market_resilience": 0.4564, "market_modifier": 0.7422 }, "net_risk": 0.0279, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2231, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0668, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6087, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5419, "anthropic": 0.6087, "eloundou": 0.5492, "ilo": 0.4097 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0019, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0579, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0221, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5249, "exposure_v7": 0.5263, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0298, "exposure": 0.5263 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4748, "exposure_p50": 0.5263, "exposure_p90": 0.5782, "net_risk_p10": 0.0025, "net_risk_p50": 0.0276, "net_risk_p90": 0.0532, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6059, "theta": 0.7736, "c_aioe": 0.4312, "log_wage_spread": 0.4892, "wage_position": 0.6773 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2262" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6059, "theta": 0.7736, "c_aioe": 0.4312, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2262" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "21341", "title": "Pharmacologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6706, "gross_wage_25th": 4313, "gross_wage_75th": 13118, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01614, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5465, "bottleneck": 0.8271, "displacement_pressure": 0.0945, "demand_resilience": 0.4458, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6796, "market_resilience": 0.6468, "market_modifier": 0.5542 }, "net_risk": 0.0524, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2924, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2679, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.504, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7718, "anthropic": 0.504, "eloundou": 0.3745 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6776, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6233, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.032, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0868, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0024, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.747, "exposure_v7": 0.5465, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0594, "exposure": 0.5465 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.419, "exposure_p50": 0.5465, "exposure_p90": 0.6772, "net_risk_p10": 0.0275, "net_risk_p50": 0.0509, "net_risk_p90": 0.0785, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "log_wage_spread": 1.1124, "wage_position": 0.831 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.093, "theta": 0.7299, "c_aioe": 0.8258, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2134" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "22640", "title": "Physiotherapist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4814, "gross_wage_25th": 4235, "gross_wage_75th": 6200, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.028158, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2887, "bottleneck": 0.9652, "displacement_pressure": 0.01, "demand_resilience": 0.4002, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1551, "market_resilience": 0.4268, "market_modifier": 0.5998 }, "net_risk": 0.006, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1189, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0242, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3192, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.295, "anthropic": 0.3192, "eloundou": 0.2416, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.805, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4946, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0195, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.006, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5811, "exposure_v7": 0.2887, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0066, "exposure": 0.2887 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.269, "exposure_p50": 0.2887, "exposure_p90": 0.3078, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0063, "net_risk_p90": 0.0173, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1215, "theta": 0.8051, "c_aioe": -0.0827, "log_wage_spread": 0.3812, "wage_position": 0.5965 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2264" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1215, "theta": 0.8051, "c_aioe": -0.0827, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2264" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22692", "title": "Podiatrist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5054, "gross_wage_25th": 4498, "gross_wage_75th": 6956, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.028851, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3521, "bottleneck": 0.877, "displacement_pressure": 0.0433, "demand_resilience": 0.4112, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2103, "market_resilience": 0.4489, "market_modifier": 0.5888 }, "net_risk": 0.0255, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1386, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5775, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.758, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0125, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0448, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0245, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5918, "exposure_v7": 0.3521, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0281, "exposure": 0.3521 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1485, "exposure_p50": 0.3521, "exposure_p90": 0.5775, "net_risk_p10": 0.0082, "net_risk_p50": 0.0235, "net_risk_p90": 0.0476, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.711, "theta": 0.749, "c_aioe": 0.5235, "log_wage_spread": 0.436, "wage_position": 0.6263 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2269" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.711, "theta": 0.749, "c_aioe": 0.5235, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2269" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "24220", "title": "Policy administration professional (e.g. policy analyst)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5179, "gross_wage_25th": 4100, "gross_wage_75th": 8858, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018791, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8434, "bottleneck": 0.3262, "displacement_pressure": 0.5683, "demand_resilience": 0.2835, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5353, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7238, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4724, "market_resilience": 0.5101, "market_modifier": 0.7165 }, "net_risk": 0.4072, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1403, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.089, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9802, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8913, "anthropic": 0.9802, "eloundou": 0.8389, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7181, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.6968, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3785, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.496, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0928, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.54, "exposure_v7": 0.8434, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4378, "exposure": 0.8434 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7631, "exposure_p50": 0.8434, "exposure_p90": 0.9244, "net_risk_p10": 0.3534, "net_risk_p50": 0.4056, "net_risk_p90": 0.463, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3126, "theta": 0.6601, "c_aioe": 1.0832, "log_wage_spread": 0.7703, "wage_position": 0.6418 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2422" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3126, "theta": 0.6601, "c_aioe": 1.0832, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2422" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21512", "title": "Power generation and distribution engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9131, "gross_wage_25th": 6947, "gross_wage_75th": 12139, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018833, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5977, "bottleneck": 0.6453, "displacement_pressure": 0.212, "demand_resilience": 0.3009, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4917, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.59, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6337, "market_resilience": 0.5485, "market_modifier": 0.6991 }, "net_risk": 0.1482, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2116, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0508, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5909, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6417, "anthropic": 0.5909, "eloundou": 0.7971, "ilo": 0.3775 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6739, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4803, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1248, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1966, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0018, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5402, "exposure_v7": 0.5977, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1597, "exposure": 0.5977 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4929, "exposure_p50": 0.5977, "exposure_p90": 0.7059, "net_risk_p10": 0.1122, "net_risk_p50": 0.1474, "net_risk_p90": 0.1875, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8961, "theta": 0.6941, "c_aioe": 0.7091, "log_wage_spread": 0.5581, "wage_position": 1.1315 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2151" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8961, "theta": 0.6941, "c_aioe": 0.7091, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2151" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21415", "title": "Process engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5833, "gross_wage_25th": 4990, "gross_wage_75th": 7600, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015052, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5836, "bottleneck": 0.7148, "displacement_pressure": 0.1664, "demand_resilience": 0.3752, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4924, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5921, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2464, "market_resilience": 0.394, "market_modifier": 0.6248 }, "net_risk": 0.104, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1644, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.5633, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2905, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8538, "anthropic": 0.2905, "eloundou": 0.7071, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.084, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.143, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.046, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4788, "exposure_v7": 0.5836, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.112, "exposure": 0.5836 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4473, "exposure_p50": 0.5836, "exposure_p90": 0.7259, "net_risk_p10": 0.0713, "net_risk_p50": 0.1022, "net_risk_p90": 0.1397, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "log_wage_spread": 0.4207, "wage_position": 0.7228 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21498", "title": "Procurement engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6500, "gross_wage_25th": 4906, "gross_wage_75th": 8956, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01589, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5322, "bottleneck": 0.68, "displacement_pressure": 0.1703, "demand_resilience": 0.2589, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4809, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5565, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4519, "market_resilience": 0.4693, "market_modifier": 0.7411 }, "net_risk": 0.1262, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1698, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0524, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5474, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5998, "anthropic": 0.5474, "eloundou": 0.637, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1027, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1655, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0238, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4771, "exposure_v7": 0.5322, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1343, "exposure": 0.5322 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.462, "exposure_p50": 0.5322, "exposure_p90": 0.6047, "net_risk_p10": 0.096, "net_risk_p50": 0.1258, "net_risk_p90": 0.1579, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "log_wage_spread": 0.6019, "wage_position": 0.8055 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "26541", "title": "Producer (stage, film, television, game, commercial, video and radio)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6736, "gross_wage_25th": 5000, "gross_wage_75th": 9273, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.043172, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6117, "bottleneck": 0.7594, "displacement_pressure": 0.1472, "demand_resilience": 0.2704, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4856, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5711, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5, "market_resilience": 0.4914, "market_modifier": 0.7296 }, "net_risk": 0.1074, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2282, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0483, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6166, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6649, "anthropic": 0.6166, "eloundou": 0.6611, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0836, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1505, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0426, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4933, "exposure_v7": 0.6117, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1146, "exposure": 0.6117 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5741, "exposure_p50": 0.6117, "exposure_p90": 0.6512, "net_risk_p10": 0.0774, "net_risk_p50": 0.1072, "net_risk_p90": 0.1383, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "log_wage_spread": 0.6177, "wage_position": 0.8347 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2654" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2654" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21632", "title": "Product and industrial designer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5710, "gross_wage_25th": 4218, "gross_wage_75th": 7782, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.014893, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5495, "bottleneck": 0.6034, "displacement_pressure": 0.2179, "demand_resilience": 0.2441, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4754, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5397, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3935, "market_resilience": 0.4426, "market_modifier": 0.7559 }, "net_risk": 0.1647, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1468, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3346, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3686, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7032, "anthropic": 0.3686, "eloundou": 0.7155, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7384, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7381, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1404, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2069, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0147, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4489, "exposure_v7": 0.5495, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1745, "exposure": 0.5495 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4632, "exposure_p50": 0.5495, "exposure_p90": 0.6379, "net_risk_p10": 0.1253, "net_risk_p50": 0.1635, "net_risk_p90": 0.208, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9944, "theta": 0.6883, "c_aioe": 0.7926, "log_wage_spread": 0.6125, "wage_position": 0.7076 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2163" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9944, "theta": 0.6883, "c_aioe": 0.7926, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2163" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "21412", "title": "Production engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6251, "gross_wage_25th": 4862, "gross_wage_75th": 10083, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015582, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5836, "bottleneck": 0.7148, "displacement_pressure": 0.1664, "demand_resilience": 0.3596, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4815, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5586, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5285, "market_resilience": 0.5003, "market_modifier": 0.6404 }, "net_risk": 0.1066, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2087, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.5633, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2905, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8538, "anthropic": 0.2905, "eloundou": 0.7071, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8414, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0863, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1439, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0434, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5448, "exposure_v7": 0.5836, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1156, "exposure": 0.5836 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4473, "exposure_p50": 0.5836, "exposure_p90": 0.7259, "net_risk_p10": 0.0719, "net_risk_p50": 0.1056, "net_risk_p90": 0.1433, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "log_wage_spread": 0.7294, "wage_position": 0.7746 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "22128", "title": "Psychiatrist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6886, "gross_wage_25th": 6489, "gross_wage_75th": 9312, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033677, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4254, "bottleneck": 0.9813, "displacement_pressure": 0.008, "demand_resilience": 0.283, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3093, "market_resilience": 0.4987, "market_modifier": 0.717 }, "net_risk": 0.0057, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.2082, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0003, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4792, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.4792, "eloundou": 0.4906, "ilo": 0.2624 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7852, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5954, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0301, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0057, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.586, "exposure_v7": 0.4254, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0062, "exposure": 0.4254 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3678, "exposure_p50": 0.4254, "exposure_p90": 0.4848, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0056, "net_risk_p90": 0.0277, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8149, "c_aioe": 0.302, "log_wage_spread": 0.3612, "wage_position": 0.8533 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2212" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8149, "c_aioe": 0.302, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2212" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "24320", "title": "Public relations/Corporate communications professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4305, "gross_wage_25th": 3630, "gross_wage_75th": 5500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.017133, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8595, "bottleneck": 0.5633, "displacement_pressure": 0.3754, "demand_resilience": 0.1996, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.487, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5753, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.156, "market_resilience": 0.3546, "market_modifier": 0.8004 }, "net_risk": 0.3004, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1717, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1116, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9743, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8627, "anthropic": 0.9743, "eloundou": 0.9184, "ilo": 0.6881 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.269, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3702, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0004, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4004, "exposure_v7": 0.8595, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3155, "exposure": 0.8595 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7855, "exposure_p50": 0.8595, "exposure_p90": 0.9329, "net_risk_p10": 0.25, "net_risk_p50": 0.3004, "net_risk_p90": 0.3538, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2849, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 1.0308, "log_wage_spread": 0.4155, "wage_position": 0.5335 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2432" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2849, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 1.0308, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2432" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21414", "title": "Quality control/assurance engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6310, "gross_wage_25th": 4794, "gross_wage_75th": 8471, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015656, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5836, "bottleneck": 0.7148, "displacement_pressure": 0.1664, "demand_resilience": 0.344, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5013, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6192, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.418, "market_resilience": 0.468, "market_modifier": 0.656 }, "net_risk": 0.1092, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1952, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.5633, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2905, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8538, "anthropic": 0.2905, "eloundou": 0.7071, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8414, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0884, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1484, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0408, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5341, "exposure_v7": 0.5836, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1181, "exposure": 0.5836 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4473, "exposure_p50": 0.5836, "exposure_p90": 0.7259, "net_risk_p10": 0.0749, "net_risk_p50": 0.1077, "net_risk_p90": 0.1478, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "log_wage_spread": 0.5693, "wage_position": 0.7819 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2829, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.9994, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2141" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21494", "title": "Quantity surveyor", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5030, "gross_wage_25th": 4000, "gross_wage_75th": 6322, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.013978, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5322, "bottleneck": 0.68, "displacement_pressure": 0.1703, "demand_resilience": 0.1934, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4373, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4226, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2255, "market_resilience": 0.3526, "market_modifier": 0.8066 }, "net_risk": 0.1374, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1276, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0524, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5474, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5998, "anthropic": 0.5474, "eloundou": 0.637, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1092, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1771, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0126, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3473, "exposure_v7": 0.5322, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1433, "exposure": 0.5322 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.462, "exposure_p50": 0.5322, "exposure_p90": 0.6047, "net_risk_p10": 0.1048, "net_risk_p50": 0.1371, "net_risk_p90": 0.1723, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "log_wage_spread": 0.4577, "wage_position": 0.6233 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7876, "theta": 0.7016, "c_aioe": 0.6173, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2149" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "22694", "title": "Radiation therapist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5629, "gross_wage_25th": 4424, "gross_wage_75th": 7186, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030448, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3521, "bottleneck": 0.877, "displacement_pressure": 0.0433, "demand_resilience": 0.3323, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5502, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7699, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2772, "market_resilience": 0.441, "market_modifier": 0.6677 }, "net_risk": 0.0289, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1362, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5775, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.743, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0139, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0489, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0211, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5381, "exposure_v7": 0.3521, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0312, "exposure": 0.3521 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1485, "exposure_p50": 0.3521, "exposure_p90": 0.5775, "net_risk_p10": 0.0094, "net_risk_p50": 0.0272, "net_risk_p90": 0.054, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.711, "theta": 0.749, "c_aioe": 0.5235, "log_wage_spread": 0.4851, "wage_position": 0.6975 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2269" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.711, "theta": 0.749, "c_aioe": 0.5235, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2269" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22200", "title": "Registered nurse and other nursing professional (e.g. clinical nurse, nurse educator, excluding enrolled nurse)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5276, "gross_wage_25th": 4261, "gross_wage_75th": 6835, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.029478, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4691, "bottleneck": 0.9144, "displacement_pressure": 0.0401, "demand_resilience": 0.3843, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.15, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5149, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6611, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2478, "market_resilience": 0.408, "market_modifier": 0.6157 }, "net_risk": 0.0247, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.175, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1011, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5217, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4207, "anthropic": 0.5217, "eloundou": 0.4603 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8768, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0068, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0485, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0247, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5066, "exposure_v7": 0.4691, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0267, "exposure": 0.4691 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4342, "exposure_p50": 0.4691, "exposure_p90": 0.5019, "net_risk_p10": 0.0063, "net_risk_p50": 0.0246, "net_risk_p90": 0.0437, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2294, "theta": 0.7674, "c_aioe": 0.1647, "log_wage_spread": 0.4726, "wage_position": 0.6538 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2220" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2294, "theta": 0.7674, "c_aioe": 0.1647, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2220" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "24291", "title": "Research officer (non-statistical)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5200, "gross_wage_25th": 4500, "gross_wage_75th": 6812, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_thousands": 4.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018829, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7734, "bottleneck": 0.4706, "displacement_pressure": 0.4094, "demand_resilience": 0.2196, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5142, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.659, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2041, "market_resilience": 0.3901, "market_modifier": 0.7804 }, "net_risk": 0.3195, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.142, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1512, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6581, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8093, "anthropic": 0.6581, "eloundou": 0.8598 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7509, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7063, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.286, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3943, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0195, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4407, "exposure_v7": 0.7734, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3375, "exposure": 0.7734 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7056, "exposure_p50": 0.7734, "exposure_p90": 0.8434, "net_risk_p10": 0.2717, "net_risk_p50": 0.3196, "net_risk_p90": 0.3713, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1879, "theta": 0.6705, "c_aioe": 0.968, "log_wage_spread": 0.4146, "wage_position": 0.6444 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2429" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1879, "theta": 0.6705, "c_aioe": 0.968, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2429" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24315", "title": "Revenue specialist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6387, "gross_wage_25th": 4340, "gross_wage_75th": 11000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020868, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8954, "bottleneck": 0.5686, "displacement_pressure": 0.3862, "demand_resilience": 0.3325, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5842, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8745, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6194, "market_resilience": 0.5983, "market_modifier": 0.6675 }, "net_risk": 0.2578, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.3046, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.101, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9209, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.82, "anthropic": 0.9209, "eloundou": 0.9351, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8396, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8431, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2365, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3307, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0422, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6329, "exposure_v7": 0.8954, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2823, "exposure": 0.8954 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8676, "exposure_p50": 0.8954, "exposure_p90": 0.9227, "net_risk_p10": 0.2173, "net_risk_p50": 0.2577, "net_risk_p90": 0.2983, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "log_wage_spread": 0.93, "wage_position": 0.7914 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2066, "theta": 0.6832, "c_aioe": 0.9678, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2431" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "21475", "title": "Rolling stock engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6795, "gross_wage_25th": 5444, "gross_wage_75th": 7939, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.016246, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6259, "bottleneck": 0.6667, "displacement_pressure": 0.2086, "demand_resilience": 0.283, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3093, "market_resilience": 0.4987, "market_modifier": 0.717 }, "net_risk": 0.1496, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2081, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1178, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5168, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6346, "anthropic": 0.5168, "eloundou": 0.7322 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6439, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3083, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1206, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2023, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0004, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.586, "exposure_v7": 0.6259, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1618, "exposure": 0.6259 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5538, "exposure_p50": 0.6259, "exposure_p90": 0.7005, "net_risk_p10": 0.1123, "net_risk_p50": 0.1485, "net_risk_p90": 0.1868, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8912, "theta": 0.6995, "c_aioe": 0.7004, "log_wage_spread": 0.3773, "wage_position": 0.842 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2147" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8912, "theta": 0.6995, "c_aioe": 0.7004, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2147" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24334", "title": "Sales professional (institutional sales of financial products)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9583, "gross_wage_25th": 6331, "gross_wage_75th": 16750, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.5, "employment_thousands": 5.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.025561, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7818, "bottleneck": 0.3467, "displacement_pressure": 0.5107, "demand_resilience": 0.3466, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4863, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5732, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8721, "market_resilience": 0.6406, "market_modifier": 0.6534 }, "net_risk": 0.3337, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1736, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.166, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9298, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7638, "anthropic": 0.9298, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.8292 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6998, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6237, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3121, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4167, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0337, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5837, "exposure_v7": 0.7818, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3635, "exposure": 0.7818 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6963, "exposure_p50": 0.7818, "exposure_p90": 0.8652, "net_risk_p10": 0.284, "net_risk_p50": 0.3328, "net_risk_p90": 0.384, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0737, "theta": 0.6623, "c_aioe": 0.8838, "log_wage_spread": 0.9729, "wage_position": 1.1875 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2433" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0737, "theta": 0.6623, "c_aioe": 0.8838, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2433" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "26374", "title": "School counsellor", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 3497, "gross_wage_25th": 2252, "gross_wage_75th": 6830, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.031107, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5738, "bottleneck": 0.852, "displacement_pressure": 0.0849, "demand_resilience": 0.2535, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4486, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4571, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4893, "market_resilience": 0.4649, "market_modifier": 0.7465 }, "net_risk": 0.0634, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2273, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1401, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6621, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8021, "anthropic": 0.6621, "eloundou": 0.2615 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6719, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6306, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0379, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.097, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0134, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4429, "exposure_v7": 0.5738, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0671, "exposure": 0.5738 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3994, "exposure_p50": 0.5738, "exposure_p90": 0.7527, "net_risk_p10": 0.0313, "net_risk_p50": 0.0615, "net_risk_p90": 0.099, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1582, "theta": 0.7321, "c_aioe": 0.8724, "log_wage_spread": 1.1095, "wage_position": 0.4333 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2637" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1582, "theta": 0.7321, "c_aioe": 0.8724, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2637" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26412", "title": "Script writer and editor", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 3945, "gross_wage_25th": 3369, "gross_wage_75th": 6737, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033039, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8557, "bottleneck": 0.1257, "displacement_pressure": 0.7482, "demand_resilience": 0.2943, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3636, "market_resilience": 0.5205, "market_modifier": 0.7057 }, "net_risk": 0.5279, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.056, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1328, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8271, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6943, "anthropic": 0.8271, "eloundou": 0.9927, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7564, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4978, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6553, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0279, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6013, "exposure_v7": 0.8557, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5729, "exposure": 0.8557 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7833, "exposure_p50": 0.8557, "exposure_p90": 0.9229, "net_risk_p10": 0.4614, "net_risk_p50": 0.5256, "net_risk_p90": 0.5923, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9879, "theta": 0.6159, "c_aioe": 0.859, "log_wage_spread": 0.693, "wage_position": 0.4888 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2641" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9879, "theta": 0.6159, "c_aioe": 0.859, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2641" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24151", "title": "Securities and finance broker", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8508, "gross_wage_25th": 5817, "gross_wage_75th": 14351, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.024085, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8258, "bottleneck": 0.4474, "displacement_pressure": 0.4563, "demand_resilience": 0.4458, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8048, "market_resilience": 0.6578, "market_modifier": 0.5542 }, "net_risk": 0.2529, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.243, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0894, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9842, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8948, "anthropic": 0.9842, "eloundou": 0.5931 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7007, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.8757, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2433, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3279, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0471, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6978, "exposure_v7": 0.8258, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2847, "exposure": 0.8258 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6911, "exposure_p50": 0.8258, "exposure_p90": 0.9561, "net_risk_p10": 0.2021, "net_risk_p50": 0.2517, "net_risk_p90": 0.3033, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3185, "theta": 0.6679, "c_aioe": 1.0778, "log_wage_spread": 0.903, "wage_position": 1.0543 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2415" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3185, "theta": 0.6679, "c_aioe": 1.0778, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2415" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "24141", "title": "Securities and finance dealer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7896, "gross_wage_25th": 5200, "gross_wage_75th": 17203, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5, "employment_thousands": 5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.023203, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8175, "bottleneck": 0.5036, "displacement_pressure": 0.4058, "demand_resilience": 0.3602, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5597, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8012, "market_resilience": 0.6563, "market_modifier": 0.6398 }, "net_risk": 0.2596, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2702, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.001, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9536, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9545, "anthropic": 0.9536, "eloundou": 0.5429 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7195, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9807, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2432, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.336, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0404, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6489, "exposure_v7": 0.8175, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.286, "exposure": 0.8175 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6765, "exposure_p50": 0.8175, "exposure_p90": 0.9542, "net_risk_p10": 0.2001, "net_risk_p50": 0.2595, "net_risk_p90": 0.3185, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.371, "theta": 0.6747, "c_aioe": 1.1115, "log_wage_spread": 1.1964, "wage_position": 0.9784 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2414" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.371, "theta": 0.6747, "c_aioe": 1.1115, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2414" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "25243", "title": "Security operations specialist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7700, "gross_wage_25th": 5375, "gross_wage_75th": 12250, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_thousands": 4.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.054434, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8342, "bottleneck": 0.2656, "displacement_pressure": 0.6127, "demand_resilience": 0.3959, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4713, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5272, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7237, "market_resilience": 0.5723, "market_modifier": 0.6041 }, "net_risk": 0.3701, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1268, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8342 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5481, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9826, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3555, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4542, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0701, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5833, "exposure_v7": 0.8342, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4059, "exposure": 0.8342 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8342, "exposure_p50": 0.8342, "exposure_p90": 0.8342, "net_risk_p10": 0.3321, "net_risk_p50": 0.3695, "net_risk_p90": 0.4065, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "log_wage_spread": 0.8238, "wage_position": 0.9542 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2524" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2414, "theta": 0.6483, "c_aioe": 1.0392, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2524" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "21523", "title": "Semi-conductor engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6600, "gross_wage_25th": 5638, "gross_wage_75th": 8723, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.016011, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6399, "bottleneck": 0.3788, "displacement_pressure": 0.3975, "demand_resilience": 0.3183, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4836, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5649, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3284, "market_resilience": 0.4215, "market_modifier": 0.6817 }, "net_risk": 0.271, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1022, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0827, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6433, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5606, "anthropic": 0.6433, "eloundou": 0.681, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8714, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2484, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3322, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.029, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4864, "exposure_v7": 0.6399, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2903, "exposure": 0.6399 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6108, "exposure_p50": 0.6399, "exposure_p90": 0.6684, "net_risk_p10": 0.2374, "net_risk_p50": 0.2703, "net_risk_p90": 0.3046, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "log_wage_spread": 0.4364, "wage_position": 0.8178 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6655, "theta": 0.6649, "c_aioe": 0.546, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2152" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21670", "title": "Service designer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8557, "gross_wage_25th": 5162, "gross_wage_75th": 12890, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018231, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7038, "bottleneck": 0.3725, "displacement_pressure": 0.4416, "demand_resilience": 0.3498, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5271, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6987, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8084, "market_resilience": 0.6396, "market_modifier": 0.6502 }, "net_risk": 0.2872, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1677, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1728, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7806, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6078, "anthropic": 0.7806, "eloundou": 0.7155 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7911, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8073, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2692, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3573, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0128, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6193, "exposure_v7": 0.7038, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3145, "exposure": 0.7038 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6447, "exposure_p50": 0.7038, "exposure_p90": 0.7596, "net_risk_p10": 0.2483, "net_risk_p50": 0.286, "net_risk_p90": 0.3267, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7914, "theta": 0.664, "c_aioe": 0.65, "log_wage_spread": 0.9151, "wage_position": 1.0603 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2167" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7914, "theta": 0.664, "c_aioe": 0.65, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2167" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "24362", "title": "Ship broker (e.g. charter or sales & purchase)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9000, "gross_wage_25th": 4180, "gross_wage_75th": 17700, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.024772, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8644, "bottleneck": 0.4813, "displacement_pressure": 0.4484, "demand_resilience": 0.3828, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5842, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8745, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8694, "market_resilience": 0.6983, "market_modifier": 0.6172 }, "net_risk": 0.2767, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2905, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0904, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8854, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.795, "anthropic": 0.8854, "eloundou": 0.909 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7848, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7821, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2597, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3542, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0233, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6853, "exposure_v7": 0.8644, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3075, "exposure": 0.8644 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8269, "exposure_p50": 0.8644, "exposure_p90": 0.9009, "net_risk_p10": 0.2384, "net_risk_p50": 0.2758, "net_risk_p90": 0.3154, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "log_wage_spread": 1.3155, "wage_position": 1.1152 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2436" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2436" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "24353", "title": "Ship charterer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 12399, "gross_wage_25th": 6860, "gross_wage_75th": 18360, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.3, "employment_thousands": 6.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.029076, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8644, "bottleneck": 0.4813, "displacement_pressure": 0.4484, "demand_resilience": 0.3964, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5842, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8745, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9412, "market_resilience": 0.727, "market_modifier": 0.6036 }, "net_risk": 0.2706, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.3024, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0904, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8854, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.795, "anthropic": 0.8854, "eloundou": 0.909 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7848, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7821, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.256, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3477, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0294, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6928, "exposure_v7": 0.8644, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3017, "exposure": 0.8644 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8269, "exposure_p50": 0.8644, "exposure_p90": 0.9009, "net_risk_p10": 0.2329, "net_risk_p50": 0.2703, "net_risk_p90": 0.3092, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "log_wage_spread": 0.9845, "wage_position": 1.5364 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2435" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2435" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "26322", "title": "Social science researcher", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6600, "gross_wage_25th": 6250, "gross_wage_75th": 8917, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042734, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6528, "bottleneck": 0.7718, "displacement_pressure": 0.1489, "demand_resilience": 0.2751, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2705, "market_resilience": 0.4832, "market_modifier": 0.7249 }, "net_risk": 0.108, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2435, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1347, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7016, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5668, "anthropic": 0.7016, "eloundou": 0.5544, "ilo": 0.7748 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.075, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1588, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.042, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5771, "exposure_v7": 0.6528, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1166, "exposure": 0.6528 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5959, "exposure_p50": 0.6528, "exposure_p90": 0.7079, "net_risk_p10": 0.0712, "net_risk_p50": 0.107, "net_risk_p90": 0.1431, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6966, "theta": 0.7192, "c_aioe": 0.5337, "log_wage_spread": 0.3554, "wage_position": 0.8178 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2632" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6966, "theta": 0.7192, "c_aioe": 0.5337, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2632" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "26351", "title": "Social worker (general)", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4405, "gross_wage_25th": 3920, "gross_wage_75th": 5374, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.034912, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3836, "bottleneck": 0.8476, "displacement_pressure": 0.0585, "demand_resilience": 0.3142, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6012, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9268, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.0882, "market_resilience": 0.396, "market_modifier": 0.6858 }, "net_risk": 0.0401, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1288, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3093, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2816, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5909, "anthropic": 0.2816, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7747, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0237, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0626, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0099, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5602, "exposure_v7": 0.3836, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0434, "exposure": 0.3836 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2868, "exposure_p50": 0.3836, "exposure_p90": 0.4862, "net_risk_p10": 0.0214, "net_risk_p50": 0.0389, "net_risk_p90": 0.0623, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7762, "theta": 0.7314, "c_aioe": 0.5852, "log_wage_spread": 0.3155, "wage_position": 0.5458 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2635" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7762, "theta": 0.7314, "c_aioe": 0.5852, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2635" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "25121", "title": "Software developer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8888, "gross_wage_25th": 6658, "gross_wage_75th": 13513, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_thousands": 4.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.058483, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8584, "bottleneck": 0.0481, "displacement_pressure": 0.8171, "demand_resilience": 0.5997, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.27, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4979, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6088, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7371, "market_resilience": 0.5935, "market_modifier": 0.4003 }, "net_risk": 0.3271, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0245, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": "exact", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8414, "ilo": 0.8738 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_exact_demand", "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7724, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9176, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3336, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4204, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0271, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.626, "exposure_v7": 0.8584, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3782, "exposure": 0.8584 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8414, "exposure_p50": 0.8584, "exposure_p90": 0.8738, "net_risk_p10": 0.2945, "net_risk_p50": 0.3255, "net_risk_p90": 0.3558, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2421, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": 1.1188, "log_wage_spread": 0.7078, "wage_position": 1.1014 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2512" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2421, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": 1.1188, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2512" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "22662", "title": "Speech therapist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4764, "gross_wage_25th": 4381, "gross_wage_75th": 6167, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.028011, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4133, "bottleneck": 0.91, "displacement_pressure": 0.0372, "demand_resilience": 0.2393, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1266, "market_resilience": 0.4154, "market_modifier": 0.7607 }, "net_risk": 0.0283, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1562, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.6524, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7888, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.5617, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0088, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0529, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0217, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5238, "exposure_v7": 0.4133, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0302, "exposure": 0.4133 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2568, "exposure_p50": 0.4133, "exposure_p90": 0.5767, "net_risk_p10": 0.0066, "net_risk_p50": 0.0259, "net_risk_p90": 0.0529, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1463, "theta": 0.7646, "c_aioe": 0.8262, "log_wage_spread": 0.3419, "wage_position": 0.5903 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2266" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1463, "theta": 0.7646, "c_aioe": 0.8262, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2266" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "21231", "title": "Statistical officer/Data analyst", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8356, "gross_wage_25th": 5807, "gross_wage_75th": 12201, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018016, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9619, "bottleneck": 0.2567, "displacement_pressure": 0.715, "demand_resilience": 0.3276, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5101, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6464, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7299, "market_resilience": 0.598, "market_modifier": 0.6724 }, "net_risk": 0.4808, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1477, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0347, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9368, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9715, "anthropic": 0.9368, "eloundou": 0.9791 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8258, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.946, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4609, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5784, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0192, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5844, "exposure_v7": 0.9619, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5226, "exposure": 0.9619 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9477, "exposure_p50": 0.9619, "exposure_p90": 0.9766, "net_risk_p10": 0.4335, "net_risk_p50": 0.4815, "net_risk_p90": 0.5296, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3863, "theta": 0.6469, "c_aioe": 1.1624, "log_wage_spread": 0.7425, "wage_position": 1.0354 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2123" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3863, "theta": 0.6469, "c_aioe": 1.1624, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2123" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "21221", "title": "Statistician", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4720, "gross_wage_25th": 3887, "gross_wage_75th": 6465, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01354, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9197, "bottleneck": 0.5143, "displacement_pressure": 0.4468, "demand_resilience": 0.2737, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.08, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4115, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3431, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2451, "market_resilience": 0.3449, "market_modifier": 0.7263 }, "net_risk": 0.3245, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1632, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1202, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8468, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.967, "anthropic": 0.8468, "eloundou": 0.9508 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.844, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.989, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2894, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3944, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0245, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3848, "exposure_v7": 0.9197, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3417, "exposure": 0.9197 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8804, "exposure_p50": 0.9197, "exposure_p90": 0.9615, "net_risk_p10": 0.2778, "net_risk_p50": 0.3238, "net_risk_p90": 0.3722, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3827, "theta": 0.6758, "c_aioe": 1.1194, "log_wage_spread": 0.5088, "wage_position": 0.5849 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2122" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3827, "theta": 0.6758, "c_aioe": 1.1194, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2122" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "25111", "title": "Systems designer/analyst", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6966, "gross_wage_25th": 5772, "gross_wage_75th": 9500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.051775, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8065, "bottleneck": 0.4617, "displacement_pressure": 0.4341, "demand_resilience": 0.2693, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5264, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6967, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4216, "market_resilience": 0.4845, "market_modifier": 0.7307 }, "net_risk": 0.3172, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1804, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8128, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7805, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2892, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3916, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0172, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5133, "exposure_v7": 0.8065, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3395, "exposure": 0.8065 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8007, "exposure_p50": 0.8065, "exposure_p90": 0.8128, "net_risk_p10": 0.2769, "net_risk_p50": 0.3172, "net_risk_p90": 0.3573, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1982, "theta": 0.6694, "c_aioe": 0.9777, "log_wage_spread": 0.4983, "wage_position": 0.8632 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2511" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1982, "theta": 0.6694, "c_aioe": 0.9777, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2511" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24113", "title": "Tax accountant", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9726, "gross_wage_25th": 6595, "gross_wage_75th": 14893, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.025751, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9046, "bottleneck": 0.2807, "displacement_pressure": 0.6506, "demand_resilience": 0.4861, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.14, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.489, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5816, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8369, "market_resilience": 0.6282, "market_modifier": 0.5139 }, "net_risk": 0.3344, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1595, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0855, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9101, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9955, "anthropic": 0.9101, "eloundou": 0.8692, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9164, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3274, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4223, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0344, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.634, "exposure_v7": 0.9046, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3756, "exposure": 0.9046 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8698, "exposure_p50": 0.9046, "exposure_p90": 0.9412, "net_risk_p10": 0.2968, "net_risk_p50": 0.3335, "net_risk_p90": 0.3728, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "log_wage_spread": 0.8146, "wage_position": 1.2052 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2411" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2411" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "23103", "title": "Teaching assistant/Tutor in university", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5800, "gross_wage_25th": 4500, "gross_wage_75th": 6000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 16.1, "employment_thousands": 16.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "23", "employment_family_total_thousands": 66.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.241639, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6194, "bottleneck": 0.7478, "displacement_pressure": 0.1562, "demand_resilience": 0.1851, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4486, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4571, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1591, "market_resilience": 0.3328, "market_modifier": 0.8149 }, "net_risk": 0.1273, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1541, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.083, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8626, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9456, "anthropic": 0.8626, "eloundou": 0.1642, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0976, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1715, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0227, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3537, "exposure_v7": 0.6194, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1328, "exposure": 0.6194 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4325, "exposure_p50": 0.6194, "exposure_p90": 0.8098, "net_risk_p10": 0.0749, "net_risk_p50": 0.124, "net_risk_p90": 0.1827, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3493, "theta": 0.7126, "c_aioe": 1.0427, "log_wage_spread": 0.2877, "wage_position": 0.7187 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2310" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3493, "theta": 0.7126, "c_aioe": 1.0427, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2310" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "24331", "title": "Technical sales professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6850, "gross_wage_25th": 5104, "gross_wage_75th": 10250, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.021611, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7818, "bottleneck": 0.3467, "displacement_pressure": 0.5107, "demand_resilience": 0.2714, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4516, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4665, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5686, "market_resilience": 0.4984, "market_modifier": 0.7286 }, "net_risk": 0.3721, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1351, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.166, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9298, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7638, "anthropic": 0.9298, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.8292 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6998, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6237, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3462, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4538, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0721, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4707, "exposure_v7": 0.7818, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3962, "exposure": 0.7818 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6963, "exposure_p50": 0.7818, "exposure_p90": 0.8652, "net_risk_p10": 0.3187, "net_risk_p50": 0.3701, "net_risk_p90": 0.426, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0737, "theta": 0.6623, "c_aioe": 0.8838, "log_wage_spread": 0.6973, "wage_position": 0.8488 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2433" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0737, "theta": 0.6623, "c_aioe": 0.8838, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2433" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "26414", "title": "Technical writer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5891, "gross_wage_25th": 4368, "gross_wage_75th": 9392, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.040374, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8557, "bottleneck": 0.1257, "displacement_pressure": 0.7482, "demand_resilience": 0.2859, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5169, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6674, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5169, "market_resilience": 0.5169, "market_modifier": 0.7141 }, "net_risk": 0.5342, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0556, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1328, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8271, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6943, "anthropic": 0.8271, "eloundou": 0.9927, "ilo": 0.901 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7939, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5128, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.643, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0342, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5331, "exposure_v7": 0.8557, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5741, "exposure": 0.8557 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7833, "exposure_p50": 0.8557, "exposure_p90": 0.9267, "net_risk_p10": 0.4739, "net_risk_p50": 0.5328, "net_risk_p90": 0.5965, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9879, "theta": 0.6159, "c_aioe": 0.859, "log_wage_spread": 0.7656, "wage_position": 0.73 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2641" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9879, "theta": 0.6159, "c_aioe": 0.859, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2641" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "23300", "title": "Technical/Vocational/Commercial education institute teacher and trainer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 3800, "gross_wage_25th": 3360, "gross_wage_75th": 4542, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 13, "employment_thousands": 13, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "23", "employment_family_total_thousands": 66.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.195589, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4626, "bottleneck": 0.918, "displacement_pressure": 0.0379, "demand_resilience": 0.1685, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4486, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4571, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.0713, "market_resilience": 0.2977, "market_modifier": 0.8315 }, "net_risk": 0.0315, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1264, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0715, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7292, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6578, "anthropic": 0.7292, "eloundou": 0.1067, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6202, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.2654, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0069, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.06, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0185, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3455, "exposure_v7": 0.4626, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0328, "exposure": 0.4626 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3047, "exposure_p50": 0.4626, "exposure_p90": 0.6167, "net_risk_p10": 0.0053, "net_risk_p50": 0.0293, "net_risk_p90": 0.0587, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9345, "theta": 0.7708, "c_aioe": 0.6678, "log_wage_spread": 0.3014, "wage_position": 0.4709 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2330" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9345, "theta": 0.7708, "c_aioe": 0.6678, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2330" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "21532", "title": "Telecommunications engineer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6158, "gross_wage_25th": 4865, "gross_wage_75th": 10106, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.015466, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8059, "bottleneck": 0.213, "displacement_pressure": 0.6342, "demand_resilience": 0.2635, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4557, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4791, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.525, "market_resilience": 0.4834, "market_modifier": 0.7365 }, "net_risk": 0.4671, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.083, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0747, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7105, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7852, "anthropic": 0.7105, "eloundou": 0.9592, "ilo": 0.7748 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4364, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5564, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0329, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4602, "exposure_v7": 0.8059, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4963, "exposure": 0.8059 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7445, "exposure_p50": 0.8059, "exposure_p90": 0.8689, "net_risk_p10": 0.4147, "net_risk_p50": 0.4661, "net_risk_p90": 0.5231, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1418, "theta": 0.6395, "c_aioe": 0.9658, "log_wage_spread": 0.7311, "wage_position": 0.7631 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2153" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1418, "theta": 0.6395, "c_aioe": 0.9658, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2153" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24361", "title": "Trade broker", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 13500, "gross_wage_25th": 5768, "gross_wage_75th": 20000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.6, "employment_thousands": 6.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030339, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8644, "bottleneck": 0.4813, "displacement_pressure": 0.4484, "demand_resilience": 0.3762, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5155, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6632, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9697, "market_resilience": 0.6972, "market_modifier": 0.6238 }, "net_risk": 0.2797, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.29, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0904, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8854, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.795, "anthropic": 0.8854, "eloundou": 0.909 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7848, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7821, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2618, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3558, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0203, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6247, "exposure_v7": 0.8644, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3077, "exposure": 0.8644 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8269, "exposure_p50": 0.8644, "exposure_p90": 0.9009, "net_risk_p10": 0.2414, "net_risk_p50": 0.2786, "net_risk_p90": 0.3188, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "log_wage_spread": 1.2434, "wage_position": 1.6729 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2436" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.152, "theta": 0.6725, "c_aioe": 0.9364, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2436" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "22301", "title": "Traditional Chinese medicine practitioner", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4289, "gross_wage_25th": 2452, "gross_wage_75th": 7120, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.6, "employment_thousands": 1.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.026578, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.318, "bottleneck": 0.9875, "displacement_pressure": 0.004, "demand_resilience": 0.3158, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.608, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4982, "market_resilience": 0.5641, "market_modifier": 0.6842 }, "net_risk": 0.0027, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1771, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0684, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3429, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2745, "anthropic": 0.3429, "eloundou": 0.2531, "ilo": 0.3936 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8967, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9513, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0187, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0027, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6199, "exposure_v7": 0.318, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.003, "exposure": 0.318 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2817, "exposure_p50": 0.318, "exposure_p90": 0.3531, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0027, "net_risk_p90": 0.0167, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1863, "theta": 0.8188, "c_aioe": -0.1242, "log_wage_spread": 1.066, "wage_position": 0.5315 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2230" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1863, "theta": 0.8188, "c_aioe": -0.1242, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2230" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "24240", "title": "Training and staff development professional", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 4490, "gross_wage_25th": 3751, "gross_wage_75th": 6171, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.017497, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7772, "bottleneck": 0.3868, "displacement_pressure": 0.4766, "demand_resilience": 0.2257, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5176, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6695, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2264, "market_resilience": 0.4011, "market_modifier": 0.7743 }, "net_risk": 0.369, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1206, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1711, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7273, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8984, "anthropic": 0.7273, "eloundou": 0.8567, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8173, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6936, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3373, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4475, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.069, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4518, "exposure_v7": 0.7772, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3906, "exposure": 0.7772 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.715, "exposure_p50": 0.7772, "exposure_p90": 0.8427, "net_risk_p10": 0.3179, "net_risk_p50": 0.3693, "net_risk_p90": 0.4222, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3197, "theta": 0.6656, "c_aioe": 1.0818, "log_wage_spread": 0.4978, "wage_position": 0.5564 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2424" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3197, "theta": 0.6656, "c_aioe": 1.0818, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2424" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "26431", "title": "Translator", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6456, "gross_wage_25th": 4776, "gross_wage_75th": 8924, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "26", "employment_family_total_thousands": 43.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042265, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9227, "bottleneck": 0.6613, "displacement_pressure": 0.3125, "demand_resilience": 0.2567, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4686, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5188, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4661, "market_resilience": 0.4676, "market_modifier": 0.7433 }, "net_risk": 0.2323, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2853, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1813, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9585, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7772, "anthropic": 0.9585, "eloundou": 0.9979, "ilo": 0.948 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1962, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3002, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0677, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4625, "exposure_v7": 0.9227, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2467, "exposure": 0.9227 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8694, "exposure_p50": 0.9227, "exposure_p90": 0.9749, "net_risk_p10": 0.1846, "net_risk_p50": 0.2314, "net_risk_p90": 0.2801, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1113, "theta": 0.6957, "c_aioe": 0.8776, "log_wage_spread": 0.6251, "wage_position": 0.8 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2643" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1113, "theta": 0.6957, "c_aioe": 0.8776, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2643" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.85, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "24134", "title": "Treasury manager", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 9405, "gross_wage_25th": 7750, "gross_wage_75th": 11795, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.5, "employment_thousands": 5.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "24", "employment_family_total_thousands": 216.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.025323, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8808, "bottleneck": 0.4029, "displacement_pressure": 0.526, "demand_resilience": 0.4314, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.14, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5081, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6402, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5339, "market_resilience": 0.5184, "market_modifier": 0.5686 }, "net_risk": 0.2991, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1839, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0353, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.996, "sol_match": "prefix", "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9608, "anthropic": 0.996, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.9653 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6714, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2836, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3783, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0009, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5817, "exposure_v7": 0.8808, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3297, "exposure": 0.8808 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7793, "exposure_p50": 0.8808, "exposure_p90": 0.9799, "net_risk_p10": 0.247, "net_risk_p50": 0.2984, "net_risk_p90": 0.3498, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "log_wage_spread": 0.42, "wage_position": 1.1654 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3806, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": 1.1317, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2413" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "23101", "title": "University lecturer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 12990, "gross_wage_25th": 9434, "gross_wage_75th": 17850, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 24.2, "employment_thousands": 24.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "23", "employment_family_total_thousands": 66.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.361625, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6194, "bottleneck": 0.7478, "displacement_pressure": 0.1562, "demand_resilience": 0.3156, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4486, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4571, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7897, "market_resilience": 0.585, "market_modifier": 0.6844 }, "net_risk": 0.1069, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2709, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.083, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8626, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9456, "anthropic": 0.8626, "eloundou": 0.1642, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0835, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1479, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0431, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5234, "exposure_v7": 0.6194, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1151, "exposure": 0.6194 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4325, "exposure_p50": 0.6194, "exposure_p90": 0.8098, "net_risk_p10": 0.0641, "net_risk_p50": 0.1048, "net_risk_p90": 0.1536, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3493, "theta": 0.7126, "c_aioe": 1.0427, "log_wage_spread": 0.6377, "wage_position": 1.6097 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2310" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3493, "theta": 0.7126, "c_aioe": 1.0427, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2310" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "21641", "title": "Urban planner", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 5382, "gross_wage_25th": 4382, "gross_wage_75th": 7500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "21", "employment_family_total_thousands": 154.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.014459, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5322, "bottleneck": 0.7451, "displacement_pressure": 0.1356, "demand_resilience": 0.2143, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4441, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4435, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3102, "market_resilience": 0.3905, "market_modifier": 0.7857 }, "net_risk": 0.1066, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1549, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1535, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5257, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6791, "anthropic": 0.5257, "eloundou": 0.2803, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7754, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.766, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0819, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1468, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0434, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3853, "exposure_v7": 0.5322, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1118, "exposure": 0.5322 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4366, "exposure_p50": 0.5322, "exposure_p90": 0.6295, "net_risk_p10": 0.0728, "net_risk_p50": 0.105, "net_risk_p90": 0.1405, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9571, "theta": 0.7116, "c_aioe": 0.7406, "log_wage_spread": 0.5374, "wage_position": 0.6669 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2164" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9571, "theta": 0.7116, "c_aioe": 0.7406, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2164" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "22138", "title": "Urologist", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 6729, "gross_wage_25th": 6071, "gross_wage_75th": 9696, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033291, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2302, "bottleneck": 0.9955, "displacement_pressure": 0.001, "demand_resilience": 0.2956, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.369, "market_resilience": 0.5226, "market_modifier": 0.7044 }, "net_risk": 0.0007, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1197, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3431, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4795, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0889 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6868, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0136, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0007, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6044, "exposure_v7": 0.2302, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0008, "exposure": 0.2302 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1052, "exposure_p50": 0.2302, "exposure_p90": 0.3583, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0006, "net_risk_p90": 0.0127, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8264, "c_aioe": 0.2968, "log_wage_spread": 0.4682, "wage_position": 0.8338 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2213" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4503, "theta": 0.8264, "c_aioe": 0.2968, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2213" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "22500", "title": "Veterinarian", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 8500, "gross_wage_25th": 5492, "gross_wage_75th": 11390, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "22", "employment_family_total_thousands": 61.6, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.037416, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3298, "bottleneck": 0.9893, "displacement_pressure": 0.0035, "demand_resilience": 0.2907, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4115, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3431, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7331, "market_resilience": 0.5401, "market_modifier": 0.7093 }, "net_risk": 0.0025, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1762, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2914, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6265, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3351, "anthropic": 0.6265, "eloundou": 0.3075, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7939, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0193, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0025, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4764, "exposure_v7": 0.3298, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0027, "exposure": 0.3298 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1816, "exposure_p50": 0.3298, "exposure_p90": 0.479, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0022, "net_risk_p90": 0.0179, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.075, "theta": 0.8191, "c_aioe": -0.05, "log_wage_spread": 0.7294, "wage_position": 1.0533 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2250" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.075, "theta": 0.8191, "c_aioe": -0.05, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2250" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "25122", "title": "Web and mobile applications developer", "major_group": "PROFESSIONALS", "major_group_code": 2, "gross_wage_median": 7000, "gross_wage_25th": 6050, "gross_wage_75th": 9314, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_thousands": 4.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "25", "employment_family_total_thousands": 82.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.051901, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 624.4, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8584, "bottleneck": 0.0481, "displacement_pressure": 0.8171, "demand_resilience": 0.4744, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.21, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5217, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.682, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3783, "market_resilience": 0.4643, "market_modifier": 0.5256 }, "net_risk": 0.4295, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0192, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": "exact", "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8414, "ilo": 0.8738 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_exact_demand", "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7424, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9176, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4234, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5221, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0705, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5544, "exposure_v7": 0.8584, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4748, "exposure": 0.8584 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8414, "exposure_p50": 0.8584, "exposure_p90": 0.8738, "net_risk_p10": 0.391, "net_risk_p50": 0.4285, "net_risk_p90": 0.4616, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2421, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": 1.1188, "log_wage_spread": 0.4315, "wage_position": 0.8674 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "2512" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2421, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": 1.1188, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "2512" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.7, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.15, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.95 } }, { "ssoc": "33392", "title": "Advertising salesman", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5500, "gross_wage_25th": 4651, "gross_wage_75th": 6120, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.9, "employment_thousands": 9.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.038379, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7773, "bottleneck": 0.5241, "displacement_pressure": 0.3699, "demand_resilience": 0.2403, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4465, "market_resilience": 0.4411, "market_modifier": 0.7597 }, "net_risk": 0.281, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1797, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0072, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7451, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7522, "anthropic": 0.7451, "eloundou": 0.909, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.243, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3495, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.019, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4183, "exposure_v7": 0.7773, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2965, "exposure": 0.7773 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7276, "exposure_p50": 0.7773, "exposure_p90": 0.8285, "net_risk_p10": 0.2349, "net_risk_p50": 0.2803, "net_risk_p90": 0.3281, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0477, "theta": 0.6772, "c_aioe": 0.8468, "log_wage_spread": 0.2745, "wage_position": 1.1752 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3339" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0477, "theta": 0.6772, "c_aioe": 0.8468, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3339" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31211", "title": "Aeronautical engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4481, "gross_wage_25th": 3235, "gross_wage_75th": 6054, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020808, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2889, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.2024, "demand_resilience": 0.2218, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2772, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3818, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6016, "market_resilience": 0.407, "market_modifier": 0.7782 }, "net_risk": 0.1575, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0352, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2683, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4046, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2908, "ilo": 0.3329 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1282, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2052, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0075, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3862, "exposure_v7": 0.2889, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1653, "exposure": 0.2889 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2237, "exposure_p50": 0.2889, "exposure_p90": 0.3569, "net_risk_p10": 0.1177, "net_risk_p50": 0.1571, "net_risk_p90": 0.1958, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "log_wage_spread": 0.6267, "wage_position": 0.9575 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3121" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3121" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33222", "title": "After sales adviser/Client account service executive", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5620, "gross_wage_25th": 4054, "gross_wage_75th": 9583, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 10, "employment_thousands": 10, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.038796, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8774, "bottleneck": 0.426, "displacement_pressure": 0.5036, "demand_resilience": 0.2638, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2524, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3054, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8485, "market_resilience": 0.4908, "market_modifier": 0.7362 }, "net_risk": 0.3708, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1835, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0206, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8992, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9198, "anthropic": 0.8992, "eloundou": 0.8954, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9089, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3387, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4465, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0708, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.429, "exposure_v7": 0.8774, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3924, "exposure": 0.8774 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8481, "exposure_p50": 0.8774, "exposure_p90": 0.9082, "net_risk_p10": 0.3247, "net_risk_p50": 0.3707, "net_risk_p90": 0.4173, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "log_wage_spread": 0.8603, "wage_position": 1.2009 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "31594", "title": "Air cargo officer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4201, "gross_wage_25th": 3425, "gross_wage_75th": 5362, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020147, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3146, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1192, "demand_resilience": 0.1619, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2177, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1987, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4091, "market_resilience": 0.2943, "market_modifier": 0.8381 }, "net_risk": 0.0999, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0575, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.415, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0745, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1315, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0499, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2949, "exposure_v7": 0.3146, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1034, "exposure": 0.3146 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3146, "exposure_p90": 0.3146, "net_risk_p10": 0.0827, "net_risk_p50": 0.0996, "net_risk_p90": 0.1172, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.4482, "wage_position": 0.8976 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33611", "title": "Air transport equipment project executive", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4555, "gross_wage_25th": 2811, "gross_wage_75th": 7735, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9, "employment_thousands": 9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.034927, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5738, "bottleneck": 0.385, "displacement_pressure": 0.3529, "demand_resilience": 0.2326, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1953, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1297, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7816, "market_resilience": 0.4298, "market_modifier": 0.7674 }, "net_risk": 0.2708, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.095, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0773, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6245, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5472, "anthropic": 0.6245, "eloundou": 0.546 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6051, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.1232, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2419, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3266, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0292, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3922, "exposure_v7": 0.5738, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2846, "exposure": 0.5738 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5464, "exposure_p50": 0.5738, "exposure_p90": 0.6002, "net_risk_p10": 0.2387, "net_risk_p50": 0.2703, "net_risk_p90": 0.3025, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6209, "theta": 0.6655, "c_aioe": 0.509, "log_wage_spread": 1.0122, "wage_position": 0.9733 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3361" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6209, "theta": 0.6655, "c_aioe": 0.509, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3361" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31571", "title": "Air transport service supervisor", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5552, "gross_wage_25th": 4425, "gross_wage_75th": 7536, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.023161, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2739, "bottleneck": 0.8681, "displacement_pressure": 0.0361, "demand_resilience": 0.1981, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1888, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1098, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6212, "market_resilience": 0.3618, "market_modifier": 0.8019 }, "net_risk": 0.029, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.086, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1417, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2781, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4142 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.848, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.975, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0147, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0482, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.021, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3527, "exposure_v7": 0.2739, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0302, "exposure": 0.2739 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1809, "exposure_p50": 0.2739, "exposure_p90": 0.37, "net_risk_p10": 0.0129, "net_risk_p50": 0.0276, "net_risk_p90": 0.0464, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1838, "theta": 0.7404, "c_aioe": -0.1369, "log_wage_spread": 0.5324, "wage_position": 1.1863 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3157" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1838, "theta": 0.7404, "c_aioe": -0.1369, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3157" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31152", "title": "Air-conditioning/Refrigeration engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4141, "gross_wage_25th": 2900, "gross_wage_75th": 5750, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020003, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3919, "bottleneck": 0.5437, "displacement_pressure": 0.1789, "demand_resilience": 0.2163, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2687, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3556, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5891, "market_resilience": 0.3969, "market_modifier": 0.7837 }, "net_risk": 0.1402, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0846, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2582, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5613, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.303, "anthropic": 0.5613, "eloundou": 0.4561, "ilo": 0.245 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1152, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1793, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0098, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3766, "exposure_v7": 0.3919, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1469, "exposure": 0.3919 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3103, "exposure_p50": 0.3919, "exposure_p90": 0.4742, "net_risk_p10": 0.1057, "net_risk_p50": 0.1375, "net_risk_p90": 0.1749, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1192, "theta": 0.6809, "c_aioe": -0.0959, "log_wage_spread": 0.6845, "wage_position": 0.8848 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3115" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1192, "theta": 0.6809, "c_aioe": -0.0959, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3115" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33151", "title": "Appraiser/Valuer (excluding intangible asset valuer)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5281, "gross_wage_25th": 3140, "gross_wage_75th": 8251, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.7, "employment_thousands": 9.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.037608, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7378, "bottleneck": 0.3111, "displacement_pressure": 0.5083, "demand_resilience": 0.2817, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3102, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4833, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8476, "market_resilience": 0.5251, "market_modifier": 0.7183 }, "net_risk": 0.3651, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1205, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3177, "eloundou": 0.3305, "ilo": 0.3518 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7157, "eloundou": 0.7646, "ilo": 0.7327 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.768, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7897, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3431, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4373, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0651, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4543, "exposure_v7": 0.7378, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3882, "exposure": 0.7378 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7217, "exposure_p50": 0.7378, "exposure_p90": 0.7535, "net_risk_p10": 0.3284, "net_risk_p50": 0.3644, "net_risk_p90": 0.4016, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0062, "theta": 0.6561, "c_aioe": 0.8344, "log_wage_spread": 0.9661, "wage_position": 1.1284 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3315" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0062, "theta": 0.6561, "c_aioe": 0.8344, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3315" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31184", "title": "Architectural draughtsman", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4135, "gross_wage_25th": 3300, "gross_wage_75th": 5400, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019988, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3769, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1428, "demand_resilience": 0.1692, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2235, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2165, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.434, "market_resilience": 0.3077, "market_modifier": 0.8308 }, "net_risk": 0.1186, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.072, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6655, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0951, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1555, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0314, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3076, "exposure_v7": 0.3769, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.123, "exposure": 0.3769 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3769, "exposure_p90": 0.4332, "net_risk_p10": 0.0928, "net_risk_p50": 0.1173, "net_risk_p90": 0.145, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.4925, "wage_position": 0.8835 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "36202", "title": "Art and craft instructor (extracurriculum)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3300, "gross_wage_25th": 2400, "gross_wage_75th": 4183, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.7, "employment_thousands": 6.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "36", "employment_family_total_thousands": 51.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.131377, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9046, "bottleneck": 0.7041, "displacement_pressure": 0.2677, "demand_resilience": 0.2159, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4333, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8619, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3431, "market_resilience": 0.3972, "market_modifier": 0.7841 }, "net_risk": 0.2099, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.253, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9046 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.415, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1694, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2704, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0599, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3714, "exposure_v7": 0.9046, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2198, "exposure": 0.9046 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9046, "exposure_p50": 0.9046, "exposure_p90": 0.9046, "net_risk_p10": 0.1653, "net_risk_p50": 0.2095, "net_risk_p90": 0.2568, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "log_wage_spread": 0.5556, "wage_position": 0.7051 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3620" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3620" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "33152", "title": "Assessor", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5100, "gross_wage_25th": 3926, "gross_wage_75th": 6777, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.6, "employment_thousands": 9.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.036957, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7378, "bottleneck": 0.3111, "displacement_pressure": 0.5083, "demand_resilience": 0.212, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2483, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2929, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5989, "market_resilience": 0.3886, "market_modifier": 0.788 }, "net_risk": 0.4006, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0892, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3177, "eloundou": 0.3305, "ilo": 0.3518 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7157, "eloundou": 0.7646, "ilo": 0.7327 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.768, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7897, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.368, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4753, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0994, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3716, "exposure_v7": 0.7378, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4195, "exposure": 0.7378 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7217, "exposure_p50": 0.7378, "exposure_p90": 0.7535, "net_risk_p10": 0.3611, "net_risk_p50": 0.401, "net_risk_p90": 0.4411, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0062, "theta": 0.6561, "c_aioe": 0.8344, "log_wage_spread": 0.5459, "wage_position": 1.0897 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3315" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0062, "theta": 0.6561, "c_aioe": 0.8344, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3315" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33131", "title": "Assistant accountant", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3885, "gross_wage_25th": 3300, "gross_wage_75th": 4575, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.4, "employment_thousands": 8.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032256, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8917, "bottleneck": 0.2807, "displacement_pressure": 0.6413, "demand_resilience": 0.1623, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3122, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4895, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2665, "market_resilience": 0.2939, "market_modifier": 0.8377 }, "net_risk": 0.5372, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0736, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0855, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9101, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9955, "anthropic": 0.9101, "eloundou": 0.8692, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4921, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6257, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0372, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3003, "exposure_v7": 0.8917, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5565, "exposure": 0.8917 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8446, "exposure_p50": 0.8917, "exposure_p90": 0.9412, "net_risk_p10": 0.4809, "net_risk_p50": 0.5376, "net_risk_p90": 0.596, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "log_wage_spread": 0.3267, "wage_position": 0.8301 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3313" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3313" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "31001", "title": "Assistant civil and structural engineer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4110, "gross_wage_25th": 3300, "gross_wage_75th": 5838, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019928, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3788, "bottleneck": 0.4118, "displacement_pressure": 0.2228, "demand_resilience": 0.187, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2293, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2343, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5107, "market_resilience": 0.3418, "market_modifier": 0.813 }, "net_risk": 0.1812, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0533, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1361, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3024, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4385, "anthropic": 0.3024, "eloundou": 0.4017 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8087, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8177, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1531, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2282, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0312, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3313, "exposure_v7": 0.3788, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1886, "exposure": 0.3788 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3344, "exposure_p50": 0.3788, "exposure_p90": 0.4259, "net_risk_p10": 0.1523, "net_risk_p50": 0.1808, "net_risk_p90": 0.2106, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "log_wage_spread": 0.5705, "wage_position": 0.8782 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31002", "title": "Assistant electrical engineer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4871, "gross_wage_25th": 3800, "gross_wage_75th": 6579, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.021694, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3788, "bottleneck": 0.4118, "displacement_pressure": 0.2228, "demand_resilience": 0.2067, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2463, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2866, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5775, "market_resilience": 0.3788, "market_modifier": 0.7933 }, "net_risk": 0.1768, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0591, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1361, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3024, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4385, "anthropic": 0.3024, "eloundou": 0.4017 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8087, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8177, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1511, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2232, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0268, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3621, "exposure_v7": 0.3788, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1849, "exposure": 0.3788 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3344, "exposure_p50": 0.3788, "exposure_p90": 0.4259, "net_risk_p10": 0.1495, "net_risk_p50": 0.1767, "net_risk_p90": 0.2062, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "log_wage_spread": 0.5489, "wage_position": 1.0408 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31003", "title": "Assistant electronics engineer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4632, "gross_wage_25th": 3600, "gross_wage_75th": 7078, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.021155, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3788, "bottleneck": 0.4118, "displacement_pressure": 0.2228, "demand_resilience": 0.2323, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2772, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3818, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6524, "market_resilience": 0.4273, "market_modifier": 0.7677 }, "net_risk": 0.1711, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0666, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1361, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3024, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4385, "anthropic": 0.3024, "eloundou": 0.4017 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7787, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8177, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1455, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2187, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0211, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4006, "exposure_v7": 0.3788, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.18, "exposure": 0.3788 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3344, "exposure_p50": 0.3788, "exposure_p90": 0.4259, "net_risk_p10": 0.1435, "net_risk_p50": 0.1703, "net_risk_p90": 0.1986, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "log_wage_spread": 0.6761, "wage_position": 0.9897 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31006", "title": "Assistant manufacturing engineer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4003, "gross_wage_25th": 3328, "gross_wage_75th": 5544, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019667, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3788, "bottleneck": 0.4118, "displacement_pressure": 0.2228, "demand_resilience": 0.1837, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2772, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3818, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4216, "market_resilience": 0.335, "market_modifier": 0.8163 }, "net_risk": 0.1819, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0522, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1361, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3024, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4385, "anthropic": 0.3024, "eloundou": 0.4017 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8087, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8177, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1527, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2269, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0319, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3297, "exposure_v7": 0.3788, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1892, "exposure": 0.3788 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3344, "exposure_p50": 0.3788, "exposure_p90": 0.4259, "net_risk_p10": 0.1527, "net_risk_p50": 0.1807, "net_risk_p90": 0.2123, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "log_wage_spread": 0.5103, "wage_position": 0.8553 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31004", "title": "Assistant mechanical engineer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3983, "gross_wage_25th": 3272, "gross_wage_75th": 4800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019617, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3788, "bottleneck": 0.4118, "displacement_pressure": 0.2228, "demand_resilience": 0.1436, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.217, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1967, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3244, "market_resilience": 0.26, "market_modifier": 0.8564 }, "net_risk": 0.1908, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0406, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1361, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3024, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4385, "anthropic": 0.3024, "eloundou": 0.4017 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8087, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8177, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1568, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2379, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0408, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.266, "exposure_v7": 0.3788, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1968, "exposure": 0.3788 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3344, "exposure_p50": 0.3788, "exposure_p90": 0.4259, "net_risk_p10": 0.1608, "net_risk_p50": 0.1911, "net_risk_p90": 0.2226, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "log_wage_spread": 0.3832, "wage_position": 0.8511 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2728, "theta": 0.6664, "c_aioe": 0.2234, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3100" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "34210", "title": "Athlete/Sportsman", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 2658, "gross_wage_25th": 2415, "gross_wage_75th": 4000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.056377, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5063, "bottleneck": 0.6702, "displacement_pressure": 0.167, "demand_resilience": 0.1905, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4231, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8305, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2353, "market_resilience": 0.3479, "market_modifier": 0.8095 }, "net_risk": 0.1352, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1181, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0915, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5573, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6488, "anthropic": 0.5573, "eloundou": 0.6506, "ilo": 0.1918 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7782, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8975, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1084, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1742, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0148, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3388, "exposure_v7": 0.5063, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1408, "exposure": 0.5063 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3906, "exposure_p50": 0.5063, "exposure_p90": 0.6258, "net_risk_p10": 0.0924, "net_risk_p50": 0.1352, "net_risk_p90": 0.1782, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9029, "theta": 0.7, "c_aioe": 0.7091, "log_wage_spread": 0.5046, "wage_position": 0.5679 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3421" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9029, "theta": 0.7, "c_aioe": 0.7091, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3421" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31143", "title": "Audio and video equipment technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3869, "gross_wage_25th": 3012, "gross_wage_75th": 5235, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019335, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3612, "bottleneck": 0.3538, "displacement_pressure": 0.2334, "demand_resilience": 0.1865, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2772, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3818, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.434, "market_resilience": 0.3399, "market_modifier": 0.8135 }, "net_risk": 0.1899, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0435, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.205, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3414, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3923, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7051, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4848, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1574, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2391, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0399, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3354, "exposure_v7": 0.3612, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1977, "exposure": 0.3612 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2479, "exposure_p50": 0.3612, "exposure_p90": 0.4737, "net_risk_p10": 0.1302, "net_risk_p50": 0.1899, "net_risk_p90": 0.2498, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.055, "theta": 0.6624, "c_aioe": -0.0452, "log_wage_spread": 0.5528, "wage_position": 0.8267 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3114" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.055, "theta": 0.6624, "c_aioe": -0.0452, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3114" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33132", "title": "Audit associate professional", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5050, "gross_wage_25th": 4500, "gross_wage_75th": 5750, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.5, "employment_thousands": 9.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.036776, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8917, "bottleneck": 0.2807, "displacement_pressure": 0.6413, "demand_resilience": 0.1614, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2235, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2165, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3975, "market_resilience": 0.2931, "market_modifier": 0.8386 }, "net_risk": 0.5378, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0734, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0855, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9101, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9955, "anthropic": 0.9101, "eloundou": 0.8692, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4905, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6226, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0378, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2946, "exposure_v7": 0.8917, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5567, "exposure": 0.8917 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8446, "exposure_p50": 0.8917, "exposure_p90": 0.9412, "net_risk_p10": 0.4813, "net_risk_p50": 0.5368, "net_risk_p90": 0.5969, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "log_wage_spread": 0.2451, "wage_position": 1.0791 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3313" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3313" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "31174", "title": "Automation technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3449, "gross_wage_25th": 2799, "gross_wage_75th": 4836, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018255, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2795, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.1958, "demand_resilience": 0.1694, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2772, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3818, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3547, "market_resilience": 0.3082, "market_modifier": 0.8306 }, "net_risk": 0.1626, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0258, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2683, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4046, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2908, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1289, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.212, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0126, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3067, "exposure_v7": 0.2795, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1686, "exposure": 0.2795 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2145, "exposure_p50": 0.2795, "exposure_p90": 0.3474, "net_risk_p10": 0.1233, "net_risk_p50": 0.1629, "net_risk_p90": 0.2023, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "log_wage_spread": 0.5468, "wage_position": 0.737 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31212", "title": "Automotive engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3778, "gross_wage_25th": 2800, "gross_wage_75th": 4953, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019106, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2889, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.2024, "demand_resilience": 0.175, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2381, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2615, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4389, "market_resilience": 0.3184, "market_modifier": 0.825 }, "net_risk": 0.1669, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0275, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2683, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4046, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2908, "ilo": 0.3329 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.131, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2158, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0169, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3174, "exposure_v7": 0.2889, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1734, "exposure": 0.2889 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2237, "exposure_p50": 0.2889, "exposure_p90": 0.3569, "net_risk_p10": 0.1262, "net_risk_p50": 0.167, "net_risk_p90": 0.2072, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "log_wage_spread": 0.5704, "wage_position": 0.8073 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3121" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3121" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31122", "title": "Building technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3623, "gross_wage_25th": 3029, "gross_wage_75th": 3960, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01871, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4629, "bottleneck": 0.434, "displacement_pressure": 0.262, "demand_resilience": 0.1837, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4299, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8515, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1907, "market_resilience": 0.3342, "market_modifier": 0.8163 }, "net_risk": 0.2138, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0671, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.106, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4457, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5517, "anthropic": 0.4457, "eloundou": 0.5722, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7575, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4547, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1851, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2647, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0638, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3331, "exposure_v7": 0.4629, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2226, "exposure": 0.4629 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3938, "exposure_p50": 0.4629, "exposure_p90": 0.5342, "net_risk_p10": 0.1722, "net_risk_p50": 0.2131, "net_risk_p90": 0.257, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6616, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.5411, "log_wage_spread": 0.268, "wage_position": 0.7741 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3112" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6616, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.5411, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3112" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33221", "title": "Business development executive", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5000, "gross_wage_25th": 3975, "gross_wage_75th": 7455, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.5, "employment_thousands": 9.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.036593, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8774, "bottleneck": 0.426, "displacement_pressure": 0.5036, "demand_resilience": 0.2195, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2306, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2385, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6631, "market_resilience": 0.4036, "market_modifier": 0.7805 }, "net_risk": 0.3931, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1509, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0206, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8992, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9198, "anthropic": 0.8992, "eloundou": 0.8954, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9089, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3535, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4674, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0931, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3787, "exposure_v7": 0.8774, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4121, "exposure": 0.8774 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8481, "exposure_p50": 0.8774, "exposure_p90": 0.9082, "net_risk_p10": 0.3461, "net_risk_p50": 0.3924, "net_risk_p90": 0.4416, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "log_wage_spread": 0.6289, "wage_position": 1.0684 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "33231", "title": "Buyer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4694, "gross_wage_25th": 3608, "gross_wage_75th": 6115, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.2, "employment_thousands": 9.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.035456, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6993, "bottleneck": 0.5107, "displacement_pressure": 0.3422, "demand_resilience": 0.1991, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2476, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2908, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5401, "market_resilience": 0.3646, "market_modifier": 0.8009 }, "net_risk": 0.274, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1302, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3515, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9674, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6159, "anthropic": 0.9674, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7374, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.894, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2408, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3307, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.026, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3505, "exposure_v7": 0.6993, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.286, "exposure": 0.6993 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.603, "exposure_p50": 0.6993, "exposure_p90": 0.7933, "net_risk_p10": 0.2209, "net_risk_p50": 0.2697, "net_risk_p90": 0.3324, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8568, "theta": 0.6753, "c_aioe": 0.6941, "log_wage_spread": 0.5276, "wage_position": 1.003 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3323" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8568, "theta": 0.6753, "c_aioe": 0.6941, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3323" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "34341", "title": "Chef", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3850, "gross_wage_25th": 3105, "gross_wage_75th": 4850, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.067851, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5376, "bottleneck": 0.7594, "displacement_pressure": 0.1294, "demand_resilience": 0.2022, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3904, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7301, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.344, "market_resilience": 0.3719, "market_modifier": 0.7978 }, "net_risk": 0.1032, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1518, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0483, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6166, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6649, "anthropic": 0.6166, "eloundou": 0.6611, "ilo": 0.229 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.077, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1395, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0468, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3486, "exposure_v7": 0.5376, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1077, "exposure": 0.5376 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4285, "exposure_p50": 0.5376, "exposure_p90": 0.6512, "net_risk_p10": 0.0685, "net_risk_p50": 0.1024, "net_risk_p90": 0.1414, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "log_wage_spread": 0.446, "wage_position": 0.8226 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3434" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3434" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "31161", "title": "Chemical engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4925, "gross_wage_25th": 3951, "gross_wage_75th": 6153, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.021814, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5375, "bottleneck": 0.2718, "displacement_pressure": 0.3914, "demand_resilience": 0.1999, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2772, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3818, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4982, "market_resilience": 0.3656, "market_modifier": 0.8001 }, "net_risk": 0.3132, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0534, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.5099, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8923, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3824, "anthropic": 0.8923, "eloundou": 0.4676, "ilo": 0.3936 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2805, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.378, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0132, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3534, "exposure_v7": 0.5375, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.327, "exposure": 0.5375 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4067, "exposure_p50": 0.5375, "exposure_p90": 0.667, "net_risk_p10": 0.2313, "net_risk_p50": 0.3101, "net_risk_p90": 0.4051, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0628, "theta": 0.6496, "c_aioe": 0.0525, "log_wage_spread": 0.443, "wage_position": 1.0524 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3116" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0628, "theta": 0.6496, "c_aioe": 0.0525, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3116" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31163", "title": "Chemical engineering technician (petrochemicals)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5738, "gross_wage_25th": 4589, "gross_wage_75th": 7446, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.023546, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5375, "bottleneck": 0.2718, "displacement_pressure": 0.3914, "demand_resilience": 0.2078, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2347, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.251, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6007, "market_resilience": 0.3811, "market_modifier": 0.7922 }, "net_risk": 0.3101, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0557, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.5099, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8923, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3824, "anthropic": 0.8923, "eloundou": 0.4676, "ilo": 0.3936 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2791, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3742, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0101, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3632, "exposure_v7": 0.5375, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3243, "exposure": 0.5375 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4067, "exposure_p50": 0.5375, "exposure_p90": 0.667, "net_risk_p10": 0.2293, "net_risk_p50": 0.3056, "net_risk_p90": 0.4009, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0628, "theta": 0.6496, "c_aioe": 0.0525, "log_wage_spread": 0.484, "wage_position": 1.2261 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3116" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0628, "theta": 0.6496, "c_aioe": 0.0525, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3116" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31111", "title": "Chemistry technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4765, "gross_wage_25th": 3554, "gross_wage_75th": 6199, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.021457, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5193, "bottleneck": 0.246, "displacement_pressure": 0.3915, "demand_resilience": 0.2541, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3972, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.751, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5793, "market_resilience": 0.4701, "market_modifier": 0.7459 }, "net_risk": 0.292, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.06, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3473, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7787, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4314, "anthropic": 0.7787, "eloundou": 0.6234, "ilo": 0.245 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6645, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6025, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2635, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3549, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.008, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4261, "exposure_v7": 0.5193, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3087, "exposure": 0.5193 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3813, "exposure_p50": 0.5193, "exposure_p90": 0.6582, "net_risk_p10": 0.2111, "net_risk_p50": 0.2917, "net_risk_p90": 0.3723, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2565, "theta": 0.6445, "c_aioe": 0.2157, "log_wage_spread": 0.5563, "wage_position": 1.0182 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3111" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2565, "theta": 0.6445, "c_aioe": 0.2157, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3111" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31121", "title": "Civil engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4310, "gross_wage_25th": 2990, "gross_wage_75th": 5720, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020407, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4629, "bottleneck": 0.434, "displacement_pressure": 0.262, "demand_resilience": 0.1993, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2164, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1946, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5891, "market_resilience": 0.3655, "market_modifier": 0.8007 }, "net_risk": 0.2098, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0734, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.106, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4457, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5517, "anthropic": 0.4457, "eloundou": 0.5722, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7575, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4547, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1794, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2589, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0598, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3488, "exposure_v7": 0.4629, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2189, "exposure": 0.4629 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3938, "exposure_p50": 0.4629, "exposure_p90": 0.5342, "net_risk_p10": 0.1698, "net_risk_p50": 0.2091, "net_risk_p90": 0.2513, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6616, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.5411, "log_wage_spread": 0.6487, "wage_position": 0.9209 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3112" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6616, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.5411, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3112" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31183", "title": "Civil/Structural engineering draughtsman", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 2819, "gross_wage_25th": 2471, "gross_wage_75th": 4000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.016504, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3769, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1428, "demand_resilience": 0.1307, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2368, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2573, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2291, "market_resilience": 0.2337, "market_modifier": 0.8693 }, "net_risk": 0.1241, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0547, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6655, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0977, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1605, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0259, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2553, "exposure_v7": 0.3769, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1278, "exposure": 0.3769 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3769, "exposure_p90": 0.4332, "net_risk_p10": 0.0962, "net_risk_p50": 0.1221, "net_risk_p90": 0.152, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.4817, "wage_position": 0.6024 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33311", "title": "Clearing and forwarding agent", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4047, "gross_wage_25th": 3504, "gross_wage_75th": 4823, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.5, "employment_thousands": 8.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032922, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8975, "bottleneck": 0.0134, "displacement_pressure": 0.8855, "demand_resilience": 0.1466, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2429, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2762, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2977, "market_resilience": 0.2648, "market_modifier": 0.8534 }, "net_risk": 0.7557, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0032, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0585, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8211, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8797, "anthropic": 0.8211, "eloundou": 0.9634, "ilo": 0.927 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8873, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9139, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.6985, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.8375, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.2443, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2748, "exposure_v7": 0.8975, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.78, "exposure": 0.8975 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8621, "exposure_p50": 0.8975, "exposure_p90": 0.9338, "net_risk_p10": 0.6936, "net_risk_p50": 0.7467, "net_risk_p90": 0.7939, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3027, "theta": 0.5452, "c_aioe": 1.2248, "log_wage_spread": 0.3195, "wage_position": 0.8647 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3331" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3027, "theta": 0.5452, "c_aioe": 1.2248, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3331" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31412", "title": "Clinical research coordinator", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4500, "gross_wage_25th": 3905, "gross_wage_75th": 5986, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020852, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5195, "bottleneck": 0.3672, "displacement_pressure": 0.3287, "demand_resilience": 0.2102, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3476, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5983, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4398, "market_resilience": 0.3845, "market_modifier": 0.7898 }, "net_risk": 0.2596, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0733, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0727, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5237, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.451, "anthropic": 0.5237, "eloundou": 0.5251, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2291, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3172, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0404, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3719, "exposure_v7": 0.5195, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2718, "exposure": 0.5195 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4889, "exposure_p50": 0.5195, "exposure_p90": 0.5485, "net_risk_p10": 0.228, "net_risk_p50": 0.2586, "net_risk_p90": 0.2904, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.3012, "theta": 0.6632, "c_aioe": 0.2477, "log_wage_spread": 0.4272, "wage_position": 0.9615 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3141" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.3012, "theta": 0.6632, "c_aioe": 0.2477, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3141" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "32530", "title": "Community health worker", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3103, "gross_wage_25th": 3000, "gross_wage_75th": 4425, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.067458, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3478, "bottleneck": 0.2513, "displacement_pressure": 0.2604, "demand_resilience": 0.1884, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.197, "market_resilience": 0.3413, "market_modifier": 0.8116 }, "net_risk": 0.2113, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0298, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2179, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4585, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2406, "anthropic": 0.4585, "eloundou": 0.5126, "ilo": 0.1807 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8264, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1689, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2709, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0613, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3484, "exposure_v7": 0.3478, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2204, "exposure": 0.3478 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.265, "exposure_p50": 0.3478, "exposure_p90": 0.4332, "net_risk_p10": 0.1529, "net_risk_p50": 0.2112, "net_risk_p90": 0.2709, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "log_wage_spread": 0.3887, "wage_position": 0.663 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3253" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3253" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "35110", "title": "Computer systems operator", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5425, "gross_wage_25th": 4357, "gross_wage_75th": 8143, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "35", "employment_family_total_thousands": 22.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.136256, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.767, "bottleneck": 0.5169, "displacement_pressure": 0.3705, "demand_resilience": 0.2344, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2551, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3138, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6961, "market_resilience": 0.4315, "market_modifier": 0.7656 }, "net_risk": 0.2837, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1711, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2778, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8518, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.574, "anthropic": 0.8518, "eloundou": 0.9477, "ilo": 0.6881 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2512, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3455, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0163, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.402, "exposure_v7": 0.767, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2986, "exposure": 0.767 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6763, "exposure_p50": 0.767, "exposure_p90": 0.8561, "net_risk_p10": 0.2331, "net_risk_p50": 0.2818, "net_risk_p90": 0.336, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7041, "theta": 0.676, "c_aioe": 0.5699, "log_wage_spread": 0.6254, "wage_position": 1.1592 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3511" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7041, "theta": 0.676, "c_aioe": 0.5699, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3511" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33493", "title": "Crewing executive (ship)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4377, "gross_wage_25th": 3539, "gross_wage_75th": 6167, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.9, "employment_thousands": 8.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.034238, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7775, "bottleneck": 0.4189, "displacement_pressure": 0.4518, "demand_resilience": 0.1775, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1888, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1098, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.525, "market_resilience": 0.3233, "market_modifier": 0.8225 }, "net_risk": 0.3716, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1053, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0041, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.751, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7469, "anthropic": 0.751, "eloundou": 0.8347 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8619, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9704, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3346, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4426, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0716, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3201, "exposure_v7": 0.7775, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3861, "exposure": 0.7775 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7483, "exposure_p50": 0.7775, "exposure_p90": 0.8062, "net_risk_p10": 0.3271, "net_risk_p50": 0.3704, "net_risk_p90": 0.4168, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0432, "theta": 0.6669, "c_aioe": 0.8539, "log_wage_spread": 0.5554, "wage_position": 0.9353 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3349" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0432, "theta": 0.6669, "c_aioe": 0.8539, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3349" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "32143", "title": "Dental technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3032, "gross_wage_25th": 2642, "gross_wage_75th": 3649, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.066682, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2279, "bottleneck": 0.8057, "displacement_pressure": 0.0443, "demand_resilience": 0.1774, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1417, "market_resilience": 0.3192, "market_modifier": 0.8226 }, "net_risk": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0586, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.3217, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4581, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.228, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6404, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3761, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0213, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0568, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0136, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3381, "exposure_v7": 0.2279, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0379, "exposure": 0.2279 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1449, "exposure_p50": 0.2279, "exposure_p90": 0.3152, "net_risk_p10": 0.019, "net_risk_p50": 0.0344, "net_risk_p90": 0.0571, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.3157, "theta": 0.7272, "c_aioe": 0.2394, "log_wage_spread": 0.3229, "wage_position": 0.6479 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3214" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.3157, "theta": 0.7272, "c_aioe": 0.2394, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3214" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "31131", "title": "Electrical engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4235, "gross_wage_25th": 3081, "gross_wage_75th": 5461, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020228, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3491, "bottleneck": 0.5071, "displacement_pressure": 0.172, "demand_resilience": 0.2314, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3557, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6234, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5303, "market_resilience": 0.4256, "market_modifier": 0.7686 }, "net_risk": 0.1322, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0753, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0639, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3024, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3663, "anthropic": 0.3024, "eloundou": 0.4738, "ilo": 0.2624 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.698, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3365, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.111, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1719, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0178, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.399, "exposure_v7": 0.3491, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1391, "exposure": 0.3491 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2966, "exposure_p50": 0.3491, "exposure_p90": 0.4032, "net_risk_p10": 0.1068, "net_risk_p50": 0.1312, "net_risk_p90": 0.1594, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0237, "theta": 0.6749, "c_aioe": 0.0192, "log_wage_spread": 0.5724, "wage_position": 0.9049 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0237, "theta": 0.6749, "c_aioe": 0.0192, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31182", "title": "Electrical/Electronics draughtsman", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3518, "gross_wage_25th": 2400, "gross_wage_75th": 4400, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018437, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3769, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1428, "demand_resilience": 0.1761, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2544, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3117, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4189, "market_resilience": 0.3202, "market_modifier": 0.8239 }, "net_risk": 0.1176, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.075, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6655, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0936, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1537, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0324, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3199, "exposure_v7": 0.3769, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1222, "exposure": 0.3769 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3769, "exposure_p90": 0.4332, "net_risk_p10": 0.0911, "net_risk_p50": 0.1158, "net_risk_p90": 0.144, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.6061, "wage_position": 0.7517 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31141", "title": "Electronics engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4071, "gross_wage_25th": 3287, "gross_wage_75th": 5374, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019833, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3612, "bottleneck": 0.3538, "displacement_pressure": 0.2334, "demand_resilience": 0.1771, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2531, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3075, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.426, "market_resilience": 0.3223, "market_modifier": 0.8229 }, "net_risk": 0.1921, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0412, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.205, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3414, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3923, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7051, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4848, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1593, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2434, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0421, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3206, "exposure_v7": 0.3612, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1996, "exposure": 0.3612 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2479, "exposure_p50": 0.3612, "exposure_p90": 0.4737, "net_risk_p10": 0.1326, "net_risk_p50": 0.1908, "net_risk_p90": 0.2511, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.055, "theta": 0.6624, "c_aioe": -0.0452, "log_wage_spread": 0.4916, "wage_position": 0.8699 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3114" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.055, "theta": 0.6624, "c_aioe": -0.0452, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3114" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33330", "title": "Employment agent/Labour contractor", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4522, "gross_wage_25th": 3084, "gross_wage_75th": 7335, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9, "employment_thousands": 9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.0348, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7063, "bottleneck": 0.1159, "displacement_pressure": 0.6245, "demand_resilience": 0.3018, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7424, "market_resilience": 0.5595, "market_modifier": 0.6982 }, "net_risk": 0.436, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0458, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0064, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9565, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9501, "anthropic": 0.9565, "eloundou": 0.3117, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7564, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4006, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5291, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.064, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5006, "exposure_v7": 0.7063, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4673, "exposure": 0.7063 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5431, "exposure_p50": 0.7063, "exposure_p90": 0.8656, "net_risk_p10": 0.3178, "net_risk_p50": 0.4353, "net_risk_p90": 0.5494, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3531, "theta": 0.6105, "c_aioe": 1.1838, "log_wage_spread": 0.8664, "wage_position": 0.9662 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3333" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3531, "theta": 0.6105, "c_aioe": 1.1838, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3333" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "32200", "title": "Enrolled/Assistant nurse (excluding registered nurse)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4904, "gross_wage_25th": 3344, "gross_wage_75th": 6705, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.084804, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1659, "bottleneck": 0.631, "displacement_pressure": 0.0612, "demand_resilience": 0.308, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4751, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9906, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6996, "market_resilience": 0.5649, "market_modifier": 0.692 }, "net_risk": 0.0424, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0591, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0668, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2032, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1611 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8372, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9917, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0269, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0672, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0076, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5375, "exposure_v7": 0.1659, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0457, "exposure": 0.1659 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1443, "exposure_p50": 0.1659, "exposure_p90": 0.1888, "net_risk_p10": 0.0337, "net_risk_p50": 0.0422, "net_risk_p90": 0.0519, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5137, "theta": 0.691, "c_aioe": -0.4081, "log_wage_spread": 0.6957, "wage_position": 1.0479 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3220" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5137, "theta": 0.691, "c_aioe": -0.4081, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3220" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "32571", "title": "Environmental inspector (environmental public health)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 7373, "gross_wage_25th": 4794, "gross_wage_75th": 10408, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.103984, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3549, "bottleneck": 0.2513, "displacement_pressure": 0.2657, "demand_resilience": 0.2665, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2415, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.272, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8806, "market_resilience": 0.4971, "market_modifier": 0.7335 }, "net_risk": 0.1949, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0443, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2179, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4585, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2406, "anthropic": 0.4585, "eloundou": 0.5126, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1674, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2501, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0449, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4283, "exposure_v7": 0.3549, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2063, "exposure": 0.3549 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.279, "exposure_p50": 0.3549, "exposure_p90": 0.4332, "net_risk_p10": 0.1452, "net_risk_p50": 0.1946, "net_risk_p90": 0.2476, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "log_wage_spread": 0.7752, "wage_position": 1.5754 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3257" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3257" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "33320", "title": "Exhibition/Conference/Event planner (including wedding planner/coordinator)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3740, "gross_wage_25th": 3000, "gross_wage_75th": 4861, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.2, "employment_thousands": 8.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.031648, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7952, "bottleneck": 0.5294, "displacement_pressure": 0.3742, "demand_resilience": 0.1694, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2877, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4142, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3387, "market_resilience": 0.3081, "market_modifier": 0.8306 }, "net_risk": 0.3108, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1297, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1517, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7253, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.877, "anthropic": 0.7253, "eloundou": 0.8117, "ilo": 0.7748 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2722, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3719, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0108, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3074, "exposure_v7": 0.7952, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3223, "exposure": 0.7952 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7608, "exposure_p50": 0.7952, "exposure_p90": 0.8333, "net_risk_p10": 0.2664, "net_risk_p50": 0.311, "net_risk_p90": 0.3582, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2973, "theta": 0.6797, "c_aioe": 1.0452, "log_wage_spread": 0.4826, "wage_position": 0.7991 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3332" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2973, "theta": 0.6797, "c_aioe": 1.0452, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3332" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33121", "title": "Financial markets back office administrator", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5366, "gross_wage_25th": 4000, "gross_wage_75th": 6700, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.8, "employment_thousands": 9.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.037909, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9081, "bottleneck": 0.2888, "displacement_pressure": 0.6459, "demand_resilience": 0.2442, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3534, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6161, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5936, "market_resilience": 0.4494, "market_modifier": 0.7558 }, "net_risk": 0.4882, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1179, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1831, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7866, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9697, "anthropic": 0.7866, "eloundou": 0.9289, "ilo": 0.953 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8405, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9064, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4577, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.576, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0118, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4197, "exposure_v7": 0.9081, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5153, "exposure": 0.9081 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8633, "exposure_p50": 0.9081, "exposure_p90": 0.955, "net_risk_p10": 0.4358, "net_risk_p50": 0.4867, "net_risk_p90": 0.5421, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3856, "theta": 0.6512, "c_aioe": 1.1558, "log_wage_spread": 0.5158, "wage_position": 1.1466 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3312" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3856, "theta": 0.6512, "c_aioe": 1.1558, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3312" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "31711", "title": "Fire and safety inspector", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3810, "gross_wage_25th": 2504, "gross_wage_75th": 7464, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019187, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2344, "bottleneck": 0.8004, "displacement_pressure": 0.0468, "demand_resilience": 0.2842, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6551, "market_resilience": 0.5245, "market_modifier": 0.7158 }, "net_risk": 0.0335, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0984, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1203, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2567, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3159 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6844, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4105, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0202, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0548, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0165, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4814, "exposure_v7": 0.2344, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0358, "exposure": 0.2344 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1742, "exposure_p50": 0.2344, "exposure_p90": 0.2967, "net_risk_p10": 0.0195, "net_risk_p50": 0.0327, "net_risk_p90": 0.049, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2045, "theta": 0.7256, "c_aioe": -0.1554, "log_wage_spread": 1.0922, "wage_position": 0.8141 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3171" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2045, "theta": 0.7256, "c_aioe": -0.1554, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3171" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31593", "title": "Flight operations officer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3778, "gross_wage_25th": 2848, "gross_wage_75th": 5200, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019106, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3146, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1192, "demand_resilience": 0.1633, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1888, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1098, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4559, "market_resilience": 0.2956, "market_modifier": 0.8367 }, "net_risk": 0.0997, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0578, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.415, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0772, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.132, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0497, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3028, "exposure_v7": 0.3146, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1033, "exposure": 0.3146 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3146, "exposure_p90": 0.3146, "net_risk_p10": 0.0827, "net_risk_p50": 0.0998, "net_risk_p90": 0.1164, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.602, "wage_position": 0.8073 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31522", "title": "Harbour pilot", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 8833, "gross_wage_25th": 7093, "gross_wage_75th": 10052, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.029214, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1523, "bottleneck": 0.7772, "displacement_pressure": 0.0339, "demand_resilience": 0.1887, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1888, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1098, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5775, "market_resilience": 0.3443, "market_modifier": 0.8113 }, "net_risk": 0.0275, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0408, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0758, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0606, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0649, "ilo": 0.3329 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0139, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0443, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0225, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3375, "exposure_v7": 0.1523, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0287, "exposure": 0.1523 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0817, "exposure_p50": 0.1523, "exposure_p90": 0.2199, "net_risk_p10": 0.0131, "net_risk_p50": 0.0258, "net_risk_p90": 0.0438, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -1.15, "theta": 0.7199, "c_aioe": -0.8803, "log_wage_spread": 0.3487, "wage_position": 1.8874 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3152" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.15, "theta": 0.7199, "c_aioe": -0.8803, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3152" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "36203", "title": "Information technology trainer (extracurriculum)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 6119, "gross_wage_25th": 4249, "gross_wage_75th": 8550, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.2, "employment_thousands": 9.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "36", "employment_family_total_thousands": 51.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.178897, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9046, "bottleneck": 0.7041, "displacement_pressure": 0.2677, "demand_resilience": 0.3114, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7897, "market_resilience": 0.5784, "market_modifier": 0.6886 }, "net_risk": 0.1843, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.3684, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9046 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.3775, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1447, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2418, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0343, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.511, "exposure_v7": 0.9046, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.198, "exposure": 0.9046 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9046, "exposure_p50": 0.9046, "exposure_p90": 0.9046, "net_risk_p10": 0.1381, "net_risk_p50": 0.1844, "net_risk_p90": 0.23, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "log_wage_spread": 0.6992, "wage_position": 1.3075 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3620" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3620" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "31144", "title": "Instrumentation technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3626, "gross_wage_25th": 2826, "gross_wage_75th": 4580, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018718, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3612, "bottleneck": 0.3538, "displacement_pressure": 0.2334, "demand_resilience": 0.2075, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.419, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.818, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3244, "market_resilience": 0.3812, "market_modifier": 0.7925 }, "net_risk": 0.185, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0487, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.205, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3414, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3923, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7051, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4848, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1543, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2321, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.035, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3598, "exposure_v7": 0.3612, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1934, "exposure": 0.3612 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2479, "exposure_p50": 0.3612, "exposure_p90": 0.4737, "net_risk_p10": 0.1291, "net_risk_p50": 0.1848, "net_risk_p90": 0.2443, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.055, "theta": 0.6624, "c_aioe": -0.0452, "log_wage_spread": 0.4828, "wage_position": 0.7748 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3114" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.055, "theta": 0.6624, "c_aioe": -0.0452, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3114" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33211", "title": "Insurance sales agent/broker (including independent financial planner)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5780, "gross_wage_25th": 4350, "gross_wage_75th": 6887, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 10.2, "employment_thousands": 10.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.039344, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8493, "bottleneck": 0.0018, "displacement_pressure": 0.8477, "demand_resilience": 0.243, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3534, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6161, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5882, "market_resilience": 0.4473, "market_modifier": 0.757 }, "net_risk": 0.6418, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0007, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1154, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7134, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8289, "anthropic": 0.7134, "eloundou": 0.9854, "ilo": 0.8738 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.6041, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7243, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1418, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4168, "exposure_v7": 0.8493, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6771, "exposure": 0.8493 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7817, "exposure_p50": 0.8493, "exposure_p90": 0.9185, "net_risk_p10": 0.5729, "net_risk_p50": 0.6283, "net_risk_p90": 0.6876, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2402, "theta": 0.5205, "c_aioe": 1.1967, "log_wage_spread": 0.4595, "wage_position": 1.235 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3321" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2402, "theta": 0.5205, "c_aioe": 1.1967, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3321" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "34321", "title": "Interior designer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4700, "gross_wage_25th": 3430, "gross_wage_75th": 6000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.074968, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4838, "bottleneck": 0.3324, "displacement_pressure": 0.3229, "demand_resilience": 0.2028, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2361, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2552, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5758, "market_resilience": 0.3719, "market_modifier": 0.7972 }, "net_risk": 0.2574, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0598, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0223, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3547, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.377, "anthropic": 0.3547, "eloundou": 0.6914, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7253, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.8458, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2269, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3131, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0426, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3545, "exposure_v7": 0.4838, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2689, "exposure": 0.4838 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4006, "exposure_p50": 0.4811, "exposure_p90": 0.569, "net_risk_p10": 0.2059, "net_risk_p50": 0.2535, "net_risk_p90": 0.3117, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0552, "theta": 0.6609, "c_aioe": 0.0455, "log_wage_spread": 0.5592, "wage_position": 1.0043 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3432" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0552, "theta": 0.6609, "c_aioe": 0.0455, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3432" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.9, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.8, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.1, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.85 } }, { "ssoc": "33393", "title": "International market agent/representative (e.g. junket operator)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 9530, "gross_wage_25th": 5124, "gross_wage_75th": 19300, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 13.2, "employment_thousands": 13.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.05052, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7773, "bottleneck": 0.5241, "displacement_pressure": 0.3699, "demand_resilience": 0.3494, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9898, "market_resilience": 0.6584, "market_modifier": 0.6506 }, "net_risk": 0.2407, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2682, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0072, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7451, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7522, "anthropic": 0.7451, "eloundou": 0.909, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2165, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3049, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0593, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5313, "exposure_v7": 0.7773, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2603, "exposure": 0.7773 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7276, "exposure_p50": 0.7773, "exposure_p90": 0.8285, "net_risk_p10": 0.2003, "net_risk_p50": 0.2398, "net_risk_p90": 0.282, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0477, "theta": 0.6772, "c_aioe": 0.8468, "log_wage_spread": 1.3155, "wage_position": 2.0363 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3339" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0477, "theta": 0.6772, "c_aioe": 0.8468, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3339" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "35121", "title": "IT Infrastructure technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4100, "gross_wage_25th": 3200, "gross_wage_75th": 5249, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "35", "employment_family_total_thousands": 22.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.118453, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7545, "bottleneck": 0.5508, "displacement_pressure": 0.3389, "demand_resilience": 0.1773, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.249, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.295, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4327, "market_resilience": 0.3225, "market_modifier": 0.8227 }, "net_risk": 0.2788, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.134, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.5922, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9407, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3485, "anthropic": 0.9407, "eloundou": 0.9435, "ilo": 0.7599 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6622, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5932, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2434, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3417, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0212, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3217, "exposure_v7": 0.7545, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2897, "exposure": 0.7545 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6076, "exposure_p50": 0.7545, "exposure_p90": 0.8953, "net_risk_p10": 0.209, "net_risk_p50": 0.278, "net_risk_p90": 0.348, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0313, "theta": 0.6816, "c_aioe": -0.0251, "log_wage_spread": 0.4949, "wage_position": 0.8761 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3512" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0313, "theta": 0.6816, "c_aioe": -0.0251, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3512" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "35122", "title": "IT security technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4542, "gross_wage_25th": 3859, "gross_wage_75th": 7000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "35", "employment_family_total_thousands": 22.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.124675, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7545, "bottleneck": 0.5508, "displacement_pressure": 0.3389, "demand_resilience": 0.2689, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5829, "market_resilience": 0.4957, "market_modifier": 0.7311 }, "net_risk": 0.2478, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.206, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.5922, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9407, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3485, "anthropic": 0.9407, "eloundou": 0.9435, "ilo": 0.7599 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6947, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5932, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2124, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3147, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0522, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4589, "exposure_v7": 0.7545, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2633, "exposure": 0.7545 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6076, "exposure_p50": 0.7545, "exposure_p90": 0.8953, "net_risk_p10": 0.1821, "net_risk_p50": 0.2464, "net_risk_p90": 0.3114, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0313, "theta": 0.6816, "c_aioe": -0.0251, "log_wage_spread": 0.5955, "wage_position": 0.9705 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3512" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0313, "theta": 0.6816, "c_aioe": -0.0251, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3512" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "35123", "title": "IT support technician (including IT user helpdesk technician)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5148, "gross_wage_25th": 3760, "gross_wage_75th": 7447, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "35", "employment_family_total_thousands": 22.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.132732, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7545, "bottleneck": 0.5508, "displacement_pressure": 0.3389, "demand_resilience": 0.2536, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3054, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4686, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.713, "market_resilience": 0.4685, "market_modifier": 0.7464 }, "net_risk": 0.253, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1947, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.5922, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9407, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3485, "anthropic": 0.9407, "eloundou": 0.9435, "ilo": 0.7599 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6622, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5932, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2218, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3102, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.047, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4279, "exposure_v7": 0.7545, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2675, "exposure": 0.7545 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6076, "exposure_p50": 0.7545, "exposure_p90": 0.8953, "net_risk_p10": 0.1896, "net_risk_p50": 0.2536, "net_risk_p90": 0.3175, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0313, "theta": 0.6816, "c_aioe": -0.0251, "log_wage_spread": 0.6834, "wage_position": 1.1 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3512" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0313, "theta": 0.6816, "c_aioe": -0.0251, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3512" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "34342", "title": "Kitchen operations head/supervisor", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3949, "gross_wage_25th": 3329, "gross_wage_75th": 4000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.068718, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5376, "bottleneck": 0.7594, "displacement_pressure": 0.1294, "demand_resilience": 0.1493, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2986, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4477, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2237, "market_resilience": 0.2687, "market_modifier": 0.8507 }, "net_risk": 0.1101, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1097, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0483, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6166, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6649, "anthropic": 0.6166, "eloundou": 0.6611, "ilo": 0.229 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0813, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1463, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0399, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2844, "exposure_v7": 0.5376, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1137, "exposure": 0.5376 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4285, "exposure_p50": 0.5376, "exposure_p90": 0.6512, "net_risk_p10": 0.0718, "net_risk_p50": 0.1091, "net_risk_p90": 0.1507, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "log_wage_spread": 0.1836, "wage_position": 0.8438 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3434" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3434" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31123", "title": "Land surveying technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3400, "gross_wage_25th": 2560, "gross_wage_75th": 5494, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018125, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4629, "bottleneck": 0.434, "displacement_pressure": 0.262, "demand_resilience": 0.2098, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2993, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4498, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5116, "market_resilience": 0.3842, "market_modifier": 0.7902 }, "net_risk": 0.207, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0772, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.106, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4457, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5517, "anthropic": 0.4457, "eloundou": 0.5722, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7575, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4547, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.18, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2564, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.057, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3687, "exposure_v7": 0.4629, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2167, "exposure": 0.4629 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3938, "exposure_p50": 0.4629, "exposure_p90": 0.5342, "net_risk_p10": 0.1671, "net_risk_p50": 0.2068, "net_risk_p90": 0.2484, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6616, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.5411, "log_wage_spread": 0.7636, "wage_position": 0.7265 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3112" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6616, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.5411, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3112" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31602", "title": "Landscape operations officer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3325, "gross_wage_25th": 2830, "gross_wage_75th": 3903, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.017924, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2309, "bottleneck": 0.8957, "displacement_pressure": 0.0241, "demand_resilience": 0.1829, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1693, "market_resilience": 0.3302, "market_modifier": 0.8171 }, "net_risk": 0.0197, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0683, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3678, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.497, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1292, "anthropic": 0.497, "eloundou": 0.0492 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6258, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5159, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0054, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0365, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0197, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.343, "exposure_v7": 0.2309, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0205, "exposure": 0.2309 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0752, "exposure_p50": 0.2309, "exposure_p90": 0.3815, "net_risk_p10": 0.0035, "net_risk_p50": 0.0166, "net_risk_p90": 0.04, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7846, "theta": 0.7559, "c_aioe": -0.5724, "log_wage_spread": 0.3215, "wage_position": 0.7105 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3160" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7846, "theta": 0.7559, "c_aioe": -0.5724, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3160" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "36201", "title": "Language instructor (extracurriculum)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4329, "gross_wage_25th": 3905, "gross_wage_75th": 4900, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.7, "employment_thousands": 7.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "36", "employment_family_total_thousands": 51.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.150472, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9046, "bottleneck": 0.7041, "displacement_pressure": 0.2677, "demand_resilience": 0.221, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4666, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9644, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.303, "market_resilience": 0.4012, "market_modifier": 0.779 }, "net_risk": 0.2085, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2555, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9046 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.415, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1684, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2701, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0585, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4044, "exposure_v7": 0.9046, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2194, "exposure": 0.9046 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9046, "exposure_p50": 0.9046, "exposure_p90": 0.9046, "net_risk_p10": 0.1624, "net_risk_p50": 0.2079, "net_risk_p90": 0.2544, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "log_wage_spread": 0.227, "wage_position": 0.925 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3620" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3620" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "34110", "title": "Legal associate professional (e.g. paralegal)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4557, "gross_wage_25th": 3535, "gross_wage_75th": 7200, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.073819, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7815, "bottleneck": 0.1364, "displacement_pressure": 0.675, "demand_resilience": 0.2419, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2911, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4247, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6765, "market_resilience": 0.4453, "market_modifier": 0.7581 }, "net_risk": 0.5117, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0475, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0067, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8587, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8654, "anthropic": 0.8587, "eloundou": 0.8023, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4764, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6003, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0117, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4151, "exposure_v7": 0.7815, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5397, "exposure": 0.7815 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7171, "exposure_p50": 0.7815, "exposure_p90": 0.8478, "net_risk_p10": 0.4516, "net_risk_p50": 0.5124, "net_risk_p90": 0.5732, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2921, "theta": 0.6179, "c_aioe": 1.1208, "log_wage_spread": 0.7114, "wage_position": 0.9737 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3411" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2921, "theta": 0.6179, "c_aioe": 1.1208, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3411" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.4, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.8, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.95, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.3 } }, { "ssoc": "34331", "title": "Library officer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 2936, "gross_wage_25th": 2300, "gross_wage_75th": 3312, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.059252, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5456, "bottleneck": 0.6328, "displacement_pressure": 0.2003, "demand_resilience": 0.1797, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4346, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8661, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1613, "market_resilience": 0.3253, "market_modifier": 0.8203 }, "net_risk": 0.1643, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1123, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.6444, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7807, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.7845, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1363, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2084, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0143, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3332, "exposure_v7": 0.5456, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.171, "exposure": 0.5456 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3836, "exposure_p50": 0.5456, "exposure_p90": 0.7117, "net_risk_p10": 0.107, "net_risk_p50": 0.1634, "net_risk_p90": 0.2242, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1217, "theta": 0.6919, "c_aioe": 0.8901, "log_wage_spread": 0.3646, "wage_position": 0.6274 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3433" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1217, "theta": 0.6919, "c_aioe": 0.8901, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3433" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31132", "title": "Lift technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4374, "gross_wage_25th": 3207, "gross_wage_75th": 5669, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020558, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3491, "bottleneck": 0.5071, "displacement_pressure": 0.172, "demand_resilience": 0.2045, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2599, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3285, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5463, "market_resilience": 0.3745, "market_modifier": 0.7955 }, "net_risk": 0.1369, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0663, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0639, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3024, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3663, "anthropic": 0.3024, "eloundou": 0.4738, "ilo": 0.2624 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.698, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3365, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1146, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1753, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0131, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.36, "exposure_v7": 0.3491, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1431, "exposure": 0.3491 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2966, "exposure_p50": 0.3491, "exposure_p90": 0.4032, "net_risk_p10": 0.1112, "net_risk_p50": 0.1362, "net_risk_p90": 0.1664, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0237, "theta": 0.6749, "c_aioe": 0.0192, "log_wage_spread": 0.5697, "wage_position": 0.9346 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0237, "theta": 0.6749, "c_aioe": 0.0192, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31595", "title": "Load control officer (aircraft)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4229, "gross_wage_25th": 3335, "gross_wage_75th": 4797, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020214, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3146, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1192, "demand_resilience": 0.1412, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1888, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1098, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3529, "market_resilience": 0.2545, "market_modifier": 0.8588 }, "net_risk": 0.1023, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0497, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.415, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0802, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1363, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0477, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2666, "exposure_v7": 0.3146, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1055, "exposure": 0.3146 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3146, "exposure_p90": 0.3146, "net_risk_p10": 0.0847, "net_risk_p50": 0.1023, "net_risk_p90": 0.12, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.3635, "wage_position": 0.9036 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33461", "title": "Logistics/Production planner", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4282, "gross_wage_25th": 3331, "gross_wage_75th": 5815, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.8, "employment_thousands": 8.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033864, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7333, "bottleneck": 0.3414, "displacement_pressure": 0.483, "demand_resilience": 0.1891, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2327, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2448, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.516, "market_resilience": 0.346, "market_modifier": 0.8109 }, "net_risk": 0.3916, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0866, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.024, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6828, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7068, "anthropic": 0.6828, "eloundou": 0.8117 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7111, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3673, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3513, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4622, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0916, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3338, "exposure_v7": 0.7333, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4078, "exposure": 0.7333 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6903, "exposure_p50": 0.7333, "exposure_p90": 0.7776, "net_risk_p10": 0.3473, "net_risk_p50": 0.3905, "net_risk_p90": 0.4372, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9986, "theta": 0.6621, "c_aioe": 0.8222, "log_wage_spread": 0.5572, "wage_position": 0.915 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3346" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9986, "theta": 0.6621, "c_aioe": 0.8222, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3346" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "31153", "title": "Machining/Tooling technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3641, "gross_wage_25th": 2695, "gross_wage_75th": 4900, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018756, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3919, "bottleneck": 0.5437, "displacement_pressure": 0.1789, "demand_resilience": 0.186, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2772, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3818, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4323, "market_resilience": 0.3392, "market_modifier": 0.814 }, "net_risk": 0.1456, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0723, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2582, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5613, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.303, "anthropic": 0.5613, "eloundou": 0.4561, "ilo": 0.245 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1198, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1828, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0044, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3338, "exposure_v7": 0.3919, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1516, "exposure": 0.3919 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3103, "exposure_p50": 0.3919, "exposure_p90": 0.4742, "net_risk_p10": 0.1095, "net_risk_p50": 0.1436, "net_risk_p90": 0.183, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1192, "theta": 0.6809, "c_aioe": -0.0959, "log_wage_spread": 0.5978, "wage_position": 0.778 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3115" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1192, "theta": 0.6809, "c_aioe": -0.0959, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3115" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33462", "title": "Maintenance planner", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 6540, "gross_wage_25th": 4475, "gross_wage_75th": 8740, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 10.8, "employment_thousands": 10.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.041851, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7333, "bottleneck": 0.3414, "displacement_pressure": 0.483, "demand_resilience": 0.2372, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2109, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1778, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7825, "market_resilience": 0.4396, "market_modifier": 0.7628 }, "net_risk": 0.3684, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.11, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.024, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6828, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7068, "anthropic": 0.6828, "eloundou": 0.8117 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7111, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3673, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3346, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4432, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0684, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3942, "exposure_v7": 0.7333, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3874, "exposure": 0.7333 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6903, "exposure_p50": 0.7333, "exposure_p90": 0.7776, "net_risk_p10": 0.3259, "net_risk_p50": 0.3667, "net_risk_p90": 0.4112, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9986, "theta": 0.6621, "c_aioe": 0.8222, "log_wage_spread": 0.6694, "wage_position": 1.3974 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3346" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9986, "theta": 0.6621, "c_aioe": 0.8222, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3346" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33491", "title": "Management executive", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3913, "gross_wage_25th": 3300, "gross_wage_75th": 4535, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.4, "employment_thousands": 8.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032372, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7775, "bottleneck": 0.4189, "displacement_pressure": 0.4518, "demand_resilience": 0.1648, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3177, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5063, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2674, "market_resilience": 0.2976, "market_modifier": 0.8352 }, "net_risk": 0.3774, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0969, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0041, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.751, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7469, "anthropic": 0.751, "eloundou": 0.8347 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8619, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9704, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3374, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4454, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0774, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3086, "exposure_v7": 0.7775, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3913, "exposure": 0.7775 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7483, "exposure_p50": 0.7775, "exposure_p90": 0.8062, "net_risk_p10": 0.3326, "net_risk_p50": 0.376, "net_risk_p90": 0.4232, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0432, "theta": 0.6669, "c_aioe": 0.8539, "log_wage_spread": 0.3179, "wage_position": 0.8361 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3349" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0432, "theta": 0.6669, "c_aioe": 0.8539, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3349" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31171", "title": "Manufacturing engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3750, "gross_wage_25th": 3151, "gross_wage_75th": 4670, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019035, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2795, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.1958, "demand_resilience": 0.1466, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2517, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3033, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2834, "market_resilience": 0.2644, "market_modifier": 0.8534 }, "net_risk": 0.1671, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0221, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2683, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4046, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2908, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.13, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2157, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0171, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2764, "exposure_v7": 0.2795, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1725, "exposure": 0.2795 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2145, "exposure_p50": 0.2795, "exposure_p90": 0.3474, "net_risk_p10": 0.1282, "net_risk_p50": 0.1678, "net_risk_p90": 0.2069, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "log_wage_spread": 0.3934, "wage_position": 0.8013 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31185", "title": "Marine draughtsman", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4400, "gross_wage_25th": 3760, "gross_wage_75th": 5600, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020619, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3769, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1428, "demand_resilience": 0.1628, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2235, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2165, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4046, "market_resilience": 0.296, "market_modifier": 0.8372 }, "net_risk": 0.1195, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0693, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6655, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0969, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1541, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0305, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2967, "exposure_v7": 0.3769, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1238, "exposure": 0.3769 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3769, "exposure_p90": 0.4332, "net_risk_p10": 0.0922, "net_risk_p50": 0.1171, "net_risk_p90": 0.1462, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.3983, "wage_position": 0.9402 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31510", "title": "Marine engineering officer (including third, fourth and fifth engineer)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4173, "gross_wage_25th": 3278, "gross_wage_75th": 5324, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.02008, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1792, "bottleneck": 0.9519, "displacement_pressure": 0.0086, "demand_resilience": 0.2371, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4314, "market_resilience": 0.435, "market_modifier": 0.7629 }, "net_risk": 0.0066, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0742, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0758, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2121, "anthropic": 0.1364, "ilo": 0.1918 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8647, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0178, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0066, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4131, "exposure_v7": 0.1792, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0069, "exposure": 0.1792 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.155, "exposure_p50": 0.1792, "exposure_p90": 0.2049, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0064, "net_risk_p90": 0.0162, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.4282, "theta": 0.7939, "c_aioe": -0.2961, "log_wage_spread": 0.485, "wage_position": 0.8917 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3151" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.4282, "theta": 0.7939, "c_aioe": -0.2961, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3151" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31213", "title": "Marine surveyor (ship and nautical)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5089, "gross_wage_25th": 3867, "gross_wage_75th": 6744, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.022174, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2889, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.2024, "demand_resilience": 0.275, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6114, "market_resilience": 0.5071, "market_modifier": 0.725 }, "net_risk": 0.1467, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0439, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2683, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4046, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2908, "ilo": 0.3329 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1152, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2013, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0033, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4685, "exposure_v7": 0.2889, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1562, "exposure": 0.2889 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2237, "exposure_p50": 0.2889, "exposure_p90": 0.3569, "net_risk_p10": 0.1101, "net_risk_p50": 0.147, "net_risk_p90": 0.1832, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "log_wage_spread": 0.5562, "wage_position": 1.0874 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3121" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3121" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33223", "title": "Marketing and sales executive (food & beverage services)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3500, "gross_wage_25th": 1750, "gross_wage_75th": 4330, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.9, "employment_thousands": 7.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030616, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8774, "bottleneck": 0.426, "displacement_pressure": 0.5036, "demand_resilience": 0.2195, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2843, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4038, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5807, "market_resilience": 0.4029, "market_modifier": 0.7805 }, "net_risk": 0.3931, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1506, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "mixed", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0206, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8992, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9198, "anthropic": 0.8992, "eloundou": 0.8954, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9089, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3591, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4718, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0931, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3823, "exposure_v7": 0.8774, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4123, "exposure": 0.8774 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8481, "exposure_p50": 0.8774, "exposure_p90": 0.9074, "net_risk_p10": 0.3457, "net_risk_p50": 0.3919, "net_risk_p90": 0.4405, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "log_wage_spread": 0.906, "wage_position": 0.7479 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "34222", "title": "Martial arts instructor", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4100, "gross_wage_25th": 4100, "gross_wage_75th": 4280, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.07002, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3421, "bottleneck": 0.9055, "displacement_pressure": 0.0323, "demand_resilience": 0.1967, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.238, "market_resilience": 0.3577, "market_modifier": 0.8033 }, "net_risk": 0.026, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1108, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.254, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3904, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3305, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8264, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0075, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0495, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.024, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.357, "exposure_v7": 0.3421, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0271, "exposure": 0.3421 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2443, "exposure_p50": 0.3421, "exposure_p90": 0.4243, "net_risk_p10": 0.0062, "net_risk_p50": 0.0247, "net_risk_p90": 0.047, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1169, "theta": 0.763, "c_aioe": 0.0844, "log_wage_spread": 0.1178, "wage_position": 0.8761 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3422" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1169, "theta": 0.763, "c_aioe": 0.0844, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3422" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "32551", "title": "Massage therapist", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 2690, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 3600, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.062809, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.141, "bottleneck": 0.6114, "displacement_pressure": 0.0548, "demand_resilience": 0.2051, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.316, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.501, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4626, "market_resilience": 0.3746, "market_modifier": 0.7949 }, "net_risk": 0.0436, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0323, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0134, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1497, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1967, "ilo": 0.0854 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7789, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.023, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0666, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0064, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3657, "exposure_v7": 0.141, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0456, "exposure": 0.141 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1133, "exposure_p50": 0.141, "exposure_p90": 0.1696, "net_risk_p10": 0.0332, "net_risk_p50": 0.0432, "net_risk_p90": 0.0548, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6863, "theta": 0.6901, "c_aioe": -0.5458, "log_wage_spread": 0.8109, "wage_position": 0.5748 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3255" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6863, "theta": 0.6901, "c_aioe": -0.5458, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3255" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "31181", "title": "Mechanical draughtsman", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3800, "gross_wage_25th": 2700, "gross_wage_75th": 5646, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019161, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3769, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1428, "demand_resilience": 0.2013, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2402, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2678, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5606, "market_resilience": 0.3683, "market_modifier": 0.7987 }, "net_risk": 0.114, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0862, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6955, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0918, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1473, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.036, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3552, "exposure_v7": 0.3769, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1191, "exposure": 0.3769 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3769, "exposure_p90": 0.4332, "net_risk_p10": 0.0876, "net_risk_p50": 0.1127, "net_risk_p90": 0.1394, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.7377, "wage_position": 0.812 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3118" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31151", "title": "Mechanical engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3748, "gross_wage_25th": 3056, "gross_wage_75th": 4402, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01903, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3919, "bottleneck": 0.5437, "displacement_pressure": 0.1789, "demand_resilience": 0.1335, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2252, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2218, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2611, "market_resilience": 0.2396, "market_modifier": 0.8665 }, "net_risk": 0.155, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0511, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2582, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5613, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.303, "anthropic": 0.5613, "eloundou": 0.4561, "ilo": 0.245 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1259, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1943, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.005, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2568, "exposure_v7": 0.3919, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1596, "exposure": 0.3919 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3103, "exposure_p50": 0.3919, "exposure_p90": 0.4742, "net_risk_p10": 0.1163, "net_risk_p50": 0.1535, "net_risk_p90": 0.1945, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1192, "theta": 0.6809, "c_aioe": -0.0959, "log_wage_spread": 0.365, "wage_position": 0.8009 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3115" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1192, "theta": 0.6809, "c_aioe": -0.0959, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3115" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "35211", "title": "Media and broadcasting operations technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4153, "gross_wage_25th": 3540, "gross_wage_75th": 5230, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "35", "employment_family_total_thousands": 22.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.119217, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4631, "bottleneck": 0.3324, "displacement_pressure": 0.3091, "demand_resilience": 0.1508, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2123, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.182, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3654, "market_resilience": 0.2735, "market_modifier": 0.8492 }, "net_risk": 0.2625, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0421, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0223, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3547, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.377, "anthropic": 0.3547, "eloundou": 0.6914, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7253, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.8458, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2247, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.319, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0375, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2769, "exposure_v7": 0.4631, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2711, "exposure": 0.4631 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3802, "exposure_p50": 0.4631, "exposure_p90": 0.548, "net_risk_p10": 0.2108, "net_risk_p50": 0.2602, "net_risk_p90": 0.32, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0552, "theta": 0.6609, "c_aioe": 0.0455, "log_wage_spread": 0.3903, "wage_position": 0.8874 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3521" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0552, "theta": 0.6609, "c_aioe": 0.0455, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3521" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "32120", "title": "Medical and pathology laboratory technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4280, "gross_wage_25th": 3853, "gross_wage_75th": 4880, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.079226, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3407, "bottleneck": 0.287, "displacement_pressure": 0.2429, "demand_resilience": 0.2237, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4751, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9906, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2986, "market_resilience": 0.4045, "market_modifier": 0.7763 }, "net_risk": 0.1886, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0396, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3177, "eloundou": 0.3305, "ilo": 0.3518 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3868, "eloundou": 0.2573, "ilo": 0.3775 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7366, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5345, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7897, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1583, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2384, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0386, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4168, "exposure_v7": 0.3407, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1987, "exposure": 0.3407 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2991, "exposure_p50": 0.3407, "exposure_p90": 0.3835, "net_risk_p10": 0.1574, "net_risk_p50": 0.189, "net_risk_p90": 0.2187, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0772, "theta": 0.6509, "c_aioe": 0.0645, "log_wage_spread": 0.2363, "wage_position": 0.9145 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3212" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0772, "theta": 0.6509, "c_aioe": 0.0645, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3212" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "32112", "title": "Medical X-ray technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3540, "gross_wage_25th": 2815, "gross_wage_75th": 7427, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.072052, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2468, "bottleneck": 0.5749, "displacement_pressure": 0.1049, "demand_resilience": 0.2886, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4751, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9906, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6052, "market_resilience": 0.5271, "market_modifier": 0.7114 }, "net_risk": 0.0746, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0748, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0963, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2326, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4467, "ilo": 0.1807 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7171, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5328, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0572, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1048, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0246, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5138, "exposure_v7": 0.2468, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.08, "exposure": 0.2468 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1702, "exposure_p50": 0.2468, "exposure_p90": 0.3252, "net_risk_p10": 0.0502, "net_risk_p50": 0.0728, "net_risk_p90": 0.1026, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3234, "theta": 0.6842, "c_aioe": -0.2591, "log_wage_spread": 0.9702, "wage_position": 0.7564 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3234, "theta": 0.6842, "c_aioe": -0.2591, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "33225", "title": "Merchandising/Category executive", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3197, "gross_wage_25th": 2468, "gross_wage_75th": 4000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.6, "employment_thousands": 7.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.029261, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8774, "bottleneck": 0.426, "displacement_pressure": 0.5036, "demand_resilience": 0.1333, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2211, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2092, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2674, "market_resilience": 0.2396, "market_modifier": 0.8667 }, "net_risk": 0.4365, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0896, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0206, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8992, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9198, "anthropic": 0.8992, "eloundou": 0.8954, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.392, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5044, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0635, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2545, "exposure_v7": 0.8774, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4493, "exposure": 0.8774 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8481, "exposure_p50": 0.8774, "exposure_p90": 0.9082, "net_risk_p10": 0.3849, "net_risk_p50": 0.4365, "net_risk_p90": 0.4904, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "log_wage_spread": 0.4829, "wage_position": 0.6831 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "36204", "title": "Music instructor (extracurriculum)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3000, "gross_wage_25th": 2600, "gross_wage_75th": 3880, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.4, "employment_thousands": 6.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "36", "employment_family_total_thousands": 51.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.125263, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9046, "bottleneck": 0.7041, "displacement_pressure": 0.2677, "demand_resilience": 0.185, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4333, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8619, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1916, "market_resilience": 0.3366, "market_modifier": 0.815 }, "net_risk": 0.2182, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2144, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9046 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.415, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.176, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2755, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0682, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3356, "exposure_v7": 0.9046, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2271, "exposure": 0.9046 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9046, "exposure_p50": 0.9046, "exposure_p90": 0.9046, "net_risk_p10": 0.171, "net_risk_p50": 0.218, "net_risk_p90": 0.2657, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "log_wage_spread": 0.4003, "wage_position": 0.641 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3620" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3620" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "39910", "title": "Non-ordained religious associate professional", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3611, "gross_wage_25th": 2771, "gross_wage_75th": 4437, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "39", "employment_family_total_thousands": 1.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 1, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4528, "bottleneck": 0.5009, "displacement_pressure": 0.226, "demand_resilience": 0.1734, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.316, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.501, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3128, "market_resilience": 0.3147, "market_modifier": 0.8266 }, "net_risk": 0.1868, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0714, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4528 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.3, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.158, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2286, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0368, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3179, "exposure_v7": 0.4528, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.194, "exposure": 0.4528 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4528, "exposure_p50": 0.4528, "exposure_p90": 0.4528, "net_risk_p10": 0.1618, "net_risk_p50": 0.1865, "net_risk_p90": 0.2112, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.3039, "theta": 0.6744, "c_aioe": 0.2465, "log_wage_spread": 0.4708, "wage_position": 0.7716 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3991" ], "match_quality": "major_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.3039, "theta": 0.6744, "c_aioe": 0.2465, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3991" ], "match_quality": "major_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.45, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.55, "regulatory_weight": 0.35, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "32572", "title": "Occupational health and safety inspector", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5403, "gross_wage_25th": 3926, "gross_wage_75th": 6775, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.089015, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3549, "bottleneck": 0.2513, "displacement_pressure": 0.2657, "demand_resilience": 0.2133, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2374, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2594, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6221, "market_resilience": 0.3913, "market_modifier": 0.7867 }, "net_risk": 0.209, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0349, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2179, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4585, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2406, "anthropic": 0.4585, "eloundou": 0.5126, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1751, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2618, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.059, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3726, "exposure_v7": 0.3549, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2189, "exposure": 0.3549 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.279, "exposure_p50": 0.3549, "exposure_p90": 0.4332, "net_risk_p10": 0.1569, "net_risk_p50": 0.2092, "net_risk_p90": 0.2661, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "log_wage_spread": 0.5456, "wage_position": 1.1545 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3257" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3257" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "33224", "title": "Online sales channel executive", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3500, "gross_wage_25th": 2881, "gross_wage_75th": 4500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.9, "employment_thousands": 7.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030616, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8774, "bottleneck": 0.426, "displacement_pressure": 0.5036, "demand_resilience": 0.1507, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2667, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3494, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2803, "market_resilience": 0.2721, "market_modifier": 0.8493 }, "net_risk": 0.4277, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1017, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0206, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8992, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9198, "anthropic": 0.8992, "eloundou": 0.8954, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3852, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5032, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0723, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2821, "exposure_v7": 0.8774, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4419, "exposure": 0.8774 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8481, "exposure_p50": 0.8774, "exposure_p90": 0.9074, "net_risk_p10": 0.3779, "net_risk_p50": 0.4277, "net_risk_p90": 0.4815, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "log_wage_spread": 0.4459, "wage_position": 0.7479 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3413, "theta": 0.6672, "c_aioe": 1.0974, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "33492", "title": "Operations officer (except transport operations)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3970, "gross_wage_25th": 3200, "gross_wage_75th": 4880, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.4, "employment_thousands": 8.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032607, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7775, "bottleneck": 0.4189, "displacement_pressure": 0.4518, "demand_resilience": 0.1819, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.319, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5105, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3494, "market_resilience": 0.3312, "market_modifier": 0.8181 }, "net_risk": 0.3696, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1079, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0041, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.751, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7469, "anthropic": 0.751, "eloundou": 0.8347 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8619, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9704, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3328, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4376, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0696, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.329, "exposure_v7": 0.7775, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3845, "exposure": 0.7775 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7483, "exposure_p50": 0.7775, "exposure_p90": 0.8062, "net_risk_p10": 0.3256, "net_risk_p50": 0.3685, "net_risk_p90": 0.4132, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0432, "theta": 0.6669, "c_aioe": 0.8539, "log_wage_spread": 0.422, "wage_position": 0.8483 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3349" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0432, "theta": 0.6669, "c_aioe": 0.8539, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3349" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "32540", "title": "Optician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4357, "gross_wage_25th": 4098, "gross_wage_75th": 5091, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.079935, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3438, "bottleneck": 0.6078, "displacement_pressure": 0.1348, "demand_resilience": 0.1445, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2347, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.251, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3012, "market_resilience": 0.2613, "market_modifier": 0.8555 }, "net_risk": 0.1153, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0546, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1137, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4506, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3369, "anthropic": 0.4506, "eloundou": 0.3828, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0879, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1487, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0347, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2689, "exposure_v7": 0.3438, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.119, "exposure": 0.3438 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.281, "exposure_p50": 0.3438, "exposure_p90": 0.407, "net_risk_p10": 0.0884, "net_risk_p50": 0.1148, "net_risk_p90": 0.1428, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0728, "theta": 0.6897, "c_aioe": -0.0579, "log_wage_spread": 0.217, "wage_position": 0.931 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3254" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0728, "theta": 0.6897, "c_aioe": -0.0579, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3254" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "32591", "title": "Paramedic", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 2954, "gross_wage_25th": 1871, "gross_wage_75th": 3984, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.065819, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.394, "bottleneck": 0.2513, "displacement_pressure": 0.295, "demand_resilience": 0.2433, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4608, "market_resilience": 0.4468, "market_modifier": 0.7567 }, "net_risk": 0.2232, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0443, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2179, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4585, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2406, "anthropic": 0.4585, "eloundou": 0.5126, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8864, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1896, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2892, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0732, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4224, "exposure_v7": 0.394, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2357, "exposure": 0.394 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3281, "exposure_p50": 0.394, "exposure_p90": 0.4587, "net_risk_p10": 0.1793, "net_risk_p50": 0.2223, "net_risk_p90": 0.2653, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "log_wage_spread": 0.7558, "wage_position": 0.6312 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3259" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3259" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "34343", "title": "Pastry Chef", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3034, "gross_wage_25th": 2503, "gross_wage_75th": 4600, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.060233, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5376, "bottleneck": 0.7594, "displacement_pressure": 0.1294, "demand_resilience": 0.1779, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2979, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4456, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3636, "market_resilience": 0.3242, "market_modifier": 0.8221 }, "net_risk": 0.1064, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1324, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0483, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6166, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6649, "anthropic": 0.6166, "eloundou": 0.6611, "ilo": 0.229 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0779, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1426, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0436, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3201, "exposure_v7": 0.5376, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1105, "exposure": 0.5376 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4285, "exposure_p50": 0.5376, "exposure_p90": 0.6512, "net_risk_p10": 0.0701, "net_risk_p50": 0.1048, "net_risk_p90": 0.1441, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "log_wage_spread": 0.6086, "wage_position": 0.6483 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3434" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9388, "theta": 0.7154, "c_aioe": 0.7229, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3434" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "32130", "title": "Pharmacy technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3240, "gross_wage_25th": 2654, "gross_wage_75th": 4119, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.068931, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3283, "bottleneck": 0.3155, "displacement_pressure": 0.2247, "demand_resilience": 0.211, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4727, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9833, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2415, "market_resilience": 0.3802, "market_modifier": 0.789 }, "net_risk": 0.1773, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0394, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0471, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3715, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3244, "anthropic": 0.3715, "eloundou": 0.2552, "ilo": 0.3577 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7772, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5935, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1496, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2259, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0273, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.399, "exposure_v7": 0.3283, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1863, "exposure": 0.3283 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2988, "exposure_p50": 0.3283, "exposure_p90": 0.357, "net_risk_p10": 0.1531, "net_risk_p50": 0.1776, "net_risk_p90": 0.2011, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0912, "theta": 0.6573, "c_aioe": -0.0755, "log_wage_spread": 0.4395, "wage_position": 0.6923 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3213" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0912, "theta": 0.6573, "c_aioe": -0.0755, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3213" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "34310", "title": "Photographer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5120, "gross_wage_25th": 3495, "gross_wage_75th": 8651, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.078246, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5357, "bottleneck": 0.5205, "displacement_pressure": 0.2569, "demand_resilience": 0.3179, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8226, "market_resilience": 0.5916, "market_modifier": 0.6821 }, "net_risk": 0.1752, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.165, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4812, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7628, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2816, "anthropic": 0.7628, "eloundou": 0.4623, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7964, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.15, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2287, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0252, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.517, "exposure_v7": 0.5357, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1885, "exposure": 0.5357 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4147, "exposure_p50": 0.5357, "exposure_p90": 0.6516, "net_risk_p10": 0.1293, "net_risk_p50": 0.1727, "net_risk_p90": 0.222, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1681, "theta": 0.6769, "c_aioe": -0.1359, "log_wage_spread": 0.9063, "wage_position": 1.094 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3431" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1681, "theta": 0.6769, "c_aioe": -0.1359, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3431" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "34223", "title": "Physical fitness instructor (including yoga instructor and aerobics instructor)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 2550, "gross_wage_25th": 2400, "gross_wage_75th": 3350, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.05522, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3421, "bottleneck": 0.9055, "displacement_pressure": 0.0323, "demand_resilience": 0.1755, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4523, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9205, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1012, "market_resilience": 0.3118, "market_modifier": 0.8245 }, "net_risk": 0.0267, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0966, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.254, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3904, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3305, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0088, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0477, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0233, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3516, "exposure_v7": 0.3421, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0278, "exposure": 0.3421 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2443, "exposure_p50": 0.3421, "exposure_p90": 0.4393, "net_risk_p10": 0.008, "net_risk_p50": 0.0257, "net_risk_p90": 0.0462, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1169, "theta": 0.763, "c_aioe": 0.0844, "log_wage_spread": 0.3335, "wage_position": 0.5449 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3422" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1169, "theta": 0.763, "c_aioe": 0.0844, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3422" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "31574", "title": "Port/Shipping operations supervisor (including post-fixture and planner)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3830, "gross_wage_25th": 3354, "gross_wage_75th": 4614, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019237, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2739, "bottleneck": 0.8681, "displacement_pressure": 0.0361, "demand_resilience": 0.1296, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2218, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2113, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2487, "market_resilience": 0.2325, "market_modifier": 0.8704 }, "net_risk": 0.0314, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0553, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1417, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2781, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4142 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.818, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.975, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0159, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.051, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0186, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2496, "exposure_v7": 0.2739, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0323, "exposure": 0.2739 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1809, "exposure_p50": 0.2739, "exposure_p90": 0.37, "net_risk_p10": 0.0145, "net_risk_p50": 0.0304, "net_risk_p90": 0.0508, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1838, "theta": 0.7404, "c_aioe": -0.1369, "log_wage_spread": 0.3189, "wage_position": 0.8184 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3157" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1838, "theta": 0.7404, "c_aioe": -0.1369, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3157" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31601", "title": "Premises and facilities maintenance officer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3875, "gross_wage_25th": 3200, "gross_wage_75th": 4715, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01935, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2309, "bottleneck": 0.8957, "displacement_pressure": 0.0241, "demand_resilience": 0.1792, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3374, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5669, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3075, "market_resilience": 0.3254, "market_modifier": 0.8208 }, "net_risk": 0.0198, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0673, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3678, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.497, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1292, "anthropic": 0.497, "eloundou": 0.0492 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6333, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5159, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0074, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0347, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0198, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3274, "exposure_v7": 0.2309, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0205, "exposure": 0.2309 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0752, "exposure_p50": 0.2309, "exposure_p90": 0.3815, "net_risk_p10": 0.0043, "net_risk_p50": 0.0166, "net_risk_p90": 0.0384, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7846, "theta": 0.7559, "c_aioe": -0.5724, "log_wage_spread": 0.3876, "wage_position": 0.828 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3160" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7846, "theta": 0.7559, "c_aioe": -0.5724, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3160" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "36100", "title": "Pre-primary education teacher", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4000, "gross_wage_25th": 3600, "gross_wage_75th": 4800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.4, "employment_thousands": 7.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "36", "employment_family_total_thousands": 51.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.144641, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2074, "bottleneck": 0.7041, "displacement_pressure": 0.0614, "demand_resilience": 0.2148, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4672, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9665, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2705, "market_resilience": 0.3885, "market_modifier": 0.7852 }, "net_risk": 0.0482, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0567, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2772, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4135, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0837 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6657, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6055, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0312, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0699, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0018, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3992, "exposure_v7": 0.2074, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0506, "exposure": 0.2074 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1018, "exposure_p50": 0.2074, "exposure_p90": 0.3157, "net_risk_p10": 0.0229, "net_risk_p50": 0.0464, "net_risk_p90": 0.0764, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1975, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.1539, "log_wage_spread": 0.2877, "wage_position": 0.8547 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3610" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1975, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 0.1539, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3610" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "36910", "title": "Private tutor (academic)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4250, "gross_wage_25th": 2600, "gross_wage_75th": 5370, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.6, "employment_thousands": 7.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "36", "employment_family_total_thousands": 51.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.149093, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9046, "bottleneck": 0.7041, "displacement_pressure": 0.2677, "demand_resilience": 0.2795, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4333, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8619, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6435, "market_resilience": 0.5173, "market_modifier": 0.7205 }, "net_risk": 0.1929, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.3295, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9046 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.415, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1596, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2546, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0429, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4673, "exposure_v7": 0.9046, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2054, "exposure": 0.9046 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9046, "exposure_p50": 0.9046, "exposure_p90": 0.9046, "net_risk_p10": 0.1507, "net_risk_p50": 0.1932, "net_risk_p90": 0.2344, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "log_wage_spread": 0.7253, "wage_position": 0.9081 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3691" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3691" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "31173", "title": "Process engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4461, "gross_wage_25th": 3784, "gross_wage_75th": 5309, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020761, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2795, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.1958, "demand_resilience": 0.1729, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2772, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3818, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3708, "market_resilience": 0.3146, "market_modifier": 0.8271 }, "net_risk": 0.1619, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0263, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2683, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4046, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2908, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1274, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2102, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0119, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3133, "exposure_v7": 0.2795, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1681, "exposure": 0.2795 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2145, "exposure_p50": 0.2795, "exposure_p90": 0.3474, "net_risk_p10": 0.1227, "net_risk_p50": 0.1631, "net_risk_p90": 0.2016, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "log_wage_spread": 0.3386, "wage_position": 0.9532 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31172", "title": "Production engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4380, "gross_wage_25th": 3343, "gross_wage_75th": 5893, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020572, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2795, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.1958, "demand_resilience": 0.1969, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2388, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2636, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5428, "market_resilience": 0.3604, "market_modifier": 0.8031 }, "net_risk": 0.1573, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0302, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2683, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4046, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2908, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1253, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.204, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0073, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.347, "exposure_v7": 0.2795, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.164, "exposure": 0.2795 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2145, "exposure_p50": 0.2795, "exposure_p90": 0.3474, "net_risk_p10": 0.1195, "net_risk_p50": 0.157, "net_risk_p90": 0.195, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "log_wage_spread": 0.5669, "wage_position": 0.9359 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33232", "title": "Purchasing agent", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4248, "gross_wage_25th": 3570, "gross_wage_75th": 5237, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033729, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6993, "bottleneck": 0.5107, "displacement_pressure": 0.3422, "demand_resilience": 0.1759, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2864, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.41, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3708, "market_resilience": 0.3201, "market_modifier": 0.8241 }, "net_risk": 0.282, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.1143, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3515, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9674, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6159, "anthropic": 0.9674, "eloundou": 0.5931, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7374, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.894, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.247, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3443, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.018, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3186, "exposure_v7": 0.6993, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2929, "exposure": 0.6993 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.603, "exposure_p50": 0.6993, "exposure_p90": 0.7933, "net_risk_p10": 0.2296, "net_risk_p50": 0.2789, "net_risk_p90": 0.3407, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8568, "theta": 0.6753, "c_aioe": 0.6941, "log_wage_spread": 0.3832, "wage_position": 0.9077 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3323" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8568, "theta": 0.6753, "c_aioe": 0.6941, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3323" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31175", "title": "Quality assurance technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4292, "gross_wage_25th": 3300, "gross_wage_75th": 5651, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020364, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2795, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.1958, "demand_resilience": 0.1929, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2558, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3159, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4964, "market_resilience": 0.352, "market_modifier": 0.8071 }, "net_risk": 0.158, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0295, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2683, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4046, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2908, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1231, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2066, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.008, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3445, "exposure_v7": 0.2795, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1648, "exposure": 0.2795 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2145, "exposure_p50": 0.2795, "exposure_p90": 0.3474, "net_risk_p10": 0.1194, "net_risk_p50": 0.1579, "net_risk_p90": 0.1972, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "log_wage_spread": 0.5379, "wage_position": 0.9171 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3117" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "33340", "title": "Real estate agent", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3800, "gross_wage_25th": 2966, "gross_wage_75th": 6109, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.3, "employment_thousands": 8.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.031901, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6601, "bottleneck": 0.7861, "displacement_pressure": 0.1412, "demand_resilience": 0.2413, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3734, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6778, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5517, "market_resilience": 0.4447, "market_modifier": 0.7587 }, "net_risk": 0.1071, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.2308, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1255, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8439, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7184, "anthropic": 0.8439, "eloundou": 0.6527, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7232, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6775, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0789, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1516, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0429, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4115, "exposure_v7": 0.6601, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1129, "exposure": 0.6601 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5539, "exposure_p50": 0.6601, "exposure_p90": 0.7671, "net_risk_p10": 0.0724, "net_risk_p50": 0.1056, "net_risk_p90": 0.1435, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0073, "theta": 0.7231, "c_aioe": 0.7679, "log_wage_spread": 0.7225, "wage_position": 0.812 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3334" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0073, "theta": 0.7231, "c_aioe": 0.7679, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3334" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "36991", "title": "Relief teacher", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 2765, "gross_wage_25th": 1732, "gross_wage_75th": 3332, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "36", "employment_family_total_thousands": 51.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.120257, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.9046, "bottleneck": 0.7041, "displacement_pressure": 0.2677, "demand_resilience": 0.2349, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4679, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9686, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3663, "market_resilience": 0.4273, "market_modifier": 0.7651 }, "net_risk": 0.2048, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2722, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9046 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.415, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1689, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2664, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0548, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4258, "exposure_v7": 0.9046, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2162, "exposure": 0.9046 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9046, "exposure_p50": 0.9046, "exposure_p90": 0.9046, "net_risk_p10": 0.1602, "net_risk_p50": 0.2044, "net_risk_p90": 0.2482, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "log_wage_spread": 0.6543, "wage_position": 0.5908 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3699" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3253, "theta": 0.7064, "c_aioe": 1.0325, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3699" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "31124", "title": "Resident technical officer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3800, "gross_wage_25th": 2888, "gross_wage_75th": 4921, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.019161, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4629, "bottleneck": 0.434, "displacement_pressure": 0.262, "demand_resilience": 0.1809, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2857, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4079, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3957, "market_resilience": 0.3297, "market_modifier": 0.8191 }, "net_risk": 0.2146, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0662, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.106, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4457, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5517, "anthropic": 0.4457, "eloundou": 0.5722, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7575, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4547, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1836, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2657, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0646, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3256, "exposure_v7": 0.4629, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2231, "exposure": 0.4629 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3938, "exposure_p50": 0.4629, "exposure_p90": 0.5342, "net_risk_p10": 0.1747, "net_risk_p50": 0.2157, "net_risk_p90": 0.2575, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.6616, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.5411, "log_wage_spread": 0.5329, "wage_position": 0.812 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3112" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.6616, "theta": 0.6676, "c_aioe": 0.5411, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3112" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31597", "title": "Road transport operations officer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4507, "gross_wage_25th": 3875, "gross_wage_75th": 5881, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020868, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3146, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1192, "demand_resilience": 0.1587, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1888, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1098, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.434, "market_resilience": 0.2869, "market_modifier": 0.8413 }, "net_risk": 0.1003, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0561, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.415, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.077, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1339, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0497, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2956, "exposure_v7": 0.3146, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1038, "exposure": 0.3146 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3146, "exposure_p90": 0.3146, "net_risk_p10": 0.083, "net_risk_p50": 0.1, "net_risk_p90": 0.1175, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.4172, "wage_position": 0.963 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31214", "title": "Rolling stock engineering technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 2970, "gross_wage_25th": 2567, "gross_wage_75th": 3436, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01694, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2889, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.2024, "demand_resilience": 0.1737, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1221, "market_resilience": 0.3113, "market_modifier": 0.8263 }, "net_risk": 0.1672, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0269, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2683, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4046, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2908, "ilo": 0.3329 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1314, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2261, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0172, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3359, "exposure_v7": 0.2889, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.174, "exposure": 0.2889 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2237, "exposure_p50": 0.2889, "exposure_p90": 0.3569, "net_risk_p10": 0.1256, "net_risk_p50": 0.1679, "net_risk_p90": 0.2089, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "log_wage_spread": 0.2916, "wage_position": 0.6346 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3121" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1941, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": 0.1614, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3121" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33394", "title": "Safety and security consultant", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 8318, "gross_wage_25th": 6175, "gross_wage_75th": 14833, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 12.2, "employment_thousands": 12.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.047198, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7773, "bottleneck": 0.5241, "displacement_pressure": 0.3699, "demand_resilience": 0.3384, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9296, "market_resilience": 0.6343, "market_modifier": 0.6616 }, "net_risk": 0.2448, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.2584, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0072, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7451, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7522, "anthropic": 0.7451, "eloundou": 0.909, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.217, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3109, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0552, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5291, "exposure_v7": 0.7773, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2643, "exposure": 0.7773 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7276, "exposure_p50": 0.7773, "exposure_p90": 0.8285, "net_risk_p10": 0.2054, "net_risk_p50": 0.2449, "net_risk_p90": 0.2875, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0477, "theta": 0.6772, "c_aioe": 0.8468, "log_wage_spread": 0.8763, "wage_position": 1.7774 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3339" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0477, "theta": 0.6772, "c_aioe": 0.8468, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3339" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31720", "title": "Safety inspector (vehicles, processes and products)", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3964, "gross_wage_25th": 3300, "gross_wage_75th": 5378, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01957, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5305, "bottleneck": 0.2745, "displacement_pressure": 0.3849, "demand_resilience": 0.1735, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2612, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3326, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3966, "market_resilience": 0.3154, "market_modifier": 0.8265 }, "net_risk": 0.3181, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0459, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1538, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.587, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4332, "anthropic": 0.587, "eloundou": 0.5649 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7255, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6049, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2846, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3827, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0181, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3156, "exposure_v7": 0.5305, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3303, "exposure": 0.5305 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4782, "exposure_p50": 0.5305, "exposure_p90": 0.5798, "net_risk_p10": 0.2748, "net_risk_p50": 0.3184, "net_risk_p90": 0.3608, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2633, "theta": 0.6501, "c_aioe": 0.2199, "log_wage_spread": 0.4884, "wage_position": 0.847 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3172" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2633, "theta": 0.6501, "c_aioe": 0.2199, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3172" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31142", "title": "Semi-conductor technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4462, "gross_wage_25th": 3217, "gross_wage_75th": 8770, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.020763, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3612, "bottleneck": 0.3538, "displacement_pressure": 0.2334, "demand_resilience": 0.2437, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2408, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2699, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7656, "market_resilience": 0.4507, "market_modifier": 0.7563 }, "net_risk": 0.1765, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0576, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.205, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3414, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3923, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6751, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4848, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1498, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2229, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0265, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4086, "exposure_v7": 0.3612, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1861, "exposure": 0.3612 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2479, "exposure_p50": 0.3612, "exposure_p90": 0.4737, "net_risk_p10": 0.122, "net_risk_p50": 0.1743, "net_risk_p90": 0.2308, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.055, "theta": 0.6624, "c_aioe": -0.0452, "log_wage_spread": 1.0029, "wage_position": 0.9534 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3114" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.055, "theta": 0.6624, "c_aioe": -0.0452, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3114" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33312", "title": "Shipping agent/Boarding officer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4046, "gross_wage_25th": 3307, "gross_wage_75th": 5370, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.5, "employment_thousands": 8.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.032918, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8975, "bottleneck": 0.0134, "displacement_pressure": 0.8855, "demand_resilience": 0.1595, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2082, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1695, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4118, "market_resilience": 0.2896, "market_modifier": 0.8405 }, "net_risk": 0.7443, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0035, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0585, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8211, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8797, "anthropic": 0.8211, "eloundou": 0.9634, "ilo": 0.927 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8873, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9139, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.6925, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.8265, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.2443, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2914, "exposure_v7": 0.8975, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.7701, "exposure": 0.8975 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8621, "exposure_p50": 0.8975, "exposure_p90": 0.9338, "net_risk_p10": 0.6834, "net_risk_p50": 0.7353, "net_risk_p90": 0.7814, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3027, "theta": 0.5452, "c_aioe": 1.2248, "log_wage_spread": 0.4848, "wage_position": 0.8645 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3331" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3027, "theta": 0.5452, "c_aioe": 1.2248, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3331" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "34122", "title": "Social work associate", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3378, "gross_wage_25th": 2835, "gross_wage_75th": 4014, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.063556, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3493, "bottleneck": 0.8093, "displacement_pressure": 0.0666, "demand_resilience": 0.1898, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4434, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8933, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1916, "market_resilience": 0.3427, "market_modifier": 0.8102 }, "net_risk": 0.054, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0969, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2914, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4278, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4331, "ilo": 0.4097 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6966, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5707, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0349, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0788, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.004, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3559, "exposure_v7": 0.3493, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0563, "exposure": 0.3493 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2748, "exposure_p50": 0.3493, "exposure_p90": 0.4256, "net_risk_p10": 0.033, "net_risk_p50": 0.0534, "net_risk_p90": 0.0768, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2512, "theta": 0.7275, "c_aioe": 0.1904, "log_wage_spread": 0.3477, "wage_position": 0.7218 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2512, "theta": 0.7275, "c_aioe": 0.1904, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "32111", "title": "Sonographer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5200, "gross_wage_25th": 3950, "gross_wage_75th": 8247, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.087326, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2468, "bottleneck": 0.5749, "displacement_pressure": 0.1049, "demand_resilience": 0.3201, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4751, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9906, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7602, "market_resilience": 0.5891, "market_modifier": 0.6799 }, "net_risk": 0.0713, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0836, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0963, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2326, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4467, "ilo": 0.1807 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7171, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5328, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.055, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1003, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0213, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5495, "exposure_v7": 0.2468, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0771, "exposure": 0.2468 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1702, "exposure_p50": 0.2468, "exposure_p90": 0.3252, "net_risk_p10": 0.0479, "net_risk_p50": 0.0695, "net_risk_p90": 0.0971, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3234, "theta": 0.6842, "c_aioe": -0.2591, "log_wage_spread": 0.7361, "wage_position": 1.1111 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3234, "theta": 0.6842, "c_aioe": -0.2591, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "34221", "title": "Sports coach", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4896, "gross_wage_25th": 3380, "gross_wage_75th": 7100, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.076515, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3421, "bottleneck": 0.9055, "displacement_pressure": 0.0323, "demand_resilience": 0.2833, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3877, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7218, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7353, "market_resilience": 0.5267, "market_modifier": 0.7167 }, "net_risk": 0.0232, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1632, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.254, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3904, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3305, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0076, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0411, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0232, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4628, "exposure_v7": 0.3421, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0247, "exposure": 0.3421 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2443, "exposure_p50": 0.3421, "exposure_p90": 0.4393, "net_risk_p10": 0.007, "net_risk_p50": 0.022, "net_risk_p90": 0.041, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1169, "theta": 0.763, "c_aioe": 0.0844, "log_wage_spread": 0.7422, "wage_position": 1.0462 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3422" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1169, "theta": 0.763, "c_aioe": 0.0844, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3422" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "33133", "title": "Tax associate professional", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4300, "gross_wage_25th": 3600, "gross_wage_75th": 5025, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.8, "employment_thousands": 8.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "33", "employment_family_total_thousands": 258.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.033935, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8917, "bottleneck": 0.2807, "displacement_pressure": 0.6413, "demand_resilience": 0.2045, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3959, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7469, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3471, "market_resilience": 0.3764, "market_modifier": 0.7955 }, "net_risk": 0.5102, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0942, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0855, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9101, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9955, "anthropic": 0.9101, "eloundou": 0.8692, "ilo": 0.8007 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.48, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5928, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0102, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3512, "exposure_v7": 0.8917, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5327, "exposure": 0.8917 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8446, "exposure_p50": 0.8917, "exposure_p90": 0.9412, "net_risk_p10": 0.4559, "net_risk_p50": 0.5094, "net_risk_p90": 0.5667, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "log_wage_spread": 0.3335, "wage_position": 0.9188 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3313" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.482, "theta": 0.6502, "c_aioe": 1.2377, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3313" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "35220", "title": "Telecommunications technician", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3421, "gross_wage_25th": 2961, "gross_wage_75th": 3998, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "35", "employment_family_total_thousands": 22.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.108201, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3828, "bottleneck": 0.6515, "displacement_pressure": 0.1334, "demand_resilience": 0.1117, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2123, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.182, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1747, "market_resilience": 0.1972, "market_modifier": 0.8883 }, "net_risk": 0.1185, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0492, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3072, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4239, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1168, "anthropic": 0.4239, "eloundou": 0.2228, "ilo": 0.7327 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0916, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.152, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0315, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2297, "exposure_v7": 0.3828, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1216, "exposure": 0.3828 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2246, "exposure_p50": 0.3828, "exposure_p90": 0.5331, "net_risk_p10": 0.0682, "net_risk_p50": 0.113, "net_risk_p90": 0.1713, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.853, "theta": 0.6942, "c_aioe": -0.6749, "log_wage_spread": 0.3003, "wage_position": 0.731 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3522" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.853, "theta": 0.6942, "c_aioe": -0.6749, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3522" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31596", "title": "Train operations officer", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3385, "gross_wage_25th": 2742, "gross_wage_75th": 3992, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.018085, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3146, "bottleneck": 0.6212, "displacement_pressure": 0.1192, "demand_resilience": 0.1917, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2139, "market_resilience": 0.3481, "market_modifier": 0.8083 }, "net_risk": 0.0963, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.068, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3146 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.4075, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0717, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1316, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0463, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3505, "exposure_v7": 0.3146, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1005, "exposure": 0.3146 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3146, "exposure_p50": 0.3146, "exposure_p90": 0.3146, "net_risk_p10": 0.0779, "net_risk_p50": 0.0964, "net_risk_p90": 0.1148, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "log_wage_spread": 0.3756, "wage_position": 0.7233 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0968, "theta": 0.6906, "c_aioe": -0.077, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3159" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "31572", "title": "Train service supervisor", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3272, "gross_wage_25th": 2698, "gross_wage_75th": 4027, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_thousands": 1.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "31", "employment_family_total_thousands": 105.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.01778, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2739, "bottleneck": 0.8681, "displacement_pressure": 0.0361, "demand_resilience": 0.1928, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4375, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2193, "market_resilience": 0.3502, "market_modifier": 0.8072 }, "net_risk": 0.0292, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0833, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1417, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2781, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4142 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8405, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.975, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0132, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0485, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0208, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3521, "exposure_v7": 0.2739, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0304, "exposure": 0.2739 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1809, "exposure_p50": 0.2739, "exposure_p90": 0.37, "net_risk_p10": 0.0122, "net_risk_p50": 0.0279, "net_risk_p90": 0.0488, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1838, "theta": 0.7404, "c_aioe": -0.1369, "log_wage_spread": 0.4005, "wage_position": 0.6991 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3157" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1838, "theta": 0.7404, "c_aioe": -0.1369, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3157" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "32400", "title": "Veterinary technician/assistant", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3531, "gross_wage_25th": 2905, "gross_wage_75th": 4851, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "32", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.07196, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3145, "bottleneck": 0.2513, "displacement_pressure": 0.2355, "demand_resilience": 0.1489, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2235, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2165, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3396, "market_resilience": 0.2699, "market_modifier": 0.8511 }, "net_risk": 0.2004, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0213, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2179, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4585, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2406, "anthropic": 0.4585, "eloundou": 0.5126, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8339, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1596, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2527, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0504, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2741, "exposure_v7": 0.3145, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2069, "exposure": 0.3145 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1995, "exposure_p50": 0.3145, "exposure_p90": 0.4332, "net_risk_p10": 0.1231, "net_risk_p50": 0.2024, "net_risk_p90": 0.2802, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "log_wage_spread": 0.5128, "wage_position": 0.7545 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3240" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2839, "theta": 0.6467, "c_aioe": -0.2381, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3240" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.7, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.9, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.35 } }, { "ssoc": "35212", "title": "Video camera operator", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 5434, "gross_wage_25th": 3900, "gross_wage_75th": 6842, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "35", "employment_family_total_thousands": 22.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.136369, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4631, "bottleneck": 0.3324, "displacement_pressure": 0.3091, "demand_resilience": 0.2114, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2123, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.182, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6524, "market_resilience": 0.3883, "market_modifier": 0.7886 }, "net_risk": 0.2438, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0598, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0223, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3547, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.377, "anthropic": 0.3547, "eloundou": 0.6914, "ilo": 0.4332 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7953, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8458, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2092, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2991, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0562, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3668, "exposure_v7": 0.4631, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2551, "exposure": 0.4631 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3802, "exposure_p50": 0.4631, "exposure_p90": 0.548, "net_risk_p10": 0.195, "net_risk_p50": 0.2402, "net_risk_p90": 0.3, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0552, "theta": 0.6609, "c_aioe": 0.0455, "log_wage_spread": 0.5621, "wage_position": 1.1611 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3521" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0552, "theta": 0.6609, "c_aioe": 0.0455, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3521" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "34323", "title": "Visual merchandiser", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4736, "gross_wage_25th": 3614, "gross_wage_75th": 7032, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.075255, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4838, "bottleneck": 0.3324, "displacement_pressure": 0.3229, "demand_resilience": 0.2199, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2347, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.251, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6586, "market_resilience": 0.4043, "market_modifier": 0.7801 }, "net_risk": 0.2519, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.065, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0223, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3547, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.377, "anthropic": 0.3547, "eloundou": 0.6914, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7253, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.8458, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2195, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.311, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0481, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3799, "exposure_v7": 0.4838, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2642, "exposure": 0.4838 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4006, "exposure_p50": 0.4838, "exposure_p90": 0.569, "net_risk_p10": 0.2019, "net_risk_p50": 0.2487, "net_risk_p90": 0.3035, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0552, "theta": 0.6609, "c_aioe": 0.0455, "log_wage_spread": 0.6657, "wage_position": 1.012 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3432" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0552, "theta": 0.6609, "c_aioe": 0.0455, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3432" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "34123", "title": "Volunteer executive", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 3565, "gross_wage_25th": 2600, "gross_wage_75th": 4367, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.065292, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3493, "bottleneck": 0.8093, "displacement_pressure": 0.0666, "demand_resilience": 0.2342, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4751, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9906, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3494, "market_resilience": 0.4248, "market_modifier": 0.7658 }, "net_risk": 0.051, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1201, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2914, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4278, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4331, "ilo": 0.4097 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6966, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5707, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0331, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.075, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.001, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4306, "exposure_v7": 0.3493, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0539, "exposure": 0.3493 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2748, "exposure_p50": 0.3493, "exposure_p90": 0.4256, "net_risk_p10": 0.0312, "net_risk_p50": 0.0506, "net_risk_p90": 0.0726, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2512, "theta": 0.7275, "c_aioe": 0.1904, "log_wage_spread": 0.5186, "wage_position": 0.7618 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2512, "theta": 0.7275, "c_aioe": 0.1904, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "35140", "title": "Website administrator/Webmaster", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 4500, "gross_wage_25th": 3200, "gross_wage_75th": 8166, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "35", "employment_family_total_thousands": 22.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.124097, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7975, "bottleneck": 0.1426, "displacement_pressure": 0.6838, "demand_resilience": 0.2472, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2538, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3096, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7625, "market_resilience": 0.4572, "market_modifier": 0.7528 }, "net_risk": 0.5148, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.052, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.6021, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9506, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3485, "anthropic": 0.9506, "eloundou": 0.9874, "ilo": 0.8738 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6583, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5778, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4845, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6076, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0148, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4143, "exposure_v7": 0.7975, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5431, "exposure": 0.7975 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6436, "exposure_p50": 0.7975, "exposure_p90": 0.9486, "net_risk_p10": 0.3995, "net_risk_p50": 0.517, "net_risk_p90": 0.6256, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0313, "theta": 0.6209, "c_aioe": -0.027, "log_wage_spread": 0.9368, "wage_position": 0.9615 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3514" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0313, "theta": 0.6209, "c_aioe": -0.027, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3514" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "34121", "title": "Youth work associate", "major_group": "ASSOCIATE PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS", "major_group_code": 3, "gross_wage_median": 2500, "gross_wage_25th": 2400, "gross_wage_75th": 2800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "34", "employment_family_total_thousands": 38.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.054676, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 495.5, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3493, "bottleneck": 0.8093, "displacement_pressure": 0.0666, "demand_resilience": 0.1717, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4751, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9906, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.0312, "market_resilience": 0.2975, "market_modifier": 0.8283 }, "net_risk": 0.0552, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0841, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2914, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4278, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4331, "ilo": 0.4097 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6966, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5707, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0365, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0805, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0052, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.378, "exposure_v7": 0.3493, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0577, "exposure": 0.3493 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2748, "exposure_p50": 0.3493, "exposure_p90": 0.4256, "net_risk_p10": 0.0331, "net_risk_p50": 0.0542, "net_risk_p90": 0.0779, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "pmet", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2512, "theta": 0.7275, "c_aioe": 0.1904, "log_wage_spread": 0.1542, "wage_position": 0.5342 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "3412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2512, "theta": 0.7275, "c_aioe": 0.1904, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "3412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.45, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.35, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.4, "tool_velocity": 0.45 } }, { "ssoc": "43233", "title": "Air transport clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3160, "gross_wage_25th": 2714, "gross_wage_75th": 3800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.048691, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5482, "bottleneck": 0.1747, "displacement_pressure": 0.4524, "demand_resilience": 0.1886, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3633, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2814, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3734, "market_resilience": 0.3674, "market_modifier": 0.8114 }, "net_risk": 0.3671, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0352, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0199, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3972, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4171, "anthropic": 0.3972, "eloundou": 0.5335, "ilo": 0.8292 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5439, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3228, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.437, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0671, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2326, "exposure_v7": 0.5482, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3776, "exposure": 0.5482 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4355, "exposure_p50": 0.5482, "exposure_p90": 0.6601, "net_risk_p10": 0.2843, "net_risk_p50": 0.3618, "net_risk_p90": 0.4528, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2232, "theta": 0.6288, "c_aioe": 0.1911, "log_wage_spread": 0.3366, "wage_position": 0.9566 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4323" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2232, "theta": 0.6288, "c_aioe": 0.1911, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4323" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43113", "title": "Audit clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3875, "gross_wage_25th": 3525, "gross_wage_75th": 4443, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_thousands": 2.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.053919, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8686, "bottleneck": 0.0775, "displacement_pressure": 0.8013, "demand_resilience": 0.1839, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3113, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1213, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4287, "market_resilience": 0.3583, "market_modifier": 0.8161 }, "net_risk": 0.6539, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0241, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1372, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8725, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7353, "anthropic": 0.8725, "ilo": 0.9851 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8572, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.6021, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7409, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1539, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2267, "exposure_v7": 0.8686, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6721, "exposure": 0.8686 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7838, "exposure_p50": 0.8686, "exposure_p90": 0.948, "net_risk_p10": 0.5771, "net_risk_p50": 0.6529, "net_risk_p90": 0.7295, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "log_wage_spread": 0.2314, "wage_position": 1.173 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "43121", "title": "Bank operations clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 5150, "gross_wage_25th": 4055, "gross_wage_75th": 6850, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.062159, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8756, "bottleneck": 0.0303, "displacement_pressure": 0.8491, "demand_resilience": 0.232, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2909, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0586, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6881, "market_resilience": 0.4498, "market_modifier": 0.768 }, "net_risk": 0.6521, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0119, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2015, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6719, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8734, "anthropic": 0.6719, "eloundou": 0.9749, "ilo": 0.9851 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7734, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.918, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.6053, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7369, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1521, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2955, "exposure_v7": 0.8756, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6772, "exposure": 0.8756 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7942, "exposure_p50": 0.8756, "exposure_p90": 0.9564, "net_risk_p10": 0.5731, "net_risk_p50": 0.6473, "net_risk_p90": 0.7195, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2955, "theta": 0.5606, "c_aioe": 1.1981, "log_wage_spread": 0.5243, "wage_position": 1.559 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4312" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2955, "theta": 0.5606, "c_aioe": 1.1981, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4312" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42111", "title": "Bank teller", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3965, "gross_wage_25th": 3194, "gross_wage_75th": 4560, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.078943, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6686, "bottleneck": 0.1889, "displacement_pressure": 0.5422, "demand_resilience": 0.1924, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2923, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0628, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4973, "market_resilience": 0.3743, "market_modifier": 0.8076 }, "net_risk": 0.4379, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0473, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.129, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3755, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5045, "anthropic": 0.3755, "eloundou": 0.8431, "ilo": 0.9418 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3943, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5138, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0621, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2401, "exposure_v7": 0.6686, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4509, "exposure": 0.6686 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5212, "exposure_p50": 0.6686, "exposure_p90": 0.8149, "net_risk_p10": 0.3301, "net_risk_p50": 0.4357, "net_risk_p90": 0.542, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4728, "theta": 0.6348, "c_aioe": 0.4021, "log_wage_spread": 0.356, "wage_position": 1.2002 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4728, "theta": 0.6348, "c_aioe": 0.4021, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42141", "title": "Bill collector", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 4087, "gross_wage_25th": 2497, "gross_wage_75th": 5950, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_thousands": 3.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.080148, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7658, "bottleneck": 0.0775, "displacement_pressure": 0.7064, "demand_resilience": 0.2669, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.2889, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0523, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8672, "market_resilience": 0.5202, "market_modifier": 0.7331 }, "net_risk": 0.5179, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0309, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1372, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8725, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7353, "anthropic": 0.8725, "ilo": 0.6881 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8272, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.48, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6003, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0179, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3283, "exposure_v7": 0.7658, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5411, "exposure": 0.7658 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7028, "exposure_p50": 0.7658, "exposure_p90": 0.8294, "net_risk_p10": 0.4617, "net_risk_p50": 0.5152, "net_risk_p90": 0.573, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "log_wage_spread": 0.8683, "wage_position": 1.2372 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4214" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4214" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43115", "title": "Billing clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3100, "gross_wage_25th": 2200, "gross_wage_75th": 4050, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.048226, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8686, "bottleneck": 0.0775, "displacement_pressure": 0.8013, "demand_resilience": 0.2211, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.329, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1757, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5758, "market_resilience": 0.4277, "market_modifier": 0.7789 }, "net_risk": 0.6241, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0288, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1372, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8725, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7353, "anthropic": 0.8725, "ilo": 0.9851 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8572, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5801, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7134, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1241, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2865, "exposure_v7": 0.8686, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.647, "exposure": 0.8686 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7838, "exposure_p50": 0.8686, "exposure_p90": 0.948, "net_risk_p10": 0.554, "net_risk_p50": 0.6217, "net_risk_p90": 0.6957, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "log_wage_spread": 0.6103, "wage_position": 0.9384 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43111", "title": "Bookkeeper", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3200, "gross_wage_25th": 1792, "gross_wage_75th": 5788, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.048998, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8686, "bottleneck": 0.0775, "displacement_pressure": 0.8013, "demand_resilience": 0.26, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3133, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1276, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7906, "market_resilience": 0.5042, "market_modifier": 0.74 }, "net_risk": 0.593, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.034, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1372, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8725, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7353, "anthropic": 0.8725, "ilo": 0.9851 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8572, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5562, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6837, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.093, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3307, "exposure_v7": 0.8686, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6195, "exposure": 0.8686 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7838, "exposure_p50": 0.8686, "exposure_p90": 0.948, "net_risk_p10": 0.5222, "net_risk_p50": 0.5906, "net_risk_p90": 0.6596, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "log_wage_spread": 1.1725, "wage_position": 0.9687 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42246", "title": "Contact centre information clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3150, "gross_wage_25th": 2513, "gross_wage_75th": 4418, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.070364, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7008, "bottleneck": 0.1658, "displacement_pressure": 0.5846, "demand_resilience": 0.2106, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3127, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1255, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5517, "market_resilience": 0.4083, "market_modifier": 0.7894 }, "net_risk": 0.4615, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0474, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2722, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7945, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5223, "anthropic": 0.7945, "eloundou": 0.6151, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6039, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3601, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4172, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5367, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0385, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2683, "exposure_v7": 0.7008, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4772, "exposure": 0.7008 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6176, "exposure_p50": 0.7008, "exposure_p90": 0.78, "net_risk_p10": 0.3924, "net_risk_p50": 0.4592, "net_risk_p90": 0.5295, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "log_wage_spread": 0.5642, "wage_position": 0.9535 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42245", "title": "Customer service officer/clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3190, "gross_wage_25th": 2349, "gross_wage_75th": 4264, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.070809, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7008, "bottleneck": 0.1658, "displacement_pressure": 0.5846, "demand_resilience": 0.2199, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3235, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.159, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5784, "market_resilience": 0.4255, "market_modifier": 0.7801 }, "net_risk": 0.4561, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0494, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2722, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7945, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5223, "anthropic": 0.7945, "eloundou": 0.6151, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6039, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3601, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4126, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5302, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0439, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2838, "exposure_v7": 0.7008, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4727, "exposure": 0.7008 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6176, "exposure_p50": 0.7008, "exposure_p90": 0.78, "net_risk_p10": 0.3894, "net_risk_p50": 0.4555, "net_risk_p90": 0.5214, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "log_wage_spread": 0.5962, "wage_position": 0.9656 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "41320", "title": "Data entry clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2000, "gross_wage_25th": 1500, "gross_wage_75th": 2925, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 16.4, "employment_thousands": 16.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "41", "employment_family_total_thousands": 97.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.168365, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8718, "bottleneck": 0.0187, "displacement_pressure": 0.8555, "demand_resilience": 0.183, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3344, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1925, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3868, "market_resilience": 0.3554, "market_modifier": 0.817 }, "net_risk": 0.6989, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0058, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4773, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9773, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5, "anthropic": 0.9773, "eloundou": 0.9822, "ilo": 1 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7087, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.6592, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.6372, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7749, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1989, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2312, "exposure_v7": 0.8718, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.7187, "exposure": 0.8718 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7475, "exposure_p50": 0.8718, "exposure_p90": 0.99, "net_risk_p10": 0.5773, "net_risk_p50": 0.6982, "net_risk_p90": 0.8013, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4664, "theta": 0.5545, "c_aioe": 0.4342, "log_wage_spread": 0.6678, "wage_position": 0.6054 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4132" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4664, "theta": 0.5545, "c_aioe": 0.4342, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4132" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "43151", "title": "Data processing control clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3480, "gross_wage_25th": 2598, "gross_wage_75th": 4929, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.051097, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8265, "bottleneck": 0.0187, "displacement_pressure": 0.8111, "demand_resilience": 0.2352, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3154, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1339, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6649, "market_resilience": 0.4552, "market_modifier": 0.7648 }, "net_risk": 0.6203, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.007, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4773, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9773, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5, "anthropic": 0.9773, "eloundou": 0.9822 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6691, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6592, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5817, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.703, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1203, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3039, "exposure_v7": 0.8265, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6449, "exposure": 0.8265 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.665, "exposure_p50": 0.8265, "exposure_p90": 0.9805, "net_risk_p10": 0.4839, "net_risk_p50": 0.6189, "net_risk_p90": 0.7414, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4664, "theta": 0.5545, "c_aioe": 0.4342, "log_wage_spread": 0.6404, "wage_position": 1.0534 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4315" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4664, "theta": 0.5545, "c_aioe": 0.4342, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4315" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.5, "real_time_coordination": 0.3, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.5, "relationship_intensity": 0.45, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.05, "tool_velocity": 0.8 } }, { "ssoc": "43142", "title": "Enumerator/Market research interviewer", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2701, "gross_wage_25th": 1788, "gross_wage_75th": 3249, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.045016, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.951, "bottleneck": 0.2166, "displacement_pressure": 0.745, "demand_resilience": 0.2137, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3861, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3515, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4608, "market_resilience": 0.416, "market_modifier": 0.7863 }, "net_risk": 0.5858, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0857, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0303, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9634, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9332, "anthropic": 0.9634, "eloundou": 0.955 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8378, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8741, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5401, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6607, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0858, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2652, "exposure_v7": 0.951, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6056, "exposure": 0.951 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9406, "exposure_p50": 0.951, "exposure_p90": 0.9607, "net_risk_p10": 0.5339, "net_risk_p50": 0.5856, "net_risk_p90": 0.6384, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3435, "theta": 0.64, "c_aioe": 1.1358, "log_wage_spread": 0.5972, "wage_position": 0.8176 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4314" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3435, "theta": 0.64, "c_aioe": 1.1358, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4314" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42247", "title": "Hotel executive (including hotel reservation and front desk executive)", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3164, "gross_wage_25th": 2674, "gross_wage_75th": 3600, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.07052, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7008, "bottleneck": 0.1658, "displacement_pressure": 0.5846, "demand_resilience": 0.2589, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.57, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9174, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.352, "market_resilience": 0.4828, "market_modifier": 0.7411 }, "net_risk": 0.4333, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0561, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2722, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7945, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5223, "anthropic": 0.7945, "eloundou": 0.6151, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6039, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3601, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3978, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5139, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0667, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4159, "exposure_v7": 0.7008, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4576, "exposure": 0.7008 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6176, "exposure_p50": 0.7008, "exposure_p90": 0.78, "net_risk_p10": 0.3682, "net_risk_p50": 0.4326, "net_risk_p90": 0.4979, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "log_wage_spread": 0.2974, "wage_position": 0.9578 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42242", "title": "Hotel receptionist (including hotel reservation and front desk clerk)", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2687, "gross_wage_25th": 2076, "gross_wage_75th": 3379, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.064987, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7008, "bottleneck": 0.1658, "displacement_pressure": 0.5846, "demand_resilience": 0.1873, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3691, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2992, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3601, "market_resilience": 0.3655, "market_modifier": 0.8127 }, "net_risk": 0.4751, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0425, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2722, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7945, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5223, "anthropic": 0.7945, "eloundou": 0.6151, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6039, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3601, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4319, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5537, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0249, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2287, "exposure_v7": 0.7008, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4885, "exposure": 0.7008 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6176, "exposure_p50": 0.7008, "exposure_p90": 0.78, "net_risk_p10": 0.4047, "net_risk_p50": 0.4738, "net_risk_p90": 0.5457, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "log_wage_spread": 0.4871, "wage_position": 0.8134 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "43122", "title": "Insurance/Underwriting clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 5045, "gross_wage_25th": 3791, "gross_wage_75th": 7333, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.061523, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8756, "bottleneck": 0.0303, "displacement_pressure": 0.8491, "demand_resilience": 0.2485, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.277, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0157, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7941, "market_resilience": 0.4838, "market_modifier": 0.7515 }, "net_risk": 0.6381, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0128, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2015, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6719, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8734, "anthropic": 0.6719, "eloundou": 0.9749, "ilo": 0.9851 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7734, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.918, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.6007, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7166, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1381, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3075, "exposure_v7": 0.8756, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6642, "exposure": 0.8756 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7942, "exposure_p50": 0.8756, "exposure_p90": 0.9564, "net_risk_p10": 0.5554, "net_risk_p50": 0.6332, "net_risk_p90": 0.7044, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2955, "theta": 0.5606, "c_aioe": 1.1981, "log_wage_spread": 0.6598, "wage_position": 1.5272 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4312" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2955, "theta": 0.5606, "c_aioe": 1.1981, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4312" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "43232", "title": "Land transport clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2909, "gross_wage_25th": 1742, "gross_wage_75th": 3995, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046717, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5482, "bottleneck": 0.1747, "displacement_pressure": 0.4524, "demand_resilience": 0.2331, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3032, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0962, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6747, "market_resilience": 0.4518, "market_modifier": 0.7669 }, "net_risk": 0.347, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0433, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0199, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3972, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4171, "anthropic": 0.3972, "eloundou": 0.5335, "ilo": 0.8292 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5439, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3088, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4137, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.047, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2979, "exposure_v7": 0.5482, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3604, "exposure": 0.5482 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4355, "exposure_p50": 0.5482, "exposure_p90": 0.6601, "net_risk_p10": 0.2695, "net_risk_p50": 0.3416, "net_risk_p90": 0.4312, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2232, "theta": 0.6288, "c_aioe": 0.1911, "log_wage_spread": 0.83, "wage_position": 0.8806 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4323" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2232, "theta": 0.6288, "c_aioe": 0.1911, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4323" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43112", "title": "Ledger and accounts clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3340, "gross_wage_25th": 2300, "gross_wage_75th": 4403, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.050058, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8686, "bottleneck": 0.0775, "displacement_pressure": 0.8013, "demand_resilience": 0.2335, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3222, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1548, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6453, "market_resilience": 0.4514, "market_modifier": 0.7665 }, "net_risk": 0.6141, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0304, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1372, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8725, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7353, "anthropic": 0.8725, "ilo": 0.9851 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8572, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5647, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7037, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1141, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3039, "exposure_v7": 0.8686, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6385, "exposure": 0.8686 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7838, "exposure_p50": 0.8686, "exposure_p90": 0.948, "net_risk_p10": 0.5408, "net_risk_p50": 0.611, "net_risk_p90": 0.6833, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "log_wage_spread": 0.6494, "wage_position": 1.011 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "44170", "title": "Legal clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 4250, "gross_wage_25th": 3045, "gross_wage_75th": 6000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.6, "employment_thousands": 1.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "44", "employment_family_total_thousands": 5.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.274867, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7357, "bottleneck": 0.1408, "displacement_pressure": 0.6321, "demand_resilience": 0.249, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.293, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0649, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7692, "market_resilience": 0.4834, "market_modifier": 0.751 }, "net_risk": 0.4747, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0501, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2554, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8419, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5865, "anthropic": 0.8419, "eloundou": 0.7678 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5743, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4399, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5577, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0253, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3146, "exposure_v7": 0.7357, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4946, "exposure": 0.7357 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6485, "exposure_p50": 0.7357, "exposure_p90": 0.818, "net_risk_p10": 0.4091, "net_risk_p50": 0.4751, "net_risk_p90": 0.5381, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7597, "theta": 0.6205, "c_aioe": 0.657, "log_wage_spread": 0.6783, "wage_position": 1.2865 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4417" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7597, "theta": 0.6205, "c_aioe": 0.657, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4417" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.4, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.75, "institutional_knowledge": 0.8, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.95, "physical_presence": 0.15, "tool_velocity": 0.3 } }, { "ssoc": "44110", "title": "Library clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2426, "gross_wage_25th": 2080, "gross_wage_75th": 2531, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "44", "employment_family_total_thousands": 5.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.20767, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6258, "bottleneck": 0.139, "displacement_pressure": 0.5388, "demand_resilience": 0.122, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3045, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1004, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1381, "market_resilience": 0.238, "market_modifier": 0.878 }, "net_risk": 0.4731, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0207, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1251, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4941, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.369, "anthropic": 0.4941, "eloundou": 0.8828, "ilo": 0.7463 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4207, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5456, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0269, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.1496, "exposure_v7": 0.6258, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4811, "exposure": 0.6258 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.501, "exposure_p50": 0.6258, "exposure_p90": 0.7483, "net_risk_p10": 0.3679, "net_risk_p50": 0.4717, "net_risk_p90": 0.5786, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.038, "theta": 0.6181, "c_aioe": 0.0329, "log_wage_spread": 0.1962, "wage_position": 0.7344 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4411" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.038, "theta": 0.6181, "c_aioe": 0.0329, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4411" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43221", "title": "Material planning clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 5907, "gross_wage_25th": 4190, "gross_wage_75th": 9089, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.066571, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5172, "bottleneck": 0.2077, "displacement_pressure": 0.4098, "demand_resilience": 0.281, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3174, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1402, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8922, "market_resilience": 0.5473, "market_modifier": 0.719 }, "net_risk": 0.2946, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0588, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1195, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4733, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3538, "anthropic": 0.4733, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.4772, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2649, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.355, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0054, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3471, "exposure_v7": 0.5172, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3089, "exposure": 0.5172 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.396, "exposure_p50": 0.5172, "exposure_p90": 0.6305, "net_risk_p10": 0.2258, "net_risk_p50": 0.2925, "net_risk_p90": 0.3654, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0232, "theta": 0.6383, "c_aioe": -0.0197, "log_wage_spread": 0.7744, "wage_position": 1.7881 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0232, "theta": 0.6383, "c_aioe": -0.0197, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42243", "title": "Medical/Dental receptionist", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2810, "gross_wage_25th": 2460, "gross_wage_75th": 3197, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.066458, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7008, "bottleneck": 0.1658, "displacement_pressure": 0.5846, "demand_resilience": 0.1525, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3229, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1569, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2585, "market_resilience": 0.2971, "market_modifier": 0.8475 }, "net_risk": 0.4955, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0345, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2722, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7945, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5223, "anthropic": 0.7945, "eloundou": 0.6151, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6039, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3601, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4459, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5754, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0045, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.1877, "exposure_v7": 0.7008, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5065, "exposure": 0.7008 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6176, "exposure_p50": 0.7008, "exposure_p90": 0.78, "net_risk_p10": 0.4197, "net_risk_p50": 0.4927, "net_risk_p90": 0.5648, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "log_wage_spread": 0.2621, "wage_position": 0.8506 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "42113", "title": "Money changer", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3750, "gross_wage_25th": 2812, "gross_wage_75th": 5876, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.076773, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6686, "bottleneck": 0.1889, "displacement_pressure": 0.5422, "demand_resilience": 0.2438, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.277, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0157, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7709, "market_resilience": 0.4746, "market_modifier": 0.7562 }, "net_risk": 0.4101, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0599, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.129, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3755, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5045, "anthropic": 0.3755, "eloundou": 0.8431, "ilo": 0.9418 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7939, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3724, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4759, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0899, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3021, "exposure_v7": 0.6686, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4264, "exposure": 0.6686 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5212, "exposure_p50": 0.6686, "exposure_p90": 0.8149, "net_risk_p10": 0.3092, "net_risk_p50": 0.4086, "net_risk_p90": 0.5108, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4728, "theta": 0.6348, "c_aioe": 0.4021, "log_wage_spread": 0.737, "wage_position": 1.1352 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4728, "theta": 0.6348, "c_aioe": 0.4021, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "41101", "title": "Office clerk (including filing and copying)", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 1822, "gross_wage_25th": 1420, "gross_wage_75th": 3050, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 15.6, "employment_thousands": 15.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "41", "employment_family_total_thousands": 97.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.160698, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7727, "bottleneck": 0.0365, "displacement_pressure": 0.7445, "demand_resilience": 0.1887, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3256, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1653, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4269, "market_resilience": 0.3661, "market_modifier": 0.8113 }, "net_risk": 0.604, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0103, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2717, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9713, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6996, "anthropic": 0.9713, "eloundou": 0.4425, "ilo": 0.953 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7939, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5539, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6881, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.104, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2398, "exposure_v7": 0.7727, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6218, "exposure": 0.7727 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6389, "exposure_p50": 0.7727, "exposure_p90": 0.9033, "net_risk_p10": 0.4789, "net_risk_p50": 0.6004, "net_risk_p90": 0.7133, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9889, "theta": 0.5643, "c_aioe": 0.9108, "log_wage_spread": 0.7645, "wage_position": 0.5515 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4110" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9889, "theta": 0.5643, "c_aioe": 0.9108, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4110" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "40000", "title": "Office supervisor", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3743, "gross_wage_25th": 2836, "gross_wage_75th": 5000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "40", "employment_family_total_thousands": 3.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 1, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7448, "bottleneck": 0.3137, "displacement_pressure": 0.5111, "demand_resilience": 0.2347, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3242, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1611, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6471, "market_resilience": 0.4534, "market_modifier": 0.7653 }, "net_risk": 0.3912, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.1059, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0296, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7569, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7273, "anthropic": 0.7569, "eloundou": 0.749 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8693, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3586, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4619, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0912, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3064, "exposure_v7": 0.7448, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4069, "exposure": 0.7448 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7347, "exposure_p50": 0.7448, "exposure_p90": 0.7543, "net_risk_p10": 0.3517, "net_risk_p50": 0.3908, "net_risk_p90": 0.4303, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0387, "theta": 0.6566, "c_aioe": 0.8609, "log_wage_spread": 0.567, "wage_position": 1.133 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4000" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0387, "theta": 0.6566, "c_aioe": 0.8609, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4000" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42244", "title": "Passenger services agent", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2570, "gross_wage_25th": 1500, "gross_wage_75th": 3544, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.063556, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7008, "bottleneck": 0.1658, "displacement_pressure": 0.5846, "demand_resilience": 0.2338, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3633, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2814, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5882, "market_resilience": 0.4533, "market_modifier": 0.7662 }, "net_risk": 0.448, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0527, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2722, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7945, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5223, "anthropic": 0.7945, "eloundou": 0.6151, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6039, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3601, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4073, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5234, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.052, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.298, "exposure_v7": 0.7008, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4654, "exposure": 0.7008 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6176, "exposure_p50": 0.7008, "exposure_p90": 0.78, "net_risk_p10": 0.3816, "net_risk_p50": 0.4467, "net_risk_p90": 0.5143, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "log_wage_spread": 0.8598, "wage_position": 0.778 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42131", "title": "Pawnbroker", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 5192, "gross_wage_25th": 4638, "gross_wage_75th": 6471, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.4, "employment_thousands": 4.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.090336, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7958, "bottleneck": 0.0775, "displacement_pressure": 0.7341, "demand_resilience": 0.2095, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3125, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5481, "market_resilience": 0.4068, "market_modifier": 0.7905 }, "net_risk": 0.5803, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0251, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1372, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8725, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7353, "anthropic": 0.8725, "ilo": 0.7748 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8647, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5251, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6704, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0803, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2649, "exposure_v7": 0.7958, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5997, "exposure": 0.7958 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7494, "exposure_p50": 0.7958, "exposure_p90": 0.8396, "net_risk_p10": 0.5198, "net_risk_p50": 0.5789, "net_risk_p90": 0.6379, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "log_wage_spread": 0.333, "wage_position": 1.5717 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4213" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4213" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43114", "title": "Payroll/Wages clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 4256, "gross_wage_25th": 3000, "gross_wage_75th": 5950, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.056507, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8686, "bottleneck": 0.0775, "displacement_pressure": 0.8013, "demand_resilience": 0.2596, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3208, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1506, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7763, "market_resilience": 0.503, "market_modifier": 0.7404 }, "net_risk": 0.5933, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0339, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1372, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8725, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7353, "anthropic": 0.8725, "ilo": 0.9851 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8572, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5473, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.683, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0933, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3321, "exposure_v7": 0.8686, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6199, "exposure": 0.8686 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7838, "exposure_p50": 0.8686, "exposure_p90": 0.948, "net_risk_p10": 0.5222, "net_risk_p50": 0.5912, "net_risk_p90": 0.6605, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "log_wage_spread": 0.6848, "wage_position": 1.2883 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "41102", "title": "Personnel/Human resource clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2950, "gross_wage_25th": 1740, "gross_wage_75th": 4183, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 19.9, "employment_thousands": 19.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "41", "employment_family_total_thousands": 97.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.204479, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7727, "bottleneck": 0.0365, "displacement_pressure": 0.7445, "demand_resilience": 0.2458, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3276, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1715, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6961, "market_resilience": 0.475, "market_modifier": 0.7542 }, "net_risk": 0.5615, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0134, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2717, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9713, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6996, "anthropic": 0.9713, "eloundou": 0.4425, "ilo": 0.953 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7939, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.518, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6428, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0615, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3201, "exposure_v7": 0.7727, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5853, "exposure": 0.7727 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6389, "exposure_p50": 0.7727, "exposure_p90": 0.9033, "net_risk_p10": 0.4439, "net_risk_p50": 0.5586, "net_risk_p90": 0.6626, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.9889, "theta": 0.5643, "c_aioe": 0.9108, "log_wage_spread": 0.8771, "wage_position": 0.893 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4110" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.9889, "theta": 0.5643, "c_aioe": 0.9108, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4110" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.65, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.7, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "42112", "title": "Postal service counter clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2392, "gross_wage_25th": 2073, "gross_wage_75th": 3012, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.061316, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6686, "bottleneck": 0.1889, "displacement_pressure": 0.5422, "demand_resilience": 0.1553, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3633, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2814, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.213, "market_resilience": 0.3032, "market_modifier": 0.8447 }, "net_risk": 0.458, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0383, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.129, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3755, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5045, "anthropic": 0.3755, "eloundou": 0.8431, "ilo": 0.9418 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4095, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.534, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.042, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.1884, "exposure_v7": 0.6686, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4683, "exposure": 0.6686 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5212, "exposure_p50": 0.6686, "exposure_p90": 0.8149, "net_risk_p10": 0.3466, "net_risk_p50": 0.4574, "net_risk_p90": 0.5756, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4728, "theta": 0.6348, "c_aioe": 0.4021, "log_wage_spread": 0.3736, "wage_position": 0.7241 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4728, "theta": 0.6348, "c_aioe": 0.4021, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "44122", "title": "Postman", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2706, "gross_wage_25th": 2128, "gross_wage_75th": 3472, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "44", "employment_family_total_thousands": 5.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.219327, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6964, "bottleneck": 0.0339, "displacement_pressure": 0.6728, "demand_resilience": 0.1884, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3633, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2814, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3725, "market_resilience": 0.367, "market_modifier": 0.8116 }, "net_risk": 0.5461, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0087, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2795, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7233, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4439, "anthropic": 0.7233, "eloundou": 0.9686, "ilo": 0.6423 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4969, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6201, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0461, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2323, "exposure_v7": 0.6964, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5617, "exposure": 0.6964 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.5689, "exposure_p50": 0.6964, "exposure_p90": 0.8216, "net_risk_p10": 0.4433, "net_risk_p50": 0.5363, "net_risk_p90": 0.6382, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.284, "theta": 0.563, "c_aioe": 0.2619, "log_wage_spread": 0.4895, "wage_position": 0.8191 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.284, "theta": 0.563, "c_aioe": 0.2619, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43116", "title": "Procurement/Purchasing clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2850, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 3878, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_thousands": 2.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046241, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8686, "bottleneck": 0.0775, "displacement_pressure": 0.8013, "demand_resilience": 0.2565, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3813, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3368, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6711, "market_resilience": 0.4973, "market_modifier": 0.7435 }, "net_risk": 0.5957, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0335, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1372, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8725, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7353, "anthropic": 0.8725, "ilo": 0.9851 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8572, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5553, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6837, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0957, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3276, "exposure_v7": 0.8686, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.622, "exposure": 0.8686 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7838, "exposure_p50": 0.8686, "exposure_p90": 0.948, "net_risk_p10": 0.5245, "net_risk_p50": 0.5935, "net_risk_p90": 0.6655, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "log_wage_spread": 0.8853, "wage_position": 0.8627 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0397, "theta": 0.5968, "c_aioe": 0.9239, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43222", "title": "Production planning clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3538, "gross_wage_25th": 2193, "gross_wage_75th": 4908, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.051521, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5172, "bottleneck": 0.2077, "displacement_pressure": 0.4098, "demand_resilience": 0.2647, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3378, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2029, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7745, "market_resilience": 0.5125, "market_modifier": 0.7353 }, "net_risk": 0.3013, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.055, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1195, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4733, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3538, "anthropic": 0.4733, "ilo": 0.7079 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.4772, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2649, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3642, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0013, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3406, "exposure_v7": 0.5172, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3153, "exposure": 0.5172 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.396, "exposure_p50": 0.5172, "exposure_p90": 0.6305, "net_risk_p10": 0.23, "net_risk_p50": 0.297, "net_risk_p90": 0.3694, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0232, "theta": 0.6383, "c_aioe": -0.0197, "log_wage_spread": 0.8056, "wage_position": 1.071 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0232, "theta": 0.6383, "c_aioe": -0.0197, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "44191", "title": "Proofreading clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 5000, "gross_wage_25th": 3600, "gross_wage_75th": 7000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "44", "employment_family_total_thousands": 5.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.298135, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7463, "bottleneck": 0.0446, "displacement_pressure": 0.7131, "demand_resilience": 0.26, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3125, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7932, "market_resilience": 0.5048, "market_modifier": 0.74 }, "net_risk": 0.5277, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0168, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4955, "ilo": 0.9728 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.558, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.479, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6117, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0277, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3285, "exposure_v7": 0.7463, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.5511, "exposure": 0.7463 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4955, "exposure_p50": 0.7463, "exposure_p90": 0.9728, "net_risk_p10": 0.3436, "net_risk_p50": 0.5247, "net_risk_p90": 0.6932, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4576, "theta": 0.5844, "c_aioe": 0.4123, "log_wage_spread": 0.665, "wage_position": 1.5135 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4419" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4576, "theta": 0.5844, "c_aioe": 0.4123, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4419" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42241", "title": "Receptionist (general)", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2724, "gross_wage_25th": 1977, "gross_wage_75th": 3349, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.065433, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.7008, "bottleneck": 0.1658, "displacement_pressure": 0.5846, "demand_resilience": 0.1845, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3249, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1632, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4082, "market_resilience": 0.3582, "market_modifier": 0.8155 }, "net_risk": 0.4768, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0416, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2722, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7945, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5223, "anthropic": 0.7945, "eloundou": 0.6151, "ilo": 0.8502 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6039, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3601, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4299, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5493, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0232, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2333, "exposure_v7": 0.7008, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4904, "exposure": 0.7008 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6176, "exposure_p50": 0.7008, "exposure_p90": 0.78, "net_risk_p10": 0.4049, "net_risk_p50": 0.4747, "net_risk_p90": 0.5477, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "log_wage_spread": 0.5271, "wage_position": 0.8246 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.5416, "theta": 0.6287, "c_aioe": 0.4639, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4224" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "41201", "title": "Secretary", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 5035, "gross_wage_25th": 3728, "gross_wage_75th": 6840, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 25.9, "employment_thousands": 25.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "41", "employment_family_total_thousands": 97.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.267139, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8665, "bottleneck": 0.0214, "displacement_pressure": 0.848, "demand_resilience": 0.259, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3324, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1862, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7549, "market_resilience": 0.5014, "market_modifier": 0.741 }, "net_risk": 0.6283, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0093, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2403, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9605, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.7201, "anthropic": 0.9605, "eloundou": 0.8285, "ilo": 0.9418 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5845, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7127, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1283, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.334, "exposure_v7": 0.8665, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6567, "exposure": 0.8665 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8065, "exposure_p50": 0.8665, "exposure_p90": 0.924, "net_risk_p10": 0.5593, "net_risk_p50": 0.6212, "net_risk_p90": 0.6773, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.0132, "theta": 0.5558, "c_aioe": 0.9418, "log_wage_spread": 0.6069, "wage_position": 1.5241 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4120" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.0132, "theta": 0.5558, "c_aioe": 0.9418, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4120" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43123", "title": "Securities clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 5972, "gross_wage_25th": 4545, "gross_wage_75th": 7046, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.066937, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.8756, "bottleneck": 0.0303, "displacement_pressure": 0.8491, "demand_resilience": 0.2178, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.278, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0188, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6381, "market_resilience": 0.4221, "market_modifier": 0.7822 }, "net_risk": 0.6642, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0112, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2015, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6719, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.8734, "anthropic": 0.6719, "eloundou": 0.9749, "ilo": 0.9851 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7734, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.918, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.6168, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7468, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1642, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2783, "exposure_v7": 0.8756, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6878, "exposure": 0.8756 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.7942, "exposure_p50": 0.8756, "exposure_p90": 0.9564, "net_risk_p10": 0.5795, "net_risk_p50": 0.6595, "net_risk_p90": 0.733, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.2955, "theta": 0.5606, "c_aioe": 1.1981, "log_wage_spread": 0.4384, "wage_position": 1.8078 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4312" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.2955, "theta": 0.5606, "c_aioe": 1.1981, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4312" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43231", "title": "Shipping clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3320, "gross_wage_25th": 2600, "gross_wage_75th": 4218, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.049908, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5482, "bottleneck": 0.1747, "displacement_pressure": 0.4524, "demand_resilience": 0.205, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3263, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1674, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5027, "market_resilience": 0.3968, "market_modifier": 0.795 }, "net_risk": 0.3597, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.038, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0199, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3972, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4171, "anthropic": 0.3972, "eloundou": 0.5335, "ilo": 0.8292 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5439, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3166, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4257, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0597, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.264, "exposure_v7": 0.5482, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3716, "exposure": 0.5482 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4355, "exposure_p50": 0.5482, "exposure_p90": 0.6601, "net_risk_p10": 0.2799, "net_risk_p50": 0.3564, "net_risk_p90": 0.4433, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.2232, "theta": 0.6288, "c_aioe": 0.1911, "log_wage_spread": 0.4838, "wage_position": 1.005 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4323" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.2232, "theta": 0.6288, "c_aioe": 0.1911, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4323" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43141", "title": "Statistical clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 4401, "gross_wage_25th": 4000, "gross_wage_75th": 5000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.057462, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.951, "bottleneck": 0.2166, "displacement_pressure": 0.745, "demand_resilience": 0.1917, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3125, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4626, "market_resilience": 0.3725, "market_modifier": 0.8083 }, "net_risk": 0.6022, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0767, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0303, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9634, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9332, "anthropic": 0.9634, "eloundou": 0.955 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8303, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8741, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5443, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6877, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1022, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2403, "exposure_v7": 0.951, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6201, "exposure": 0.951 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9406, "exposure_p50": 0.951, "exposure_p90": 0.9607, "net_risk_p10": 0.5426, "net_risk_p50": 0.6023, "net_risk_p90": 0.6629, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.3435, "theta": 0.64, "c_aioe": 1.1358, "log_wage_spread": 0.2231, "wage_position": 1.3322 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4314" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.3435, "theta": 0.64, "c_aioe": 1.1358, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4314" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43211", "title": "Stock records clerk", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2716, "gross_wage_25th": 1950, "gross_wage_75th": 3933, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_thousands": 2.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.045141, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.266, "bottleneck": 0.1791, "displacement_pressure": 0.2183, "demand_resilience": 0.2297, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3779, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3264, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5481, "market_resilience": 0.446, "market_modifier": 0.7703 }, "net_risk": 0.1682, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0213, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0018, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1346, "anthropic": 0.1364, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7672, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1294, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2189, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0182, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2895, "exposure_v7": 0.266, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1745, "exposure": 0.266 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1352, "exposure_p50": 0.266, "exposure_p90": 0.3949, "net_risk_p10": 0.0832, "net_risk_p50": 0.167, "net_risk_p90": 0.2564, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7463, "theta": 0.6322, "c_aioe": -0.6368, "log_wage_spread": 0.7016, "wage_position": 0.8222 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4321" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7463, "theta": 0.6322, "c_aioe": -0.6368, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4321" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "43212", "title": "Storekeeper", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2500, "gross_wage_25th": 2000, "gross_wage_75th": 3080, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "43", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.043309, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.266, "bottleneck": 0.1791, "displacement_pressure": 0.2183, "demand_resilience": 0.1779, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3922, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3703, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2816, "market_resilience": 0.348, "market_modifier": 0.8221 }, "net_risk": 0.1795, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0166, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0018, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1346, "anthropic": 0.1364, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7672, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1401, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2291, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0295, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2127, "exposure_v7": 0.266, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1841, "exposure": 0.266 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1352, "exposure_p50": 0.266, "exposure_p90": 0.3949, "net_risk_p10": 0.0891, "net_risk_p50": 0.1785, "net_risk_p90": 0.2737, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7463, "theta": 0.6322, "c_aioe": -0.6368, "log_wage_spread": 0.4318, "wage_position": 0.7568 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4321" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7463, "theta": 0.6322, "c_aioe": -0.6368, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4321" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42230", "title": "Telephone operator", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2523, "gross_wage_25th": 1890, "gross_wage_75th": 3645, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.062973, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.6968, "bottleneck": 0.1212, "displacement_pressure": 0.6123, "demand_resilience": 0.2831, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.57, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9174, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4643, "market_resilience": 0.5278, "market_modifier": 0.7169 }, "net_risk": 0.439, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0446, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1218, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7154, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5936, "anthropic": 0.7154, "eloundou": 0.5774, "ilo": 0.8837 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5139, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.4097, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.5258, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.061, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4558, "exposure_v7": 0.6968, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.4669, "exposure": 0.6968 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6174, "exposure_p50": 0.6968, "exposure_p90": 0.7737, "net_risk_p10": 0.3771, "net_risk_p50": 0.4361, "net_risk_p90": 0.5008, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.7841, "theta": 0.6157, "c_aioe": 0.682, "log_wage_spread": 0.6568, "wage_position": 0.7637 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4223" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.7841, "theta": 0.6157, "c_aioe": 0.682, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4223" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "42210", "title": "Travel consultant/Reservation executive", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 3810, "gross_wage_25th": 2500, "gross_wage_75th": 5057, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "42", "employment_family_total_thousands": 48, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.077385, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5623, "bottleneck": 0.3226, "displacement_pressure": 0.3809, "demand_resilience": 0.2764, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3929, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3724, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7531, "market_resilience": 0.537, "market_modifier": 0.7236 }, "net_risk": 0.2756, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0974, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4346, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6877, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2531, "anthropic": 0.6877, "eloundou": 0.3515, "ilo": 0.9158 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5139, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2444, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3343, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0244, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3478, "exposure_v7": 0.5623, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2888, "exposure": 0.5623 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3927, "exposure_p50": 0.5623, "exposure_p90": 0.7235, "net_risk_p10": 0.1875, "net_risk_p50": 0.2745, "net_risk_p90": 0.3637, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2081, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": -0.172, "log_wage_spread": 0.7045, "wage_position": 1.1533 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4221" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2081, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": -0.172, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4221" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "41310", "title": "Typist and word processing operator", "major_group": "CLERICAL SUPPORT WORKERS", "major_group_code": 4, "gross_wage_median": 2803, "gross_wage_25th": 2160, "gross_wage_75th": 3800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 19.4, "employment_thousands": 19.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "41", "employment_family_total_thousands": 97.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.199319, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 201, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.99, "bottleneck": 0.148, "displacement_pressure": 0.8435, "demand_resilience": 0.1935, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.3125, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4715, "market_resilience": 0.3761, "market_modifier": 0.8065 }, "net_risk": 0.6803, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0.0551, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0149, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9881, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.9733, "anthropic": 0.9881, "eloundou": 1, "ilo": 0.9975 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.6124, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.7623, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1803, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.243, "exposure_v7": 0.99, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.7008, "exposure": 0.99 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.9835, "exposure_p50": 0.99, "exposure_p90": 0.9963, "net_risk_p10": 0.615, "net_risk_p50": 0.6795, "net_risk_p90": 0.7451, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.39, "theta": 0.6235, "c_aioe": 1.198, "log_wage_spread": 0.5649, "wage_position": 0.8485 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "4131" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.39, "theta": 0.6235, "c_aioe": 1.198, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "4131" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.35, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.25, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.4, "regulatory_weight": 0.3, "physical_presence": 0.2, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "51132", "title": "Attractions guide", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2000, "gross_wage_25th": 1289, "gross_wage_75th": 2497, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.034927, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4277, "bottleneck": 0.6729, "displacement_pressure": 0.1399, "demand_resilience": 0.2758, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5699, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3305, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4314, "market_resilience": 0.5145, "market_modifier": 0.7242 }, "net_risk": 0.1013, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1481, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3177, "eloundou": 0.3305, "ilo": 0.3518 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5089, "eloundou": 0.386, "ilo": 0.3936 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.787, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7363, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7897, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0782, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1338, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0487, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4428, "exposure_v7": 0.4277, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1075, "exposure": 0.4277 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3886, "exposure_p50": 0.4277, "exposure_p90": 0.4678, "net_risk_p10": 0.0789, "net_risk_p50": 0.1006, "net_risk_p90": 0.1255, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4827, "theta": 0.701, "c_aioe": 0.3786, "log_wage_spread": 0.6612, "wage_position": 0.7177 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4827, "theta": 0.701, "c_aioe": 0.3786, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "54123", "title": "Auxiliary police officer", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3396, "gross_wage_25th": 3159, "gross_wage_75th": 3577, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.5, "employment_thousands": 6.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "54", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.140364, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1199, "bottleneck": 0.6346, "displacement_pressure": 0.0438, "demand_resilience": 0.3027, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6529, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5858, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4171, "market_resilience": 0.5586, "market_modifier": 0.6973 }, "net_risk": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0425, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0116, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.148, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1464, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7688, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5596, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0135, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0535, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0195, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5139, "exposure_v7": 0.1199, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0328, "exposure": 0.1199 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0963, "exposure_p50": 0.1199, "exposure_p90": 0.1445, "net_risk_p10": 0.0218, "net_risk_p50": 0.0305, "net_risk_p90": 0.0398, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6989, "theta": 0.6921, "c_aioe": -0.5545, "log_wage_spread": 0.1243, "wage_position": 1.2187 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6989, "theta": 0.6921, "c_aioe": -0.5545, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51322", "title": "Barista", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2064, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 2600, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.035481, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1584, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.111, "demand_resilience": 0.2584, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5298, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2071, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4198, "market_resilience": 0.4858, "market_modifier": 0.7416 }, "net_risk": 0.0823, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.023, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0071, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1435, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1036, "ilo": 0.245 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.049, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1279, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0323, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3977, "exposure_v7": 0.1584, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0867, "exposure": 0.1584 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1217, "exposure_p50": 0.1584, "exposure_p90": 0.1939, "net_risk_p10": 0.0623, "net_risk_p50": 0.0806, "net_risk_p90": 0.1041, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.727, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": -0.6045, "log_wage_spread": 0.619, "wage_position": 0.7407 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5132" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.727, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": -0.6045, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5132" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51321", "title": "Bartender/Mixologist", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2976, "gross_wage_25th": 2500, "gross_wage_75th": 3900, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042605, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1584, "bottleneck": 0.2995, "displacement_pressure": 0.111, "demand_resilience": 0.3038, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6039, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4351, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5071, "market_resilience": 0.5652, "market_modifier": 0.6962 }, "net_risk": 0.0773, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0268, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0071, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1435, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1036, "ilo": 0.245 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0473, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1218, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0273, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4943, "exposure_v7": 0.1584, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0827, "exposure": 0.1584 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1217, "exposure_p50": 0.1584, "exposure_p90": 0.1939, "net_risk_p10": 0.0589, "net_risk_p50": 0.0761, "net_risk_p90": 0.0961, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.727, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": -0.6045, "log_wage_spread": 0.4447, "wage_position": 1.068 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5132" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.727, "theta": 0.6539, "c_aioe": -0.6045, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5132" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51421", "title": "Beautician", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3500, "gross_wage_25th": 2474, "gross_wage_75th": 4853, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046204, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1495, "bottleneck": 0.7353, "displacement_pressure": 0.0396, "demand_resilience": 0.3364, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5488, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2657, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7647, "market_resilience": 0.6352, "market_modifier": 0.6636 }, "net_risk": 0.0263, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0698, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0927, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2291, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1287, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8432, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7374, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0145, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0444, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0237, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5061, "exposure_v7": 0.1495, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0283, "exposure": 0.1495 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1212, "exposure_p50": 0.1495, "exposure_p90": 0.1793, "net_risk_p10": 0.0181, "net_risk_p50": 0.0256, "net_risk_p90": 0.0351, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3612, "theta": 0.7083, "c_aioe": -0.2807, "log_wage_spread": 0.6738, "wage_position": 1.2561 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5142" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3612, "theta": 0.7083, "c_aioe": -0.2807, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5142" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51702", "title": "Bookmaker/Croupier/Casino dealer and related gaming worker", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2991, "gross_wage_25th": 2730, "gross_wage_75th": 3363, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042712, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3078, "bottleneck": 0.041, "displacement_pressure": 0.2951, "demand_resilience": 0.2861, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3806, "market_resilience": 0.5272, "market_modifier": 0.7139 }, "net_risk": 0.2107, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0067, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.361, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4973, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3054 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7868, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1654, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2912, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0607, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4884, "exposure_v7": 0.3078, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2251, "exposure": 0.3078 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1909, "exposure_p50": 0.3078, "exposure_p90": 0.4317, "net_risk_p10": 0.1328, "net_risk_p50": 0.2111, "net_risk_p90": 0.2921, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4653, "theta": 0.5702, "c_aioe": 0.4258, "log_wage_spread": 0.2085, "wage_position": 1.0734 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5170" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4653, "theta": 0.5702, "c_aioe": 0.4258, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5170" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51112", "title": "Cabin attendant/steward", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3730, "gross_wage_25th": 2903, "gross_wage_75th": 4727, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.5, "employment_thousands": 3.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.047698, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3703, "bottleneck": 0.3226, "displacement_pressure": 0.2508, "demand_resilience": 0.3177, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5713, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3347, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6266, "market_resilience": 0.5934, "market_modifier": 0.6823 }, "net_risk": 0.1711, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0709, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4346, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6877, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2531, "anthropic": 0.6877, "eloundou": 0.3515, "ilo": 0.1807 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5539, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1437, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2238, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0211, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5062, "exposure_v7": 0.3703, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1838, "exposure": 0.3703 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2395, "exposure_p50": 0.3703, "exposure_p90": 0.502, "net_risk_p10": 0.1104, "net_risk_p50": 0.1675, "net_risk_p90": 0.2386, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2081, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": -0.172, "log_wage_spread": 0.4875, "wage_position": 1.3386 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5111" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2081, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": -0.172, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5111" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "52301", "title": "Cage/Count supervisor", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 4484, "gross_wage_25th": 4140, "gross_wage_75th": 4817, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 15.1, "employment_thousands": 15.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "52", "employment_family_total_thousands": 109.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.137993, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4226, "bottleneck": 0.0989, "displacement_pressure": 0.3808, "demand_resilience": 0.3077, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4831, "market_resilience": 0.5682, "market_modifier": 0.6923 }, "net_risk": 0.2636, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0238, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3589, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6057, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2469, "anthropic": 0.6057, "eloundou": 0.1998, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7564, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2207, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3476, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0364, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.52, "exposure_v7": 0.4226, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2835, "exposure": 0.4226 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3073, "exposure_p50": 0.4226, "exposure_p90": 0.5247, "net_risk_p10": 0.182, "net_risk_p50": 0.2616, "net_risk_p90": 0.3431, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2481, "theta": 0.6021, "c_aioe": -0.2191, "log_wage_spread": 0.1515, "wage_position": 1.6092 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5230" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2481, "theta": 0.6021, "c_aioe": -0.2191, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5230" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51311", "title": "Captain waiter/Waiter supervisor", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2837, "gross_wage_25th": 2024, "gross_wage_75th": 3473, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.041598, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1981, "bottleneck": 0.0526, "displacement_pressure": 0.1877, "demand_resilience": 0.3609, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5563, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2887, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5579, "market_resilience": 0.557, "market_modifier": 0.6391 }, "net_risk": 0.1199, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0058, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0374, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1738, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.181, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.865, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9145, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0807, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1757, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0301, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5029, "exposure_v7": 0.1981, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1294, "exposure": 0.1981 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1562, "exposure_p50": 0.1981, "exposure_p90": 0.2397, "net_risk_p10": 0.0943, "net_risk_p50": 0.1172, "net_risk_p90": 0.1463, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5733, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": -0.5163, "log_wage_spread": 0.5399, "wage_position": 1.0181 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5131" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5733, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": -0.5163, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5131" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "52302", "title": "Cashier (general)", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2151, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 2588, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 10.5, "employment_thousands": 10.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "52", "employment_family_total_thousands": 109.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.095575, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4226, "bottleneck": 0.0989, "displacement_pressure": 0.3808, "demand_resilience": 0.2275, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5053, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1318, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3191, "market_resilience": 0.4308, "market_modifier": 0.7725 }, "net_risk": 0.2942, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.018, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3589, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6057, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2469, "anthropic": 0.6057, "eloundou": 0.1998, "ilo": 0.6101 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2502, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3624, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0058, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3365, "exposure_v7": 0.4226, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.307, "exposure": 0.4226 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3173, "exposure_p50": 0.4226, "exposure_p90": 0.5247, "net_risk_p10": 0.2103, "net_risk_p50": 0.2937, "net_risk_p90": 0.3835, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2481, "theta": 0.6021, "c_aioe": -0.2191, "log_wage_spread": 0.4809, "wage_position": 0.7719 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5230" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2481, "theta": 0.6021, "c_aioe": -0.2191, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5230" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51111", "title": "Chief steward", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 6890, "gross_wage_25th": 5631, "gross_wage_75th": 8216, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.6, "employment_thousands": 4.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.064827, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3703, "bottleneck": 0.3226, "displacement_pressure": 0.2508, "demand_resilience": 0.3001, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5366, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.228, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6061, "market_resilience": 0.5644, "market_modifier": 0.6999 }, "net_risk": 0.1755, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0674, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4346, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6877, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2531, "anthropic": 0.6877, "eloundou": 0.3515, "ilo": 0.1807 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5539, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.147, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2314, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0255, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4611, "exposure_v7": 0.3703, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1871, "exposure": 0.3703 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2395, "exposure_p50": 0.3703, "exposure_p90": 0.502, "net_risk_p10": 0.1129, "net_risk_p50": 0.1717, "net_risk_p90": 0.2425, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.2081, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": -0.172, "log_wage_spread": 0.3778, "wage_position": 2.4726 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5111" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.2081, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": -0.172, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5111" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "53113", "title": "Child/After school care centre worker", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2648, "gross_wage_25th": 1750, "gross_wage_75th": 4373, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "53", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.162978, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2016, "bottleneck": 0.4661, "displacement_pressure": 0.1076, "demand_resilience": 0.3624, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7469, "market_resilience": 0.6738, "market_modifier": 0.6376 }, "net_risk": 0.0686, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0633, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0897, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3152, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2255, "anthropic": 0.3152, "eloundou": 0.137, "ilo": 0.1287 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0413, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1072, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0186, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5916, "exposure_v7": 0.2016, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.075, "exposure": 0.2016 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1535, "exposure_p50": 0.2016, "exposure_p90": 0.2501, "net_risk_p10": 0.049, "net_risk_p50": 0.0675, "net_risk_p90": 0.0901, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3835, "theta": 0.6698, "c_aioe": -0.3128, "log_wage_spread": 0.9158, "wage_position": 0.9503 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3835, "theta": 0.6698, "c_aioe": -0.3128, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51201", "title": "Cook (e.g. commis cook 2/3)", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2028, "gross_wage_25th": 1500, "gross_wage_75th": 2955, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.035171, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2626, "bottleneck": 0.1542, "displacement_pressure": 0.2221, "demand_resilience": 0.265, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5291, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.205, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4519, "market_resilience": 0.4982, "market_modifier": 0.735 }, "net_risk": 0.1633, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0202, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2222, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4298, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2077, "anthropic": 0.4298, "eloundou": 0.3023, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6771, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4931, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1205, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2222, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0133, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4078, "exposure_v7": 0.2626, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1723, "exposure": 0.2626 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.18, "exposure_p50": 0.2626, "exposure_p90": 0.3458, "net_risk_p10": 0.1134, "net_risk_p50": 0.1625, "net_risk_p90": 0.2148, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.4997, "theta": 0.6241, "c_aioe": -0.4304, "log_wage_spread": 0.678, "wage_position": 0.7278 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5120" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.4997, "theta": 0.6241, "c_aioe": -0.4304, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5120" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "53203", "title": "Dental aide/assistant", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2700, "gross_wage_25th": 2300, "gross_wage_75th": 3272, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "53", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.164571, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3411, "bottleneck": 0.4973, "displacement_pressure": 0.1714, "demand_resilience": 0.2271, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4662, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0115, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3904, "market_resilience": 0.4359, "market_modifier": 0.7729 }, "net_risk": 0.1325, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0739, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1105, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3814, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2709, "anthropic": 0.3814, "eloundou": 0.3661 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6463, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.2881, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1066, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1714, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0175, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3098, "exposure_v7": 0.3411, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1378, "exposure": 0.3411 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3035, "exposure_p50": 0.3411, "exposure_p90": 0.3765, "net_risk_p10": 0.1092, "net_risk_p50": 0.1328, "net_risk_p90": 0.1571, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1885, "theta": 0.6743, "c_aioe": -0.1529, "log_wage_spread": 0.3525, "wage_position": 0.969 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5320" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1885, "theta": 0.6743, "c_aioe": -0.1529, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5320" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51950", "title": "Driving instructor/tester", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3342, "gross_wage_25th": 2970, "gross_wage_75th": 3818, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.045149, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0552, "bottleneck": 0.7522, "displacement_pressure": 0.0137, "demand_resilience": 0.2998, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4456, "market_resilience": 0.5533, "market_modifier": 0.7002 }, "net_risk": 0.0096, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.023, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1364, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.023 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8618, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0263, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0096, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5082, "exposure_v7": 0.0552, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0103, "exposure": 0.0552 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0079, "exposure_p50": 0.0552, "exposure_p90": 0.0998, "net_risk_p10": 0.0013, "net_risk_p50": 0.009, "net_risk_p90": 0.019, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -2.1119, "theta": 0.715, "c_aioe": -1.627, "log_wage_spread": 0.2512, "wage_position": 1.1994 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5195" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -2.1119, "theta": 0.715, "c_aioe": -1.627, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5195" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "53115", "title": "Educarer", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3391, "gross_wage_25th": 3090, "gross_wage_75th": 3968, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_thousands": 3.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "53", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.184431, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2016, "bottleneck": 0.4661, "displacement_pressure": 0.1076, "demand_resilience": 0.2454, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4768, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0439, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4528, "market_resilience": 0.4672, "market_modifier": 0.7546 }, "net_risk": 0.0812, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0439, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0897, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3152, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2255, "anthropic": 0.3152, "eloundou": 0.137, "ilo": 0.1287 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0537, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1189, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0312, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3517, "exposure_v7": 0.2016, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.085, "exposure": 0.2016 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1535, "exposure_p50": 0.2016, "exposure_p90": 0.2501, "net_risk_p10": 0.0593, "net_risk_p50": 0.0801, "net_risk_p90": 0.1056, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3835, "theta": 0.6698, "c_aioe": -0.3128, "log_wage_spread": 0.2501, "wage_position": 1.2169 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3835, "theta": 0.6698, "c_aioe": -0.3128, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "52492", "title": "Food service counter attendant", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 1939, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 2495, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.9, "employment_thousands": 9.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "52", "employment_family_total_thousands": 109.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.090743, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4554, "bottleneck": 0.1132, "displacement_pressure": 0.4039, "demand_resilience": 0.2568, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.559, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2971, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3654, "market_resilience": 0.4816, "market_modifier": 0.7432 }, "net_risk": 0.3002, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0248, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4554 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.385, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2639, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3734, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0002, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4011, "exposure_v7": 0.4554, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3164, "exposure": 0.4554 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4554, "exposure_p50": 0.4554, "exposure_p90": 0.4554, "net_risk_p10": 0.2743, "net_risk_p50": 0.3005, "net_risk_p90": 0.3268, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.3105, "theta": 0.6082, "c_aioe": 0.2724, "log_wage_spread": 0.5778, "wage_position": 0.6959 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5249" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.3105, "theta": 0.6082, "c_aioe": 0.2724, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5249" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51411", "title": "Hair stylist/Hairdresser", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3756, "gross_wage_25th": 2915, "gross_wage_75th": 4773, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.5, "employment_thousands": 3.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.047864, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1813, "bottleneck": 0.4545, "displacement_pressure": 0.0989, "demand_resilience": 0.317, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5658, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.318, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6346, "market_resilience": 0.5933, "market_modifier": 0.683 }, "net_risk": 0.0675, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0489, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1938, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3399, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1462, "anthropic": 0.3399, "eloundou": 0.1506, "ilo": 0.0854 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8435, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9184, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0442, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1027, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0175, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4996, "exposure_v7": 0.1813, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0725, "exposure": 0.1813 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1156, "exposure_p50": 0.1813, "exposure_p90": 0.2474, "net_risk_p10": 0.0432, "net_risk_p50": 0.066, "net_risk_p90": 0.0937, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.706, "theta": 0.6691, "c_aioe": -0.5763, "log_wage_spread": 0.4931, "wage_position": 1.3479 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5141" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.706, "theta": 0.6691, "c_aioe": -0.5763, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5141" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "53201", "title": "Healthcare assistant (e.g. therapy aide/assistant)", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2432, "gross_wage_25th": 2084, "gross_wage_75th": 2870, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "53", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.15619, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3411, "bottleneck": 0.4973, "displacement_pressure": 0.1714, "demand_resilience": 0.209, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4662, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0115, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3048, "market_resilience": 0.4017, "market_modifier": 0.791 }, "net_risk": 0.1356, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0681, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1105, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3814, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2709, "anthropic": 0.3814, "eloundou": 0.3661 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6463, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.2881, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1086, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1748, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0144, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.2829, "exposure_v7": 0.3411, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1405, "exposure": 0.3411 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3035, "exposure_p50": 0.3411, "exposure_p90": 0.3765, "net_risk_p10": 0.1113, "net_risk_p50": 0.1347, "net_risk_p90": 0.1601, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1885, "theta": 0.6743, "c_aioe": -0.1529, "log_wage_spread": 0.32, "wage_position": 0.8728 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5320" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1885, "theta": 0.6743, "c_aioe": -0.1529, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5320" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51502", "title": "House steward", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 5287, "gross_wage_25th": 4538, "gross_wage_75th": 6049, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_thousands": 4.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.056787, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3515, "bottleneck": 0.7816, "displacement_pressure": 0.0767, "demand_resilience": 0.3117, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6039, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4351, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5455, "market_resilience": 0.5805, "market_modifier": 0.6883 }, "net_risk": 0.0528, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1595, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4029, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.582, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1791, "anthropic": 0.582, "eloundou": 0.2751 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6937, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8775, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0346, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0776, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0028, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5046, "exposure_v7": 0.3515, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0567, "exposure": 0.3515 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.212, "exposure_p50": 0.3515, "exposure_p90": 0.483, "net_risk_p10": 0.0284, "net_risk_p50": 0.0508, "net_risk_p90": 0.0801, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5701, "theta": 0.7222, "c_aioe": -0.4351, "log_wage_spread": 0.2874, "wage_position": 1.8974 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5150" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5701, "theta": 0.7222, "c_aioe": -0.4351, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5150" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51501", "title": "Housekeeper (hotels and other establishments)", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3233, "gross_wage_25th": 2312, "gross_wage_75th": 4606, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.044407, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3515, "bottleneck": 0.7816, "displacement_pressure": 0.0767, "demand_resilience": 0.3226, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5237, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1883, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7398, "market_resilience": 0.6101, "market_modifier": 0.6774 }, "net_risk": 0.052, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1676, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4029, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.582, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1791, "anthropic": 0.582, "eloundou": 0.2751 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6937, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8775, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0362, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0785, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.002, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4807, "exposure_v7": 0.3515, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0557, "exposure": 0.3515 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.212, "exposure_p50": 0.3515, "exposure_p90": 0.483, "net_risk_p10": 0.0282, "net_risk_p50": 0.0488, "net_risk_p90": 0.0785, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5701, "theta": 0.7222, "c_aioe": -0.4351, "log_wage_spread": 0.6892, "wage_position": 1.1602 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5150" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5701, "theta": 0.7222, "c_aioe": -0.4351, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5150" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51503", "title": "Housekeeping matron", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3491, "gross_wage_25th": 3150, "gross_wage_75th": 5427, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_thousands": 3.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046145, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3515, "bottleneck": 0.7816, "displacement_pressure": 0.0767, "demand_resilience": 0.3357, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6039, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4351, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6586, "market_resilience": 0.6258, "market_modifier": 0.6643 }, "net_risk": 0.051, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1719, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4029, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.582, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1791, "anthropic": 0.582, "eloundou": 0.2751 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6937, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8775, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0358, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0761, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.001, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5412, "exposure_v7": 0.3515, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0551, "exposure": 0.3515 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.212, "exposure_p50": 0.3515, "exposure_p90": 0.483, "net_risk_p10": 0.0268, "net_risk_p50": 0.0483, "net_risk_p90": 0.0763, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5701, "theta": 0.7222, "c_aioe": -0.4351, "log_wage_spread": 0.544, "wage_position": 1.2528 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5150" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5701, "theta": 0.7222, "c_aioe": -0.4351, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5150" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "54193", "title": "Insurance investigator", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 6125, "gross_wage_25th": 4697, "gross_wage_75th": 6727, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "54", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.188506, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3718, "bottleneck": 0.328, "displacement_pressure": 0.2499, "demand_resilience": 0.2686, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4639, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0042, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5909, "market_resilience": 0.5147, "market_modifier": 0.7314 }, "net_risk": 0.1828, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0628, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1249, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5099, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.385, "anthropic": 0.5099, "eloundou": 0.4519, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1489, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2342, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0328, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3695, "exposure_v7": 0.3718, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.192, "exposure": 0.3718 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2783, "exposure_p50": 0.3718, "exposure_p90": 0.466, "net_risk_p10": 0.1348, "net_risk_p50": 0.1838, "net_risk_p90": 0.2327, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0764, "theta": 0.6608, "c_aioe": 0.063, "log_wage_spread": 0.3592, "wage_position": 2.1981 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5419" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0764, "theta": 0.6608, "c_aioe": 0.063, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5419" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.3, "real_time_coordination": 0.4, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.55, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.65, "regulatory_weight": 0.8, "physical_presence": 0.1, "tool_velocity": 0.5 } }, { "ssoc": "51942", "title": "Keeper/Trainer in zoological, bird and aquatic parks", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2803, "gross_wage_25th": 2552, "gross_wage_75th": 3387, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.041348, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1845, "bottleneck": 0.5829, "displacement_pressure": 0.077, "demand_resilience": 0.2847, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3743, "market_resilience": 0.5247, "market_modifier": 0.7153 }, "net_risk": 0.0551, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0564, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0294, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.107, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3096 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8168, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0309, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0851, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0051, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4856, "exposure_v7": 0.1845, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0588, "exposure": 0.1845 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1173, "exposure_p50": 0.1845, "exposure_p90": 0.25, "net_risk_p10": 0.0334, "net_risk_p50": 0.0535, "net_risk_p90": 0.0787, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.889, "theta": 0.6854, "c_aioe": -0.7112, "log_wage_spread": 0.2831, "wage_position": 1.0059 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5194" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.889, "theta": 0.6854, "c_aioe": -0.7112, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5194" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "54150", "title": "Lifeguard", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2790, "gross_wage_25th": 2586, "gross_wage_75th": 3200, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.9, "employment_thousands": 5.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "54", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.127225, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1717, "bottleneck": 0.6631, "displacement_pressure": 0.0579, "demand_resilience": 0.2778, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3431, "market_resilience": 0.5123, "market_modifier": 0.7222 }, "net_risk": 0.0418, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0583, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.074, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2103, "anthropic": 0.1364 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7749, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0213, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0703, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0082, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4731, "exposure_v7": 0.1717, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0445, "exposure": 0.1717 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1364, "exposure_p50": 0.1717, "exposure_p90": 0.2103, "net_risk_p10": 0.0292, "net_risk_p50": 0.0411, "net_risk_p90": 0.0554, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.4718, "theta": 0.6982, "c_aioe": -0.3714, "log_wage_spread": 0.213, "wage_position": 1.0013 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5415" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.4718, "theta": 0.6982, "c_aioe": -0.3714, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5415" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51422", "title": "Manicurist", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2100, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 3000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.03579, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1495, "bottleneck": 0.7353, "displacement_pressure": 0.0396, "demand_resilience": 0.2951, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5672, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3222, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.529, "market_resilience": 0.5519, "market_modifier": 0.7049 }, "net_risk": 0.0279, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0607, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0927, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2291, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1287, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8432, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7374, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0152, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.047, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0221, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4676, "exposure_v7": 0.1495, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0297, "exposure": 0.1495 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1212, "exposure_p50": 0.1495, "exposure_p90": 0.1793, "net_risk_p10": 0.0191, "net_risk_p50": 0.0272, "net_risk_p90": 0.0375, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3612, "theta": 0.7083, "c_aioe": -0.2807, "log_wage_spread": 0.7621, "wage_position": 0.7536 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5142" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3612, "theta": 0.7083, "c_aioe": -0.2807, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5142" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51491", "title": "Masseur (non-medical) (including foot reflexologist)", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 1600, "gross_wage_25th": 1550, "gross_wage_75th": 1945, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.03124, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1306, "bottleneck": 0.3699, "displacement_pressure": 0.0823, "demand_resilience": 0.2013, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5672, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3222, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.0677, "market_resilience": 0.3674, "market_modifier": 0.7987 }, "net_risk": 0.0658, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0178, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0143, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1221, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1328 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5893, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0326, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1064, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0158, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3592, "exposure_v7": 0.1306, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0687, "exposure": 0.1306 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1258, "exposure_p50": 0.1306, "exposure_p90": 0.1352, "net_risk_p10": 0.0578, "net_risk_p50": 0.0656, "net_risk_p90": 0.0737, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.8365, "theta": 0.6632, "c_aioe": -0.6878, "log_wage_spread": 0.227, "wage_position": 0.5742 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5149" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.8365, "theta": 0.6632, "c_aioe": -0.6878, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5149" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "53202", "title": "Nursing aide/assistant", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3000, "gross_wage_25th": 2432, "gross_wage_75th": 3381, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "53", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.173473, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3411, "bottleneck": 0.4973, "displacement_pressure": 0.1714, "demand_resilience": 0.2359, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4652, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0084, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4332, "market_resilience": 0.4524, "market_modifier": 0.7641 }, "net_risk": 0.131, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0767, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1105, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3814, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2709, "anthropic": 0.3814, "eloundou": 0.3661 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6463, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.2881, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1043, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1726, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.019, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3228, "exposure_v7": 0.3411, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1365, "exposure": 0.3411 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3035, "exposure_p50": 0.3411, "exposure_p90": 0.3765, "net_risk_p10": 0.108, "net_risk_p50": 0.1308, "net_risk_p90": 0.1549, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1885, "theta": 0.6743, "c_aioe": -0.1529, "log_wage_spread": 0.3295, "wage_position": 1.0766 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5320" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1885, "theta": 0.6743, "c_aioe": -0.1529, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5320" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "52491", "title": "Petrol station attendant", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2165, "gross_wage_25th": 1870, "gross_wage_75th": 3453, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 10.5, "employment_thousands": 10.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "52", "employment_family_total_thousands": 109.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.095885, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4554, "bottleneck": 0.1132, "displacement_pressure": 0.4039, "demand_resilience": 0.2996, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4447, "market_resilience": 0.5529, "market_modifier": 0.7004 }, "net_risk": 0.2829, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0285, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "insufficient_data", "exposure_source_count": 1, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 1 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4554 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.3775, "level": "low", "threshold_level": "low", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.55, "source_coverage": 0.1, "signal_agreement": 0.25, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 1 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2424, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3712, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0171, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5078, "exposure_v7": 0.4554, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3034, "exposure": 0.4554 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4554, "exposure_p50": 0.4554, "exposure_p90": 0.4554, "net_risk_p10": 0.2533, "net_risk_p50": 0.2826, "net_risk_p90": 0.312, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.3105, "theta": 0.6082, "c_aioe": 0.2724, "log_wage_spread": 0.6133, "wage_position": 0.777 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5249" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": 0.3105, "theta": 0.6082, "c_aioe": 0.2724, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5249" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "54144", "title": "Private security officer", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2748, "gross_wage_25th": 2250, "gross_wage_75th": 2971, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.8, "employment_thousands": 5.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "54", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.126264, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1632, "bottleneck": 0.5909, "displacement_pressure": 0.0668, "demand_resilience": 0.3605, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.12, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5013, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1192, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3636, "market_resilience": 0.4462, "market_modifier": 0.6395 }, "net_risk": 0.0427, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.043, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0802, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "exact", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2166, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1559, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0251, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0697, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0073, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3973, "exposure_v7": 0.1632, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0454, "exposure": 0.1632 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1442, "exposure_p50": 0.1632, "exposure_p90": 0.1832, "net_risk_p10": 0.0343, "net_risk_p50": 0.0425, "net_risk_p90": 0.0523, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3908, "theta": 0.6868, "c_aioe": -0.3121, "log_wage_spread": 0.278, "wage_position": 0.9862 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5414" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3908, "theta": 0.6868, "c_aioe": -0.3121, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5414" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51121", "title": "Rail station service assistant", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2810, "gross_wage_25th": 1500, "gross_wage_75th": 3312, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3, "employment_thousands": 3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.0414, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.231, "bottleneck": 0.8636, "displacement_pressure": 0.0315, "demand_resilience": 0.327, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5366, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.228, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.738, "market_resilience": 0.6172, "market_modifier": 0.673 }, "net_risk": 0.0212, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1231, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0152, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1515, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.409, "ilo": 0.229 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7893, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "fallback_mapping", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5818, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0108, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0379, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0212, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4925, "exposure_v7": 0.231, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0228, "exposure": 0.231 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1638, "exposure_p50": 0.231, "exposure_p90": 0.2999, "net_risk_p10": 0.0095, "net_risk_p50": 0.0202, "net_risk_p90": 0.0343, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6798, "theta": 0.7378, "c_aioe": -0.5082, "log_wage_spread": 0.7921, "wage_position": 1.0084 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5112" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6798, "theta": 0.7378, "c_aioe": -0.5082, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5112" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "52421", "title": "Sales demonstrator", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2550, "gross_wage_25th": 1750, "gross_wage_75th": 4216, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 11.4, "employment_thousands": 11.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "52", "employment_family_total_thousands": 109.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.104062, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2785, "bottleneck": 0.0045, "displacement_pressure": 0.2772, "demand_resilience": 0.3226, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.538, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2322, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7139, "market_resilience": 0.6083, "market_modifier": 0.6774 }, "net_risk": 0.1878, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0008, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0713, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0651, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2165, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1471, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2465, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0378, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4889, "exposure_v7": 0.2785, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2014, "exposure": 0.2785 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.122, "exposure_p50": 0.2785, "exposure_p90": 0.4272, "net_risk_p10": 0.0833, "net_risk_p50": 0.1807, "net_risk_p90": 0.2869, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -1.122, "theta": 0.5206, "c_aioe": -1.0825, "log_wage_spread": 0.8793, "wage_position": 0.9151 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5242" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.122, "theta": 0.5206, "c_aioe": -1.0825, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5242" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "52201", "title": "Sales supervisor", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3220, "gross_wage_25th": 2532, "gross_wage_75th": 4080, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 12.8, "employment_thousands": 12.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "52", "employment_family_total_thousands": 109.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.116937, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5893, "bottleneck": 0.2005, "displacement_pressure": 0.4711, "demand_resilience": 0.2917, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5393, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2364, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5624, "market_resilience": 0.5486, "market_modifier": 0.7083 }, "net_risk": 0.3337, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0648, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4831, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8547, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3717, "anthropic": 0.8547, "eloundou": 0.5199 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6998, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9019, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.299, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4075, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0337, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4483, "exposure_v7": 0.5893, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3548, "exposure": 0.5893 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4224, "exposure_p50": 0.5893, "exposure_p90": 0.7467, "net_risk_p10": 0.2377, "net_risk_p50": 0.3311, "net_risk_p90": 0.4299, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0532, "theta": 0.6363, "c_aioe": 0.0452, "log_wage_spread": 0.4771, "wage_position": 1.1556 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5220" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0532, "theta": 0.6363, "c_aioe": 0.0452, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5220" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "52422", "title": "Salesperson (door-to-door)", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3811, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 7900, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 13.9, "employment_thousands": 13.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "52", "employment_family_total_thousands": 109.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.127216, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2785, "bottleneck": 0.0045, "displacement_pressure": 0.2772, "demand_resilience": 0.3714, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5516, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2741, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9389, "market_resilience": 0.7065, "market_modifier": 0.6286 }, "net_risk": 0.1743, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0009, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0713, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0651, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2165, "ilo": 0.6696 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8039, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1342, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2293, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0243, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5342, "exposure_v7": 0.2785, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1891, "exposure": 0.2785 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.122, "exposure_p50": 0.2785, "exposure_p90": 0.4272, "net_risk_p10": 0.076, "net_risk_p50": 0.1671, "net_risk_p90": 0.2645, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -1.122, "theta": 0.5206, "c_aioe": -1.0825, "log_wage_spread": 1.3155, "wage_position": 1.3677 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5242" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.122, "theta": 0.5206, "c_aioe": -1.0825, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5242" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "54142", "title": "Security supervisor", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3236, "gross_wage_25th": 2750, "gross_wage_75th": 3450, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.3, "employment_thousands": 6.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "54", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.137017, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1632, "bottleneck": 0.5909, "displacement_pressure": 0.0668, "demand_resilience": 0.3227, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5278, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2008, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4234, "market_resilience": 0.486, "market_modifier": 0.6773 }, "net_risk": 0.0452, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0469, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0802, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2166, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1559, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8864, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0272, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0711, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0048, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4398, "exposure_v7": 0.1632, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0482, "exposure": 0.1632 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1442, "exposure_p50": 0.1632, "exposure_p90": 0.1832, "net_risk_p10": 0.0356, "net_risk_p50": 0.0449, "net_risk_p90": 0.0554, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3908, "theta": 0.6868, "c_aioe": -0.3121, "log_wage_spread": 0.2268, "wage_position": 1.1613 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5414" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3908, "theta": 0.6868, "c_aioe": -0.3121, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5414" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51202", "title": "Senior cook (e.g. station chef, commis cook 1, station cook)", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3425, "gross_wage_25th": 2678, "gross_wage_75th": 4297, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_thousands": 3.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.045706, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2626, "bottleneck": 0.1542, "displacement_pressure": 0.2221, "demand_resilience": 0.2838, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5006, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1172, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5936, "market_resilience": 0.5378, "market_modifier": 0.7162 }, "net_risk": 0.1591, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0218, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2222, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4298, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2077, "anthropic": 0.4298, "eloundou": 0.3023, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6771, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4931, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1218, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2172, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0091, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4184, "exposure_v7": 0.2626, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1684, "exposure": 0.2626 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.18, "exposure_p50": 0.2626, "exposure_p90": 0.3458, "net_risk_p10": 0.1094, "net_risk_p50": 0.1569, "net_risk_p90": 0.2101, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.4997, "theta": 0.6241, "c_aioe": -0.4304, "log_wage_spread": 0.4728, "wage_position": 1.2291 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5120" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.4997, "theta": 0.6241, "c_aioe": -0.4304, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5120" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "54143", "title": "Senior private security officer", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3082, "gross_wage_25th": 2950, "gross_wage_75th": 3366, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "54", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.133717, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1632, "bottleneck": 0.5909, "displacement_pressure": 0.0668, "demand_resilience": 0.3657, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.12, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5074, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1381, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3752, "market_resilience": 0.4545, "market_modifier": 0.6343 }, "net_risk": 0.0424, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0438, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0802, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "exact", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2166, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1559, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.85, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0257, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0668, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0076, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4121, "exposure_v7": 0.1632, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0451, "exposure": 0.1632 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1442, "exposure_p50": 0.1632, "exposure_p90": 0.1832, "net_risk_p10": 0.034, "net_risk_p50": 0.0421, "net_risk_p90": 0.0516, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3908, "theta": 0.6868, "c_aioe": -0.3121, "log_wage_spread": 0.1319, "wage_position": 1.106 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5414" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3908, "theta": 0.6868, "c_aioe": -0.3121, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5414" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "54141", "title": "Senior security supervisor", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 3720, "gross_wage_25th": 3346, "gross_wage_75th": 4249, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.8, "employment_thousands": 6.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "54", "employment_family_total_thousands": 46.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.146907, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1632, "bottleneck": 0.5909, "displacement_pressure": 0.0668, "demand_resilience": 0.3565, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.591, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3954, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4715, "market_resilience": 0.5432, "market_modifier": 0.6435 }, "net_risk": 0.043, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0524, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0802, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2166, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1559, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8864, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0265, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0674, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.007, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5203, "exposure_v7": 0.1632, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0465, "exposure": 0.1632 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1442, "exposure_p50": 0.1632, "exposure_p90": 0.1832, "net_risk_p10": 0.0344, "net_risk_p50": 0.0427, "net_risk_p90": 0.0524, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3908, "theta": 0.6868, "c_aioe": -0.3121, "log_wage_spread": 0.2389, "wage_position": 1.335 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5414" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3908, "theta": 0.6868, "c_aioe": -0.3121, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5414" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "52202", "title": "Shop sales assistant", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2359, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 2800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 10.9, "employment_thousands": 10.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "52", "employment_family_total_thousands": 109.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.100089, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5893, "bottleneck": 0.2005, "displacement_pressure": 0.4711, "demand_resilience": 0.2611, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5121, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1527, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4639, "market_resilience": 0.4928, "market_modifier": 0.7389 }, "net_risk": 0.3481, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0582, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4831, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8547, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3717, "anthropic": 0.8547, "eloundou": 0.5199 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7298, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9019, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3114, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4252, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0481, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3934, "exposure_v7": 0.5893, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3666, "exposure": 0.5893 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.4224, "exposure_p50": 0.5893, "exposure_p90": 0.7467, "net_risk_p10": 0.2494, "net_risk_p50": 0.3447, "net_risk_p90": 0.4446, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.0532, "theta": 0.6363, "c_aioe": 0.0452, "log_wage_spread": 0.5596, "wage_position": 0.8466 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5220" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.0532, "theta": 0.6363, "c_aioe": 0.0452, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5220" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.35, "real_time_coordination": 0.75, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.6, "institutional_knowledge": 0.55, "relationship_intensity": 0.9, "regulatory_weight": 0.2, "physical_presence": 0.3, "tool_velocity": 0.55 } }, { "ssoc": "51492", "title": "Slimming consultant", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 4081, "gross_wage_25th": 3115, "gross_wage_75th": 5621, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.049892, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1306, "bottleneck": 0.3699, "displacement_pressure": 0.0823, "demand_resilience": 0.3374, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5672, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3222, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7326, "market_resilience": 0.6334, "market_modifier": 0.6626 }, "net_risk": 0.0545, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0306, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0143, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1221, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1328 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5893, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0276, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0908, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0045, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5239, "exposure_v7": 0.1306, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0589, "exposure": 0.1306 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1258, "exposure_p50": 0.1306, "exposure_p90": 0.1352, "net_risk_p10": 0.0479, "net_risk_p50": 0.0546, "net_risk_p90": 0.0617, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.8365, "theta": 0.6632, "c_aioe": -0.6878, "log_wage_spread": 0.5903, "wage_position": 1.4646 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5149" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.8365, "theta": 0.6632, "c_aioe": -0.6878, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5149" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "53120", "title": "Teacher aide", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2500, "gross_wage_25th": 2200, "gross_wage_75th": 3130, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_thousands": 2.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "53", "employment_family_total_thousands": 17.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.158358, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3436, "bottleneck": 0.5615, "displacement_pressure": 0.1507, "demand_resilience": 0.2216, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4781, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0481, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3396, "market_resilience": 0.4227, "market_modifier": 0.7784 }, "net_risk": 0.1173, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0815, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.4938, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7055, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0912, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1569, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0327, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3137, "exposure_v7": 0.3436, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.122, "exposure": 0.3436 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2079, "exposure_p50": 0.3436, "exposure_p90": 0.4938, "net_risk_p10": 0.069, "net_risk_p50": 0.1176, "net_risk_p90": 0.1725, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4517, "theta": 0.6831, "c_aioe": 0.3624, "log_wage_spread": 0.3526, "wage_position": 0.8972 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5312" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4517, "theta": 0.6831, "c_aioe": 0.3624, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5312" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.55, "real_time_coordination": 0.85, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.65, "institutional_knowledge": 0.6, "relationship_intensity": 0.8, "regulatory_weight": 0.45, "physical_presence": 0.75, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "52440", "title": "Telemarketer", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 4072, "gross_wage_25th": 2900, "gross_wage_75th": 5000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 14.4, "employment_thousands": 14.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "52", "employment_family_total_thousands": 109.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.1315, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.891, "bottleneck": 0, "displacement_pressure": 0.891, "demand_resilience": 0.317, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5366, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.228, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6881, "market_resilience": 0.5972, "market_modifier": 0.683 }, "net_risk": 0.6086, "risk_band": "very_high", "augmentation": 0, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0708, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.8498, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.779, "anthropic": 0.8498, "eloundou": 0.9707, "ilo": 0.9579 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8939, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.5749, "optimistic_band": "very_high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.6966, "pessimistic_band": "very_high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.1086, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4824, "exposure_v7": 0.891, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.6516, "exposure": 0.891 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.8446, "exposure_p50": 0.891, "exposure_p90": 0.9366, "net_risk_p10": 0.5451, "net_risk_p50": 0.5964, "net_risk_p90": 0.6442, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 1.1181, "theta": 0.5137, "c_aioe": 1.0864, "log_wage_spread": 0.5447, "wage_position": 1.4613 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5244" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 1.1181, "theta": 0.5137, "c_aioe": 1.0864, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5244" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51131", "title": "Tour guide", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 2881, "gross_wage_25th": 2525, "gross_wage_75th": 3857, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_thousands": 3.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.04192, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4277, "bottleneck": 0.6729, "displacement_pressure": 0.1399, "demand_resilience": 0.3061, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.475, "market_resilience": 0.565, "market_modifier": 0.6939 }, "net_risk": 0.0971, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1626, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3177, "eloundou": 0.3305, "ilo": 0.3518 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.5089, "eloundou": 0.386, "ilo": 0.3936 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7795, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7363, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.7897, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0712, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1393, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0471, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5182, "exposure_v7": 0.4277, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1043, "exposure": 0.4277 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3886, "exposure_p50": 0.4277, "exposure_p90": 0.4678, "net_risk_p10": 0.0709, "net_risk_p50": 0.0961, "net_risk_p90": 0.1231, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": 0.4827, "theta": 0.701, "c_aioe": 0.3786, "log_wage_spread": 0.4236, "wage_position": 1.0339 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.4827, "theta": 0.701, "c_aioe": 0.3786, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51931", "title": "Undertaker", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 4137, "gross_wage_25th": 3000, "gross_wage_75th": 4735, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_thousands": 3.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.050233, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1964, "bottleneck": 0.8984, "displacement_pressure": 0.02, "demand_resilience": 0.3366, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6203, "market_resilience": 0.6231, "market_modifier": 0.6634 }, "net_risk": 0.0132, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.11, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1257, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.262, "anthropic": 0.1364 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8049, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0018, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0284, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0132, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.562, "exposure_v7": 0.1964, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0144, "exposure": 0.1964 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1364, "exposure_p50": 0.1964, "exposure_p90": 0.262, "net_risk_p10": 0.0026, "net_risk_p50": 0.0128, "net_risk_p90": 0.0253, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1904, "theta": 0.7568, "c_aioe": -0.1387, "log_wage_spread": 0.4564, "wage_position": 1.4847 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5193" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1904, "theta": 0.7568, "c_aioe": -0.1387, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5193" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "51312", "title": "Waiter", "major_group": "SERVICE AND SALES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 5, "gross_wage_median": 1565, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 2099, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_thousands": 2.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "51", "employment_family_total_thousands": 73.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.030896, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 247, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1981, "bottleneck": 0.0526, "displacement_pressure": 0.1877, "demand_resilience": 0.2602, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5067, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.136, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1586, "market_resilience": 0.3675, "market_modifier": 0.7398 }, "net_risk": 0.1388, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0038, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0374, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1738, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.181, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.865, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9145, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0923, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1982, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0112, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3487, "exposure_v7": 0.1981, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1454, "exposure": 0.1981 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1562, "exposure_p50": 0.1981, "exposure_p90": 0.2397, "net_risk_p10": 0.1085, "net_risk_p50": 0.1365, "net_risk_p90": 0.1695, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "clerical_sales_service", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5733, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": -0.5163, "log_wage_spread": 0.405, "wage_position": 0.5616 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "5131" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5733, "theta": 0.5847, "c_aioe": -0.5163, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "5131" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "62212", "title": "Aquarium fish farm worker", "major_group": "AGRICULTURAL AND FISHERY WORKERS", "major_group_code": 6, "gross_wage_median": 3630, "gross_wage_25th": 3165, "gross_wage_75th": 4069, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 18.2, "employment_thousands": 18.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "62", "employment_family_total_thousands": 18.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 1, "employment_estimate_method": "equal_fallback", "group_employment_thousands": 54.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_employment_by_occupation_group", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment for an uncovered occupation family, preserved from the broad occupation-group prior because no published 2025 D8 family total exists for this code." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1068, "bottleneck": 0.5847, "displacement_pressure": 0.0444, "demand_resilience": 0.3221, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5938, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.492, "market_resilience": 0.553, "market_modifier": 0.6779 }, "net_risk": 0.0301, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0345, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.025, "ilo": 0.1807 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.673, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.017, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0512, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0199, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7325, "exposure_v7": 0.1068, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0333, "exposure": 0.1068 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.025, "exposure_p50": 0.1068, "exposure_p90": 0.1807, "net_risk_p10": 0.0069, "net_risk_p50": 0.0301, "net_risk_p90": 0.0521, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.5132, "theta": 0.686, "c_aioe": -1.2097, "log_wage_spread": 0.2512, "wage_position": 1.4097 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "6221" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -1.5132, "theta": 0.686, "c_aioe": -1.2097, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "6221" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "61133", "title": "Gardener and horticultural worker", "major_group": "AGRICULTURAL AND FISHERY WORKERS", "major_group_code": 6, "gross_wage_median": 1800, "gross_wage_25th": 1750, "gross_wage_75th": 1900, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 18.2, "employment_thousands": 18.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "61", "employment_family_total_thousands": 36.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.5, "employment_estimate_method": "equal_fallback", "group_employment_thousands": 54.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_employment_by_occupation_group", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment for an uncovered occupation family, preserved from the broad occupation-group prior because no published 2025 D8 family total exists for this code." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2353, "bottleneck": 0.3182, "displacement_pressure": 0.1604, "demand_resilience": 0.2406, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5938, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.0931, "market_resilience": 0.3935, "market_modifier": 0.7594 }, "net_risk": 0.1218, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0295, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2585, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3948, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.319, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7964, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1024, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1608, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0282, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6356, "exposure_v7": 0.2353, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.132, "exposure": 0.2353 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1667, "exposure_p50": 0.2353, "exposure_p90": 0.3075, "net_risk_p10": 0.0836, "net_risk_p50": 0.1215, "net_risk_p90": 0.1642, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1705, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": 0.1409, "log_wage_spread": 0.1178, "wage_position": 0.699 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "6113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1705, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": 0.1409, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "6113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "61131", "title": "Landscape and plant nursery supervisor", "major_group": "AGRICULTURAL AND FISHERY WORKERS", "major_group_code": 6, "gross_wage_median": 2575, "gross_wage_25th": 1750, "gross_wage_75th": 3500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 18.2, "employment_thousands": 18.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "61", "employment_family_total_thousands": 36.4, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.5, "employment_estimate_method": "equal_fallback", "group_employment_thousands": 54.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_employment_by_occupation_group", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment for an uncovered occupation family, preserved from the broad occupation-group prior because no published 2025 D8 family total exists for this code." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2353, "bottleneck": 0.3182, "displacement_pressure": 0.1604, "demand_resilience": 0.3593, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5938, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6689, "market_resilience": 0.6238, "market_modifier": 0.6407 }, "net_risk": 0.1028, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0467, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.2585, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3948, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.319, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8264, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0911, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1432, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0472, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7864, "exposure_v7": 0.2353, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1154, "exposure": 0.2353 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1667, "exposure_p50": 0.2353, "exposure_p90": 0.3181, "net_risk_p10": 0.0702, "net_risk_p50": 0.1029, "net_risk_p90": 0.1395, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": 0.1705, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": 0.1409, "log_wage_spread": 0.6931, "wage_position": 1 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "6113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.1705, "theta": 0.6591, "c_aioe": 0.1409, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "6113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "71271", "title": "Air-conditioning/Refrigeration equipment mechanic", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3263, "gross_wage_25th": 2475, "gross_wage_75th": 4003, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "71", "employment_family_total_thousands": 19.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.141029, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1695, "bottleneck": 0.5276, "displacement_pressure": 0.08, "demand_resilience": 0.1688, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5954, "market_resilience": 0.2756, "market_modifier": 0.8312 }, "net_risk": 0.0665, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0246, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3569, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3854, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0285, "anthropic": 0.3854, "eloundou": 0.0795, "ilo": 0.1683 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5792, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.2914, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0302, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1135, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0165, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.448, "exposure_v7": 0.1695, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0701, "exposure": 0.1695 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0786, "exposure_p50": 0.1695, "exposure_p90": 0.2564, "net_risk_p10": 0.0303, "net_risk_p50": 0.0635, "net_risk_p90": 0.1045, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.4775, "theta": 0.6772, "c_aioe": -1.1942, "log_wage_spread": 0.4808, "wage_position": 1.2269 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7127" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.4775, "theta": 0.6772, "c_aioe": -1.1942, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7127" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "72310", "title": "Automotive mechanic", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2776, "gross_wage_25th": 2160, "gross_wage_75th": 3400, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "72", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.107114, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1126, "bottleneck": 0.5954, "displacement_pressure": 0.0456, "demand_resilience": 0.159, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0931, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0941, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5018, "market_resilience": 0.2566, "market_modifier": 0.841 }, "net_risk": 0.0383, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0172, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0472, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0891, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.113, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0106, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0749, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0117, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4352, "exposure_v7": 0.1126, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0403, "exposure": 0.1126 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1007, "exposure_p50": 0.1126, "exposure_p90": 0.124, "net_risk_p10": 0.0295, "net_risk_p50": 0.038, "net_risk_p90": 0.0475, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9547, "theta": 0.687, "c_aioe": -0.7622, "log_wage_spread": 0.4537, "wage_position": 1.0438 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7231" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9547, "theta": 0.687, "c_aioe": -0.7622, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7231" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "75121", "title": "Baker", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2210, "gross_wage_25th": 1500, "gross_wage_75th": 3083, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "75", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.127689, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1757, "bottleneck": 0.0865, "displacement_pressure": 0.1605, "demand_resilience": 0.1689, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0775, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.046, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5722, "market_resilience": 0.2754, "market_modifier": 0.8311 }, "net_risk": 0.1334, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0042, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0856, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2219, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2688, "ilo": 0.0854 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0731, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2068, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0166, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4504, "exposure_v7": 0.1757, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1406, "exposure": 0.1757 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.13, "exposure_p50": 0.1757, "exposure_p90": 0.2229, "net_risk_p10": 0.0963, "net_risk_p50": 0.1327, "net_risk_p90": 0.1728, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3853, "theta": 0.5997, "c_aioe": -0.3413, "log_wage_spread": 0.7204, "wage_position": 0.831 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7512" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3853, "theta": 0.5997, "c_aioe": -0.3413, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7512" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "71331", "title": "Building maintenance worker", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3245, "gross_wage_25th": 2438, "gross_wage_75th": 4461, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_thousands": 2.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "71", "employment_family_total_thousands": 19.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.14064, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0988, "bottleneck": 0.6096, "displacement_pressure": 0.0386, "demand_resilience": 0.1979, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0809, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0565, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7059, "market_resilience": 0.3309, "market_modifier": 0.8021 }, "net_risk": 0.0309, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0199, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3177, "eloundou": 0.3305, "ilo": 0.3518 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1087, "eloundou": 0.1904, "ilo": 0.0037 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.823, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7897, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0032, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0627, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0191, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4901, "exposure_v7": 0.0988, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0328, "exposure": 0.0988 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0364, "exposure_p50": 0.0988, "exposure_p90": 0.1639, "net_risk_p10": 0.0118, "net_risk_p50": 0.0305, "net_risk_p90": 0.0516, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.8728, "theta": 0.6898, "c_aioe": -0.6944, "log_wage_spread": 0.6042, "wage_position": 1.2202 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7133" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.8728, "theta": 0.6898, "c_aioe": -0.6944, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7133" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "71311", "title": "Building painter", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 1600, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 2450, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "71", "employment_family_total_thousands": 19.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.098755, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3871, "bottleneck": 0.016, "displacement_pressure": 0.3809, "demand_resilience": 0.1185, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1805, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.363, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.193, "market_resilience": 0.1855, "market_modifier": 0.8815 }, "net_risk": 0.3358, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0012, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.7512, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.9348, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1836, "anthropic": 0.9348, "ilo": 0.0309 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7272, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2651, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4234, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0358, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3507, "exposure_v7": 0.3871, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3491, "exposure": 0.3871 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0784, "exposure_p50": 0.3871, "exposure_p90": 0.6988, "net_risk_p10": 0.0676, "net_risk_p50": 0.3269, "net_risk_p90": 0.5935, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.569, "theta": 0.5517, "c_aioe": -0.5313, "log_wage_spread": 0.4261, "wage_position": 0.6016 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7131" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.569, "theta": 0.5517, "c_aioe": -0.5313, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7131" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "75110", "title": "Butcher, fishmonger and related food preparer", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2772, "gross_wage_25th": 2593, "gross_wage_75th": 3142, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "75", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.143006, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1256, "bottleneck": 0.1194, "displacement_pressure": 0.1106, "demand_resilience": 0.1279, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0914, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0889, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3583, "market_resilience": 0.1982, "market_modifier": 0.8721 }, "net_risk": 0.0964, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.003, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0169, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1533, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1883, "ilo": 0.0309 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6879, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.3863, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.4, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0276, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1695, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0464, "label": "sensitive" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.3878, "exposure_v7": 0.1256, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1007, "exposure": 0.1256 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0861, "exposure_p50": 0.1256, "exposure_p90": 0.1663, "net_risk_p10": 0.0656, "net_risk_p50": 0.0971, "net_risk_p90": 0.1293, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6781, "theta": 0.6137, "c_aioe": -0.5911, "log_wage_spread": 0.192, "wage_position": 1.0423 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7511" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6781, "theta": 0.6137, "c_aioe": -0.5911, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7511" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "71151", "title": "Carpenter", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2902, "gross_wage_25th": 2110, "gross_wage_75th": 4209, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_thousands": 2.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "71", "employment_family_total_thousands": 19.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.132999, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.089, "bottleneck": 0.7745, "displacement_pressure": 0.0201, "demand_resilience": 0.1965, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0717, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0282, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7148, "market_resilience": 0.3289, "market_modifier": 0.8035 }, "net_risk": 0.0161, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0227, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0891, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0472, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1412, "ilo": 0.0309 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9089, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0013, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0365, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0161, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4851, "exposure_v7": 0.089, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0171, "exposure": 0.089 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0615, "exposure_p50": 0.089, "exposure_p90": 0.1174, "net_risk_p10": 0.0078, "net_risk_p50": 0.0153, "net_risk_p90": 0.025, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.3236, "theta": 0.7193, "c_aioe": -1.014, "log_wage_spread": 0.6905, "wage_position": 1.0912 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7115" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.3236, "theta": 0.7193, "c_aioe": -1.014, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7115" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "74121", "title": "Electrical fitter", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2200, "gross_wage_25th": 1750, "gross_wage_75th": 3429, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "74", "employment_family_total_thousands": 7.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.131279, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2137, "bottleneck": 0.6515, "displacement_pressure": 0.0745, "demand_resilience": 0.1575, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0717, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0282, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5285, "market_resilience": 0.2544, "market_modifier": 0.8425 }, "net_risk": 0.0627, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0354, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3072, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4239, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1168, "anthropic": 0.4239, "eloundou": 0.2228, "ilo": 0.0854 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0366, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0975, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0127, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4306, "exposure_v7": 0.2137, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0659, "exposure": 0.2137 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1264, "exposure_p50": 0.2137, "exposure_p90": 0.3017, "net_risk_p10": 0.0346, "net_risk_p50": 0.0601, "net_risk_p90": 0.0947, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.853, "theta": 0.6942, "c_aioe": -0.6749, "log_wage_spread": 0.6727, "wage_position": 0.8272 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.853, "theta": 0.6942, "c_aioe": -0.6749, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "74123", "title": "Electrical household appliance repairer", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2797, "gross_wage_25th": 1900, "gross_wage_75th": 3323, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "74", "employment_family_total_thousands": 7.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.148023, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2137, "bottleneck": 0.6515, "displacement_pressure": 0.0745, "demand_resilience": 0.1696, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5989, "market_resilience": 0.2771, "market_modifier": 0.8304 }, "net_risk": 0.0618, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0386, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3072, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4239, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1168, "anthropic": 0.4239, "eloundou": 0.2228, "ilo": 0.0854 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7564, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0343, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0971, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0118, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4488, "exposure_v7": 0.2137, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0652, "exposure": 0.2137 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1264, "exposure_p50": 0.2137, "exposure_p90": 0.3017, "net_risk_p10": 0.0333, "net_risk_p50": 0.0587, "net_risk_p90": 0.0932, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.853, "theta": 0.6942, "c_aioe": -0.6749, "log_wage_spread": 0.559, "wage_position": 1.0517 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.853, "theta": 0.6942, "c_aioe": -0.6749, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "74122", "title": "Electrical lift, escalator and related equipment fitter", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 4108, "gross_wage_25th": 3072, "gross_wage_75th": 5152, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "74", "employment_family_total_thousands": 7.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.179391, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2137, "bottleneck": 0.6515, "displacement_pressure": 0.0745, "demand_resilience": 0.1912, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0761, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0418, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.68, "market_resilience": 0.3177, "market_modifier": 0.8088 }, "net_risk": 0.0602, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0442, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3072, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4239, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1168, "anthropic": 0.4239, "eloundou": 0.2228, "ilo": 0.0854 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7639, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0358, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0939, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0102, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4828, "exposure_v7": 0.2137, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0638, "exposure": 0.2137 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1264, "exposure_p50": 0.2137, "exposure_p90": 0.3017, "net_risk_p10": 0.0325, "net_risk_p50": 0.0578, "net_risk_p90": 0.09, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.853, "theta": 0.6942, "c_aioe": -0.6749, "log_wage_spread": 0.5171, "wage_position": 1.5447 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7412" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.853, "theta": 0.6942, "c_aioe": -0.6749, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7412" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "74110", "title": "Electrician", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3000, "gross_wage_25th": 2145, "gross_wage_75th": 4300, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "74", "employment_family_total_thousands": 7.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.153301, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1353, "bottleneck": 0.9127, "displacement_pressure": 0.0118, "demand_resilience": 0.2309, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1805, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.363, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7335, "market_resilience": 0.4017, "market_modifier": 0.7691 }, "net_risk": 0.0091, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0496, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0045, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1319, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1444, "ilo": 0.1287 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9089, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0234, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0091, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5012, "exposure_v7": 0.1353, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0097, "exposure": 0.1353 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1314, "exposure_p50": 0.1353, "exposure_p90": 0.1393, "net_risk_p10": 0.0003, "net_risk_p50": 0.009, "net_risk_p90": 0.0181, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7797, "theta": 0.7667, "c_aioe": -0.5604, "log_wage_spread": 0.6955, "wage_position": 1.128 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7411" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7797, "theta": 0.7667, "c_aioe": -0.5604, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7411" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "71220", "title": "Floor/Wall tiler", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 1600, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 2878, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2, "employment_thousands": 2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "71", "employment_family_total_thousands": 19.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.098755, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0707, "bottleneck": 0.1836, "displacement_pressure": 0.0577, "demand_resilience": 0.1401, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0822, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0607, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4274, "market_resilience": 0.2203, "market_modifier": 0.8599 }, "net_risk": 0.0496, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0029, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1096, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0267, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1088, "ilo": 0.0099 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7438, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4598, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1146, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0004, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4102, "exposure_v7": 0.0707, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.052, "exposure": 0.0707 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.038, "exposure_p50": 0.0707, "exposure_p90": 0.1036, "net_risk_p10": 0.0261, "net_risk_p50": 0.0493, "net_risk_p90": 0.0756, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.4871, "theta": 0.6334, "c_aioe": -1.2669, "log_wage_spread": 0.7206, "wage_position": 0.6016 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7122" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.4871, "theta": 0.6334, "c_aioe": -1.2669, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7122" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "75440", "title": "Fumigator and other pest and weed controller", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2300, "gross_wage_25th": 2050, "gross_wage_75th": 2507, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "75", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.130263, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0712, "bottleneck": 0.5187, "displacement_pressure": 0.0343, "demand_resilience": 0.1314, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1822, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3682, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2531, "market_resilience": 0.2105, "market_modifier": 0.8686 }, "net_risk": 0.0298, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0078, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0918, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0446, "anthropic": 0.1364, "ilo": 0.0309 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8422, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0705, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0202, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.366, "exposure_v7": 0.0712, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.031, "exposure": 0.0712 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0352, "exposure_p50": 0.0712, "exposure_p90": 0.1075, "net_risk_p10": 0.0144, "net_risk_p50": 0.0293, "net_risk_p90": 0.0463, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.3466, "theta": 0.6762, "c_aioe": -1.0896, "log_wage_spread": 0.2012, "wage_position": 0.8648 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7544" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.3466, "theta": 0.6762, "c_aioe": -1.0896, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7544" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "72392", "title": "Industrial/Office machinery mechanic", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 4012, "gross_wage_25th": 3254, "gross_wage_75th": 4974, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "72", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.128771, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1897, "bottleneck": 0.3592, "displacement_pressure": 0.1216, "demand_resilience": 0.1704, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6025, "market_resilience": 0.2785, "market_modifier": 0.8296 }, "net_risk": 0.1008, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.019, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2409, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3113, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0704, "anthropic": 0.3113, "eloundou": 0.1768 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7222, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.7815, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0533, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1596, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0492, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4507, "exposure_v7": 0.1897, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1063, "exposure": 0.1897 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1068, "exposure_p50": 0.1897, "exposure_p90": 0.2679, "net_risk_p10": 0.0579, "net_risk_p50": 0.0995, "net_risk_p90": 0.1432, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.0534, "theta": 0.6625, "c_aioe": -0.8668, "log_wage_spread": 0.4243, "wage_position": 1.5086 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7239" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.0534, "theta": 0.6625, "c_aioe": -0.8668, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7239" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "71152", "title": "Joiner", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2411, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 3615, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "71", "employment_family_total_thousands": 19.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.121227, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.089, "bottleneck": 0.7745, "displacement_pressure": 0.0201, "demand_resilience": 0.1877, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6863, "market_resilience": 0.312, "market_modifier": 0.8123 }, "net_risk": 0.0163, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0215, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0891, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0472, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1412, "ilo": 0.0309 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0002, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0377, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0163, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4726, "exposure_v7": 0.089, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0172, "exposure": 0.089 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0615, "exposure_p50": 0.089, "exposure_p90": 0.1174, "net_risk_p10": 0.0077, "net_risk_p50": 0.0156, "net_risk_p90": 0.0264, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.3236, "theta": 0.7193, "c_aioe": -1.014, "log_wage_spread": 0.8151, "wage_position": 0.9066 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7115" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.3236, "theta": 0.7193, "c_aioe": -1.014, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7115" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "74001", "title": "Lift supervisor", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 4813, "gross_wage_25th": 4142, "gross_wage_75th": 6730, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "74", "employment_family_total_thousands": 7.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.194175, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5107, "bottleneck": 0.8725, "displacement_pressure": 0.0651, "demand_resilience": 0.2189, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1805, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.363, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6738, "market_resilience": 0.3778, "market_modifier": 0.7811 }, "net_risk": 0.0508, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1684, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2938, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6512, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3574, "anthropic": 0.6512 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6674, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0176, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0904, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0008, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4894, "exposure_v7": 0.5107, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.054, "exposure": 0.5107 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3574, "exposure_p50": 0.5107, "exposure_p90": 0.6512, "net_risk_p10": 0.0154, "net_risk_p50": 0.048, "net_risk_p90": 0.0892, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0205, "theta": 0.7417, "c_aioe": -0.0153, "log_wage_spread": 0.4854, "wage_position": 1.8097 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7400" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0205, "theta": 0.7417, "c_aioe": -0.0153, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7400" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "72222", "title": "Locksmith", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3285, "gross_wage_25th": 3131, "gross_wage_75th": 4609, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "72", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.116521, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1606, "bottleneck": 0.3636, "displacement_pressure": 0.1022, "demand_resilience": 0.156, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5357, "market_resilience": 0.2518, "market_modifier": 0.844 }, "net_risk": 0.0862, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0147, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0526, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1889, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1715, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8714, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.041, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1395, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0362, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4272, "exposure_v7": 0.1606, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0906, "exposure": 0.1606 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1479, "exposure_p50": 0.1606, "exposure_p90": 0.1738, "net_risk_p10": 0.0716, "net_risk_p50": 0.0862, "net_risk_p90": 0.1009, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5318, "theta": 0.6626, "c_aioe": -0.4375, "log_wage_spread": 0.3867, "wage_position": 1.2352 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7222" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5318, "theta": 0.6626, "c_aioe": -0.4375, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7222" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "72391", "title": "Machinery mechanic", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2910, "gross_wage_25th": 1800, "gross_wage_75th": 4100, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "72", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.109669, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1897, "bottleneck": 0.3592, "displacement_pressure": 0.1216, "demand_resilience": 0.2227, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1026, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1234, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7977, "market_resilience": 0.3806, "market_modifier": 0.7773 }, "net_risk": 0.0945, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0259, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2409, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3113, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0704, "anthropic": 0.3113, "eloundou": 0.1768 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7297, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.7815, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0548, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1533, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0445, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5143, "exposure_v7": 0.1897, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1007, "exposure": 0.1897 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1068, "exposure_p50": 0.1897, "exposure_p90": 0.2679, "net_risk_p10": 0.0544, "net_risk_p50": 0.0928, "net_risk_p90": 0.1345, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.0534, "theta": 0.6625, "c_aioe": -0.8668, "log_wage_spread": 0.8232, "wage_position": 1.0942 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7239" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.0534, "theta": 0.6625, "c_aioe": -0.8668, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7239" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "73113", "title": "Medical device assembler/repairer", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3714, "gross_wage_25th": 2791, "gross_wage_75th": 5076, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "73", "employment_family_total_thousands": 3.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.237502, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1936, "bottleneck": 0.131, "displacement_pressure": 0.1683, "demand_resilience": 0.1998, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0717, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0282, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7317, "market_resilience": 0.3357, "market_modifier": 0.8002 }, "net_risk": 0.1346, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0085, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.148, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2843, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1935, "ilo": 0.1683 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.082, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2094, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0154, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4873, "exposure_v7": 0.1936, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1428, "exposure": 0.1936 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1583, "exposure_p50": 0.1936, "exposure_p90": 0.2306, "net_risk_p10": 0.1082, "net_risk_p50": 0.1327, "net_risk_p90": 0.1648, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.156, "theta": 0.6166, "c_aioe": -0.1356, "log_wage_spread": 0.5981, "wage_position": 1.3965 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.156, "theta": 0.6166, "c_aioe": -0.1356, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "72110", "title": "Metal moulder and coremaker", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3384, "gross_wage_25th": 2626, "gross_wage_75th": 3940, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "72", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.118264, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1299, "bottleneck": 0.3636, "displacement_pressure": 0.0826, "demand_resilience": 0.1644, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0717, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0282, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5597, "market_resilience": 0.2669, "market_modifier": 0.8356 }, "net_risk": 0.0691, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0126, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0526, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1889, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1715, "ilo": 0.0309 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0217, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1228, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0191, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4425, "exposure_v7": 0.1299, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0727, "exposure": 0.1299 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0911, "exposure_p50": 0.1299, "exposure_p90": 0.1707, "net_risk_p10": 0.0464, "net_risk_p50": 0.0697, "net_risk_p90": 0.0932, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5318, "theta": 0.6626, "c_aioe": -0.4375, "log_wage_spread": 0.4057, "wage_position": 1.2724 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5318, "theta": 0.6626, "c_aioe": -0.4375, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "75122", "title": "Pastry and confectionery maker", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2413, "gross_wage_25th": 1500, "gross_wage_75th": 3236, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "75", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.133425, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1757, "bottleneck": 0.0865, "displacement_pressure": 0.1605, "demand_resilience": 0.1859, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0717, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0282, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6622, "market_resilience": 0.3079, "market_modifier": 0.8141 }, "net_risk": 0.1307, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0047, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0856, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2219, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2688, "ilo": 0.0854 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0748, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2121, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0193, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4734, "exposure_v7": 0.1757, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1383, "exposure": 0.1757 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.13, "exposure_p50": 0.1757, "exposure_p90": 0.2229, "net_risk_p10": 0.0948, "net_risk_p50": 0.1299, "net_risk_p90": 0.1682, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3853, "theta": 0.5997, "c_aioe": -0.3413, "log_wage_spread": 0.7689, "wage_position": 0.9073 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7512" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3853, "theta": 0.5997, "c_aioe": -0.3413, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7512" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "71261", "title": "Plumber", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2400, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 2880, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_thousands": 2.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "71", "employment_family_total_thousands": 19.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.12095, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1293, "bottleneck": 0.8556, "displacement_pressure": 0.0187, "demand_resilience": 0.1887, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.1805, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.363, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5303, "market_resilience": 0.3204, "market_modifier": 0.8113 }, "net_risk": 0.0151, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0354, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2198, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.2787, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0588, "anthropic": 0.2787, "eloundou": 0.0607, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8257, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.8875, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0026, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0305, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0151, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4448, "exposure_v7": 0.1293, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.016, "exposure": 0.1293 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.073, "exposure_p50": 0.1293, "exposure_p90": 0.1839, "net_risk_p10": 0.0053, "net_risk_p50": 0.0137, "net_risk_p90": 0.0271, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.1734, "theta": 0.7342, "c_aioe": -0.8814, "log_wage_spread": 0.5878, "wage_position": 0.9024 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7126" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.1734, "theta": 0.7342, "c_aioe": -0.8814, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7126" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "73210", "title": "Pre-press trades worker", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3568, "gross_wage_25th": 3118, "gross_wage_75th": 3967, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "73", "employment_family_total_thousands": 3.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.232787, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4513, "bottleneck": 0.0651, "displacement_pressure": 0.4219, "demand_resilience": 0.147, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0717, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0282, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4768, "market_resilience": 0.2337, "market_modifier": 0.853 }, "net_risk": 0.3599, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.0069, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2032, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4911, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2879, "anthropic": 0.4911, "eloundou": 0.4383, "ilo": 0.5718 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market", "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5439, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3009, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4613, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0599, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4184, "exposure_v7": 0.4513, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3775, "exposure": 0.4513 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3794, "exposure_p50": 0.4513, "exposure_p90": 0.5115, "net_risk_p10": 0.2943, "net_risk_p50": 0.3567, "net_risk_p90": 0.4181, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1493, "theta": 0.5898, "c_aioe": -0.1337, "log_wage_spread": 0.2408, "wage_position": 1.3416 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7321" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1493, "theta": 0.5898, "c_aioe": -0.1337, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7321" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "71000", "title": "Supervisor/General foreman (building and related trades)", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3480, "gross_wage_25th": 2000, "gross_wage_75th": 4800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_thousands": 2.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "71", "employment_family_total_thousands": 19.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.145643, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3908, "bottleneck": 0.9537, "displacement_pressure": 0.0181, "demand_resilience": 0.2316, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0802, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0544, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.877, "market_resilience": 0.3989, "market_modifier": 0.7684 }, "net_risk": 0.0139, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1487, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1659, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4012, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2353, "anthropic": 0.4012, "eloundou": 0.5293 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7943, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0439, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0139, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5211, "exposure_v7": 0.3908, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0149, "exposure": 0.3908 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2939, "exposure_p50": 0.3908, "exposure_p90": 0.4852, "net_risk_p10": 0, "net_risk_p50": 0.0135, "net_risk_p90": 0.0398, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.3054, "theta": 0.7944, "c_aioe": -0.211, "log_wage_spread": 0.8755, "wage_position": 1.3085 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7100" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.3054, "theta": 0.7944, "c_aioe": -0.211, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7100" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "74002", "title": "Supervisor/General foreman (electrical and electronic trades, excluding lift)", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 4796, "gross_wage_25th": 3383, "gross_wage_75th": 6750, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "74", "employment_family_total_thousands": 7.2, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.193831, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.5107, "bottleneck": 0.8725, "displacement_pressure": 0.0651, "demand_resilience": 0.2223, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0754, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0397, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8369, "market_resilience": 0.38, "market_modifier": 0.7777 }, "net_risk": 0.0506, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.1694, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2938, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.6512, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3574, "anthropic": 0.6512 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6674, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0177, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0922, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0006, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5131, "exposure_v7": 0.5107, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.054, "exposure": 0.5107 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3574, "exposure_p50": 0.5107, "exposure_p90": 0.6512, "net_risk_p10": 0.0161, "net_risk_p50": 0.0477, "net_risk_p90": 0.0872, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0205, "theta": 0.7417, "c_aioe": -0.0153, "log_wage_spread": 0.6908, "wage_position": 1.8033 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7400" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0205, "theta": 0.7417, "c_aioe": -0.0153, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7400" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "75000", "title": "Supervisor/General foreman (food processing, woodworking, garment, leather and related trades)", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3861, "gross_wage_25th": 3449, "gross_wage_75th": 4000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "75", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.168775, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3126, "bottleneck": 0.8841, "displacement_pressure": 0.0362, "demand_resilience": 0.1416, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0645, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0063, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4617, "market_resilience": 0.2234, "market_modifier": 0.8584 }, "net_risk": 0.0311, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0617, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1934, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3298, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4812 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7643, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0081, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.057, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0189, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4102, "exposure_v7": 0.3126, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0326, "exposure": 0.3126 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1971, "exposure_p50": 0.3126, "exposure_p90": 0.432, "net_risk_p10": 0.0071, "net_risk_p50": 0.0289, "net_risk_p90": 0.0564, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "log_wage_spread": 0.1482, "wage_position": 1.4518 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7500" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7500" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "72000", "title": "Supervisor/General foreman (metal, machinery and related trades)", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 7712, "gross_wage_25th": 4048, "gross_wage_75th": 9090, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "72", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.178534, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3126, "bottleneck": 0.8841, "displacement_pressure": 0.0362, "demand_resilience": 0.2354, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0632, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0021, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9269, "market_resilience": 0.4087, "market_modifier": 0.7646 }, "net_risk": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.113, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1934, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3298, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4812 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7643, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0079, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0535, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0223, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5149, "exposure_v7": 0.3126, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0296, "exposure": 0.3126 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1971, "exposure_p50": 0.3126, "exposure_p90": 0.432, "net_risk_p10": 0.0066, "net_risk_p50": 0.0258, "net_risk_p90": 0.0527, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "log_wage_spread": 0.809, "wage_position": 2.8998 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7200" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7200" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "73000", "title": "Supervisor/General foreman (precision, handicraft, printing and related trades)", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 4739, "gross_wage_25th": 3345, "gross_wage_75th": 6489, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1, "employment_thousands": 1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "73", "employment_family_total_thousands": 3.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.268281, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3126, "bottleneck": 0.8841, "displacement_pressure": 0.0362, "demand_resilience": 0.2165, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0717, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0282, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8137, "market_resilience": 0.3685, "market_modifier": 0.7835 }, "net_risk": 0.0284, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1019, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1934, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3298, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4812 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7643, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0074, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0549, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0216, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5063, "exposure_v7": 0.3126, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0302, "exposure": 0.3126 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1971, "exposure_p50": 0.3126, "exposure_p90": 0.432, "net_risk_p10": 0.0068, "net_risk_p50": 0.0268, "net_risk_p90": 0.0521, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "log_wage_spread": 0.6626, "wage_position": 1.7819 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7300" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7300" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "75310", "title": "Tailor/Dressmaker", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 2098, "gross_wage_25th": 1450, "gross_wage_75th": 3500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "75", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.124412, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0976, "bottleneck": 0.0428, "displacement_pressure": 0.0934, "demand_resilience": 0.1766, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0788, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0502, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6052, "market_resilience": 0.2894, "market_modifier": 0.8234 }, "net_risk": 0.0769, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0012, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0526, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0838, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1004, "ilo": 0.0693 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8295, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9523, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.4, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0147, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1558, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0269, "label": "sensitive" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4637, "exposure_v7": 0.0976, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0813, "exposure": 0.0976 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0803, "exposure_p50": 0.0976, "exposure_p90": 0.1151, "net_risk_p10": 0.0622, "net_risk_p50": 0.0757, "net_risk_p90": 0.091, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.0104, "theta": 0.572, "c_aioe": -0.9228, "log_wage_spread": 0.8812, "wage_position": 0.7889 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7531" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.0104, "theta": 0.572, "c_aioe": -0.9228, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7531" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "72221", "title": "Tool and die maker", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 4017, "gross_wage_25th": 3380, "gross_wage_75th": 4763, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "72", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.128851, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1606, "bottleneck": 0.3636, "displacement_pressure": 0.1022, "demand_resilience": 0.1614, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0717, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0282, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5463, "market_resilience": 0.2615, "market_modifier": 0.8386 }, "net_risk": 0.0857, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0153, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0526, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1889, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1715, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0414, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1425, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0357, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4372, "exposure_v7": 0.1606, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0902, "exposure": 0.1606 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1479, "exposure_p50": 0.1606, "exposure_p90": 0.1738, "net_risk_p10": 0.0725, "net_risk_p50": 0.0854, "net_risk_p90": 0.1, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5318, "theta": 0.6626, "c_aioe": -0.4375, "log_wage_spread": 0.343, "wage_position": 1.5104 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7222" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5318, "theta": 0.6626, "c_aioe": -0.4375, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7222" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "75410", "title": "Underwater diver", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 4030, "gross_wage_25th": 3320, "gross_wage_75th": 5975, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_thousands": 1.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "75", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.172429, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1145, "bottleneck": 0.8039, "displacement_pressure": 0.0225, "demand_resilience": 0.1982, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0625, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7389, "market_resilience": 0.333, "market_modifier": 0.8018 }, "net_risk": 0.018, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0307, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0561, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0802, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1674, "ilo": 0.0743 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.9014, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0026, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0368, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.018, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4837, "exposure_v7": 0.1145, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0191, "exposure": 0.1145 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0914, "exposure_p50": 0.1145, "exposure_p90": 0.1384, "net_risk_p10": 0.0091, "net_risk_p50": 0.0175, "net_risk_p90": 0.0274, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.0306, "theta": 0.7258, "c_aioe": -0.7829, "log_wage_spread": 0.5876, "wage_position": 1.5153 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7541" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.0306, "theta": 0.7258, "c_aioe": -0.7829, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7541" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "73111", "title": "Watch and clock assembler/repairer", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 4500, "gross_wage_25th": 2925, "gross_wage_75th": 6016, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "73", "employment_family_total_thousands": 3.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.261429, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1936, "bottleneck": 0.131, "displacement_pressure": 0.1683, "demand_resilience": 0.2313, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0914, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0889, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8583, "market_resilience": 0.3982, "market_modifier": 0.7687 }, "net_risk": 0.1293, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0101, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.148, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2843, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1935, "ilo": 0.1683 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0844, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2085, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0207, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5213, "exposure_v7": 0.1936, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1381, "exposure": 0.1936 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1583, "exposure_p50": 0.1936, "exposure_p90": 0.2306, "net_risk_p10": 0.104, "net_risk_p50": 0.1284, "net_risk_p90": 0.159, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.156, "theta": 0.6166, "c_aioe": -0.1356, "log_wage_spread": 0.7211, "wage_position": 1.692 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.156, "theta": 0.6166, "c_aioe": -0.1356, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "72120", "title": "Welder and flame cutter", "major_group": "CRAFTSMEN AND RELATED TRADES WORKERS", "major_group_code": 7, "gross_wage_median": 3050, "gross_wage_25th": 2300, "gross_wage_75th": 4443, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "72", "employment_family_total_thousands": 10.8, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.112276, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 51.6, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.074, "bottleneck": 0.0624, "displacement_pressure": 0.0693, "demand_resilience": 0.1971, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.0747, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0377, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7121, "market_resilience": 0.3297, "market_modifier": 0.8029 }, "net_risk": 0.0557, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0015, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0829, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0535, "anthropic": 0.1364, "ilo": 0.0309 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8422, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1275, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0057, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4871, "exposure_v7": 0.074, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0591, "exposure": 0.074 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.038, "exposure_p50": 0.074, "exposure_p90": 0.1103, "net_risk_p10": 0.029, "net_risk_p50": 0.0546, "net_risk_p90": 0.0831, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.1976, "theta": 0.5885, "c_aioe": -1.0741, "log_wage_spread": 0.6584, "wage_position": 1.1468 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "7212" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.1976, "theta": 0.5885, "c_aioe": -1.0741, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "7212" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83492", "title": "Airport mobile equipment operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 3081, "gross_wage_25th": 2526, "gross_wage_75th": 3935, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.052974, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0726, "bottleneck": 0.5472, "displacement_pressure": 0.0329, "demand_resilience": 0.2787, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4264, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1485, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.59, "market_resilience": 0.4918, "market_modifier": 0.7213 }, "net_risk": 0.0237, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0195, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0971, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0392, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0377 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8393, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0536, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0237, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5739, "exposure_v7": 0.0726, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0256, "exposure": 0.0726 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0382, "exposure_p50": 0.0726, "exposure_p90": 0.1058, "net_risk_p10": 0.0119, "net_risk_p50": 0.0234, "net_risk_p90": 0.0369, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.3987, "theta": 0.6814, "c_aioe": -1.1245, "log_wage_spread": 0.4433, "wage_position": 1.3378 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8349" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.3987, "theta": 0.6814, "c_aioe": -1.1245, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8349" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83224", "title": "Ambulance driver", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2386, "gross_wage_25th": 1848, "gross_wage_75th": 3129, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046618, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2133, "bottleneck": 0.5339, "displacement_pressure": 0.0994, "demand_resilience": 0.4329, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6963, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9791, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5553, "market_resilience": 0.6399, "market_modifier": 0.5671 }, "net_risk": 0.0564, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0729, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0321, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1684, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2479, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8864, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0395, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0913, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0064, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8495, "exposure_v7": 0.2133, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0648, "exposure": 0.2133 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1714, "exposure_p50": 0.2133, "exposure_p90": 0.2548, "net_risk_p10": 0.0417, "net_risk_p50": 0.0558, "net_risk_p90": 0.0721, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6323, "theta": 0.6802, "c_aioe": -0.5091, "log_wage_spread": 0.5266, "wage_position": 1.036 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6323, "theta": 0.6802, "c_aioe": -0.5091, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83311", "title": "Bus driver", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 3782, "gross_wage_25th": 2289, "gross_wage_75th": 5137, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.9, "employment_thousands": 6.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.058692, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.172, "bottleneck": 0.2193, "displacement_pressure": 0.1343, "demand_resilience": 0.3766, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5175, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4289, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9002, "market_resilience": 0.6706, "market_modifier": 0.6234 }, "net_risk": 0.0837, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0253, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.074, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0624, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3808, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8106, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9068, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0508, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1366, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0337, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7482, "exposure_v7": 0.172, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0938, "exposure": 0.172 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0942, "exposure_p50": 0.172, "exposure_p90": 0.2484, "net_risk_p10": 0.046, "net_risk_p50": 0.0815, "net_risk_p90": 0.1259, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.1348, "theta": 0.6407, "c_aioe": -0.9585, "log_wage_spread": 0.8084, "wage_position": 1.6422 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8331" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.1348, "theta": 0.6407, "c_aioe": -0.9585, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8331" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83222", "title": "Chauffeur", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2743, "gross_wage_25th": 2033, "gross_wage_75th": 3593, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.8, "employment_thousands": 5.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.049984, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2133, "bottleneck": 0.5339, "displacement_pressure": 0.0994, "demand_resilience": 0.3918, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5073, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3975, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6702, "market_resilience": 0.5725, "market_modifier": 0.6082 }, "net_risk": 0.0605, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0652, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0321, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1684, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2479, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8864, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0411, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0971, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0105, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7418, "exposure_v7": 0.2133, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0678, "exposure": 0.2133 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1714, "exposure_p50": 0.2133, "exposure_p90": 0.2548, "net_risk_p10": 0.045, "net_risk_p50": 0.0597, "net_risk_p90": 0.0769, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6323, "theta": 0.6802, "c_aioe": -0.5091, "log_wage_spread": 0.5695, "wage_position": 1.1911 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6323, "theta": 0.6802, "c_aioe": -0.5091, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83323", "title": "Concrete mix truck driver", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2666, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 3268, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.8, "employment_thousands": 5.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.049278, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2465, "bottleneck": 0.393, "displacement_pressure": 0.1496, "demand_resilience": 0.3424, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7611, "market_resilience": 0.6045, "market_modifier": 0.6576 }, "net_risk": 0.0984, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0586, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2376, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.333, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0954, "anthropic": 0.333, "eloundou": 0.3421, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7078, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5656, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0672, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1548, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0484, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7037, "exposure_v7": 0.2465, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1089, "exposure": 0.2465 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1868, "exposure_p50": 0.2465, "exposure_p90": 0.305, "net_risk_p10": 0.068, "net_risk_p50": 0.0976, "net_risk_p90": 0.1292, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "log_wage_spread": 0.7142, "wage_position": 1.1576 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8332" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8332" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83432", "title": "Crane operator (on-site)", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 3117, "gross_wage_25th": 2953, "gross_wage_75th": 3368, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.053283, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0836, "bottleneck": 0.5998, "displacement_pressure": 0.0334, "demand_resilience": 0.248, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.425, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1444, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4465, "market_resilience": 0.4336, "market_modifier": 0.752 }, "net_risk": 0.0251, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0217, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0802, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0561, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0262, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7708, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5678, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0038, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0542, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0249, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.529, "exposure_v7": 0.0836, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0269, "exposure": 0.0836 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0555, "exposure_p50": 0.0836, "exposure_p90": 0.1109, "net_risk_p10": 0.0153, "net_risk_p50": 0.0246, "net_risk_p90": 0.0355, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.1884, "theta": 0.6873, "c_aioe": -0.9485, "log_wage_spread": 0.1315, "wage_position": 1.3535 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8343" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.1884, "theta": 0.6873, "c_aioe": -0.9485, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8343" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83431", "title": "Crane/Hoist operator (excluding port)", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 4979, "gross_wage_25th": 3390, "gross_wage_75th": 6496, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.7, "employment_thousands": 7.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.067343, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0836, "bottleneck": 0.5998, "displacement_pressure": 0.0334, "demand_resilience": 0.3376, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4584, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2469, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8173, "market_resilience": 0.6019, "market_modifier": 0.6624 }, "net_risk": 0.0221, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0302, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0802, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0561, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0262, "ilo": 0.1101 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8008, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5678, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0013, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0473, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0221, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6676, "exposure_v7": 0.0836, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0244, "exposure": 0.0836 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0555, "exposure_p50": 0.0836, "exposure_p90": 0.1109, "net_risk_p10": 0.0136, "net_risk_p50": 0.0219, "net_risk_p90": 0.0311, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.1884, "theta": 0.6873, "c_aioe": -0.9485, "log_wage_spread": 0.6504, "wage_position": 2.162 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8343" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.1884, "theta": 0.6873, "c_aioe": -0.9485, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8343" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "81602", "title": "Dairy and confectionery products machine operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2553, "gross_wage_25th": 1748, "gross_wage_75th": 4514, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "81", "employment_family_total_thousands": 8.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.103227, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1278, "bottleneck": 0.1034, "displacement_pressure": 0.1145, "demand_resilience": 0.3217, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8396, "market_resilience": 0.5776, "market_modifier": 0.6783 }, "net_risk": 0.0777, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0076, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.049, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1854, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1255, "ilo": 0.0693 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.782, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6124, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.031, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1372, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0277, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6181, "exposure_v7": 0.1278, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0848, "exposure": 0.1278 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0996, "exposure_p50": 0.1278, "exposure_p90": 0.1574, "net_risk_p10": 0.0605, "net_risk_p50": 0.0775, "net_risk_p90": 0.0958, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5647, "theta": 0.6051, "c_aioe": -0.4971, "log_wage_spread": 0.9487, "wage_position": 1.1086 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8160" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5647, "theta": 0.6051, "c_aioe": -0.4971, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8160" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83502", "title": "Deckhand (including lighterman)", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 1740, "gross_wage_25th": 1630, "gross_wage_75th": 2206, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.03981, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0946, "bottleneck": 0.9011, "displacement_pressure": 0.0094, "demand_resilience": 0.1956, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.425, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1444, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.1943, "market_resilience": 0.3327, "market_modifier": 0.8044 }, "net_risk": 0.0075, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0284, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0107, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1257, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0649, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7099, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.2042, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0001, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0186, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0075, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4587, "exposure_v7": 0.0946, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.008, "exposure": 0.0946 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0731, "exposure_p50": 0.0946, "exposure_p90": 0.1162, "net_risk_p10": 0.0016, "net_risk_p50": 0.0073, "net_risk_p90": 0.014, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7891, "theta": 0.7569, "c_aioe": -0.5748, "log_wage_spread": 0.3026, "wage_position": 0.7555 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8350" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7891, "theta": 0.7569, "c_aioe": -0.5748, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8350" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83212", "title": "Delivery man using motorised personal mobility aids/devices", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 1985, "gross_wage_25th": 1700, "gross_wage_75th": 2000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5, "employment_thousands": 5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.042521, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.252, "bottleneck": 0.393, "displacement_pressure": 0.1529, "demand_resilience": 0.2607, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2335, "market_resilience": 0.3352, "market_modifier": 0.7393 }, "net_risk": 0.1131, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0332, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2376, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.333, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0954, "anthropic": 0.333, "eloundou": 0.3421, "ilo": 0.229 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7228, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5656, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.079, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.165, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0369, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.499, "exposure_v7": 0.252, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1207, "exposure": 0.252 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1924, "exposure_p50": 0.252, "exposure_p90": 0.3105, "net_risk_p10": 0.0803, "net_risk_p50": 0.1131, "net_risk_p90": 0.1452, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "log_wage_spread": 0.1625, "wage_position": 0.8619 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8321" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8321" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "82122", "title": "Electronic equipment/component assembler", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2017, "gross_wage_25th": 1847, "gross_wage_75th": 2520, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.7, "employment_thousands": 0.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "82", "employment_family_total_thousands": 3.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.193132, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1733, "bottleneck": 0.1016, "displacement_pressure": 0.1557, "demand_resilience": 0.2097, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2995, "market_resilience": 0.3616, "market_modifier": 0.7903 }, "net_risk": 0.1231, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0064, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0205, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1569, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0962, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7889, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6999, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0704, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1897, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0269, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4698, "exposure_v7": 0.1733, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1304, "exposure": 0.1733 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.126, "exposure_p50": 0.1733, "exposure_p90": 0.2237, "net_risk_p10": 0.0864, "net_risk_p50": 0.1212, "net_risk_p90": 0.1626, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6505, "theta": 0.6034, "c_aioe": -0.5737, "log_wage_spread": 0.3107, "wage_position": 0.8758 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8212" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6505, "theta": 0.6034, "c_aioe": -0.5737, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8212" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83421", "title": "Excavating/Trench digging machine operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 3098, "gross_wage_25th": 2000, "gross_wage_75th": 4998, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_thousands": 6.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.05312, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0923, "bottleneck": 0.4884, "displacement_pressure": 0.0472, "demand_resilience": 0.44, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7024, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9979, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9011, "market_resilience": 0.7819, "market_modifier": 0.56 }, "net_risk": 0.0264, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0353, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0544, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.082, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1213, "ilo": 0.0309 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8491, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8809, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0042, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0596, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0236, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8812, "exposure_v7": 0.0923, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0306, "exposure": 0.0923 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.065, "exposure_p50": 0.0923, "exposure_p90": 0.1198, "net_risk_p10": 0.0174, "net_risk_p50": 0.0263, "net_risk_p90": 0.0356, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.0236, "theta": 0.6732, "c_aioe": -0.8314, "log_wage_spread": 0.9159, "wage_position": 1.3452 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8342" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.0236, "theta": 0.6732, "c_aioe": -0.8314, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8342" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83441", "title": "Fork lift truck operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2500, "gross_wage_25th": 1807, "gross_wage_75th": 3163, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.047719, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0995, "bottleneck": 0.2032, "displacement_pressure": 0.0793, "demand_resilience": 0.2874, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4346, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1736, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6185, "market_resilience": 0.5082, "market_modifier": 0.7126 }, "net_risk": 0.0565, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0103, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1257, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0107, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0941, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.857, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.9125, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0123, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1058, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0065, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5878, "exposure_v7": 0.0995, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0612, "exposure": 0.0995 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0649, "exposure_p50": 0.0995, "exposure_p90": 0.1325, "net_risk_p10": 0.0362, "net_risk_p50": 0.0571, "net_risk_p90": 0.0764, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.6695, "theta": 0.6372, "c_aioe": -1.4161, "log_wage_spread": 0.5599, "wage_position": 1.0855 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8344" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.6695, "theta": 0.6372, "c_aioe": -1.4161, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8344" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83321", "title": "Lorry driver", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2159, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 3000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.044345, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2465, "bottleneck": 0.393, "displacement_pressure": 0.1496, "demand_resilience": 0.2902, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.457, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2427, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5882, "market_resilience": 0.5095, "market_modifier": 0.7098 }, "net_risk": 0.1062, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0494, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2376, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.333, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0954, "anthropic": 0.333, "eloundou": 0.3421, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7153, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5656, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0775, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.159, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0438, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6097, "exposure_v7": 0.2465, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1153, "exposure": 0.2465 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1868, "exposure_p50": 0.2465, "exposure_p90": 0.305, "net_risk_p10": 0.0748, "net_risk_p50": 0.1054, "net_risk_p90": 0.1365, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "log_wage_spread": 0.6286, "wage_position": 0.9375 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8332" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8332" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "82110", "title": "Mechanical equipment/component assembler", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2084, "gross_wage_25th": 1481, "gross_wage_75th": 3025, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.7, "employment_thousands": 0.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "82", "employment_family_total_thousands": 3.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.196314, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2806, "bottleneck": 0.1176, "displacement_pressure": 0.2476, "demand_resilience": 0.2793, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6292, "market_resilience": 0.4935, "market_modifier": 0.7207 }, "net_risk": 0.1784, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0163, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4058, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4842, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3126, "anthropic": 0.3413, "ilo": 0.3461 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0784, "anthropic": 0.4842, "ilo": 0.2624 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6802, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.652, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8317, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1286, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.248, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0284, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5726, "exposure_v7": 0.2806, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1926, "exposure": 0.2806 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.144, "exposure_p50": 0.2806, "exposure_p90": 0.4096, "net_risk_p10": 0.0926, "net_risk_p50": 0.1752, "net_risk_p90": 0.2551, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.0425, "theta": 0.611, "c_aioe": -0.9115, "log_wage_spread": 0.7142, "wage_position": 0.9049 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8211" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.0425, "theta": 0.611, "c_aioe": -0.9115, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8211" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "82132", "title": "Mechanical products quality checker and tester", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 4354, "gross_wage_25th": 3157, "gross_wage_75th": 5496, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1, "employment_thousands": 1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "82", "employment_family_total_thousands": 3.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.283757, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2628, "bottleneck": 0.1337, "displacement_pressure": 0.2276, "demand_resilience": 0.3012, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7371, "market_resilience": 0.5366, "market_modifier": 0.6988 }, "net_risk": 0.1591, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0189, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3019, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4071, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1052, "anthropic": 0.4071 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.4574, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1212, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2268, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0091, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5976, "exposure_v7": 0.2628, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1727, "exposure": 0.2628 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1052, "exposure_p50": 0.2628, "exposure_p90": 0.4071, "net_risk_p10": 0.0621, "net_risk_p50": 0.1582, "net_risk_p90": 0.2506, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9105, "theta": 0.6169, "c_aioe": -0.7908, "log_wage_spread": 0.5544, "wage_position": 1.8906 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8213" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9105, "theta": 0.6169, "c_aioe": -0.7908, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8213" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "81220", "title": "Metal heat treating plant operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 4652, "gross_wage_25th": 3240, "gross_wage_75th": 7480, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "81", "employment_family_total_thousands": 8.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.139344, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1099, "bottleneck": 0.0392, "displacement_pressure": 0.1056, "demand_resilience": 0.3387, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9287, "market_resilience": 0.6132, "market_modifier": 0.6613 }, "net_risk": 0.0698, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0026, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0686, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0677, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0816, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8218, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7716, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0234, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1295, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0198, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6277, "exposure_v7": 0.1099, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0765, "exposure": 0.1099 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0894, "exposure_p50": 0.1099, "exposure_p90": 0.1294, "net_risk_p10": 0.0543, "net_risk_p50": 0.0691, "net_risk_p90": 0.0842, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.0883, "theta": 0.5672, "c_aioe": -0.9993, "log_wage_spread": 0.8367, "wage_position": 2.02 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8122" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.0883, "theta": 0.5672, "c_aioe": -0.9993, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8122" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "81210", "title": "Metal melter, caster and rolling mill operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2671, "gross_wage_25th": 2568, "gross_wage_75th": 3000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "81", "employment_family_total_thousands": 8.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.105586, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1839, "bottleneck": 0.4866, "displacement_pressure": 0.0944, "demand_resilience": 0.2678, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.402, "market_resilience": 0.4608, "market_modifier": 0.7322 }, "net_risk": 0.0691, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0412, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0686, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.205, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1485, "ilo": 0.245 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8714, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0364, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1173, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0191, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6042, "exposure_v7": 0.1839, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0748, "exposure": 0.1839 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1556, "exposure_p50": 0.1839, "exposure_p90": 0.212, "net_risk_p10": 0.0533, "net_risk_p50": 0.0689, "net_risk_p90": 0.0872, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5115, "theta": 0.6732, "c_aioe": -0.4155, "log_wage_spread": 0.1555, "wage_position": 1.1598 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8121" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5115, "theta": 0.6732, "c_aioe": -0.4155, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8121" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "81251", "title": "Metalworking machine setter-operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2809, "gross_wage_25th": 2178, "gross_wage_75th": 4045, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_thousands": 0.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "81", "employment_family_total_thousands": 8.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.108279, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1065, "bottleneck": 0.0098, "displacement_pressure": 0.1055, "demand_resilience": 0.3146, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4509, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2238, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7175, "market_resilience": 0.5575, "market_modifier": 0.6854 }, "net_risk": 0.0723, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0006, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0624, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.074, "anthropic": 0.1364 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7711, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9548, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0195, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1354, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0223, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.637, "exposure_v7": 0.1065, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.079, "exposure": 0.1065 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.074, "exposure_p50": 0.1065, "exposure_p90": 0.1364, "net_risk_p10": 0.0486, "net_risk_p50": 0.0712, "net_risk_p90": 0.0923, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.052, "theta": 0.5239, "c_aioe": -1.0115, "log_wage_spread": 0.6191, "wage_position": 1.2197 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8125" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.052, "theta": 0.5239, "c_aioe": -1.0115, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8125" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83000", "title": "Mobile machinery supervisor and general foreman", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2522, "gross_wage_25th": 2457, "gross_wage_75th": 2820, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_thousands": 5.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.047928, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2107, "bottleneck": 0.8636, "displacement_pressure": 0.0287, "demand_resilience": 0.2256, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3743, "market_resilience": 0.3915, "market_modifier": 0.7744 }, "net_risk": 0.0222, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0712, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0508, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0856, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.409 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6897, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5818, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0079, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0415, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0222, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.4939, "exposure_v7": 0.2107, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0237, "exposure": 0.2107 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1035, "exposure_p50": 0.2107, "exposure_p90": 0.3152, "net_risk_p10": 0.0074, "net_risk_p50": 0.0202, "net_risk_p90": 0.041, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.984, "theta": 0.7378, "c_aioe": -0.7356, "log_wage_spread": 0.1378, "wage_position": 1.0951 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8300" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.984, "theta": 0.7378, "c_aioe": -0.7356, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8300" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83211", "title": "Motorcycle delivery man", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2080, "gross_wage_25th": 1537, "gross_wage_75th": 2626, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.043526, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.252, "bottleneck": 0.393, "displacement_pressure": 0.1529, "demand_resilience": 0.326, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.44, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1904, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4804, "market_resilience": 0.4562, "market_modifier": 0.674 }, "net_risk": 0.1031, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0452, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2376, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.333, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0954, "anthropic": 0.333, "eloundou": 0.3421, "ilo": 0.229 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7228, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5656, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0753, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1555, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0469, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6072, "exposure_v7": 0.252, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1124, "exposure": 0.252 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1924, "exposure_p50": 0.252, "exposure_p90": 0.3105, "net_risk_p10": 0.0731, "net_risk_p50": 0.1028, "net_risk_p90": 0.1324, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "log_wage_spread": 0.5356, "wage_position": 0.9032 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8321" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8321" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "81830", "title": "Packing/Bottling/Labelling machine operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2101, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 3020, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "81", "employment_family_total_thousands": 8.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.093644, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1027, "bottleneck": 0.1462, "displacement_pressure": 0.0877, "demand_resilience": 0.2681, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5766, "market_resilience": 0.4724, "market_modifier": 0.7319 }, "net_risk": 0.0642, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0071, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0597, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0766, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094, "ilo": 0.1807 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8432, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8573, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0164, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1215, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0142, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.555, "exposure_v7": 0.1027, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0691, "exposure": 0.1027 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0588, "exposure_p50": 0.1027, "exposure_p90": 0.1453, "net_risk_p10": 0.0363, "net_risk_p50": 0.0643, "net_risk_p90": 0.0905, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.05, "theta": 0.6228, "c_aioe": -0.9057, "log_wage_spread": 0.6353, "wage_position": 0.9123 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8183" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.05, "theta": 0.6228, "c_aioe": -0.9057, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8183" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83225", "title": "Parking valet", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2372, "gross_wage_25th": 2000, "gross_wage_75th": 2800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_thousands": 5.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.046481, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2133, "bottleneck": 0.5339, "displacement_pressure": 0.0994, "demand_resilience": 0.3339, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.41, "market_resilience": 0.464, "market_modifier": 0.6661 }, "net_risk": 0.0662, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0528, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0321, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1684, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2479, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8864, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0377, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1095, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0162, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6507, "exposure_v7": 0.2133, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0727, "exposure": 0.2133 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1714, "exposure_p50": 0.2133, "exposure_p90": 0.2548, "net_risk_p10": 0.0481, "net_risk_p50": 0.0652, "net_risk_p90": 0.0857, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6323, "theta": 0.6802, "c_aioe": -0.5091, "log_wage_spread": 0.3365, "wage_position": 1.03 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6323, "theta": 0.6802, "c_aioe": -0.5091, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83501", "title": "Port limit helmsman/steersman/engine driver/tugmaster", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2683, "gross_wage_25th": 2334, "gross_wage_75th": 3284, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.8, "employment_thousands": 5.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.049434, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0946, "bottleneck": 0.9011, "displacement_pressure": 0.0094, "demand_resilience": 0.2546, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.425, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1444, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4777, "market_resilience": 0.4461, "market_modifier": 0.7454 }, "net_risk": 0.007, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.038, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0107, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1257, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0649, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7099, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.2042, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0001, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.018, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.007, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5389, "exposure_v7": 0.0946, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0075, "exposure": 0.0946 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0731, "exposure_p50": 0.0946, "exposure_p90": 0.1162, "net_risk_p10": 0.0014, "net_risk_p50": 0.0067, "net_risk_p90": 0.0129, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7891, "theta": 0.7569, "c_aioe": -0.5748, "log_wage_spread": 0.3415, "wage_position": 1.165 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8350" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7891, "theta": 0.7569, "c_aioe": -0.5748, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8350" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "81252", "title": "Precision grinding machine setter-operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 3227, "gross_wage_25th": 2740, "gross_wage_75th": 3882, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1, "employment_thousands": 1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "81", "employment_family_total_thousands": 8.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.116056, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1065, "bottleneck": 0.0098, "displacement_pressure": 0.1055, "demand_resilience": 0.2594, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5357, "market_resilience": 0.456, "market_modifier": 0.7406 }, "net_risk": 0.0781, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0005, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0624, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.478, "anthropic": 0.522 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.074, "anthropic": 0.1364 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7711, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "insufficient_source_count", "crosswalk_quality": 0.9548, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7744, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0276, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1455, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0281, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.542, "exposure_v7": 0.1065, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0838, "exposure": 0.1065 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.074, "exposure_p50": 0.1065, "exposure_p90": 0.1364, "net_risk_p10": 0.0526, "net_risk_p50": 0.077, "net_risk_p90": 0.0998, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.052, "theta": 0.5239, "c_aioe": -1.0115, "log_wage_spread": 0.3484, "wage_position": 1.4012 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8125" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.052, "theta": 0.5239, "c_aioe": -1.0115, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8125" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "81841", "title": "Printing machine operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2229, "gross_wage_25th": 1700, "gross_wage_75th": 3452, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "81", "employment_family_total_thousands": 8.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.096455, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.4087, "bottleneck": 0.0651, "displacement_pressure": 0.3821, "demand_resilience": 0.2898, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4101, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0983, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6684, "market_resilience": 0.5134, "market_modifier": 0.7102 }, "net_risk": 0.2713, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0137, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2032, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4911, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.2879, "anthropic": 0.4911, "eloundou": 0.4383 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5743, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.2306, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.3505, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0287, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.5878, "exposure_v7": 0.4087, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2938, "exposure": 0.4087 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.3393, "exposure_p50": 0.4087, "exposure_p90": 0.4741, "net_risk_p10": 0.2207, "net_risk_p50": 0.2698, "net_risk_p90": 0.3174, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.1493, "theta": 0.5898, "c_aioe": -0.1337, "log_wage_spread": 0.7083, "wage_position": 0.9679 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8184" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.1493, "theta": 0.5898, "c_aioe": -0.1337, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8184" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "81501", "title": "Sewing machine operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2267, "gross_wage_25th": 1738, "gross_wage_75th": 3000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_thousands": 0.8, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "81", "employment_family_total_thousands": 8.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.097273, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1122, "bottleneck": 0.0071, "displacement_pressure": 0.1114, "demand_resilience": 0.2983, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5472, "market_resilience": 0.5189, "market_modifier": 0.7017 }, "net_risk": 0.0782, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0004, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.049, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0873, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1109 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7943, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.4, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0152, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1554, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0282, "label": "sensitive" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6477, "exposure_v7": 0.1122, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0854, "exposure": 0.1122 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0954, "exposure_p50": 0.1122, "exposure_p90": 0.1281, "net_risk_p10": 0.0642, "net_risk_p50": 0.0761, "net_risk_p90": 0.0881, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.964, "theta": 0.5226, "c_aioe": -0.9281, "log_wage_spread": 0.5459, "wage_position": 0.9844 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8150" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.964, "theta": 0.5226, "c_aioe": -0.9281, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8150" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "81000", "title": "Stationary plant and machine supervisor/general foreman", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 4705, "gross_wage_25th": 3343, "gross_wage_75th": 7753, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1, "employment_thousands": 1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "81", "employment_family_total_thousands": 8.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.140136, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3126, "bottleneck": 0.8841, "displacement_pressure": 0.0362, "demand_resilience": 0.3395, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4029, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0764, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.9323, "market_resilience": 0.6147, "market_modifier": 0.6605 }, "net_risk": 0.0239, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1699, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1934, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3298, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4812 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7943, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0085, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0456, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0239, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6286, "exposure_v7": 0.3126, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0262, "exposure": 0.3126 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1971, "exposure_p50": 0.3126, "exposure_p90": 0.432, "net_risk_p10": 0.007, "net_risk_p50": 0.0227, "net_risk_p90": 0.0434, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "log_wage_spread": 0.8412, "wage_position": 2.043 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8100" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8100" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "82000", "title": "Supervisor/General foreman of assemblers and quality checkers", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 5775, "gross_wage_25th": 3964, "gross_wage_75th": 8000, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "82", "employment_family_total_thousands": 3.7, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.326797, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3126, "bottleneck": 0.8841, "displacement_pressure": 0.0362, "demand_resilience": 0.3283, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.408, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.0921, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8645, "market_resilience": 0.5906, "market_modifier": 0.6717 }, "net_risk": 0.0243, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.1633, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.1934, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.3298, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.4812 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7943, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0085, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0452, "pessimistic_band": "very_low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0243, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6249, "exposure_v7": 0.3126, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0266, "exposure": 0.3126 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1971, "exposure_p50": 0.3126, "exposure_p90": 0.432, "net_risk_p10": 0.0071, "net_risk_p50": 0.023, "net_risk_p90": 0.0445, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "log_wage_spread": 0.7022, "wage_position": 2.5076 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8200" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.0845, "theta": 0.7509, "c_aioe": -0.0621, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8200" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83322", "title": "Trailer-truck driver (including prime mover driver)", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2860, "gross_wage_25th": 2056, "gross_wage_75th": 3837, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6, "employment_thousands": 6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.051039, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2465, "bottleneck": 0.393, "displacement_pressure": 0.1496, "demand_resilience": 0.3268, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.476, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3013, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7282, "market_resilience": 0.5769, "market_modifier": 0.6732 }, "net_risk": 0.1007, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0559, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2376, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.333, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0954, "anthropic": 0.333, "eloundou": 0.3421, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7453, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5656, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0704, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1499, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0493, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6723, "exposure_v7": 0.2465, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1108, "exposure": 0.2465 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1868, "exposure_p50": 0.2465, "exposure_p90": 0.305, "net_risk_p10": 0.0707, "net_risk_p50": 0.1, "net_risk_p90": 0.1313, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "log_wage_spread": 0.6239, "wage_position": 1.2419 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8332" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8332" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83110", "title": "Train operator", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2774, "gross_wage_25th": 2542, "gross_wage_75th": 3258, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.9, "employment_thousands": 5.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.050266, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1875, "bottleneck": 0.7701, "displacement_pressure": 0.0431, "demand_resilience": 0.2776, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4483, "market_resilience": 0.4793, "market_modifier": 0.7224 }, "net_risk": 0.0311, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0692, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0187, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1551, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.3138, "ilo": 0.1485 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7854, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6563, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0134, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0562, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0189, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6195, "exposure_v7": 0.1875, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0338, "exposure": 0.1875 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1439, "exposure_p50": 0.1875, "exposure_p90": 0.2322, "net_risk_p10": 0.0173, "net_risk_p50": 0.0298, "net_risk_p90": 0.0456, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6649, "theta": 0.7182, "c_aioe": -0.5101, "log_wage_spread": 0.2482, "wage_position": 1.2045 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8311" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6649, "theta": 0.7182, "c_aioe": -0.5101, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8311" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83223", "title": "Van driver", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 2148, "gross_wage_25th": 1500, "gross_wage_75th": 2886, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_thousands": 5.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.044232, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2133, "bottleneck": 0.5339, "displacement_pressure": 0.0994, "demand_resilience": 0.3567, "demand_signal_bonus": 0.06, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.4563, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.2406, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5989, "market_resilience": 0.5134, "market_modifier": 0.6433 }, "net_risk": 0.0639, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0584, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": -0.0321, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": "prefix", "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1684, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.2479, "ilo": 0.297 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8864, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.75, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0425, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0998, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0139, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6573, "exposure_v7": 0.2133, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0705, "exposure": 0.2133 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1714, "exposure_p50": 0.2133, "exposure_p90": 0.2548, "net_risk_p10": 0.0474, "net_risk_p50": 0.0631, "net_risk_p90": 0.0814, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6323, "theta": 0.6802, "c_aioe": -0.5091, "log_wage_spread": 0.6544, "wage_position": 0.9327 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8322" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6323, "theta": 0.6802, "c_aioe": -0.5091, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8322" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "83324", "title": "Waste truck driver (including hooklift trucks with roll-on containers)", "major_group": "PLANT AND MACHINE OPERATORS AND ASSEMBLERS", "major_group_code": 8, "gross_wage_median": 4140, "gross_wage_25th": 3441, "gross_wage_75th": 4780, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.2, "employment_thousands": 7.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "83", "employment_family_total_thousands": 116.9, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.061407, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 128.9, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2465, "bottleneck": 0.393, "displacement_pressure": 0.1496, "demand_resilience": 0.301, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5597, "market_resilience": 0.5239, "market_modifier": 0.699 }, "net_risk": 0.1046, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0508, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2376, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.333, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0954, "anthropic": 0.333, "eloundou": 0.3421, "ilo": 0.2079 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7078, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 0.5656, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0706, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1629, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0454, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.6521, "exposure_v7": 0.2465, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1143, "exposure": 0.2465 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1868, "exposure_p50": 0.2465, "exposure_p90": 0.305, "net_risk_p10": 0.0724, "net_risk_p50": 0.1034, "net_risk_p90": 0.1365, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "log_wage_spread": 0.3287, "wage_position": 1.7977 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "8332" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9392, "theta": 0.6657, "c_aioe": -0.7698, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "8332" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "93333", "title": "Aircraft loader (e.g. airport baggage/cargo handler)", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 3216, "gross_wage_25th": 2402, "gross_wage_75th": 3775, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.7, "employment_thousands": 5.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "93", "employment_family_total_thousands": 28.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.199687, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0682, "bottleneck": 0.2308, "displacement_pressure": 0.0525, "demand_resilience": 0.3941, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7209, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4393, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6426, "market_resilience": 0.6896, "market_modifier": 0.6059 }, "net_risk": 0.0318, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0109, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1301, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0062, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0722, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0797, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0182, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8381, "exposure_v7": 0.0682, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0362, "exposure": 0.0682 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0353, "exposure_p50": 0.0682, "exposure_p90": 0.0997, "net_risk_p10": 0.017, "net_risk_p50": 0.0311, "net_risk_p90": 0.0462, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.7092, "theta": 0.6413, "c_aioe": -1.4427, "log_wage_spread": 0.4521, "wage_position": 1.7365 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9333" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.7092, "theta": 0.6413, "c_aioe": -1.4427, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9333" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96211", "title": "Bell captain", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2427, "gross_wage_25th": 2284, "gross_wage_75th": 2720, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.065107, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3486, "bottleneck": 0.1087, "displacement_pressure": 0.3107, "demand_resilience": 0.3698, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7813, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4474, "market_resilience": 0.6477, "market_modifier": 0.6302 }, "net_risk": 0.1958, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0245, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2246, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3636, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.139, "anthropic": 0.3636, "eloundou": 0.3598, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6959, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4781, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1633, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2791, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0458, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7832, "exposure_v7": 0.3486, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2201, "exposure": 0.3486 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.254, "exposure_p50": 0.3486, "exposure_p90": 0.4385, "net_risk_p10": 0.1417, "net_risk_p50": 0.1944, "net_risk_p90": 0.2478, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7389, "theta": 0.6067, "c_aioe": -0.6493, "log_wage_spread": 0.1747, "wage_position": 1.3105 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9621" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7389, "theta": 0.6067, "c_aioe": -0.6493, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9621" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96212", "title": "Bellboy/Hotel porter", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2255, "gross_wage_25th": 2078, "gross_wage_75th": 2654, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.062757, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3486, "bottleneck": 0.1087, "displacement_pressure": 0.3107, "demand_resilience": 0.3705, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7813, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.451, "market_resilience": 0.6491, "market_modifier": 0.6295 }, "net_risk": 0.1956, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0246, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2246, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3636, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.139, "anthropic": 0.3636, "eloundou": 0.3598, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6959, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4781, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1589, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2847, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0456, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7842, "exposure_v7": 0.3486, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2199, "exposure": 0.3486 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.254, "exposure_p50": 0.3486, "exposure_p90": 0.4385, "net_risk_p10": 0.1416, "net_risk_p50": 0.1955, "net_risk_p90": 0.2473, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7389, "theta": 0.6067, "c_aioe": -0.6493, "log_wage_spread": 0.2447, "wage_position": 1.2176 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9621" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7389, "theta": 0.6067, "c_aioe": -0.6493, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9621" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96261", "title": "Building caretaker/Watchman", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2564, "gross_wage_25th": 1682, "gross_wage_75th": 3200, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.066919, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1192, "bottleneck": 0.4929, "displacement_pressure": 0.0604, "demand_resilience": 0.4683, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.897, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9812, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7638, "market_resilience": 0.8437, "market_modifier": 0.5317 }, "net_risk": 0.0321, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0496, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0339, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1025, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1172 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5893, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0112, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0618, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0179, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.886, "exposure_v7": 0.1192, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0375, "exposure": 0.1192 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1075, "exposure_p50": 0.1192, "exposure_p90": 0.1302, "net_risk_p10": 0.0263, "net_risk_p50": 0.0318, "net_risk_p90": 0.0382, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9135, "theta": 0.6742, "c_aioe": -0.741, "log_wage_spread": 0.6432, "wage_position": 1.3844 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9626" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9135, "theta": 0.6742, "c_aioe": -0.741, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9626" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96256", "title": "Bus attendant", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1400, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 1600, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.049449, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3177, "bottleneck": 0.2398, "displacement_pressure": 0.2415, "demand_resilience": 0.2992, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7566, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5492, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.139, "market_resilience": 0.5096, "market_modifier": 0.7008 }, "net_risk": 0.1693, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0388, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3356, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5326, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.197, "anthropic": 0.5326, "eloundou": 0.2082 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7643, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.137, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2373, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0193, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.699, "exposure_v7": 0.3177, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1861, "exposure": 0.3177 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2008, "exposure_p50": 0.3177, "exposure_p90": 0.4279, "net_risk_p10": 0.1037, "net_risk_p50": 0.1675, "net_risk_p90": 0.2383, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "log_wage_spread": 0.1335, "wage_position": 0.7559 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96254", "title": "Car park attendant", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 3126, "gross_wage_25th": 1992, "gross_wage_75th": 3889, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_thousands": 1.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.07389, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3177, "bottleneck": 0.2398, "displacement_pressure": 0.2415, "demand_resilience": 0.4382, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7566, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.5492, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8128, "market_resilience": 0.7791, "market_modifier": 0.5618 }, "net_risk": 0.1357, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0593, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3356, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5326, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.197, "anthropic": 0.5326, "eloundou": 0.2082 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7243, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1168, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1995, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0143, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8766, "exposure_v7": 0.3177, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1568, "exposure": 0.3177 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2008, "exposure_p50": 0.3177, "exposure_p90": 0.4279, "net_risk_p10": 0.083, "net_risk_p50": 0.1333, "net_risk_p90": 0.1912, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "log_wage_spread": 0.669, "wage_position": 1.6879 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "93100", "title": "Civil engineering/Building construction labourer", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1550, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 1660, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 3.9, "employment_thousands": 3.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "93", "employment_family_total_thousands": 28.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.13863, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0592, "bottleneck": 0.4688, "displacement_pressure": 0.0315, "demand_resilience": 0.3476, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8718, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9038, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2175, "market_resilience": 0.6101, "market_modifier": 0.6524 }, "net_risk": 0.0205, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0169, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1346, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0018, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0335 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7251, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5434, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0526, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0205, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7302, "exposure_v7": 0.0592, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0228, "exposure": 0.0592 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0126, "exposure_p50": 0.0592, "exposure_p90": 0.1032, "net_risk_p10": 0.0044, "net_risk_p50": 0.0198, "net_risk_p90": 0.0365, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.7246, "theta": 0.6703, "c_aioe": -1.4058, "log_wage_spread": 0.1703, "wage_position": 0.8369 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9310" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.7246, "theta": 0.6703, "c_aioe": -1.4058, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9310" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91000", "title": "Cleaning supervisor", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2210, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 2976, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.5, "employment_thousands": 7.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.091587, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3515, "bottleneck": 0.7816, "displacement_pressure": 0.0767, "demand_resilience": 0.4332, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8161, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7322, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.705, "market_resilience": 0.7717, "market_modifier": 0.5668 }, "net_risk": 0.0435, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.212, "augmentation_band": "low", "impact_type": "ai_leveraged", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.4029, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.582, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1791, "anthropic": 0.582, "eloundou": 0.2751 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6937, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8775, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0287, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0722, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0065, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8598, "exposure_v7": 0.3515, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0501, "exposure": 0.3515 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.212, "exposure_p50": 0.3515, "exposure_p90": 0.483, "net_risk_p10": 0.0224, "net_risk_p50": 0.0409, "net_risk_p90": 0.0678, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5701, "theta": 0.7222, "c_aioe": -0.4351, "log_wage_spread": 0.6206, "wage_position": 1.1933 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9100" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5701, "theta": 0.7222, "c_aioe": -0.4351, "category": "high_exposure_high_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9100" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96272", "title": "Concierge (hotel)", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 3002, "gross_wage_25th": 2580, "gross_wage_75th": 3488, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.07241, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.675, "bottleneck": 0.1854, "displacement_pressure": 0.5499, "demand_resilience": 0.4202, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8936, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9707, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5365, "market_resilience": 0.7508, "market_modifier": 0.5798 }, "net_risk": 0.3188, "risk_band": "high", "augmentation": 0.094, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "at_risk", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1477, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.7609, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_high", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.6132, "anthropic": 0.7609, "eloundou": 0.6444 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "high_risk_but_positive_labour_market" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8693, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.3093, "optimistic_band": "high", "pessimistic_risk": 0.4187, "pessimistic_band": "high", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0188, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8238, "exposure_v7": 0.675, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.3641, "exposure": 0.675 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.6239, "exposure_p50": 0.675, "exposure_p90": 0.7233, "net_risk_p10": 0.2771, "net_risk_p50": 0.3166, "net_risk_p90": 0.3617, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": 0.8558, "theta": 0.6344, "c_aioe": 0.7283, "log_wage_spread": 0.3015, "wage_position": 1.621 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9627" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": 0.8558, "theta": 0.6344, "c_aioe": 0.7283, "category": "high_exposure_low_complementarity", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9627" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91153", "title": "Dishwasher", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1684, "gross_wage_25th": 1430, "gross_wage_75th": 2091, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.5, "employment_thousands": 6.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.079948, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0569, "bottleneck": 0.025, "displacement_pressure": 0.0555, "demand_resilience": 0.3337, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7121, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4121, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.369, "market_resilience": 0.5748, "market_modifier": 0.6663 }, "net_risk": 0.037, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0008, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1168, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0196, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7656, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7054, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.095, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.013, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7504, "exposure_v7": 0.0569, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0411, "exposure": 0.0569 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0127, "exposure_p50": 0.0569, "exposure_p90": 0.0997, "net_risk_p10": 0.0083, "net_risk_p50": 0.0361, "net_risk_p90": 0.0649, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.6096, "theta": 0.5579, "c_aioe": -1.493, "log_wage_spread": 0.38, "wage_position": 0.9093 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9115" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.6096, "theta": 0.5579, "c_aioe": -1.493, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9115" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96262", "title": "Doorman", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2534, "gross_wage_25th": 2380, "gross_wage_75th": 2890, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.066526, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.1192, "bottleneck": 0.4929, "displacement_pressure": 0.0604, "demand_resilience": 0.3974, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.865, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8828, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4652, "market_resilience": 0.7051, "market_modifier": 0.6026 }, "net_risk": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0414, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0339, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1025, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1172 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.5893, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.015, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0701, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0136, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8006, "exposure_v7": 0.1192, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0413, "exposure": 0.1192 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1075, "exposure_p50": 0.1192, "exposure_p90": 0.1302, "net_risk_p10": 0.0297, "net_risk_p50": 0.0362, "net_risk_p90": 0.0432, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.9135, "theta": 0.6742, "c_aioe": -0.741, "log_wage_spread": 0.1942, "wage_position": 1.3683 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9626" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.9135, "theta": 0.6742, "c_aioe": -0.741, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9626" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "94103", "title": "Fast food preparer", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1854, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 2712, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 9.3, "employment_thousands": 9.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "94", "employment_family_total_thousands": 35.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.260858, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2184, "bottleneck": 0.0579, "displacement_pressure": 0.2057, "demand_resilience": 0.4124, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.865, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8828, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5383, "market_resilience": 0.7344, "market_modifier": 0.5876 }, "net_risk": 0.1209, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0093, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2764, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4377, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1613, "anthropic": 0.4377, "eloundou": 0.0429 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.4743, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0854, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.185, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0291, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8192, "exposure_v7": 0.2184, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1377, "exposure": 0.2184 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0813, "exposure_p50": 0.2184, "exposure_p90": 0.3509, "net_risk_p10": 0.0455, "net_risk_p50": 0.118, "net_risk_p90": 0.1937, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6415, "theta": 0.5856, "c_aioe": -0.5772, "log_wage_spread": 0.5277, "wage_position": 1.0011 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9410" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6415, "theta": 0.5856, "c_aioe": -0.5772, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9410" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91151", "title": "Food and beverage establishments general cleaner", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1600, "gross_wage_25th": 1401, "gross_wage_75th": 1819, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.4, "employment_thousands": 6.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.077929, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0569, "bottleneck": 0.025, "displacement_pressure": 0.0555, "demand_resilience": 0.3502, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8433, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8159, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2714, "market_resilience": 0.6145, "market_modifier": 0.6498 }, "net_risk": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0009, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1168, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0196, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7656, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7054, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0945, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0139, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7368, "exposure_v7": 0.0569, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0402, "exposure": 0.0569 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0127, "exposure_p50": 0.0569, "exposure_p90": 0.0997, "net_risk_p10": 0.008, "net_risk_p50": 0.0352, "net_risk_p90": 0.0634, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.6096, "theta": 0.5579, "c_aioe": -1.493, "log_wage_spread": 0.2611, "wage_position": 0.8639 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9115" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.6096, "theta": 0.5579, "c_aioe": -1.493, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9115" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "94102", "title": "Food/Drink stall assistant", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1638, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 2056, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_thousands": 8.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "94", "employment_family_total_thousands": 35.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.245192, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2184, "bottleneck": 0.0579, "displacement_pressure": 0.2057, "demand_resilience": 0.3724, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8603, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8682, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3556, "market_resilience": 0.6584, "market_modifier": 0.6276 }, "net_risk": 0.1291, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0083, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2764, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4377, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1613, "anthropic": 0.4377, "eloundou": 0.0429 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.4743, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0923, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1976, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0209, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7609, "exposure_v7": 0.2184, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1448, "exposure": 0.2184 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0813, "exposure_p50": 0.2184, "exposure_p90": 0.3509, "net_risk_p10": 0.0489, "net_risk_p50": 0.1276, "net_risk_p90": 0.2051, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6415, "theta": 0.5856, "c_aioe": -0.5772, "log_wage_spread": 0.3843, "wage_position": 0.8844 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9410" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6415, "theta": 0.5856, "c_aioe": -0.5772, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9410" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96111", "title": "General waste collection, recycling and material recovery worker", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1750, "gross_wage_25th": 1550, "gross_wage_75th": 2320, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.055285, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0935, "bottleneck": 0.0686, "displacement_pressure": 0.0871, "demand_resilience": 0.3858, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.865, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8828, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4113, "market_resilience": 0.6836, "market_modifier": 0.6142 }, "net_risk": 0.0535, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0044, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0856, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0508, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1851, "ilo": 0.0037 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8639, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0115, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1088, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0035, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7821, "exposure_v7": 0.0935, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0603, "exposure": 0.0935 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0483, "exposure_p50": 0.0935, "exposure_p90": 0.1402, "net_risk_p10": 0.0273, "net_risk_p50": 0.0532, "net_risk_p90": 0.0807, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.2834, "theta": 0.5906, "c_aioe": -1.1483, "log_wage_spread": 0.4033, "wage_position": 0.9449 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9611" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.2834, "theta": 0.5906, "c_aioe": -1.1483, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9611" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91210", "title": "Hand launderer/presser (non-household)", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1600, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 2022, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.4, "employment_thousands": 6.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.077929, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0811, "bottleneck": 0.1818, "displacement_pressure": 0.0664, "demand_resilience": 0.3643, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8535, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8473, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3266, "market_resilience": 0.6428, "market_modifier": 0.6357 }, "net_risk": 0.0422, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0095, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1221, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0143, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1172, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0932, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0078, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7511, "exposure_v7": 0.0811, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0472, "exposure": 0.0811 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0505, "exposure_p50": 0.0811, "exposure_p90": 0.1105, "net_risk_p10": 0.0248, "net_risk_p50": 0.042, "net_risk_p90": 0.059, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.6299, "theta": 0.6331, "c_aioe": -1.3891, "log_wage_spread": 0.3676, "wage_position": 0.8639 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9121" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.6299, "theta": 0.6331, "c_aioe": -1.3891, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9121" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "93201", "title": "Hand packer", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1600, "gross_wage_25th": 1538, "gross_wage_75th": 1906, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4, "employment_thousands": 4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "93", "employment_family_total_thousands": 28.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.140849, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0853, "bottleneck": 0.1515, "displacement_pressure": 0.0724, "demand_resilience": 0.3088, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.71, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4059, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2518, "market_resilience": 0.5267, "market_modifier": 0.6912 }, "net_risk": 0.05, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0068, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1203, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.016, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0983 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7816, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7692, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0049, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1038, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7179, "exposure_v7": 0.0853, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0552, "exposure": 0.0853 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0442, "exposure_p50": 0.0853, "exposure_p90": 0.1241, "net_risk_p10": 0.0262, "net_risk_p50": 0.051, "net_risk_p90": 0.0727, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.6114, "theta": 0.6236, "c_aioe": -1.3886, "log_wage_spread": 0.2145, "wage_position": 0.8639 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9320" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.6114, "theta": 0.6236, "c_aioe": -1.3886, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9320" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96253", "title": "Hospital/Clinic attendant", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2459, "gross_wage_25th": 2138, "gross_wage_75th": 2817, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.065534, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3177, "bottleneck": 0.2398, "displacement_pressure": 0.2415, "demand_resilience": 0.3272, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.6114, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.1025, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.484, "market_resilience": 0.5604, "market_modifier": 0.6728 }, "net_risk": 0.1625, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0427, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3356, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5326, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.197, "anthropic": 0.5326, "eloundou": 0.2082 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7643, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1328, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2275, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0125, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.75, "exposure_v7": 0.3177, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1806, "exposure": 0.3177 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2008, "exposure_p50": 0.3177, "exposure_p90": 0.4279, "net_risk_p10": 0.0991, "net_risk_p50": 0.1616, "net_risk_p90": 0.2308, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "log_wage_spread": 0.2758, "wage_position": 1.3278 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91122", "title": "Hotel cleaner", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2019, "gross_wage_25th": 1800, "gross_wage_75th": 2274, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.1, "employment_thousands": 7.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.08754, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0496, "bottleneck": 0.0927, "displacement_pressure": 0.045, "demand_resilience": 0.3737, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8338, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7866, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3966, "market_resilience": 0.6589, "market_modifier": 0.6263 }, "net_risk": 0.0282, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.003, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1025, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0339, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094, "ilo": 0.0161 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8372, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8334, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0801, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0218, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7717, "exposure_v7": 0.0496, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0317, "exposure": 0.0496 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.017, "exposure_p50": 0.0496, "exposure_p90": 0.0814, "net_risk_p10": 0.0096, "net_risk_p50": 0.0274, "net_risk_p90": 0.0479, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "log_wage_spread": 0.2338, "wage_position": 1.0902 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9112" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9112" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91121", "title": "Housekeeping/Linen room attendant", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1950, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 2307, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7, "employment_thousands": 7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.086031, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0496, "bottleneck": 0.0927, "displacement_pressure": 0.045, "demand_resilience": 0.3814, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8236, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7552, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.4465, "market_resilience": 0.6728, "market_modifier": 0.6186 }, "net_risk": 0.0278, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0031, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1025, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0339, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094, "ilo": 0.0161 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8372, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8334, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0815, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0222, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7871, "exposure_v7": 0.0496, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0314, "exposure": 0.0496 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.017, "exposure_p50": 0.0496, "exposure_p90": 0.0814, "net_risk_p10": 0.0094, "net_risk_p50": 0.027, "net_risk_p90": 0.0476, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "log_wage_spread": 0.3659, "wage_position": 1.0529 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9112" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9112" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "94101", "title": "Kitchen assistant", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1600, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 2192, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.6, "employment_thousands": 8.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "94", "employment_family_total_thousands": 35.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.242331, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2184, "bottleneck": 0.0579, "displacement_pressure": 0.2057, "demand_resilience": 0.3361, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7087, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4017, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3846, "market_resilience": 0.579, "market_modifier": 0.6639 }, "net_risk": 0.1366, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0073, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2764, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4377, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1613, "anthropic": 0.4377, "eloundou": 0.0429 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.4743, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0983, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2109, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0134, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.755, "exposure_v7": 0.2184, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1521, "exposure": 0.2184 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0813, "exposure_p50": 0.2184, "exposure_p90": 0.3509, "net_risk_p10": 0.0511, "net_risk_p50": 0.1332, "net_risk_p90": 0.2168, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6415, "theta": 0.5856, "c_aioe": -0.5772, "log_wage_spread": 0.4483, "wage_position": 0.8639 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9410" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6415, "theta": 0.5856, "c_aioe": -0.5772, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9410" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96252", "title": "Laboratory attendant", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2651, "gross_wage_25th": 1850, "gross_wage_75th": 4093, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_thousands": 1.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.068045, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3177, "bottleneck": 0.2398, "displacement_pressure": 0.2415, "demand_resilience": 0.3929, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.5781, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.8672, "market_resilience": 0.6938, "market_modifier": 0.6071 }, "net_risk": 0.1466, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0528, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3356, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5326, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.197, "anthropic": 0.5326, "eloundou": 0.2082 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7243, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1236, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2103, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0034, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8072, "exposure_v7": 0.3177, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1661, "exposure": 0.3177 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2008, "exposure_p50": 0.3177, "exposure_p90": 0.4279, "net_risk_p10": 0.0899, "net_risk_p50": 0.1451, "net_risk_p90": 0.2079, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "log_wage_spread": 0.7941, "wage_position": 1.4314 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "92142", "title": "Landscape worker", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1800, "gross_wage_25th": 1750, "gross_wage_75th": 1902, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.5, "employment_thousands": 0.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "92", "employment_family_total_thousands": 1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.491868, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0574, "bottleneck": 0.2219, "displacement_pressure": 0.0447, "demand_resilience": 0.3591, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8515, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.841, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3044, "market_resilience": 0.6326, "market_modifier": 0.6409 }, "net_risk": 0.0286, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0081, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0945, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0419, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0335, "ilo": 0.0161 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6307, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.0073, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0734, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0214, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7439, "exposure_v7": 0.0574, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.032, "exposure": 0.0574 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0264, "exposure_p50": 0.0574, "exposure_p90": 0.0887, "net_risk_p10": 0.0135, "net_risk_p50": 0.0281, "net_risk_p90": 0.0452, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.3545, "theta": 0.6411, "c_aioe": -1.1436, "log_wage_spread": 0.1178, "wage_position": 0.9719 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9214" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.3545, "theta": 0.6411, "c_aioe": -1.1436, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9214" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96291", "title": "Leaflet and newspaper distributor/deliverer", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1600, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 2244, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.052863, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2278, "bottleneck": 0.2255, "displacement_pressure": 0.1764, "demand_resilience": 0.3399, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7813, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.307, "market_resilience": 0.5916, "market_modifier": 0.6601 }, "net_risk": 0.1165, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0304, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1114, "ilo": 0.3329 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.658, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0741, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1819, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0335, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7372, "exposure_v7": 0.2278, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1295, "exposure": 0.2278 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1114, "exposure_p50": 0.2278, "exposure_p90": 0.3329, "net_risk_p10": 0.0549, "net_risk_p50": 0.1156, "net_risk_p90": 0.1744, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.8728, "theta": 0.6411, "c_aioe": -0.7369, "log_wage_spread": 0.3383, "wage_position": 0.8639 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9629" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.8728, "theta": 0.6411, "c_aioe": -0.7369, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9629" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91220", "title": "Motor vehicle cleaner/polisher", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1700, "gross_wage_25th": 1400, "gross_wage_75th": 2100, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.5, "employment_thousands": 6.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.080327, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0718, "bottleneck": 0.1052, "displacement_pressure": 0.0643, "demand_resilience": 0.394, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.9031, "industry_footprint_momentum": 1, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.398, "market_resilience": 0.7011, "market_modifier": 0.606 }, "net_risk": 0.039, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0053, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1132, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0232, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1234, "ilo": 0.0037 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0942, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.011, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7849, "exposure_v7": 0.0718, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.044, "exposure": 0.0718 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0376, "exposure_p50": 0.0718, "exposure_p90": 0.1064, "net_risk_p10": 0.0195, "net_risk_p50": 0.0388, "net_risk_p90": 0.0601, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.5136, "theta": 0.606, "c_aioe": -1.3311, "log_wage_spread": 0.4055, "wage_position": 0.9179 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9122" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.5136, "theta": 0.606, "c_aioe": -1.3311, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9122" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "93336", "title": "Mover", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2223, "gross_wage_25th": 1700, "gross_wage_75th": 3500, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_thousands": 4.7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "93", "employment_family_total_thousands": 28.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.166021, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0682, "bottleneck": 0.2308, "displacement_pressure": 0.0525, "demand_resilience": 0.4399, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7813, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7861, "market_resilience": 0.7832, "market_modifier": 0.5601 }, "net_risk": 0.0294, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0123, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1301, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0062, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0722, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8714, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0757, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0206, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8744, "exposure_v7": 0.0682, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.034, "exposure": 0.0682 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0399, "exposure_p50": 0.0682, "exposure_p90": 0.0997, "net_risk_p10": 0.0162, "net_risk_p50": 0.0288, "net_risk_p90": 0.0431, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.7092, "theta": 0.6413, "c_aioe": -1.4427, "log_wage_spread": 0.7221, "wage_position": 1.2003 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9333" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.7092, "theta": 0.6413, "c_aioe": -1.4427, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9333" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96293", "title": "Odd job person", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1600, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 1800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_thousands": 1.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.052863, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2278, "bottleneck": 0.2255, "displacement_pressure": 0.1764, "demand_resilience": 0.3443, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8555, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8536, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2255, "market_resilience": 0.6035, "market_modifier": 0.6557 }, "net_risk": 0.1157, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.031, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": false, "anthropic_gap": null, "anthropic_observed_pctile": null, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 2, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.4745, "ilo": 0.5255 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1114, "ilo": 0.3329 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6655, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.6, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.7549, "source_coverage": 0.55, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 2 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0814, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1757, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0343, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7272, "exposure_v7": 0.2278, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1285, "exposure": 0.2278 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.1114, "exposure_p50": 0.2278, "exposure_p90": 0.3329, "net_risk_p10": 0.0551, "net_risk_p50": 0.1155, "net_risk_p90": 0.1722, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.8728, "theta": 0.6411, "c_aioe": -0.7369, "log_wage_spread": 0.1178, "wage_position": 0.8639 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9629" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback", "scores": { "aioe": -0.8728, "theta": 0.6411, "c_aioe": -0.7369, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9629" ], "match_quality": "submajor_fallback" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91131", "title": "Office, commercial and industrial establishments indoor cleaner", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1641, "gross_wage_25th": 1440, "gross_wage_75th": 1801, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.4, "employment_thousands": 6.4, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.078921, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0615, "bottleneck": 0.0927, "displacement_pressure": 0.0558, "demand_resilience": 0.3121, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7059, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.3933, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2736, "market_resilience": 0.533, "market_modifier": 0.6879 }, "net_risk": 0.0384, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.003, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1025, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0339, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7976, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8334, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.092, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0116, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7225, "exposure_v7": 0.0615, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0424, "exposure": 0.0615 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0174, "exposure_p50": 0.0615, "exposure_p90": 0.1042, "net_risk_p10": 0.0109, "net_risk_p50": 0.0377, "net_risk_p90": 0.065, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "log_wage_spread": 0.2237, "wage_position": 0.8861 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91133", "title": "Office, commercial and industrial establishments multi-skilled cleaner cum machine operator", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2270, "gross_wage_25th": 1908, "gross_wage_75th": 2873, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7.6, "employment_thousands": 7.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.092822, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0615, "bottleneck": 0.0927, "displacement_pressure": 0.0558, "demand_resilience": 0.4242, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8956, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.977, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.5517, "market_resilience": 0.7581, "market_modifier": 0.5758 }, "net_risk": 0.0321, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0043, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1025, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0339, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7976, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8334, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0822, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0179, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8306, "exposure_v7": 0.0615, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0368, "exposure": 0.0615 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0174, "exposure_p50": 0.0615, "exposure_p90": 0.1042, "net_risk_p10": 0.0091, "net_risk_p50": 0.0316, "net_risk_p90": 0.0548, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "log_wage_spread": 0.4093, "wage_position": 1.2257 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91132", "title": "Office, commercial and industrial establishments outdoor cleaner", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1942, "gross_wage_25th": 1753, "gross_wage_75th": 2125, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 7, "employment_thousands": 7, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.085854, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0615, "bottleneck": 0.0927, "displacement_pressure": 0.0558, "demand_resilience": 0.3772, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8705, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8996, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3636, "market_resilience": 0.6677, "market_modifier": 0.6228 }, "net_risk": 0.0347, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0038, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1025, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0339, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7976, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.8334, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0856, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0153, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7669, "exposure_v7": 0.0615, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.039, "exposure": 0.0615 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0174, "exposure_p50": 0.0615, "exposure_p90": 0.1042, "net_risk_p10": 0.0099, "net_risk_p50": 0.0339, "net_risk_p90": 0.0595, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "log_wage_spread": 0.1924, "wage_position": 1.0486 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9113" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.4584, "theta": 0.6006, "c_aioe": -1.2904, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9113" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96251", "title": "Office/Library attendant", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2118, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 3080, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.060821, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3177, "bottleneck": 0.2398, "displacement_pressure": 0.2415, "demand_resilience": 0.427, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7916, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.6569, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7077, "market_resilience": 0.758, "market_modifier": 0.573 }, "net_risk": 0.1384, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0577, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3356, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5326, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.197, "anthropic": 0.5326, "eloundou": 0.2082 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7243, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1178, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2049, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0116, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8591, "exposure_v7": 0.3177, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1591, "exposure": 0.3177 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2008, "exposure_p50": 0.3177, "exposure_p90": 0.4279, "net_risk_p10": 0.085, "net_risk_p50": 0.1367, "net_risk_p90": 0.1964, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "log_wage_spread": 0.6549, "wage_position": 1.1436 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96213", "title": "Porter (except hotel)", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1712, "gross_wage_25th": 1536, "gross_wage_75th": 2018, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_thousands": 1.2, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.054682, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3486, "bottleneck": 0.1087, "displacement_pressure": 0.3107, "demand_resilience": 0.3427, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7813, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.32, "market_resilience": 0.5967, "market_modifier": 0.6573 }, "net_risk": 0.2042, "risk_band": "moderate", "augmentation": 0.0226, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2246, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.3636, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.139, "anthropic": 0.3636, "eloundou": 0.3598, "ilo": 0.5124 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6959, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.4781, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.85, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1606, "optimistic_band": "moderate", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2929, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0542, "label": "stable" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7414, "exposure_v7": 0.3486, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.2272, "exposure": 0.3486 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.254, "exposure_p50": 0.3486, "exposure_p90": 0.4385, "net_risk_p10": 0.1453, "net_risk_p50": 0.2026, "net_risk_p90": 0.2575, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.7389, "theta": 0.6067, "c_aioe": -0.6493, "log_wage_spread": 0.2729, "wage_position": 0.9244 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9621" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.7389, "theta": 0.6067, "c_aioe": -0.6493, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9621" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91161", "title": "Residential and open areas general cleaner", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1750, "gross_wage_25th": 1600, "gross_wage_75th": 2060, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.6, "employment_thousands": 6.6, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.0815, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0585, "bottleneck": 0.205, "displacement_pressure": 0.0465, "demand_resilience": 0.3521, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8093, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.7113, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3275, "market_resilience": 0.6166, "market_modifier": 0.6479 }, "net_risk": 0.0301, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0074, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1239, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0125, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0209 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7305, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.5647, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0784, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0199, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7468, "exposure_v7": 0.0585, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0336, "exposure": 0.0585 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0154, "exposure_p50": 0.0585, "exposure_p90": 0.0991, "net_risk_p10": 0.0079, "net_risk_p50": 0.0298, "net_risk_p90": 0.053, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.6302, "theta": 0.6381, "c_aioe": -1.3813, "log_wage_spread": 0.2527, "wage_position": 0.9449 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9116" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.6302, "theta": 0.6381, "c_aioe": -1.3813, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9116" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "96255", "title": "Sports and recreational attendant (e.g. golf marshal, golf caddie, fun fair attendant, bowling alley attendant, swimming", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2980, "gross_wage_25th": 2350, "gross_wage_75th": 3800, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_thousands": 1.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.072144, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.3177, "bottleneck": 0.2398, "displacement_pressure": 0.2415, "demand_resilience": 0.4366, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8678, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.8912, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.648, "market_resilience": 0.7798, "market_modifier": 0.5634 }, "net_risk": 0.1361, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.0594, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.3356, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.5326, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.197, "anthropic": 0.5326, "eloundou": 0.2082 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7243, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": "signal_conflict", "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.1168, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.2032, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0139, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8566, "exposure_v7": 0.3177, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1568, "exposure": 0.3177 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.2008, "exposure_p50": 0.3177, "exposure_p90": 0.4279, "net_risk_p10": 0.0833, "net_risk_p50": 0.1338, "net_risk_p90": 0.1923, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "log_wage_spread": 0.4806, "wage_position": 1.6091 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.5246, "theta": 0.6443, "c_aioe": -0.4412, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9625" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "91152", "title": "Table-top cleaner", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1670, "gross_wage_25th": 1420, "gross_wage_75th": 1840, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 6.5, "employment_thousands": 6.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "91", "employment_family_total_thousands": 81.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.079615, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0569, "bottleneck": 0.025, "displacement_pressure": 0.0555, "demand_resilience": 0.3648, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8752, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9142, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.2977, "market_resilience": 0.6442, "market_modifier": 0.6352 }, "net_risk": 0.0353, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0009, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1168, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0196, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0094 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.7656, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.7054, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0924, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0147, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7495, "exposure_v7": 0.0569, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0394, "exposure": 0.0569 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0127, "exposure_p50": 0.0569, "exposure_p90": 0.0997, "net_risk_p10": 0.0079, "net_risk_p50": 0.0347, "net_risk_p90": 0.0624, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.6096, "theta": 0.5579, "c_aioe": -1.493, "log_wage_spread": 0.2591, "wage_position": 0.9017 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9115" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.6096, "theta": 0.5579, "c_aioe": -1.493, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9115" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "94104", "title": "Tea server/steward (excluding bartender, barista and food/drink stall assistant)", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1725, "gross_wage_25th": 1570, "gross_wage_75th": 2084, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 8.9, "employment_thousands": 8.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "94", "employment_family_total_thousands": 35.5, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.251619, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.2184, "bottleneck": 0.0579, "displacement_pressure": 0.2057, "demand_resilience": 0.3578, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.829, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.772, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.328, "market_resilience": 0.6286, "market_modifier": 0.6422 }, "net_risk": 0.1321, "risk_band": "low", "augmentation": 0.008, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.2764, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.4377, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "divergent", "exposure_source_count": 3, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.3193, "anthropic": 0.3486, "eloundou": 0.3321 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.1613, "anthropic": 0.4377, "eloundou": 0.0429 }, "signal_conflict": true, "signal_conflict_reasons": [ "divergent_exposure_sources", "low_risk_but_high_observed_usage" ] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.4743, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8029, "source_coverage": 0.82, "signal_agreement": 0.45, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 3 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0949, "optimistic_band": "low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1953, "pessimistic_band": "moderate", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0179, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7493, "exposure_v7": 0.2184, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.1475, "exposure": 0.2184 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0813, "exposure_p50": 0.2184, "exposure_p90": 0.3509, "net_risk_p10": 0.0494, "net_risk_p50": 0.1293, "net_risk_p90": 0.21, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -0.6415, "theta": 0.5856, "c_aioe": -0.5772, "log_wage_spread": 0.2832, "wage_position": 0.9314 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9410" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -0.6415, "theta": 0.5856, "c_aioe": -0.5772, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9410" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.15, "real_time_coordination": 0.8, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.45, "institutional_knowledge": 0.4, "relationship_intensity": 0.85, "regulatory_weight": 0.25, "physical_presence": 0.9, "tool_velocity": 0.25 } }, { "ssoc": "92141", "title": "Tree worker/technician", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 1921, "gross_wage_25th": 1878, "gross_wage_75th": 2100, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 0.5, "employment_thousands": 0.5, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "92", "employment_family_total_thousands": 1, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.508132, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0574, "bottleneck": 0.2219, "displacement_pressure": 0.0447, "demand_resilience": 0.3718, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.8712, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.9017, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.3373, "market_resilience": 0.6576, "market_modifier": 0.6282 }, "net_risk": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0084, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0945, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0419, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0335, "ilo": 0.0161 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.6307, "level": "medium", "threshold_level": "medium", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 0.0073, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0749, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0219, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.7589, "exposure_v7": 0.0574, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0315, "exposure": 0.0574 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0264, "exposure_p50": 0.0574, "exposure_p90": 0.0887, "net_risk_p10": 0.0132, "net_risk_p50": 0.0273, "net_risk_p90": 0.0439, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.3545, "theta": 0.6411, "c_aioe": -1.1436, "log_wage_spread": 0.1178, "wage_position": 1.0373 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9214" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.3545, "theta": 0.6411, "c_aioe": -1.1436, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9214" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "93335", "title": "Vehicle attendant", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2620, "gross_wage_25th": 2000, "gross_wage_75th": 3129, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_thousands": 5.1, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "93", "employment_family_total_thousands": 28.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.180237, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0682, "bottleneck": 0.2308, "displacement_pressure": 0.0525, "demand_resilience": 0.3852, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7148, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4205, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.6078, "market_resilience": 0.672, "market_modifier": 0.6148 }, "net_risk": 0.0323, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0106, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1301, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0062, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0722, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0768, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0177, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8277, "exposure_v7": 0.0682, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.0366, "exposure": 0.0682 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0353, "exposure_p50": 0.0682, "exposure_p90": 0.0997, "net_risk_p10": 0.0174, "net_risk_p50": 0.0316, "net_risk_p90": 0.0472, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.7092, "theta": 0.6413, "c_aioe": -1.4427, "log_wage_spread": 0.4476, "wage_position": 1.4147 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9333" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.7092, "theta": 0.6413, "c_aioe": -1.4427, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9333" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } }, { "ssoc": "93334", "title": "Warehouse worker", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2458, "gross_wage_25th": 2070, "gross_wage_75th": 3114, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_thousands": 4.9, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "93", "employment_family_total_thousands": 28.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.174576, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0682, "bottleneck": 0.2308, "displacement_pressure": 0.0525, "demand_resilience": 0.3759, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7141, "industry_footprint_momentum": 0.4184, "market_resolution": "industry_footprint_blend", "occupation_scarcity": 0.566, "market_resilience": 0.6548, "market_modifier": 0.6241 }, "net_risk": 0.0327, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0103, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.1301, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "consensus_low", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0062, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.0722, "ilo": 0.0532 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8789, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.7, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.95, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.0775, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0173, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8124, "exposure_v7": 0.0682, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.037, "exposure": 0.0682 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0353, "exposure_p50": 0.0682, "exposure_p90": 0.0997, "net_risk_p10": 0.0176, "net_risk_p50": 0.032, "net_risk_p90": 0.0478, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.7092, "theta": 0.6413, "c_aioe": -1.4427, "log_wage_spread": 0.4084, "wage_position": 1.3272 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9333" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.7092, "theta": 0.6413, "c_aioe": -1.4427, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9333" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.2, "real_time_coordination": 0.7, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.4, "institutional_knowledge": 0.65, "relationship_intensity": 0.6, "regulatory_weight": 0.55, "physical_presence": 0.5, "tool_velocity": 0.4 } }, { "ssoc": "96112", "title": "Waste recycling sorter", "major_group": "CLEANERS, LABOURERS AND RELATED WORKERS", "major_group_code": 9, "gross_wage_median": 2110, "gross_wage_25th": 1801, "gross_wage_75th": 3639, "estimated_sg_employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_thousands": 1.3, "employment_basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "employment_family_code": "96", "employment_family_total_thousands": 21.3, "employment_weight_within_family": 0.060706, "employment_estimate_method": "wage_only", "group_employment_thousands": 167.7, "data_basis": { "employment_estimate": { "basis": "estimated_sg_submajor_weighted_2025", "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "mom_lfr2025_table_d8", "note": "Estimated per-occupation employment derived from published Labour Force 2025 2-digit occupation-family totals, weighted within family by BLS proxy employment and Singapore wage data." }, "wage_pool_proxy": { "basis": "proxy_bls_weighted", "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "bls_projections_2024_2034", "note": "Group totals reweighted by matched US BLS detailed occupation shares for wage-pool analysis." }, "education": { "tier": "external_proxy", "source_key": "onet_job_zones", "note": "Education label derived from O*NET Job Zones through the country crosswalk to ISCO-08." }, "sg_context": { "pwm_covered": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_pwm_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local wage-floor coverage." }, "licensed_profession": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_policy_licensing_mapping", "note": "Rule-based mapping to published local professional licensing regimes." }, "foreign_worker_dependency": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "sg_labour_foreign_worker_mapping", "note": "Major-group heuristic anchored to published local labour-force structure and manpower policy." }, "skillsfuture_eligible": { "tier": "derived_from_official_sg", "source_key": "skillsfuture_transition_mapping", "note": "Major-group mapping to published local transition-program coverage." } } }, "exposure": 0.0935, "bottleneck": 0.0686, "displacement_pressure": 0.0871, "demand_resilience": 0.4322, "demand_signal_bonus": 0, "market": { "market_momentum": 0.7813, "industry_footprint_momentum": null, "market_resolution": "group_prior", "occupation_scarcity": 0.7487, "market_resilience": 0.7682, "market_modifier": 0.5678 }, "net_risk": 0.0494, "risk_band": "very_low", "augmentation": 0.0049, "augmentation_band": "very_low", "impact_type": "stable", "evidence": { "anthropic_calibrated": true, "anthropic_gap": 0.0856, "anthropic_observed_pctile": 0.1364, "sol_match": false, "jobs_in_demand_match": false, "exposure_blend_strategy": "reliability_weighted", "exposure_agreement": "aligned_mid", "exposure_source_count": 4, "exposure_source_keys": [ "aioe", "anthropic", "eloundou", "ilo" ], "exposure_source_weights": { "aioe": 0.2359, "anthropic": 0.2576, "eloundou": 0.2453, "ilo": 0.2612 }, "exposure_source_pctiles": { "aioe": 0.0508, "anthropic": 0.1364, "eloundou": 0.1851, "ilo": 0.0037 }, "signal_conflict": false, "signal_conflict_reasons": [] }, "confidence": { "score": 0.8564, "level": "high", "threshold_level": "high", "policy_cap_reason": null, "crosswalk_quality": 1, "market_data_granularity": 0.65, "source_freshness": 0.8387, "source_coverage": 1, "signal_agreement": 0.85, "sensitivity": 0.65, "exposure_source_count": 4 }, "structural_model_version": "V7", "stability": { "optimistic_risk": 0.0015, "optimistic_band": "very_low", "pessimistic_risk": 0.1148, "pessimistic_band": "low", "distance_to_band_edge": 0.0006, "label": "watch" }, "task_primitives": { "matched_task_weight_share": null, "task_effective_coverage": null, "task_exposure_concentration": null, "method": null }, "task_signal": 0, "demand_persistence": 0.8655, "exposure_v7": 0.0935, "baseline_v6": { "net_risk": 0.057, "exposure": 0.0935 }, "uncertainty": { "exposure_p10": 0.0483, "exposure_p50": 0.0935, "exposure_p90": 0.1402, "net_risk_p10": 0.0245, "net_risk_p50": 0.0485, "net_risk_p90": 0.0742, "method": "bootstrap_v2" }, "labour_monitor_key": "production_transport", "raw": { "aioe": -1.2834, "theta": 0.5906, "c_aioe": -1.1483, "log_wage_spread": 0.7034, "wage_position": 1.1393 }, "isco_codes_matched": [ "9611" ], "match_quality": "direct", "scores": { "aioe": -1.2834, "theta": 0.5906, "c_aioe": -1.1483, "category": "low_exposure", "isco_codes_matched": [ "9611" ], "match_quality": "direct" }, "workflow_overlay": { "creative_generation": 0.1, "real_time_coordination": 0.5, "ambiguity_tolerance": 0.3, "institutional_knowledge": 0.45, "relationship_intensity": 0.25, "regulatory_weight": 0.4, "physical_presence": 0.95, "tool_velocity": 0.2 } } ]